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Country Report

Packaged Food in Estonia

Jan 2013

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Austerity policy adopted during crisis increases Estonia’s economic efficiency

Packaged food in Estonia is expected to have posted strong growth in 2012 compared to the volume and current value CAGRs recorded over the entire review period. Over the review period, sales of packaged food remained very volatile, with significant declines caused by recession and Estonia’s adoption of austerity economic policy. The latter has been the subject of much criticism in Estonia, although it has also elicited strong sympathy from various different politicians and economists. During the economic crisis, Estonia significantly cut public and private sector costs and these cuts resulted in declining wages and plummeting purchasing power. However, austerity has significantly increased Estonia’s economic efficiency and the country’s economy is now in better shape than prior to the onset of the economic crisis. Success can be measured by economic growth and the fact that Estonia has the lowest public sector debt in the EU. Estonia now has a balanced national budget and adopted the euro as its national currency in 2011, which reduced the country’s currency risk. In addition, consumer purchasing power began to rise during the second half of 2011 and this growth is set to continue during 2012, and is also set to be mirrored in rising packaged food sales.

Packaged food companies concentrate more on consumer needs

During the economic crisis, many Estonian packaged food companies began to understand the importance of marketing and supplying products according to consumer need. Therefore, many companies began to concentrate more on catering to the specific needs of consumers and this primarily meant increasing their marketing budgets. Concentrating on consumers required very detailed mapping of specific trends and placing more emphasis on meeting specific needs. Following health trends when developing new products and creating a healthy brand image for certain products have recently become much more popular activities in packaged food. Rising consumer purchasing power led to many Estonian consumers trading up during 2012, which increased the popularity of standard and premium packaged food products.

Companies launch new products in cooperation with other companies

Many packaged food companies have begun entering into strategic partnerships with other companies, launching several new products under very strong and popular brands from other industries. When combined with reasonable pricing policies, these products are expected to become very popular in Estonia in the short-term period to reasonably high levels of brand loyalty in the country. Such product launches are set to be seen more in impulse and indulgence categories such as confectionery and ice cream. This strategic move has led to even more intense competition in packaged food in Estonia. However, the triumph of private label has been interrupted by rising purchasing power and many consumers have abandoned private label, trading up to standard and premium products instead. In addition, several companies have begun to demonstrate dissatisfaction with private label, while some companies have even stopped producing private label products.

Modern grocery retailers account for the majority of sales in packaged food

Modern grocery retailers continue to expand in Estonia, winning value share from independent small grocers in the process. Supermarkets remains the leading channel in the majority of packaged food categories in Estonia. The outlet networks of chained supermarkets in Estonia tend to be very distributed throughout the country and supermarkets are by now the most popular retail channel for everyday grocery shopping. Another important distribution channel for packaged food is hypermarkets. The number of hypermarkets—the second leading distribution channel for packaged food in Estonia—remains lower than the number of supermarkets, but volume sales in the two channels remain similar as consumers usually purchase more when visiting hypermarkets. The proportion of packaged food distributed through discounters—the third largest distribution channel for packaged food in Estonia—is set to have remained unchanged in 2012. Independent small grocers is a retail distribution channel which continues to suffer from a lack of consumers and many discounters are struggling to survive as Estonian people continue to migrate towards cities, while others are simply shopping in larger outlets where prices are lower and range of products was bigger.

Packaged food is expected to record steady growth

Stable current value growth is expected in packaged food in Estonia over the forecast period. Further economic growth is expected to create more jobs and this is likely to increase wages in the country. Rising wages are set to reflect rising consumption and rising prices, which in turn is likely to lead to a stronger focus on the health and wellness trend. Future new product launches in the industry will need to be even more special and strongly advertised in order to become successful as the range of products available is already very wide and many companies have already begun to enter into strategic partnerships with other companies, which is likely to involve popular brands from other industries entering packaged food categories as well.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Estonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Estonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Estonia for free:

The Packaged Food in Estonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Estonia?
  • What are the major brands in Estonia?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Estonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Austerity policy adopted during crisis increases Estonia’s economic efficiency

Packaged food companies concentrate more on consumer needs

Companies launch new products in cooperation with other companies

Modern grocery retailers account for the majority of sales in packaged food

Packaged food is expected to record steady growth

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2009-2012
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2007-2012
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Estonia - Company Profiles

Horeca Service OÜ in Packaged Food (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Kaupmees & Ko AS in Packaged Food (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

Rakvere Lihakombinaat AS in Packaged Food (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Rakvere Lihakombinaat AS: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Rakvere Lihakombinaat AS: Competitive Position 2012

Salvest AS in Packaged Food (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Salvest AS: Competitive Position 2012

Tere AS in Packaged Food (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Tere AS: Competitive Position 2012

Baby Food in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baby food is expected to see sales growth of 6% to reach EUR8 million in 2012, as consumers placed increasing emphasis on product quality during the year. During the economic crisis, parents chose to cook baby food at home in order to save money. In 2012, consumer purchasing power recovered somewhat and, in general, parents proved unwilling to make any compromise on the quality of baby food purchased. In baby food, product quality tends to play a more important role in the purchasing decision of Estonian consumers than price.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Hipp is expected to remain the leading player in baby food in Estonia in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 24%. Hipp offered a wide range of products, ranging from milk formula to puree and tea. Furthermore, Hipp’s products enjoyed good shelf positioning in Estonia, while the company also offered products for the lactose intolerant and those with allergies. Nutricia and Milupa are expected to remain the second and third leading players in baby food in Estonia in 2012, on respective retail value sales shares of 18% and 11%.

PROSPECTS

  • Companies present in baby food in Estonia are expected to increase their investment in advertising over the forecast period, as they look to drive retail volume sales and raise prices as a means of increasing revenue. Due to the modest growing birth rate in Estonia, companies will need to focus on winning retail value sales share and emphasising the positive characteristics of their products, such as convenience and healthiness. Furthermore, the pace of life is increasing in Estonia, which means that consumers are likely to be attracted by the convenience of baby food products over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 53 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2012
  • Table 54 Baby Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 55 Baby Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 56 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Baked Goods in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baked goods form a very important part of most Estonians’ daily diet. The main category of baked goods in Estonia is packaged/industrial bread, which will account for 75% of baked goods volume sales in 2012. Although wages have been growing in Estonia since 2011, baked goods retail volume sales have stagnated in 2012. Last year’s soaring prices like gasoline, electricity and grocery products in general have somewhat balanced wages growth in Estonia. Also, expenditures that were postponed during crisis cannot be postponed to infinity and consumers have had to plan their purchases because some of these purchases must now be made. Producers, on the other hand, have had to deal with growing commodities prices and increasing investment demands, too, because equipment is aging and they had to postpone many investments during crisis as well. Therefore, crisis is still influencing consumers and companies in 2012.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Eesti Pagar is expected to maintain its leading position with a 26% value share in 2012. Eesti Pagar’s success is supported by a wide range of well-known and well-marketed products, but also by good knowledge about consumers and fast reactions in changing economic conditions. Eesti Pagar’s most successful brands are Õnne, Must Vormileib and Perenaise Sai. Õnne is also the most popular brand in baked goods, retaining an 11% value share in 2012. Second and third ranked players in baked goods are AS Leibur (Leibur) with 18% and Fazer Eesti with 13% value shares, respectively. Leibur is owned by international company Vaasan and the latter is expanding its activities in Estonia, which is discussed below. Leibur’s most popular brands in Estonia are Tallinna Peenleib and Kirde. Fazer Eesti’s most successful brands are Kodusai and Must Leib.

PROSPECTS

  • Baked goods producers are likely to start emphasising their products’ healthy characteristics and this is expected to be one of the main lines in advertising campaigns. Although, consumer purchasing power is set to soar, baked goods volume and constant value sales are forecasted to see modest growth, which is due to the category’s maturity. Consumers are likely to look more for premium products in stores that contain healthier ingredients. Companies are also expected to discover and experiment with different niches of baked goods categories over the forecast period, in order to increase their sales and create more additional value for consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 65 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2007-2012
  • Table 66 Baked Goods Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 67 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 68 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Biscuits in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Producers of biscuits still had a difficult year in 2012 because volume sales recorded only marginal growth and increasing commodity prices forced producers to grow prices or reduce mark-ups. By contrast, consumers’ willingness to pay for biscuits slightly increased, indicated by increasing wages and growing purchasing power. However, local consumers’ budgets will remain limited in 2012 due to large proportion of compulsory expenditures and a significant part of retail sales growth will be made by tourists as Estonia remains an attractive tourism destination for neighbourhood countries residents.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Danone Group is set to maintain its leading position with a 43% value share in 2012. Danone offers a wide range of well-known products. Danone flagship brands in Estonia are Lu Pim’s, Jaffa Cakes, Domino, Suklaapisara and Disko, which all are favoured by Estonian consumers. Danone is also constantly advertising its products and from time to time launches new products, flavours or packaging in order to keep its products visible for consumers. The second largest value shareholder is Kalev with an expected 11% share in 2012. Kalev’s most popular biscuit product is Kalev biscuit. Private label share will remain unchanged at 7% in 2012. Private label biscuits are offered by Maxima Eesti, Prisma Peremarket and Rimi Eesti Food.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume and constant value sales of biscuits are expected to grow over the forecast period. Estonian economy is expected to grow steadily by 3-5% over the forecast period and this is expected to increase consumer purchasing power as well. Tourists are expected to play an important role in future grocery retail sales growth as Estonia is a very small country and tourists’ purchases form a significant part of sales. Consumers are also expected to trade up to more expensive and attractive products like filled, chocolate- coated and sandwich biscuits.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 75 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 76 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 77 Biscuits Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 78 Biscuits Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 79 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Breakfast Cereals in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail value sales growth indicates that consumer purchasing habits started to change in 2012 as consumers traded up and unit prices rose in breakfast cereals. Retail volume sales are set to see 1% growth reaching 1,600 tonnes. Retail volume sales did not grow significantly because consumers’ compulsory expenditures are still quite large, but consumers handled rising prices well and even traded up in breakfast cereals. Producers mostly cited increased commodity prices as the reason for the rise in prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg Co will maintain its leader position in breakfast cereals with a 29% share in 2012. Kellogg’s products are well known by Estonian consumers and favoured for their good taste and quality. Kellogg also offers quite a wide range of products where the whole family can select their favourite products. Cereal Partners Worldwide will follow with a 20% value share and Weetabix will account for 12% of value sales. Cereal Partners Worldwide products are also well known by Estonians because the company uses quite intensively several advertising channels to hold its brands and products visible for consumers. Cereal Partners Worldwide’s brand Cini Minis is favoured by many consumers because it differs from other breakfast cereals and offers variety for consumers. The company’s Fitness brand is also favoured for its healthy characteristics and its appeal to women who try to control their weight. Private label products are expected to account for 7% of value sales in 2012. Private label’s share is quite remarkable; these products are mostly favoured by the budget-conscious consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Breakfast cereals is set to record a volume CAGR of 1% and constant value CAGR of 3% over the 2012-2017 forecast period. Value sales are expected to grow faster due to growing prices and consumers’ changing purchasing habits. Consumers are likely to place more emphasis on healthy ingredients, but also on convenience. Therefore, hot cereals is expected to register the highest volume growth at a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period; ready-to-eat cereals are mostly preferred by consumers who highly value convenience and those products are expected to record a volume CAGR of 1%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 84 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 86 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 87 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 88 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 89 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 90 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Canned/Preserved Food in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Notable retail volume growth of canned/preserved food is not projected due to increasing maturity. As disposable incomes increase, consumers evaluate more fresh and natural food. This behaviour is fuelled by the improving health and wellness trend. However, due to convenience and preservation time, canned/preserved food attracts a significant share of Estonians. Still, the quality of these products (especially canned seafood and meat) is not always acceptable. For example, the Estonian Food and Veterinary Board forbids the sales of some canned fish products due to uncertain origin. In addition, more Estonians are aware of the fact that eating canned tuna in large quantities may cause mercury poisoning.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Salvest continued to lead the sales within canned/preserved food in 2012, and is expected to account for a retail value share of 15% with its Salvest, Supipõhi and Saleda Light brands. However, the second company, Maag Konservitööstus will be quite close to Salvest, with a retail value share of 14%. These companies have obtained their popularity largely due to their domestic origin. Maag Konservitööstus mainly offers canned meat products under Frank Pott and Rannarootsi brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food is projected to face diminishing popularity of this category. Rising competition from chilled or frozen foods and ready meals is expected to affect the sales of canned/preserved food. The health and wellness trend and diminishing of preservatives within the food industry are expected to increase, which in turn will affect the popularity of canned/preserved food. Still, canned/preserved food attracts price-sensitive consumers due to the relatively inexpensive price and long shelf life. Hence, a notable number of consumers will be hunting in this category for discounts.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 16 Other Canned/Preserved Food: Product Types
  • Table 95 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 97 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 98 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 99 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 100 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 101 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Cheese in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, cheese consumption increased in Estonia, a country where consumers’ favourite cheese types are well established. Consumers in Estonia tend to prefer sliced cheese in larger packs and mostly premium brands. According to company sources, over 50% of retail volume sales the cheese sold in Estonia is accounted for by premium products. Furthermore, Estonian consumers tend not to be price-sensitive as regards cheese, although, it is a common topic in the trade press. However, cheese is generally considered to be exception in this regard, as in relation to other dairy products, such as milk and sour milk drinks, consumers remained somewhat price-sensitive over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Põltsamaa Meieri Juustutööstus is expected to remain the leading player in cheese in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 40%. The company’s strong performance was based on the fact that it introduced new products in 2012, which responded perfectly to consumer needs. Tere, Valio Eesti and Estover are expected to follow on respective retail value sales share of 19%, 9% and 8%. Põltsamaa Meierei Juustutööstu and Estover both belong to Estover Group. Although, the popularity of domestic cheese is significant and growing, local producers are not too happy with the current situation, whereby retail chains dictate prices and consumers demand premium products at low prices.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumers showed a growing preference for premium cheese products in 2012 and this trend is expected to become entrenched over the forecast period. While mark-ups remained mostly at crisis levels in 2012, companies are expected to increase their mark-ups over the forecast period, in an attempt to increase profitability. This in turn will place upward pressure on prices and lead to an inflationary situation. This is not a new situation for Estonia, as the country had to cope with having the highest inflation in the EU in 2011.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 106 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 108 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 109 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 110 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 111 Cheese Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 112 Cheese Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 113 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 115 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 116 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 117 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Chilled Processed Food in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed food is a significant category in the overall Estonian food industry. This is due to chilled processed meat, which is a crucial category for Estonians whilst Estonians are keen on meat. Hence, chilled processed food constantly experiences new product development as this is crucial for companies engaged in intense competition. For example, new chilled processed meat products are impacted by the continuing health and wellness trend. In the beginning of 2012, Maag Lihatööstus launched a new chilled processed meat brand line with high meat content since minimal meat content in such products has been displeasing consumers. Since then, competitors have been acting similarly. Moreover, many companies have been decreasing the amount of artificial ingredients in their products. Although price-sensitive consumers seek the lowest price rather than focus on the quality of products, improvement of unit prices has not remarkably affected the consumption. Estonians are keen on meat in any variation and chilled processed meat is attractive due to its convenient preparation.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Rakvere Lihakombinaat continues to lead sales of chilled processed food and is set to account for 25% of retail value sales in 2012. Rakvere Lihakombinaat won the loyalty of Estonians due to its domestic origin, and the fact that its products have reasonably good quality and price and wide availability. Moreover, the company claims itself to be the biggest meat producer in the Baltic States. Still, the company has slightly lost retail value share and further decline of this figure is projected for 2012 as other companies (especially Maag Lihatööstus) are performing relatively better.

PROSPECTS

  • Chilled processed food is projected to continually be one of the most important categories in the Estonian food industry over the following years as this category reflects one of the continuing trends in packaged food. For example, due to the health and wellness trend producers have been increasing meat content in their products and diminishing the share of artificial ingredients. That response to the trend is expected to continue in the forecast period. Moreover, the percentage of meat content in sausages will become a more important issue. In the spring of 2012, Estonian meat producers welcomed the idea that sausages should be classified by the meat content. Still, wide application of this idea will take some time.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 118 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 119 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 120 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 121 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 122 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 123 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 124 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 128 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Chocolate Confectionery in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, chocolate confectionery recorded dynamic retail value sales growth, due to increasing prices from the supply side and increasing willingness to pay from the demand side. Demand for chocolate confectionery increased in Estonia in 2012, despite increasing prices, and, as a result, retail volume sales are expected to see growth of 2%. Food prices in general increased significantly in Estonia from 2011 and this set some limits on consumer spending on grocery products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kalev is expected to remain the leading player in chocolate confectionery in 2012, on a retail value sales share of 38%. Over the review period, Kalev made great efforts to maintain its leading position and win retail value sales share from other producers. Kalev strongly emphasised the domestic heritage of its products, with many of the company’s leading brands being quite old and of Estonian origin. Cloetta Fazer AB is expected to rank second in chocolate confectionery in 2012, on a retail value sales share of 11%. Meanwhile, Ferrero and Laima are expected to rank third and fourth in 2012, both on a retail value sales share of 8%. Ferrero markets the Kinder product line in Estonia, while Laima is well-known for its wide range of products.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, chocolate confectionery sales are expected to see a CAGR of 3% to reach EUR89 million in 2017. Increasing consumer purchasing power and the introduction of new attractive products will drive this performance. Consumers are expected to trade up to more attractive, high quality chocolate confectionery products offering a different mix of flavours. Furthermore, dark chocolate consumption is expected to rise, due to the belief that it is healthier than milk chocolate. Players launched many new products and flavours during and after the global recession and many consumers could not afford to purchase these products at that time. However, consumers are expected to prove more willing to purchase these products over the forecast period, as purchasing power increases.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 17 Other Chocolate Confectionery: Product Types
  • Table 129 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 130 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 131 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 132 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 133 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 134 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 135 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 136 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 140 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Dried Processed Food in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After seeing a decline in the previous three years, volume sales of dried processed food are expected to post 2% growth in 2012. Consumers’ disposable incomes are increasing and therefore some Estonians are increasing their consumption of other staple carbohydrates than potatoes or pasta, such as rice, which some perceive to be healthier. Still, the overall growth of retail volume sales of dried processed food is fuelled by the improvement of other categories such as pasta and noodles.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Amber Pasta continued to lead sales of dried processed food in Estonia in 2012, and is set to post a retail value share of 11%. The company provides pasta products under Manni brand, which attracts Estonians due to its inexpensive price. Amongst the following companies, competition between retail value sales is stiff as Raisio Nutrition is set to hold a 6% value share and Nestlé, Boost Distribution, Mars, Neuss & Wilke, Industria Agricola Carredana and Adriana Výrobce Tìstovin will all account for 4-5% of retail value sales shares in 2012. No remarkable changes for retail value sales share between 2011 and 2012 are projected.

PROSPECTS

  • Continuing improvement of Estonia’s economic condition and therefore consumers’ disposable incomes is expected to increase retail sales of dried processed food over the forecast period. This is due to the fact that dried processed food (rice and pasta) would gain importance even though Estonians prefer potatoes. Due to the health and wellness trend, sales of “healthier” and high-quality products (eg, brown rice, rye pasta, etc) will improve over the following years as these are considered to be healthier than potatoes. Retail value growth will be fuelled by increasing raw material prices as well.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 141 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 142 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 143 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 144 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 145 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 146 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 147 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 148 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 151 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Drinking Milk Products in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Milk plays a very important role in the everyday diet of most people in Estonia and, as a result, many consumers monitor milk prices very carefully. During the recession, retail chains quickly noticed consumers’ price-sensitivity in relation to milk and started to push prices downwards, in an attempt to attract consumers to their outlets. The situation of milk producers deteriorated so significantly during the crisis that many smaller producers went bankrupt, while Estonian’s largest milk producer, Väätsa Agro started a process of reorganisation. Although Väätsa Agro’s reorganisation proved successful, the company’s owners decided to sell it to Trigon Agri at the beginning of 2012. Trigon Dairy Farming is now Estonian’s biggest dairy producer.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tere is expected to remain the leading player in drinking milk products in Estonia in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 40%. Tere is the leading Estonian dairy producer and it has a presence in most dairy categories. Tere also offers products at a wide range of price points and in different packaging types, in order to meet the needs of wide variety of consumers. Valio Eesti and MAAG Piimatööstus are expected to rank second and third in drinking milk products in 2012, on respective retail value sales shares of 21% and 19%. Those two companies also offer a wide range of products. In Estonia, drinking milk production is concentrated amongst large farms and producers. At the beginning of the 1990s, after Estonian gained independence, small farms prevailed but such an approach gradually became unprofitable. This led small producers to join together to form larger companies.

PROSPECTS

  • Drinking milk products is expected to see a stagnation of retail volume sales over the forecast period, due to maturity. Consumers already purchase milk in the quantities they require and, as a result, only marginal retail volume sales growth is expected. Retail volume sales of milk already exceeded pre-crisis levels in 2011 and were expected to increase further in 2012. Furthermore, unlike other categories, milk did not see a decline in retail volume sales during the recession, as retail prices were dropped in an attempt to attract consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 152 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 153 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 154 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 155 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 156 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 157 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 158 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 159 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 160 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 161 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 162 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Frozen Processed Food in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Decent growth of frozen processed food is projected as this category is developing. Estonians appreciate the convenience, long shelf life and reasonable price of frozen processed food. Moreover, growth is also fuelled by the fact that the improvement of fresh meat or vegetables prices is somewhat more rapid than the increase of these frozen variations. This would make frozen processed food relatively more inexpensive. As the availability and quality of fresh vegetables during the winter time does not always satisfy consumers, frozen vegetables are perceived as a convenient replacement.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Premia Foods has significantly improved its lead within frozen processed food in Estonia. The company saw its value share grow by six percentage points in 2011 and will see another three percentage point increase to reach a 44% value share in 2012. Premia Foods has been rapidly expanding its product range under its popular brands – Premia, Maahärra and Bueno. The company’s frozen processed food products are available in several categories and in a wide price range. The company’s strategy has been to develop as large a coverage of the country’s frozen processed market as possible. This has resulted in more effective production and logistics. However, Premia Foods is not solely targeting the Estonian market but also other Baltic States, Scandinavia and a part of Russia.

PROSPECTS

  • Frozen processed food is expected to see development over the forecast period. Hence, the variety of products and therefore the consumption and thus retail volume and value sales will improve. Although frozen processed food will continually attract price-sensitive consumers due to relatively inexpensive prices, the popularity of high-quality products (such as frozen processed fish/seafood or exotic vegetables) will also improve. In addition, retail sales of frozen processed food will be favoured by the continuing health and wellness trend as the availability of fresh vegetables is seasonal in Estonia. Currently underdeveloped categories, such as frozen bakery are also expected to gain importance over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 18 Other Frozen Processed Food: Product Types
  • Table 163 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 164 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 165 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 166 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 167 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 168 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 169 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 172 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 173 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Gum in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Gum is expected to see retail volume and value sales growth of 2% and 7%, respectively, to reach 280 tonnes and EUR9 million in 2012. During early 2012, retail value sales growth was mainly driven by unit price increases, but this did not result in a decline in demand. Due to growing purchasing power, consumers were less sensitive to gum prices in 2012. Another supporting factor was that gum prices denominated in euro still appeared relatively cheap to Estonian consumers compared to prices in kroon.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Wrigley is expected to maintain its leading position in gun in Estonia in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 76%. The company has captured a very large retail value sales share in Estonia and enjoys strong consumer loyalty. Cadbury and Leaf Suomi are expected to remain the second and third leading players in 2012, on respective retail value sales shares of 6% and 4%. While Wrigley’s popular Orbit brand is favoured by the majority of Estonian consumers, the company also offers a wide range of other products, ranging from regular gum to special products for children like Orbit Kids.

PROSPECTS

  • Gum producers will launch premium brands in Estonia over the forecast period, which will serve to drive the average unit price upwards. Furthermore, the possibility exists that the price of products in the standard segment will also increase. No value-for-money gum products were available in Estonia at the end of the review period and it is not anticipated that this will change over the forecast period. Gum in Estonia is entirely dominated by international companies, which have little interest in selling lower-priced gum. Furthermore, the required investment in production lines is such that smaller companies are not interested in entering. Finally, Estonian doctors and dentists support gum, through recommending that their patients chew a sugar free gum after meals.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 174 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 175 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 176 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 177 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 178 Gum Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 179 Gum Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 180 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 184 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Ice Cream in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Unilever entered the Estonian ice cream market with its Algida brand in the second half of 2011. As expected, competitors did not embrace the new entrant but consumers responded well enough to ensure that Unilever gained a modest value share in 2011 and will post a higher share in 2012. The company has entered Baltic countries as a long-term project and in the future the company might provide strong competition to other players. The summer of 2012 was cooler compared to the summer of 2011 and ice cream retail volume sales did not manage to post significant growth. Value sales increased mostly due to increasing prices in 2012 and producers attributed the increased prices to rising commodities prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic company Premia Tallinna Külmhoone (Premia Foods) is expected to lead sales with a 40% value share in 2012. Premia Foods offers the widest range of different ice creams in Estonia and producers highly value the high quality of its products. Other big value shareholders are Balbiino and Ingman Foods, expected to post respective value sales shares of 25% and 19% in 2012 in Estonia. These two companies have managed to become successful due to monitoring the local market carefully and reacting very quickly to the changing market situation, active new product development and intensive advertising. Both companies also offer a wide range of products with several strong brands and numerous flavours. Also, Unilever Eesti entered the ice cream market in 2011 with its Algida brand and in 2012 the company is set to hold a 4% value share in Estonia. The Algida range of products is quite modest in Estonia compared to what is currently offered by other producers. Unilever introduced two brands, Big Milk and Magnum, in the single-portion category and Big Milk and Carte D’or brands in bulk dairy ice cream. These three brands offer quite a few flavours, but the selection is not comparable to that of local companies. However, marketing three brands is much more affordable and enables the company to hold these brands visible with much lower costs compared to the costs of promoting a large number of brands and in the long term this strategy might become successful. Algida’s moderate performance is also indicated by the fact that the company has been on the market for a very short time and consumers have not managed to become accustomed to the new brand and products.

PROSPECTS

  • New entrant Unilever Eesti is expected to gain value share over the forecast period but the tighter competition is increasing pressure on prices. Therefore, companies need to rethink their pricing policies in order to maintain volume sales. Producers in general are expected to turn more attention to their products’ healthy characteristics and they will also focus more on communicating these characteristics more clearly to consumers. Ice cream packaging sizes decreased over the review period and this trend is expected to end over the forecast period, because manufacturers do not have much more room for reducing the packaging size. The declining population of children and increase in the ageing population pose a threat to ice cream’s future sales, because children are prominent consumers of ice cream. However, the ageing population is a long-term trend and its impact on ice cream sales over the forecast period is expected to be very marginal.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 185 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 186 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 187 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 188 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 189 Ice Cream Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 190 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 191 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 195 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Meal Replacement in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Meal replacement is expected to see constant value sales growth of 2% to reach EUR30 thousand in 2012. In Estonia, meal replacement products are mostly used by people that have difficulties adhering to a healthy diet or those looking to lose weight. However, other than instances where meal replacement products are used for medical reasons, these products tend not to be considered as essential and demand is largely dependent on consumer purchasing power. As such, demand for meal replacement products tends to increase in line with living standards, in line with consumers placing more emphasis on healthy nutrition and dieting.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Over the review period, meal replacement in Estonia remained fragmented. Ortis Laboratoires and Pharma Nord are expected to remain the leading players in 2012, on respective retail value sales shares of 13% and 9%, with the remaining retail value sales share of 79% accounted for by others.

PROSPECTS

  • Meal replacement products is expected to remain a niche category in Estonia over the forecast period, with demand likely to remain limited to consumers with special needs. Healthy lifestyles are expected to become even more popular over the forecast period, with consumers more likely to choose to engage in sports and follow a healthy diet rather than turn to meal replacement products. However, living standards in Estonia are expected to rise over the forecast period and, as a result, it is likely that more consumers will become interested in meal replacement products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 196 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 197 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 198 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 199 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 200 Meal Replacement Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 201 Meal Replacement Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 202 Sales of Meal Replacement by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 203 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 204 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 205 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 206 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Noodles in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in retail volume sales of noodles in 2012 was down on 2011, and also slower than the CAGR for the entire review period. This slowdown was mainly due to increasing maturity, though demand was also restricted by substantial price hikes arising from inflationary pressures. Inflationary pressures such as rising production and raw material costs ensured that growth in noodles current value sales was up on the previous year. Current value sales were also bolstered as modest economic improvements encouraged some consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive brands, especially in plain noodles. However, growth in total current value sales in 2012 was still slower than the 5-year average. Again, this was mainly due to increasing maturity, but also reflected the fact that the review period CAGR was slightly skewed by very high inflation over 2007-2008.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Private label products accounted for 21% of noodles current value sales in 2012, a significantly higher share than any branded manufacturer. The main attraction of private label products is their low prices, though consistent improvements in quality standards have also strengthened their appeal in recent years. Private label products are strongest in instant noodles, though certain ranges also offer reasonably good quality plain noodles (eg Rimi). Selver and Rimi Eesti Food were among the most successful private label ranges within noodles during the review period. Monty & Totco was the leading branded manufacturer in 2012, claiming a value share of 11% with its Thai-Choice brand. Thai-Choice competes in instant and plain noodles, and has a reputation for offering high quality products at affordable prices. Technocom Corp, which offers the Mivina brand, was the second leading branded manufacturer in 2012 with a value share of 7%. Other prominent competitors included Santa Maria AB, RB Foods Oy, Nestlé SA, DHV-C ZAO and Unilever Group.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume and constant value growth rates for noodles over 2012-2017 are expected to be slower than the respective CAGRs recorded during the review period. This will be mainly due to increasing maturity, though the general perception that noodles are lacking in nutritional value (especially instant noodles) will also restrict demand as health awareness among Estonians continues to rise. Growing competition from pasta could also hamper the development of noodles. Nonetheless, the affordability and convenience of noodles will ensure that demand remains reasonably robust overall, particularly among key target consumer groups like students, builders and office workers with busy lifestyles.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 207 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 208 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 209 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 210 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 211 Noodles Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 212 Noodles Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 213 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 214 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 215 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 216 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 217 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Oils and Fats in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Oils and fats retail volume sales are expected to register a discreet 1% growth in 2012. Sales of consumer goods were increasing slowly in 2012 in Estonia, due to increasing consumer purchasing power. Consumers have been following health trends in oils and fats since 2011 and healthy oils and fats became increasingly popular during 2012. Home cooking is most popular amongst most of Estonians and eating out is the luxury that the consumers with higher income can allow themselves. The majority of Estonians eat breakfast and dinner at home and lunch is often eaten at work. Therefore, home cooking also boosts sales of oils and fats. While during the economic crisis consumers were forced to trade off from olive oils, in 2012 some consumers started to prefer this more healthy choice again.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Group is expected to maintain its leading position with a 12% retail value share in 2012. Raisio Nutrition is set to account for a 9% value share. Local producer Werol Tehased maintained its third position and is expected to post an 8% value share. The oils and fats market is rather fragmented in Estonia and only Unilever has a value share of over 10% of total sales. However, the latter two companies have managed to win shares in Estonia due to range of products that have been available for long time and some products have been on store stalls for almost two decades by now. Most of the companies did not invest a great deal into advertising in 2012 and were enjoying consumer loyalty. Consumers also favour the products of these three companies due to their good quality and reasonable pricing.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales of oils and fats are expected to increase at a modest 1% CAGR over the forecast period and constant value sales are expected to increase at a CAGR of 3%. Modest performance is expected as oils and fats per capita consumption is already quite high and the category can be considered as a mature one. Constant value sales are expected to increase somewhat faster than volume sales due to consumers trading up to more expensive products with better quality. Also Estonians’ health consciousness is also increasing and they are starting to opt for more natural, functional and fortified products, which usually cost more.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 218 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 219 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 220 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 221 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 222 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 223 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 224 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 225 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 226 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 227 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 228 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Other Dairy in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other dairy is the most innovation oriented category in dairy and many new products are launched every year. Other dairy saw retail value sales declines in 2009 and 2010, but a return to positive growth was seen in 2011, a trend that is expected to continue in 2012. Although retail value sales are expected to remain below pre-crisis levels in 2012, the category is expected to register strong growth rate within dairy in 2012.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tere is expected to maintain its position as the leading player in other dairy in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 30%. Tere has a presence in all dairy categories in Estonia and its products are known for their high quality to price ratio. Valio Eesti and MAAG Piimatööstus are expected to follow Tere, on respective retail value sales shares of 20% and 16%.

PROSPECTS

  • Other dairy products has good outlook compared to other dairy categories in Estonia, due to the great potential offered by new product development and innovation. Due to increasing consumer purchasing power, demand for other dairy products is expected to increase over the forecast period, a trend that is already ongoing. For example, consumers have started to purchase more fromage frais and quark and they are starting to use coffee whiteners again instead of milk. Furthermore, demand for cream is increasing rapidly, while chilled and shelf stable desserts offers producers a lot of opportunities for new product launches.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 229 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 230 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 231 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 232 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 233 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 236 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 237 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Pasta in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth of 2% in retail volume sales of pasta in 2012 was a major improvement on the decline of 1% recorded in 2011, as well as on the average decline of 2% for the entire review period. Similarly, growth in pasta current value sales was up slightly on 2011, and significantly stronger than the 5-year CAGR. This positive performance was mainly due to continued economic improvements in Estonia. Between 2009 and 2011, pasta showed consecutive declines in retail volume sales due to the economic crisis. The impact of the crisis on the category was worsened by a concurrent rise in raw material costs, as drought and other factors resulted in lower crop yields for domestic and regional wheat producers. This pushed retail prices for pasta upwards, as did Estonia’s adoption of the euro at the beginning of 2011. In 2012, however, retail volume sales returned to growth as a sustained economic recovery strengthened consumer confidence and caused disposable incomes to rise. These trends bolstered pasta consumption in general, and also encouraged some consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive brands. Retail volume and current value sales growth was also driven by new launches and marketing activities.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Amber Pasta maintained its commanding lead in pasta in 2012, claiming a value share of 25% with its Manni brand. Manni is widely distributed in modern and traditional retail channels, and is perceived as offering good quality at affordable prices. Raisio Nutrition Ltd, which offers the Torino brand, finished second overall with a value share of 14%, while Industria Agricola Carredana SA de CV ranked third with a 9% share thanks to its Panzani brand. Other prominent branded manufacturers included Adriana Výrobce Tìstovin sro, Italpasta SpA and Barilla Alimentare SpA. Private label products were also strong in pasta, most notably Rainbow by Inex Partners Oy, % by Rimi Eesti Food AS, Optima Linija by MAXIMA Eesti OÜ and Selver by A-Selver Ltd. Together, these four private label ranges accounted for 17% of total pasta current value sales in 2012.

PROSPECTS

  • Economic improvements in Estonia should ensure that pasta performs significantly better in retail volume and constant value growth terms over 2012-2017 than it did during the review period. The development of the category will also be strengthened by new launches (particularly of healthier and higher quality products), marketing activities and increasing price competition. In particular, the growing participation of smaller domestic companies like Teraviljatoode in the category should help to improve distribution of healthier pasta products, as well as good quality standard and economy brands that offer better value for money than imported alternatives. At the same time, the increasing willingness of Estonians to experiment with different cooking styles and foreign dishes should also impact positively on demand for pasta.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 238 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 239 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 240 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 241 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 242 Pasta Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 243 Pasta Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 244 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 247 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 248 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Ready Meals in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ready meals experienced remarkable development in 2011 and further improvement is seen in 2012 as well. As the economic condition and Estonians’ disposable incomes have improved, the relative value of (free) time has increased. Hence, the short time and ease of preparing meals has become more attractive and the popularity of ready meals has increased. Companies have been widely expanding their product ranges. In addition, the fact that price sensitivity prevents Estonians from purchasing ready meals via home delivery has a positive impact on sales of ready meals via retailing outlets.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Saarioinen Eesti is the leading ready meals provider in Estonia, accounting for a 41% retail value share in 2011 and expected to post the same share in 2012. The company has been rapidly expanding its product range under its Mamma brand and has introduced ready meals in various types. Moreover, its products are reasonably priced and gain a relatively strong promotion through various channels – television, internet and printed media.

PROSPECTS

  • Ready meals is projected to experience relatively high growth in retail sales over the following years as this area has room for further expansion. Domestic companies (especially Saarioinen Eesti) are expected to continually develop new products which will prompt Estonians to purchase ready meals rather than cook these on their own. Moreover, companies can exploit the popularity of the health and wellness trend as packaged ready meals are perceived to be healthier than snacks or fast food. Ready meals will also please the parents whose children need to prepare meals on their own but have no cooking skills.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 249 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 250 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 251 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 252 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 253 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2012
  • Table 254 Ready Meals Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 255 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 256 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 258 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 259 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 260 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in retail volume sales of sauces, dressings and condiments in 2012 was down slightly on 2011, and also slower than the CAGR for the entire review period. Conversely, growth in current value sales was faster than that recorded the previous year, and surpassed the review period average. The slowdown in retail volume growth was mainly due to increasing maturity, but it is also likely that price increases driven by inflationary pressures and the adoption of the euro in Estonia dampened demand slightly, particularly with so many consumers still feeling the effects of the economic crisis. Nonetheless, together with the ongoing economic recovery, new launches, marketing activities and growing competition between domestic companies offering more affordable products ensured that most categories continued to show reasonably robust growth in retail volume terms. Price increases were also a key factor behind the improvement in current value sales growth in 2012. At the same time, current value sales were bolstered as more favourable economic conditions encouraged some consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive products, including healthier variants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Põltsamaa Felix retained its overall lead in sauces, dressings and condiments in 2012 with a value share of 14%. This company offers a wide assortment of products under its Felix range, which covers several categories. It also invests continually in developing new products and supporting its established brands via mass media advertising campaigns and in-store promotions. Moreover, as a domestic company, Põltsamaa Felix has a price advantage over foreign competitors in many of the categories where it is present, as well as superior knowledge of what kinds of products and flavours are most likely to appeal to Estonian consumers. Multinational giant HJ Heinz Co ranked second overall in 2012, claiming a value share of just over 9% with its eponymous brand. Other prominent competitors in sauces, dressings and condiments included Santa Maria, Unilever, Tarplani Kaubanduse OÜ, Salvest AS and Maadlex OÜ.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth in retail volume sales of sauces, dressings and condiments over the forecast period is expected to be slower than recorded over 2007-2012, mainly due to increasing maturity. Conversely, constant value sales are expected to grow strongly after having declined slightly over the review period as a whole. The turnaround in constant value sales growth will be partly due to inflationary pressures, but will also be driven by consumers trading up to higher quality and more expensive products as Estonia’s economic recovery continues. Economic improvements should also ensure that retail volume growth remains reasonably robust in most product categories. Growth in retail volume and constant value sales will also be driven by new launches, particularly of higher quality and healthier products, as well as by sustained investment in marketing activities by leading companies. The growing interest of Estonian consumers in different cooking styles and foreign cuisine will also impact positively on the general demand for sauces, dressings and condiments.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 261 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 262 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 263 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 264 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 265 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 266 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 267 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 269 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 270 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 271 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 19 Other Sauces, Dressing and Condiments: Product Types 2012

Snack Bars in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Modest placements of snack bars on store shelves, lack of advertising and high prices are the main reasons why snack bars remains a niche category in Estonia and it suffers from the lack of consumers’ interest. However, snack bars offer very healthy choices and if consumer purchasing power registers additional growth and health trends become even more popular, consumers might start to consume more snack bars. Many gyms and sporting centres have also started to advertise and suggest eating energy and nutrition bars in Estonia, because it is important for people with active lifestyles to supply their bodies with nutrition and if they do not have enough time to go to lunch, then a snack bar is considered as a good alternative.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Set to account for 38% of snack bars value sales in 2012, Cereal Partners Worldwide remains the most popular company. Kellogg is set to follow with 22% of retail value sales and maintain its second position. Usovsko will account for a 12% value share. Cereal Partners Worldwide managed to lead sales with a large share due to strong brands in breakfast cereals such as Nestlé, Nesquik and Hocapic, which are also advertised in several media channels in breakfast cereals. Kellogg also offers several breakfast bars in Estonia; the most popular ones are Kellogg’s Special K, Coco Pops and Frosties.

PROSPECTS

  • Snack bars are expected to become more popular over the forecast period if consumers get more used to them and their purchasing power will allow them to buy these products more freely. Breakfast bars and granola/muesli bars are expected to become the most popular. Breakfast bars and granola/muesli bars are each expected to record volume CAGRs of 3% and constant value CAGRs of 4% over the review period. Snack bars might record very strong growth rates if these products become popular and find their place in the everyday diet of consumers with hurried lifestyles.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 20 Other Snack Bars: Product Types
  • Table 272 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 273 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 274 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 275 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 276 Snack Bars Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 277 Snack Bars Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 278 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 282 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Soup in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in soup retail volume sales in 2012 was down on 2011, and also slower than the review period CAGR. This was mainly due to increasing maturity, though price hikes resulting from the rising cost of raw materials (especially meat) also slowed demand in the category. Conversely, price hikes ensured that growth in soup current value sales surpassed growth in 2011 and the 5-year average. Current value sales were also bolstered as rising disposable incomes encouraged consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic company Salvest maintained a commanding lead in soup in 2012, claiming a value sales share of 42%. Present in Estonia for decades, Salvest offers a wide variety of canned/preserved soup products and other product types under its eponymous brand. Aside from a strong reputation for producing good quality, convenient and reasonably priced products that appeal to traditional Estonian tastes, the company’s sizeable lead in 2012 was also attributable to an extensive distribution network that covers modern and traditional retail channels, as well as sustained investment in marketing activities. Fellow local company Põltsamaa Felix ranked second overall, claiming a value share of 11% with its Felix range. Other prominent competitors in soup included Nestlé, Agrolimen, Unilever and Inex Partners.

PROSPECTS

  • Increasingly busy lifestyles and the growing desire for convenience among Estonian consumers will help to sustain robust demand in the soup category over the forecast period. At the same time, the category will continue to benefit from rising health awareness, as soup is widely perceived as a healthier choice than other types of meal solutions. New launches, marketing activities and improvements in the distribution of emerging product types will also impact positively on the development of soup as a whole. Due to increasing maturity, however, retail volume sales growth is expected to be slower than that recorded over 2007-2012. Growth in total constant value sales meanwhile is expected to surpass the review period CAGR. This will be partly due to price hikes arising from inflationary pressures. Constant value growth will also be bolstered as economic improvements encourage some consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive products, particularly health and wellness variants.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 283 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 284 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 285 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 286 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 287 Soup Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 288 Soup Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 289 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 290 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Spreads in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume and value sales of spreads increased somewhat in 2012 as consumers started to buy more jams and preserves from stores instead of preparing them at home. Due to the fast pace of life many consumers do not have enough time to deal with cooking jams and preserves in autumn and Estonians’ economic situation has also improved enough to increase spending on spreads. Therefore, volume sales are set to post a 1% increase and current value sales a 5% increase in 2012. Value sales growth was faster due to increasing consumer purchasing power, which allowed them to purchase spreads more freely during 2012. Most of the domestic jams available on the market do not contain any preservatives and they are able to offer strong competition to international brands and also to home-made jams and preserves.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Salvest is set to maintain its leading position with 24% of value sales in 2012. Consumers highly value Salvest products because the company offers a very wide range of flavours for its jams, all of its products are preservative free and the company uses local raw material in production as much as possible. The company sells its jams under Meie Mari brand in Estonia. Põltsamaa Felix will follow, posting a 12% value share, and its products are the second most popular amongst Estonian consumers in jams and preserves. Põltsamaa Felix sells its jams under Põltsamaa brand, which is favoured by consumers and familiar to consumers from many other packaged food and beverages categories as well, including even wines. Both of these companies have managed to create a product series of jams which is in line with Estonian taste preferences and this is the main reason behind their success.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumers are expected to buy more industrial spreads over the forecast period due to the fast pace of life and the constantly improving quality and taste of industrial spreads. Also honey consumption is expected to increase due to the increase in purchasing power. Industry sources have indicated that no major movements are expected in spreads in Estonia and spreads is expected to remain a steady market over the forecast period. Due to those major trends, retail constant value sales of spreads are expected to reach €14 million in 2017 in Estonia.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 294 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 295 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 296 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 297 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 298 Spreads Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 299 Spreads Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 300 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 301 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 302 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 303 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 304 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Sugar Confectionery in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • A part of Estonian consumers remained price sensitive and cautious in their spending on chocolate confectionery in 2012, therefore they spent more freely on sugar confectionery, which is more affordable. This resulted in sugar confectionery seeing positive retail volume and value sales growth in 2012. Although Estonian economy was in recovery and purchasing power increased in 2012, not all consumers traded up to more expensive chocolate confectionery. However, when comparing sugar confectionery and chocolate confectionery, then the latter saw more dynamic retail volume and value sales growth in 2012 thanks for price improvements and wealthy consumers purchasing more chocolate confectionery in volume terms.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Competition in sugar confectionery in Estonia remained very intense over the review period. Kalev is expected to strengthen its leading position in 2012, recording a one percentage point gain in retail value sales share to 13%. Leaf Suomi and Haribo follow with 10% and 9% value shares. August Storck is expected to rank fourth with 9% value sales share. Cloetta Fazer is expected to remain in fifth position in 2012, on an unchanged retail value sales share of 8%. Kalev’s most important competitive advantage is its strong reputation and in-depth knowledge of local consumers. Over the review period, Kalev actively supported its products with strong marketing efforts and this strategy proved to be successful for the company. While the product assortments offered by Leaf Suomi and August Storck were smaller than that of Kalev, they continuously advertised their brands, which enabled them to this secure strong positions in sugar confectionery in Estonia.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, sugar confectionery is likely to face a challenge from consumers trading up to chocolate confectionery, which is mostly considered to be a more favourable and healthy choice. Nonetheless, producers are likely to continue launching strategic new products, similar to the Angry Birds branded sugar confectionery introduced towards the end of the review period, which offers added value for consumers. Confectionery as a whole is expected to see positive retail volume sales growth over the forecast period, with sugar confectionery predicted to do likewise.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 21 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types
  • Table 305 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 306 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 307 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 308 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 309 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 310 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 311 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 312 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 313 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 314 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 315 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 316 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in retail volume sales of sweet and savoury snacks in 2012 was down marginally on 2011, and also slower than the CAGR for the entire review period. This was mainly due to increasing maturity, though it is also likely that rising health awareness dampened demand for certain product types. Retail volume growth was also restricted as prices continued to increase in line with rising raw costs. This latter trend ensured that growth in total current value sales was up slightly on 2011, however, and also faster than the 5-year CAGR. Current value sales growth was also boosted as economic improvements encouraged some consumers to trade up to higher quality and more expensive products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • PepsiCo maintained its strong lead in sweet and savoury snacks in 2012 with a value share of 26%. This was mainly due to the enduring popularity of its Lay’s and Cheetos brands, which have been present in Estonia for many years. The company’s leadership also reflected continuous investment in new product developments and high profile marketing activities. Balsnack International Holding AS finished second overall, claiming a value share of 16% with a broad portfolio that includes brands such as Piraat, Kartulivahvel, Küüslaugu Leib and Vigur. As a domestic producer, Balsnack not only has a price advantage over most of its international competitors, but is also better attuned to the traditional tastes and preferences of Estonian consumers. Other prominent companies in sweet and savoury snacks in 2012 included UAB Estrella Baltics, Procter & Gamble Co, Mogyi Kft and Germund Kaup OÜ.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth in retail volume sales of sweet and savoury snacks over the forecast period is expected to be slower than that recorded over 2007-2012. This will be partly due to increasing maturity, though rising health awareness among consumers will also restrict demand for certain product types. Retail volume sales growth will also be hampered as competition from other packaged food categories with a similar positioning intensifies and prices continue to increase in line with rising production and raw material costs. However, this latter trend will ensure that growth in total constant value sales surpasses that witnessed during the review period. Constant value growth will be further bolstered as economic improvements encourage trading up to higher quality and more expensive products in some categories.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 317 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 318 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 319 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 320 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 321 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 322 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 323 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 324 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 325 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 326 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 327 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 328 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 22 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types 2012

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Functional products became increasingly popular in yoghurt and sour milk products in Estonia in 2012. Pro/pre biotic drinking yoghurt and flavoured spoonable yoghurt were the two main subcategories that generated significant growth seen by yoghurt and sour milk products in 2012. As such, a clear trading up trend was seen in yoghurt and sour milk products, as plain spoonable yoghurt saw a decline in retail volume sales. While consumer purchasing power started to rise in 2011, consumers remained cautious in 2012, which resulted in yoghurt and sour milk seeing only marginal retail volume sales growth in 2012.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Estonian dairy giant Tere is expected to continue as the leading player in yoghurt and sour milk products in 2012, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 31%. Tere offers a wide range of yoghurt and sour milk products with numerous flavours, which ensures very good sales for the company in Estonia. Valio Eesti, Danone and MAAG Piimatööstus are expected to follow Tere, on respective retail value sales shares of 18%, 16% and 6%.

PROSPECTS

  • Demand for yoghurt and sour milk products is expected to grow over the forecast period, with drinking yoghurt and spoonable yoghurt expected to see retail volume sales growth of 10% and 7%, respectively. The Estonian dairy industry experienced very difficult times over the review period, but there are now reasons for optimism. The Estonian economy is expected to record steady growth over the forecast period and consumer purchasing power is predicted to rise. This will see consumers become less price-sensitive and spend more freely.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 329 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 330 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 331 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 332 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 333 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt: % Value Breakdown 2012
  • Table 334 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 335 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 336 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 337 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 338 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 339 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 340 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Baby Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Cow's Milk
            • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Long-Life/UHT Milk
              • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
              • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
              • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
          • Goat Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Drinks
          • Soy Milk
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products
        • Sour Milk Products
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut and Seed Based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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