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Country Report

Packaged Food in Kenya

Feb 2012

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Regional integration boosts trade in East Africa

The five states of Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi integrated into a US$10 billion common regional trading bloc and customs union on 1 July 2010. Kenya is the dominant economy in the trading bloc and has thus always been noted as the biggest trading partner in East Africa and the main attraction for international investors, who see it as a springboard into the rest of the region, by virtue of its size and strategic positioning. This presents numerous opportunities for investors to participate in the wider trading bloc.

Changing consumer lifestyles fed by rising middle class

Consumers’ lifestyles are changing and people are adopting a more social, outgoing lifestyle. Many more people eat out than ever before, as a direct result of their newfound affluence. It is also evident that the middle class is growing at a rapid pace and more Kenyans are aspiring to more comfortable and affluent lifestyles. The significance of this trend, particularly to the consumers, is that they now have more options in terms of what they can or want to consume. It also means that they are more willing to spend more on any given purchase and are becoming less and less price conscious.

Growth of retail boosting the sector

Retail has become big business in Kenya. A number of previously small operators have grown to become massive retail chains. This new development has sparked a growth in consumption of packaged food, as this is probably the biggest single category of products sold in the retail outlets, mainly supermarkets and hypermarkets. Consumers are consuming more, and shifting their purchases from the smaller outlets to the big retail chains. For instance, bread, which was typically purchased in small roadside kiosks, is now purchased in bigger volume from supermarkets. This trend is set to grow in the forecast period, and more and more chains are likely to emerge. Consumers will continue to purchase from these stores, and except amongst the urban poor, consumption is likely to be channeled through this avenue.

High fuel and production costs threaten to curtail growth in value sales

The current high inflation rate that has taken root in the Kenyan economy has brought with it increased fuel and production costs that have affected all the major industries. The Kenyan shilling having dropped in value vis-à-vis the US dollar has made the cost of fuel, and hence energy and transportation as well as importation costs, much higher, compelling manufacturers and other producers to incur higher production costs, most of which are passed on to the consumer. Players in consumer health have so far absorbed the inflationary pressure for the sake of the consumer, but come January 2012, if this situation is not reversed, the price of consumer health products will have to rise. This will in turn have a negative effect on sales.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Packaged Food in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Regional integration boosts trade in East Africa

Changing consumer lifestyles fed by rising middle class

Growth of retail boosting the sector

High fuel and production costs threaten to curtail growth in value sales

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Kenya - Company Profiles

Bidco Oil Refineries Ltd in Packaged Food (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Bidco Oil Refineries: Competitive Position 2010

Brookside Dairy Ltd in Packaged Food (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Brookside Dairy Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Kenchic Ltd in Packaged Food (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Kenchic Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Vital Camel Milk Ltd in Packaged Food (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Baby Food in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baby food has been boosted immensely by a recent baby boom, with several thousand children being born between 2010 and 2011. Official statistics estimate that over half the Kenyan population is under the age of 18, and with infant mortality dropping and better access to healthcare, that figure is likely to rise even higher over the forecast period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading brands in baby food include products from Nestlé Foods Kenya Ltd and Tiger Brands Ltd. Other players are Proctor and Allan E A Ltd,

PROSPECTS

  • The government will continue to encourage exclusive breastfeeding for the first six months. This means that baby food is likely to be affected since more and more mothers will wait until then to start offering their babies other foods.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 53 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The category was affected by rising prices at the end of the review period due to economic pressure, inflation and a weakening Kenyan shilling. Prices of inputs increased by as much as 50% from 2010 due to these factors, and this had a detrimental effect on the category. However, demand for products is still on the rise, and as such the category continued to register growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The category is dominated by local players. Significant marketing presence is felt by DPL Festive, with its Festive Bread brand, as well as the Elliot’s and Super Loaf brands. In terms of presence, these are the key brands in the category.

PROSPECTS

  • The economy is expected to take a beating over the next couple of years. Rising inflation and high costs of fuel and electricity are expected to take centre-stage in this new dispensation. Also, a depreciating local currency will affect imports of ingredients used in production and slow down the recovery process. However, demand will continue to rise as the middle class continues to grow, despite all the economic pressure, and the category should register growth in the coming years, with a 2% constant value CAGR.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 60 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • An increasing health focus has moved demand away from biscuits, which are perceived as unhealthy products. An increasing number of people are moving towards healthier snacks such as dried fruit or cereals.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The category is dominated by local player Global Allied Industries Ltd with a 12% share in 2010. The company has invested heavily in marketing for its House of Manji biscuits, and the same was noticed by competitor Britannia Industries Ltd with the Britannia brand. In terms of presence, these are the most popular and widespread brands.

PROSPECTS

  • The category is expected to see a strong rebound with the economic recovery. Strong growth is expected over the forecast period. This, coupled with a strong competitive push from newly re-launched brands as well as the resultant backlash from more established competitors, will bolster the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 72 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 77 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 78 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2011 was lower than in previous years and volume was down 1%, primarily because the economy was still in recovery mode from a tough year. In addition, rising fuel costs driven by crises in the Middle East and North Africa fuel-producing nations made business conditions even harder.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Breakfast Cereal Company (Kenya) Ltd with its Weetabix brand led sales of breakfast cereals at the end of the review period with 37% value share in 2010. The company has a strong brand name and presence, and a relatively longstanding presence. It is also perceived as a premium brand with slightly higher quality than locally-produced alternatives.

PROSPECTS

  • The category is set to be affected over the forecast period by expected adverse economic conditions. The rising cost of production brought on by a weakening Kenyan shilling, high costs of fuel and double-digit inflation will dampen imports, as well as hamper local production in the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 83 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 88 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 89 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, demand for products in canned/preserved food continued to increase. However, there was also an increase in demand for fresh produce as opposed to canned/preserved produce due to improved access to fresh produce in retail outlets. Nevertheless this had a limited impact on retail volume growth as it was mainly among high-income consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading player in canned/preserved food in 2010 was Princess Tuna Ltd, a domestic manufacturer, with a retail value share of 17%. Its Princess brand was the leading brand in 2010, products under which are highly regarded by Kenyan consumers for their quality and value-for-money positioning.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food is expected to grow by a retail volume CAGR of 6% over the forecast period due to continued increases in the base of middle-income consumers in Kenya and continued demand among high-income consumers. Also, the economy is expected to further recover from the global economic crisis that occurred over 2008 and 2009 and to thus perform well.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 94 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 98 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 99 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 100 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 101 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cheese in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cheese, as a product that is closely related to the billion shilling milk sector, is very much affected by economic fluctuations. Further, as a largely luxury product for the upper middle to upper classes of the economy, this product is not consumed regularly, and any fluctuations in the economy mean people stop consuming it.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading cheese companies are New Kenya Co-operative Creameries Ltd (28% value share) and Sunpower Products Ltd (18% value share). They produce KCC Processed Cheddar Cheese and Brown’s respectively. Gebrüder Woerle GesmbH is ranked third with second positioned brand Happy Cow.

PROSPECTS

  • Cheese will make a strong recovery with the rebounding economy, and is predicted to display a 1% constant value CAGR compared to the -2% CAGR of the review period. As the economy recovers from the post-election turbulent period, we are likely to see growth compared to the past few years. As the economy is boosted by the East African Community free trade area and the increased penetration of modern supermarkets in the country, who offer a wider choice of cheese than independent small grocers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 105 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 106 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 111 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 112 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 113 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 116 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumption patterns in Kenya for chilled processed food did not see major change in 2011, resulting in similar volume growth as in the review period. The only significant sub-sector is chilled meat, whilst other types such as fish/seafood cannot compete with other formats such as canned products. The products target mainly the upper income consumers as cured meat is a fairly new and western type of food.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic company Farmers Choice Ltd continued to lead in chilled processed food in 2010, accounting for a dominant retail value share of 50%. The company has a long-standing position in Kenya and it is well established in chilled processed food. Its strong position is also due to the quality of its products, which is perceived to be higher than that of competing products among consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Demand for chilled processed food is expected to continue to increase over the forecast period as a result of which the category is expected to grow by a retail volume CAGR of 4%. Demand is expected to be driven by changing tastes among consumers and increases in their level of disposable income as a result of which products in chilled processed food will become more affordable. In addition, increased availability in retail outlets as a result of improved refrigeration facilities is expected to help to boost the visibility of these products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 117 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 120 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 122 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 123 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 124 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chocolate Confectionery in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value growth was slower in 2011 compared with the period average due to the sharp increase in distribution costs as a result of high fuel prices. The weaker Kenyan shilling also contributed to higher import costs for key raw materials such as cocoa. Furthermore, inflation reduced consumers’ purchasing power and sales were negatively impacted by higher unit prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury was the largest chocolate company in 2010 with key brands Fudge, Mint Choc and Dairy Milk. These brands have a low selling price (especially Fudge and Mint Choc) while offering quality (Dairy Milk is slightly more expensive and seen as a luxury product).

PROSPECTS

  • Sales forecasts are set improve with a 2% constant value CAGR predicted for the forecast period. This is likely to be due to further product innovations that will appeal middle-class urban consumers. Moreover, as cheap imports become more available in retail outlets, unit prices will remain fairly stable, thus increasing demand.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 128 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 129 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 130 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 134 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 135 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume growth in 2011 was in line with the previous year at 3%, although it was down 2 percentage point on the review period performance. This is due to the already large penetration of rice as a staple food in Kenya and the fact that growth is tied to population growth. Moreover, the low penetration of dessert mixes meant it had little impact on the overall sector’s growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading companies in dried processed food in 2010 were CP Intertrade Co Ltd and AFN Enterprises with retail value shares of 15% and of 14% respectively. The category comprises of a mix of both local and international brands but the strongest brands are imported brands. Nevertheless, domestic brands such as Tastic Rice, Pearl Pishori Rice and Basmati Rice have also performed well.

PROSPECTS

  • Rice is expected to remain a staple part of Kenyan cuisine over the forecast period, which is expected to help to support the retail volume growth of dried processed food. However, if unit prices in rice increase over the forecast period substitute products such as ugali will continue to gain in prominence, especially if they are more affordable and locally produced. Ugali is a national staple and it is largely supplemented with rice among high-income consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 140 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 141 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 142 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 144 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 145 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 146 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 147 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 148 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Drinking milk products witnessed dampening supply, caused by drought conditions in the country. The further weakening of the shilling, as well as overall inflation in the economy are factors that also impacted the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading brands in drinking milk products are Gold Crown and KCC. Newer brands in the long-life milk category include Daima Milk, Fresha milk from Githunguri Dairies and Molo Milk from Buzeki Dairies.

PROSPECTS

  • Drinking milk products will make a strong rebound with the improving economy and strong growth is expected over the forecast period with a 4% constant value CAGR. This coupled with a strong competitive push from newly re-launched brands as well as the resultant backlash from more established competitors will bolster the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 151 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 152 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 153 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 154 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 155 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 156 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 157 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 158 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 159 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 160 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 161 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail volume in 2011 was down nearly 1 percentage point as consumers traded down for cheaper food items such as canned/food which are cheaper. In reaction, retailers and manufacturers significantly slashed prices in order to regain consumers but this had no impact on volume sales amid shrinking consumer’s confidence. As a result value sales decreased by 1% in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Frozen processed food is dominated by local producers. The leading domestic companies in 2010 were Farmers Choice Ltd, Kenchic Ltd, Zuri Kenya and Njoro Canning Factory Ltd, all of which offer products under their own brands.

PROSPECTS

  • In terms of constant retail value growth, frozen processed food is expected to grow by a CAGR of -6% over the forecast period as production costs and prices are squeezed as a result of increasing competition. The introduction of new products from the re-established Kenya Meat Commission is expected to pose a threat to the leading players, in particular Farmers Choice Ltd, and to lead to a price war.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 162 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 163 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 164 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 165 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 166 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 167 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 168 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 172 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Gum in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The category was affected by increasing production costs in 2011. The cost of sugar doubled from the previous year, and this affected production in the category. Furthermore, increasing electricity and fuel costs also had a negative impact on manufacturers’ margins.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The category is dominated by The Wrigley Company (East Africa) Ltd, which accounted for over 80% of value sales in 2010. Its brands cut across the sugarised and sugar-free gum categories. It has a wide distribution network across the country, and several brands on offer, which underpins its dominance.

PROSPECTS

  • The expected rise in production costs and subsequent price increases will erode consumers’ disposable incomes in coming years. This will make things even more expensive for ordinary Kenyans, especially items that are generally considered luxuries, such as gum.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 173 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 174 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 177 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 178 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 179 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 180 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ice cream witnessed relatively consistent growth rates over 2011, with no major fluctuations or campaigns. There was a trend towards healthier living, which to a minor extent affected the category, as ice cream is perceived to be an “unhealthy” product.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading company in 2010 was Glacier Products with 37% value share with Dairyland and Choc Stick being its most successful brands. It was followed by Nestlé Foods Kenya Ltd with its popular Dairymaid product.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales are expected to rise due to the increased size of the middle class, which is the driver of growth in any economy. In addition, the overall economy is expected to bounce back from the crisis of 2008 and 2009, to register stellar growth rates. Already, key economic sectors like tourism and tea are indicating that 2011 will be their best year yet.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 184 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 185 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 186 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 187 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 188 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 189 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 190 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 191 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in Kenya - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Meal replacement products are negligible in Kenya, concerning only a small proportion of upper-income, Westernised consumers and Western foreigners.

Noodles in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in the number of Chinese immigrants in Kenya due to major infrastructure and construction projects in the country has helped to support retail volume sales of noodles, despite the negative effects of the global economic downturn, as the majority of these consumers consume products in noodles.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Noodles is highly fragmented and it is led by foreign importers, largely from the Far East. Esko & Co Ltd was the leading player in noodles in 2010 due to strong recognition among consumers of its138 Noodles and Instant Noodles brands, and its long-standing presence in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • The immigrant Chinese community in Kenya is expected to continue to increase over the forecast period and to further support retail volume sales of noodles. In addition, due to their increasingly hectic lifestyles, more consumers are expected to opt for products in noodles as a convenient meal option.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 195 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 196 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 197 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 198 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 199 Noodles Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 200 Noodles Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 201 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 202 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 203 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 204 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 205 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Oils and Fats in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tough prevailing economic situation placed a strain on the prices of oils and fats. Prices almost doubled from 2010, primarily due to the weak shilling and the high cost of inputs into the category. It has become very expensive for many manufacturers to operate and they in turn pass that cost over to the consumer.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading companies in oils and fats in 2010 were Bidco Oil Refinery Ltd Kenya, Kapa Oil Refineries Ltd Kenya and Unilever Kenya Ltd respectively. Bidco is the largest consumer oil manufacturing operation in East Africa, and it owns some of the most prolific and popular brands in the category including Ufuta, Kimbo, and Elianto. Within margarine, the biggest player is Unilever, with its Blue Band brand, but faces growing competition from emerging Gold Band from Bidco and Prestige from Kapa Oil.

PROSPECTS

  • Oils and fats will experience a continual increase in prices due to prevailing economic conditions. This will be mitigated by the high cost of production which will hamper demand high cost of fuel and the precarious condition of the Kenya Shilling all conspire to make it very expensive to operate in the category. Manufacturers will, naturally, pass on all these costs to the consumer.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 206 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 207 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 208 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 209 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 210 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 211 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 212 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 213 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 214 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 215 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 216 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The economy went through a turbulent period in 2011 due to the weakening Kenya shilling and the skyrocketing cost of living and inflation. 2012 is an election year, and predictions are that the economy could take a further hit from this situation. As such, the performance of the sector over the past few years has been waning since the majority is imported.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Foods Kenya Ltd led other dairy with 44% value share, with Brookside Dairy Ltd and Eldoville Farm ranking second and third. The category has several local producers such as Brookside Dairy Ltd but is led by the local set up of a major multinational.

PROSPECTS

  • Other dairy is predicted to see strong growth with a constant value CAGR of 6% which is a good improvement on the review period constant value CAGR of -4%. This coupled with a strong competitive push from newly re-launched brands as well as the resultant lash back from more established competitors will bolster the sector. Also, strong demand arising from a growing middle class will impact on this. Though imports play a role in the sector, the expected further weakening of the Kenya shilling in 2012 due to the usual political turbulence in an election year means that importers will have high costs which they will pass on to consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 217 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 218 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 219 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 220 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 221 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 222 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 225 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pasta registered retail value growth of 5% in 2011 as a result of increases in unit prices. Due to weakening of the domestic currency, the cost of imported products increased. In addition, the rate of inflation remained high in Kenya.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading companies in pasta are all foreign companies. The leading player in 2010 was PIA Ltd with a retail value share of 13%.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, there is expected to be development in terms of new products in pasta, with the introduction of products in other categories such as canned/preserved pasta and chilled/fresh pasta. There is also expected to be the introduction of products in different flavour variants for example pasta with cheese and spicy pasta.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 226 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 227 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 230 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 231 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 232 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 233 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 236 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ready meals has benefited highly from the growing base and increasingly hectic lifestyles of middle-income consumers in Kenya, with an increasing number of these consumers opting for products in ready meals in order to avoid the inconvenience of home cooking. This is particularly true for young working professionals who do not have the time or inclination to prepare meals at home. Nevertheless, the vast majority of Kenyan consumers continued to prefer to prepare food at home in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kabazi Canners Ltd was the leading player in ready meals with a retail value share of 31% in 2010 due to its well-known Kenylon brand, products under which are perceived as being of better quality than those under similar competing brands among consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The economic conditions present in Kenya towards the end of the review period are expected to prevail over the forecast period, meaning that current retail value growth is expected to continue to slowdown over the forecast period as unit prices are pushed down by decreasing production costs and fierce competition between manufacturers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 237 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 238 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 239 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 241 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 242 Ready Meals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 243 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 244 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 247 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 248 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Demand for stock cubes and powders continued to increase in 2011 due to aggressive marketing of products in this category. Also demand for herbs and spices increased in 2011 with the introduction of new products and the entrance of new players. There was strong emphasis on healthy living and healthy eating habits based on consumption of herbs and spices in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever Kenya Ltd, with its wide variety of products, was the leading player in sauces, dressings and condiments in 2010. The company accounted for a retail value share of 13% due to its well known brands, which are widely recognised among consumers, and its intense and aggressive marketing strategy.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume growth will be flat in the forecast period as demand will reach a plateau due to maturity of the sector and lack of significant product innovation. The growing tendency among upper income consumers to use ready meals will also increasingly compete with sauces, dressings and condiments. In constant value terms however, the category will see positive growth as manufacturers offer more varieties at different price points in order to better satisfy different consumer groups.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 249 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 250 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 251 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 252 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 253 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 254 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 255 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 256 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 258 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 259 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Snack Bars in Kenya - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • There is no demand for snack bars in Kenya as awareness is limited and a consumer base who can afford such products remains under-represented in the country.

Soup in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Even though products in soup are perceived to be healthy, most consumers choose to consume homemade soup, which is prepared by boiling bones to extract bone marrow and then adding other ingredients. Thus, in challenging economic times, products in soup are among the first products to be removed from the shopping list of consumers, as they opt for homemade soup. Therefore the continued negative effects of the global economic downturn led to decreased demand for soup in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading player in soup in 2010 was Unilever Group, with its Knorr brand, followed by Monty & Totco Co Ltd with its Thai brand, Kabazi Canners Ltd with Kenylon and HJ Heinz Co with Heinz. The leading brands have been present for quite a long time with little competition, hence their strong position. Unilever Group leads in soup due to the wide array of flavour variants that it offers. It is also the longest standing company in soup in Kenya.

PROSPECTS

  • The economic conditions in Kenya at the end of the review period are expected to prevail over the first half of the forecast period, meaning that the cost of production and importation of products in soup is expected to increase. This will force middle-income consumers to trade down to more affordable products while low-income consumers seek alternative products such as homemade soup. Therefore, soup is expected to grow by a retail volume CAGR of -1% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 260 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 261 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 262 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 263 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 264 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 265 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 266 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 267 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 269 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 270 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The impact of drought and adverse economic growth led to rising operational costs. This coupled with the recent soaring fuel prices and rising cost of electricity caused inflationary pressure. This resulted in increased prices across the board, as the cost of living rose, eroding consumers’ purchasing power.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Major producers in the category are Premier Foods, Jetlak Industries and Trufoods Ltd, with their Peptang, Nuteez and Zesta brands respectively. They are all local producers, making products in and for the local market.

PROSPECTS

  • The recent hike in fuel costs due to instability in oil-producing nations, as well as the price cap on fuel costs imposed by the government in late 2010, conspire to represent a potential threat to growth in the category in coming years. A moderate 1% CAGR is expected in both volume and current value terms over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 271 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 272 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 273 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 274 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 276 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 277 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 278 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Major trends affecting the category included the high cost of materials such as sugar and high inflationary pressures, which forced many people to make radical lifestyle changes. These included reduced spending on non-essentials such as sugar confectionery.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kenafric Industries Limited and Kenya Sweets Ltd are the leading players thanks to their brands Lotta and KSL respectively. They are popular among children and sold by the unit by most grocery retailers in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • A 2% volume CAGR is expected over the forecast period. Demand will increase as consumers increasingly buy into on-the-go treats and affordable indulgence habits.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 282 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 283 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 284 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 285 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 286 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 287 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 288 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 289 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 290 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 294 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sweet and savoury snacks has been affected by factors that have affected the entire Kenyan economy. Sharp increases in the cost of fuel as well as high inflation and weakening of the local currency have all conspired to raise the cost of production of sweet and savoury snacks. This cost has in turn been passed on to consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sweet and savoury snacks is dominated by domestic players. Kenya Nut Co Ltd was the leading player in 2010, with a retail value share of 9%, followed by Galiaya Food Industries, also with a retail value share of 9%. Kenya Nut Co Ltd manufactures products in nuts while Galiaya Food Industries manufactures produces in nuts, crisps and popcorn. Due to weakening of the domestic currency, for some companies it has become more affordable to engage in domestic production than to import products, which is part of the reason why domestic players have performed well.

PROSPECTS

  • The economic conditions present in Kenya at the end of the review period are expected to prevail over the first half of the forecast period, which means that unit prices will continue to increase as will the cost of production and of importing products. There is also expected to be less artisanal activity as manufacturers move towards branding their products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 295 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 296 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 297 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 298 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 299 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 300 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 301 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 302 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 303 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 304 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 305 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 306 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks experienced a dampening supply, caused by drought conditions in the country. The further weakening of the shilling, as well as overall inflation in the economy are factors that also impacted the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading brands in the category are Brookside, Ilara and Tuzo. Newer products include Daima Milk, Fresha from Githunguri Dairies and Molo Milk from Buzeki Dairies.

PROSPECTS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks will make a strong recovery with the rebounding economy. Positive constant value growth is expected with a CAGR of 1%, which is a vast improvement on the -4% constant value CAGR of the review period. This coupled with a strong competitive push from newly re-launched brands as well as the resultant lash back from more established competitors will bolster the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 307 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 308 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 309 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 310 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 311 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 312 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 313 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 314 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 315 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 316 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 317 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 318 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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