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Country Report

Packaged Food in Lithuania

Nov 2011

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sales of packaged food stabilise in 2011

After shrinking sales for two consecutive years, sales of packaged food stabilised in volume terms in 2011, to the relief of producers, distributors and retailers. All of them seem to have finally adapted to the changed environment they operate in, marked by extremely tight-fisted consumers who want products as cheap as possible without lowering their requirements for quality. The worst is believed to be over for the packaged food industry and economic recovery, however fragile, which gives reasons for optimism as companies project modest growth in their plans.

Sharp unit price increases lead to growth

As if the demand of consumers for ever-lasting discounts was not enough, companies faced rising production costs. Rising global commodity prices was often cited (and rarely convinced anyone) as the major reason for the unit price increases that led to the growth of the market by nearly 9% in value terms. However, this growth did not result in profits of companies who faced frugality of consumers, as well as the declining number of mouths to feed because of the continuous emigration.

Private label puts pressure on branded goods

Domestic companies that with their strong knowledge of the local market were preparing to defend their positions against foreign companies in general and multinational behemoths in particular, were flanked unexpectedly by private label products. Despite having plenty of time to learn from the experiences of Western European countries where the trend has been noticeable for years, Lithuanian firms failed to create brand loyalty amongst consumers. Dire financial conditions of many shoppers that led them to seek cheaper food was the main reason, but failure of companies to create strong brands that could glut not only physically but also emotionally only added to the troubles of local firms.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets continues to dominate

Largest retail stores did not give up their earned dominant positions, nor are they expected to in the future. After the rapid expansion about a decade ago that escaped the eyes not only of the public but also legislators and antitrust bodies, the hope for return of small shops is slim. Although the efforts are certainly there – bakeries, confectioners and even boutique cheese stores are opening in the largest cities – all of them are dwarfed in comparison to the turnovers of supermarkets/hypermarkets. Internet sales received a timely boost after the successful entrance of Maxima LT UAB into the market, but remains minuscule compared to bricks and mortar sales.

Uneven development projected for packaged food

The half- joke made by the Prime Minister that after experiencing the economic crisis Lithuanians would now have to survive the uplift of the economy, might prove prophetic. Because of uneven income distribution, consumers in Lithuania show diverging spending patterns. As many as a fifth of Lithuanians are at or near the poverty line and sadly are expected to remain there, which means that price consciousness will remain a key shopping trend for many years to come. At the same time, a small fraction of the population with European-like incomes and attitudes will increasingly look for food that is healthier because of fortification, offers additional value or is sourced from ecological manufacturers. Although small in size, this segment will be too important to neglect, forcing food producers and retailers to be ambidextrous.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Lithuania with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Lithuania, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Lithuania for free:

The Packaged Food in Lithuania market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Lithuania?
  • What are the major brands in Lithuania?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Lithuania - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sales of packaged food stabilise in 2011

Sharp unit price increases lead to growth

Private label puts pressure on branded goods

Supermarkets/hypermarkets continues to dominate

Uneven development projected for packaged food

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Lithuania - Company Profiles

Eugesta UAB in Packaged Food (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

  • Summary 2 Eugesta UAB: Key Facts
  • Summary 3 Eugesta UAB: Operational Indicators

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Nematekas ZUB in Packaged Food (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Nematekas ZUB: Competitive Position 2010

Pieno Zvaigzdes AB in Packaged Food (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Pieno Zvaigzdes AB: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Pieno Zvaigzdes AB: Competitive Position 2010

Sanitex UAB in Packaged Food (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Vilniaus Duona UAB in Packaged Food (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Vilniaus Duona UAB: Competitive Position 2010

Baby Food in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the gradually rebounding spending power of consumers and the fact that parents are not compromising on spending when it comes to the nutrition of their babies, baby food is failing to record significant gains in 2011. Largely this is because the industry has been in a continuous public relations crisis as sensation-seeking journalists from television have alleged that the content of prepared baby food does not match the labelling. Although industry sources suggest that parents are increasingly knowledgeable when it comes to baby food, many of them have not asked for substantiation of such claims of ill-doing and have chosen to make prepare their baby food themselves.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nutricia Baltics remained the leader in 2010 with a value share of 42% in baby food. The company has been in the market for a long time and has ties with a large number of retailers, which leads to wide availability of its products in shops. The firm is also covering virtually every product category with the majority of its products selling under Milupa and Aptamil brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Companies currently in the market will have to try hard to maintain sales at current levels in volume terms, because the birth rate is not foreseen to pick up anytime soon. In order to increase revenue, firms will focus on increasing the average price of unit sold, with convenience of use deserving the most attention. As parents become more educated and read labels more carefully, companies get an opportunity to improve the actual products and get some recognition from the shoppers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 54 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Producers of baked goods have faced another difficult year in 2011, with rising commodity prices putting pressure on them to raise unit prices which crisis-plagued consumers can barely afford. While bread continues to be purchased on a regular basis by the majority of the population, consumers have sought to limit their spending on it as much as possible. In most cases, this has meant opting for products of inferior quality compared to those purchased a few years ago. Meanwhile, manufacturers have a different agenda. With limited volume growth opportunities in a saturated category, they have tried to seek revenue growth through entering new categories and encouraging consumers to trade up.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • According to industry sources, there are more than 160 bakeries in Lithuania, although differing in size and volumes of production. Industry players have constantly claimed that this number is far too great for such a market and some players will inevitably be forced to shut. In fact, the reverse has been true – the number of bakeries has risen in recent years. During the recession, many were attracted to the business due to the relatively low level of investment and know-how required. Although some will fail, others could do quite well as consumers are increasingly supporting smaller players, believing their products to be healthier.

PROSPECTS

  • Baked goods remains a promising category despite a weak performance over the last few years. Firstly, Lithuanians are expected to continue purchasing baked goods in fairly constant volumes as eating habits are firmly entrenched. Secondly, there are plenty of opportunities to grow in nascent categories such as bread substitutes. This category is set to be worth less than LTL7 million in 2011 but has bright prospects as Lithuanians are expected to seek healthy alternatives to traditionally popular rye bread and white bread. There will also be a lot to gain by offering better quality products once the economy improves. Currently, most baked goods are basic products but the addition of other healthy ingredients will allow manufacturers to charge higher prices. Sales of cakes and pastries are also expected to rise once consumer confidence improves.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Biscuits, although deemed non-essential goods by Lithuanians, performed quite well during the recession for two reasons. Firstly, biscuits are generally cheaper and healthier than many other indulgence goods, such as chocolate confectionery. Secondly, biscuit manufacturers have adapted quickly to a changing environment by offering more affordable products and engaging in price promotions to tempt consumers suffering from the economic downturn.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Latvian company Staburadze JSC remained the leading player in biscuits in 2010 with a 20% share of value sales. The company owns the most popular brand Selga, which is available in several formats. Moreover, the firm’s foreign ownership is unknown to most shoppers, making it immune to the reluctance of Lithuanians to buy imported goods. The company has been present in the Lithuanian market for many years and has built a strong base of loyal consumers. Its biscuits are also easily distinguishable from other brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Biscuit manufacturers concede that there is not much they can do to spur revenue growth. Biscuits are simply not important enough to Lithuanians and are only purchased occasionally when there is money left at the end of the month. Price cuts which companies embarked on once the economy collapsed also did little good as consumers now view such low prices as normal. Sustaining prices at such low levels will be difficult, however, because of projected increases in production costs, mostly because of rising commodity prices. To outdo competitors, biscuit producers will have to find ways to premiumise their products, relying on increasing demand for healthier biscuits.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 78 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 79 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In line with rising health concerns, Lithuanians continue to substitute previously much-loved sandwiches for cereals. Despite that, consumers have remained thrifty while spending on breakfast cereals in 2011. Although cereal sales grew by around 20% in volume terms over the review period, Lithuanians in 2011 have been looking for cheaper products. As a result, both the rising share of private label and frequent discounting have prevented the category from reaching its potential. While there were a limited number of companies present in this category in the past, it has now attracted the attention of retailers which are offering their own products and challenging the positions of the leading companies.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic company Naujasis Nevežis UAB was the clear leader in breakfast cereals in 2010 with a 38% value share of sales. All of its products are sold under the Oho brand which was given enough marketing support in the past to make it memorable to Lithuanians. A preference for domestic products also benefits the company which increased its share by nearly four percentage points in 2010. Its products also tend to be more affordable than the offerings of its competitors.

PROSPECTS

  • Breakfast cereal manufacturers are quite optimistic about their prospects. This optimism is based on several factors. As long as the pace of Lithuanian lifestyles accelerates, products that are quick to prepare and eat will be in demand. Rising health-consciousness, especially among those living in the largest cities and earning above-average incomes, will further underpin the development of the category as most breakfast cereals fall into the group of products endorsed by professional nutritionists. Furthermore, the price of breakfast cereals is quite low compared to other breakfast alternatives, which is important in a country which is not characterised by a high number of affluent people.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 84 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 88 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 89 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 90 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The negative and stagnant growth registered in canned/preserved food during 2009 and 2010 is set to give way to positive growth in 2011. Canned/preserved food managed to avoid a decline in volume sales during 2010, which marks canned/preserved food out from the majority of other packaged food categories in Lithuania. The comparatively favourable performance of canned/preserved food during 2010 can be explained by the fact that canned/preserved food is a category of cheap products, which led to Lithuanians continuing to purchase canned/preserved food during the economic crisis. The slight increase expected in 2011 shows that Lithuanian consumers have already formed their attitudes towards canned/preserved food. At the same time, it is too early to say whether canned/preserved food is mature or saturated as the range of products available in the category is continuously updated with new products and there is always the possibility that new players will enter the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kedainiu Konservu Fabrikas UAB retained the leading position in canned/preserved food in Lithuania during 2010 with a 25% value share. Kedainiu Konservu Fabrikas registered a slight decrease in value share during 2010, mainly because of its high value shares in categories which recorded slow positive growth or declines during 2010, including canned/preserved beans and canned/preserved vegetables. The key factor of in Kedainiu Konservu Fabrikas’ success is the company’s engagement in a wide variety of canned/preserved food categories, especially categories which are marked by a high degree of consumer loyalty to Lithuanian products. Secondly, the company’s Kedainiu brand is very well known has a longstanding presence in Lithuania. The Kedainiu brand is associated with its high quality products which are offered at reasonable prices. The second biggest player in canned/preserved food in Lithuania during 2010 was another local producer, Rokiskio Konservai AB, which held a value share of 11%. Private label also maintained a strong presence in canned/preserved food in Lithuania during 2010, with Maxima LT UAB leading the private label canned preserved food field.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food is expected to register more moderate growth rates than most other packaged food categories over the forecast period. Both volume and constant value are expected to increase at CAGRs of 3% over forecast period. The main reason for this is the certain level of saturation in certain canned/preserved food categories, good examples of which include canned/preserved meat and meat products and canned/preserved fish/seafood. However, ongoing positive growth is still expected within these two categories over forecast period. The driving forces behind this growth include the anticipated entrance of new players in both canned/preserved meat and meat products and canned/preserved fish/seafood, with these new players expected to focus on high quality premium products. Another reason for the positive growth expected in canned/preserved food is the growing need for convenience products as Lithuanians increasingly have less time to spend on preparing meals from scratch using fresh food.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 16 Other Canned/Preserved Food: Product Types
  • Table 95 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 98 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 99 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 100 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 101 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 104 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cheese in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • At first glance, cheese is expected to perform relatively well in 2011 as it rebounds after a value contraction of -20% in 2010. However, such conclusions would be false – after shrinking in volumes for two consecutive years, sales of cheese did not rebound in 2011, but continued to show a decline at -1%. This suggests that a large share of Lithuanians gave up on purchasing cheese altogether as it became too pricy of a product for some, especially elder, people.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Rokiskio Suris led cheese sales in 2010 with a 28% value share. This company also managed to gain some value share, claiming one percentage point of the market from its competitors. The success of the firm was due to good price to quality ratio of its products as well as popularity of its leading Rokiskio brand, which is supported by advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • Dairy firms continue to nurture cheese as many Lithuanians are used to eating it quite frequently and the current stagnation of volume is not a result of changing preferences, but rather due to presumably temporary financial difficulties. The number of cheese types from which to choose is projected to continue increasing as the premium segment will be too important for dairy firms to ignore. The development of brands which will be spurred by private label should also have a positive effect on cheese.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 106 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 112 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 113 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 116 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 117 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The specific trends which had a positive effect on growth in chilled processed food during 2011 were the rising impact of the health and wellness trend on the Lithuanian population and the growing preference for convenience products in the country. The rise of health and wellness concerns was most obvious in the increasing proportion of chilled processed food without preservatives and additives listed as so-called ‘E numbers’ under product ingredients, particularly in chilled processed meat. The growing need for more convenient chilled processed food also had a significant positive effect on sales in categories such as chilled lunch kits, which came on top of the slow pace of Lithuania’s economic recovery, which prevented the majority of the country’s working population from dining out in consumer foodservice outlets. At the same time, rising consumer confidence in Lithuania benefited less developed chilled processed food categories. The majority of Lithuanian consumers began focusing on the image of leading brands and product quality rather than solely on low retail selling price, which was the most common demand factor during 2009 and 2010. As a result considerably large range of Polish products, which had appeared in 2010, have gone from the shelves at retail outlets in 2011, allowing local producers benefit the most.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There were no significant changes in terms of the leaders in chilled processed food during the review period. The highest value share in the category during 2010 belonged to Biovela UAB, which held a value share of 31%. Biovela was followed in second position by Samsonas UAB, which held a 12% value share in 2010, while Krekenavos Agrofirma AB was third with an 11% value share. All three companies focus on chilled processed meat, which is the largest chilled processed food category, and this is the major reason for their relatively high value shares. Biovela’s success lies also in its positioning of products in various different price categories, which allowed the company to sustain growth throughout the economic crisis and it is expected that Biovela will continue to benefit from this strategy once the Lithuanian economy has fully recovered. Biovela also operates under two brands, which allows it to compete in differently defined price segments, Biovela’s Utenos Mesa brand offer slightly a cheaper than average product range, while the Biovela brand offers standard and premium products. Biovela also benefits from its excellent relationships with its suppliers as well as maintaining its own beef production supply chain. Samsonas UAB and Krekenavos Agrofirma AB are both very well-known in Lithuania for their high quality products.

PROSPECTS

  • The chilled processed food categories which are currently underdeveloped in Lithuania such as chilled lunch kits, chilled coated fish and fresh cut fruit are expected to record the fastest and most dynamic growth in chilled processed food in Lithuania over the forecast period. However, while there is still plenty of room within chilled lunch kits for new entrants, chilled coated fish and fresh cut fruit currently present much more limited opportunities for the entry of any new players. These categories are expected to benefit from the increasing time pressure coming on the daily routines of ordinary Lithuanians and the rising need for convenience in the country. The leading categories in chilled processed food are expected to record higher growth over the first half of forecast period as these categories are still recovering from the fall in sales which occurred during the ongoing economic recession. At the same time, these categories can all be considered as already mature and thus growth will slow down during the second half of review period. In addition, along with all other chilled processed food categories, the trend towards products which are more natural and free from preservatives will be apparent in chilled processed food during the forecast period, as will products with added functional ingredients.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 118 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 120 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 122 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 123 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 124 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 127 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 128 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chocolate Confectionery in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chocolate confectionery has seen something of a recovery in 2011. Unfazed by slightly higher prices, consumers have loosened their purse strings just enough to please chocolate confectionery manufacturers. Slightly increasing purchasing power has been one of the major drivers of growth, along with timely company adjustments to the changed competitive landscape. After absorbing the shock of the economic recession, manufacturers became more attentive to customer needs. Improved sales have not resulted in improved company profits as consumers perceive price discounts as the new norm. Domestic companies, although eyeing exports as the way to improve their overall financial positions, have reaped the benefits of their activities. The financial support of European Union programmes is intended to help boost exports but has also had a positive impact on performance in the domestic market as economies of scale allow more competitively priced products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Accounting for over a quarter of all chocolate confectionery sales, Kraft Foods Lietuva maintained its leading position in 2010. The company’s leadership is a result of a combination of factors. Excellent distribution is one, with virtually every store displaying at least several of Kraft’s brands. The domestic-foreign mix is also favourable – the company’s products are all positioned as domestic, thus gaining the approval of “buy local” consumers. At the same time, the company benefits greatly from its standing as a multinational. This not only allows it to produce more efficiently, but also makes spending on marketing less painful. Its brands Karuna, Princas and Manija are very well known to purchasers of chocolate confectionery and are crucial to the performance of the company.

PROSPECTS

  • Chocolate confectionery producers are quite optimistic about the future development of the category, believing it to have plenty of growth potential. Lithuanians, especially those living in the largest cities, are becoming more sophisticated and are willing to pay more for chocolate confectionery if they consider the product worth it. This presents an opportunity to trade up, which is especially important considering the country’s shrinking population. There are already signs that the belt-tightening of chocolate consumers is in decline. This trend is expected to continue as both spending power and expectations about the future improve in the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 129 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 130 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 133 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 135 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 136 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 139 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 140 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Dried processed food in Lithuania is mainly comprised of rice and dried pasta, which together account for 89% of total dried processed food volume sales. Both rice and dried pasta are major forms of carbohydrates for many Lithuanians and their popularity is rivalled only by potatoes. The preference in both rice and dried pasta is very much for cheaper economy products, which demonstrates the high degree of price sensitivity of the majority of consumers for rice and dried pasta in Lithuania. The European Food Programme, which supports the poorest people in Lithuania by providing staple foodstuffs at no cost, had some impact on sales of dried pasta and rice during 2011. The total budget for the European Food Programme’s activities in Lithuania during 2011 was LTL27 million, which was divided among 11 product types, two of which were rice and pasta. Considering the high number of beneficiaries of European Food Programme aid in Lithuania—some 500,000 people—the support provided by the European Food Programme was insufficient to satisfy the entire demand for rice and pasta among the poor people who were eligible for this aid. On the other hand, the improving economic situation in Lithuania restored consumer confidence to some extent during 2010 and the first half of 2011, which resulted in higher expenditure levels. This in turn was a strong driver for growth in dried processed food as the slow pace of the country’s economy recovery represented a significant barrier for the majority of population to dine out in consumer foodservice outlets. In addition, very high increases in the price of buckwheat, a product which competes directly with rice and dried pasta, benefited growth in both dried pasta and rice during 2010 and the first half of 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Private label led dried processed food in Lithuania during 2010, led by grocery retailer Maxima LT UAB. Maxima offers two private label lines, Optima Linija and Favorit, which together accounted for 16% of total dried processed food value sales in 2010. The success of these product lines is defined by the favourable positioning of Maxima among grocery retailers in Lithuania and the strong positioning of its private label lines. Maxima’s private label lines also benefit from the broad range of products sold under them. The second largest company was Amber Pasta UAB, the leading local dried pasta producer. The high proportion of total dried processed food value sales accounted for by dried pasta led to Amber Pasta achieving a value share of 15% in dried processed food in 2010. In third in 2010 was Galinta ir Partneriai UAB, which is major player in rice. Galinta secured a 10% value share in dried processed food in 2010. Galinta’s major competitor is in rice in Lithuania, Skaneja UAB, held fifth position in dried processed food in 2010 with a 5% share.

PROSPECTS

  • The rapidly rising consumer confidence in Lithuania and the improving economic environment in the country over the forecast period will result in growth patterns varying across the different categories of dried processed food. Growth in dessert mixes will be driven by the category being fragmented and far from saturation, which will facilitate the appearance of new products and drive growth. The high growth expected in rice, on the other hand, is will be due to the rising price of rival products such as buckwheat and the ongoing rise of the health and wellness trend, which will lead to new, healthier types of rice achieving new heights of growth. The growing interest in more convenient packaged food products will also have a positive effect on demand for dried processed food, with products such as rise which can be prepared quickly and easily becoming more popular as the forecast period progresses. However, the same demand factors will lead to only stable growth in dessert mixes as this category faces strong competition from confectionery and other desserts which remain available at comparatively low prices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 141 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 142 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 144 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 145 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 146 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 147 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 148 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 150 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 151 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Global and domestic factors shaped drinking milk products in 2011 and none of them made consumers any happier. As the economy and consequently purchasing power rebounded more strongly in the nearby countries than in Lithuania, suppliers of raw milk were able to ship their products there. Domestic companies that dominate Lithuanian drinking milk products had no choice but to increase their spending on ingredients. For several consecutive years, such companies have already been selling their production in the domestic market at a loss, compensating with earnings made overseas. However, in order to achieve overall positive financial results, the firms had to increase the prices of domestic production. The price of raw milk comprises around 60% of the final retail price paid by the shoppers so there was only so much the companies could do in order to prevent prices from rising. This is especially true for drinking milk products, which are not as profitable as other high-value added products like yoghurt or chilled snacks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With 40% of total value sales Pieno Zvaigzdes continued to dominate drinking milk in 2010. The company has a wide range of products in all categories with its Mu brand dominating long-life/UHT milk, Miau leading all flavoured milk drinks and Musu fresh milk generating significant revenue stream. The closest follower was Rokiskio Suris with 20% of all sales as it spends a considerable amount of money to promote sales.

PROSPECTS

  • The value of the market will continue to depend on global factors. According to sources, over half of total milk produced in Lithuania is exported and as a result domestic dairy companies have no choice but to pay global prices for milk. Whilst Lithuanians are not expected to cease using drinking milk products in the same volumes as they did in previous years, affordability might be the issue to deal with. If consumers are faced with stagnant income whilst the prices increase, efforts to introduce premium segment goods and nurturing of high-value categories such as flavoured drinks will yield no results.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 152 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 153 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 154 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 155 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 156 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 157 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 158 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 159 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 160 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 161 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 162 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Frozen processed food in Lithuania remains a small category, not only in comparison with chilled processed food, but also in comparison with other packaged food categories such as canned/preserved food. In Lithuania, the main driving force behind sales of frozen processed food remains the convenience and quick preparation times offered by products within the category. During 2010 and the first half of 2011, price-based promotions continued to have a strong influence on sales of frozen processed food in Lithuania. Frozen processed food is quite often bought well in advance of its use date as it has a long shelf life and is very much in tune with the rising popularity of packaged food products which are suitable for the more intense and busy lifestyles of many Lithuanians as it allows people to save time on food preparation. In addition, frozen processed food complies with developing habit of people doing their grocery shopping once a week as it can be stored for a longer time than fresh food. Moreover, demand for frozen processed food is still far from maturity and saturation, meaning that frozen processed food can be considered as an evolving category in Lithuania.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Viciunai ir Ko UAB continued to lead frozen processed food in Lithuania in 2010 with a 23% value share. Viciunai’s products in frozen processed are mainly positioned within frozen processed fish/seafood, although the company is also well positioned in frozen processed vegetables, frozen ready meals and frozen pizza. Viciunai benefits from the fact that its Vici brand is widely known and highly accepted by Lithuanian consumers. In addition to this, the Vici brand is also well known in other Baltic countries, a situation which is largely due to the company’s strong advertising. The second largest player in frozen processed food in Lithuania is Nowaco Lietuva UAB, which held a 9% value share in 2010. Nowaco is also highly focused on frozen processed fish/seafood and frozen processed vegetables, which positions it as the major competitor to Viciunai. Nowaco’s significant value share increase in 2010 was mainly due to Euromonitor International beginning to include within its analysis other frozen processed food, a category in which Nowaco has a very strong position.

PROSPECTS

  • Although the number of price-based promotions in frozen processed food decreased during the first half of 2011, price promotions are expected to remain the major promotional tool for producers in frozen processed food in Lithuania, at least for the first half of the forecast period. These price promotions will also define consumer preference for the majority of frozen processed food categories. Another major factor affecting demand in frozen processed food during the first half of the forecast period is the moderate pace of Lithuania’s economy recovery. Due to the slow of economic recovery, products which offer convenience to time-pressed consumers seeking to prepare meals at home will continue to benefit from the ongoing preference for home cooking in Lithuania as fewer Lithuanians will be able to afford to dine out. During the second half of the forecast period, frozen processed food is expected to benefit mainly from the general trend towards convenience food which requires less preparation time as Lithuanian consumers are now spending less time than ever on cooking. In addition to this, sales of frozen processed food will also be supported by rapidly rising consumer confidence. In terms of value sales, growth during the second half of the review period is expected to be driven by cheaper products as premium brands and more expensive standard brands have reached unit price levels which are virtually commensurate with the European average. In addition to this, although Lithuania’s inflation rate has the potential to rise to pre-recessionary levels during the second half of the forecast period, some attempts to moderate rising inflation by the government can be expected.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 163 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 164 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 165 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 166 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 167 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 168 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 169 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 172 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 173 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Gum in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The slowly recovering economy has not appeared to encourage consumers to purchase more gum. After declining sharply in 2009 and 2010, volume sales have increased only marginally in 2011. More importantly, the revenue gains for manufacturers have been due to higher prices. Consumers have also been unimpressed by manufacturer efforts to offer added value (mostly through fancier packaging) and charge more for it. A back-to-basics approach can be best illustrated by the relative success of functional gum, which has given consumers an incentive to spend within the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The battle for dominance in Lithuanian gum is being fought by two companies - Wrigley Baltics UAB and Cadbury Plc. The former maintained its leading position in 2010 with a 54% value share while Cadbury held a 35% share. Both companies have a strong position in the market as their brands Orbit, Dirol and Stimorol enjoy both consumer awareness and recognition. The brands of these companies are truly global and recognisable to every gum purchaser as a result of large-scale advertising which was not curbed even during the recession.

PROSPECTS

  • Producers of gum are waiting for the recovery of the economy because there is not much they can do to boost sales. As consumers have become increasingly rational and selective about their spending, gum producers will have to find new ways to improve the image of chewing gum in the eyes of shoppers. There are plenty of untapped opportunities to do this, as illustrated by the success of functional gum. Price sensitivity will be a potential hindrance to the development of gum as Lithuanian consumers will simply reject products that exceed their price expectations.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 174 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 177 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 178 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 179 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 180 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 184 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although choosing cheaper products, Lithuanians’ appetite for ice cream rose in 2011. Many of them probably felt like they could afford indulging themselves with a treat like ice cream, the average price of which is cheap compared to other delicious goods. Various forces put pressure on industry players, from rising threat of private label to skyrocketing prices of raw ingredients to ferocious competition, but consumers felt none of it and benefited from the competition in the market. Ice cream makers, depending on the weather as much as any food producer, were treated with a warm summer, which had a positive impact on sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In the very competitive Lithuanian market KPC Premia was the leader in 2010 with a 21% value share, somewhat lower than leading players’ shares in the majority of other packaged food categories. The majority of its products are sold under its Premia brand. The firm is not very active in advertising and its other brands do not have high awareness amongst consumers. However, the firm excels in other areas, most importantly distribution and efficiency of production, which allows it to outdo competitors in pricing. Dairy giant Pieno Zvaigzdes was the closest follower in 2010 with 16% of value sales. Vikeda and Maxima LT each held 14% value shares as the former company benefited from its well-known Dadu brand and the latter was favoured by the budget-conscious consumers with its private label ice cream.

PROSPECTS

  • All the industry players – those long in the market as well as those just entering it – point to the potential increase of ice cream consumption as the forecasted driver of the market in the upcoming years. Another reason to expect the ice cream development to accelerate is the projected move towards products of better quality. The arrival of Unilever into the category should also boost ice cream, forcing companies to match the intensity of innovation of a global foods giant.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 185 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 186 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 187 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 188 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 189 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 190 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 191 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 195 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in Lithuania - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • There is no demand for meal replacement products in Lithuania. While suppliers would certainly be able to deliver such products to stores, the lack of demand prevents them from doing so.

Noodles in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Noodles offer fast and cheap meal preparation, as a result, the performance of noodles continues to be represented by instant noodles in 2011. While the performance is quite similar across all noodles categories, the driving forces behind this are very different in their origins. Lithuanian consumers associate plain noodles with premium products and they remain attractive for those who like to experiment with foreign cuisines. In addition they are relatively new to the market which leads to growth. Instant noodles, on the other hand, remain attractive for the majority of the population due to their cheap price and convenient preparation. The slow economic recovery phase and moderate growth in consumer confidence was beneficial to the category’s success. As a result, growth was maintained by working professionals, who switched to this product as an option for lunch during the crisis, on top of the general trend towards convenience products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of leadership, the situation did not see any significant changes in 2010, with Technocom Corp continuing to lead and strengthen its positions. This company is represented by the Mivina Brand on the market, which is well established and trusted in Lithuania. Its success is defined by its long presence on the market and considerably good quality at a cheap price. Its success can also be attributed to the fact that it was one of the first companies in this category. The company was the second largest in terms of value sales growth rate and in 2010, secured a 32% value share. The second leading company was Unilever Lietuva UAB, unlike Technocom Corp, it lost share in 2010. The main reasons for this are its higher prices compared to those offered by category leaders, and the continuation of the economic downturn in 2010. Unilever Lietuva is represented by the Knorr brand , which is associated with quality and has an 18% value share. The third place is hold by Nestlé Baltics and its Maggi brand with a value share of 16% in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • The main factors that will influence this category are reliance of noodles on slow economic growth, mainly because of the high share of instant noodles, the convenience trend, and cannibalisation of foreign shares by local manufacturers in instant noodles and growing potential for foreign cuisines in plain noodles. While instant noodles shows signs of maturity, the better economic conditions are likely to have a negative effect on further growth, as customers will be able to switch to other, higher quality, products. At the same time, the growing need for convenient meal solutions will most likely not allow this category to decline. Plain noodles will be driven by other forces completely, due to the products’ short presence on the market and positioning as premium products in the early stages of its introduction. Local producers are expected to strengthen their positions and take advantage of consumers’ loyalty to domestic products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 196 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 197 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 198 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 199 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 200 Noodles Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 201 Noodles Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 202 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 203 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 204 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 205 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 206 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Oils and Fats in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite the rather impressive growth of oils and fats in 2011, there is little joy amongst producers or retailers. Due to the skyrocketing prices of commodities companies are now worse off financially than they were in 2010. The prices of globally traded commodities such as sunflower oil or rapeseed oil registered sharp increases (over 100% from previous years, according to industry sources), putting strains on the firms’ finances. Faced with still suppressed purchasing power of consumers these firms are forced to seek ways to absorb the rising costs by making production processes more efficient. However, these opportunities are limited, because materials comprise up to 80% of total costs of certain products, leaving producers uneasy about their future prospects.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tikras Kelias continued to lead all companies in 2010. The company is primarily involved in selling vegetable and seed oil and benefited from the lack of alternatives to its products. Well-known brands Vilnius and Obeliu accounted for the majority of the company’s sales, leading to a 22% value share. The firm has been in the process of bankruptcy for quite some time now. However, the production activity seems to be uninterrupted by the company’s legal problems as Tikras Kelias dominated vegetable and seed oil with 60% of all sales.

PROSPECTS

  • An extremely volatile global oil market renders most of the forecasts useless. Pricing, or more precisely affordability of goods will determine the performance of oils and fats in the upcoming years. Whilst the resources of internal process optimisation appear to be exhausted, further rising prices of commodities would be directly transferred onto the shoulders of consumers. Adding to the uncertainty are the fluctuations of the US dollar, which is the currency with which oil is traded in the global market.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 207 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 208 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 209 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 210 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 211 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 212 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 213 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 214 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 215 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 216 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 217 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Actual volume sales of other dairy in 2011are expected to be close to or at the levels of that registered in 2010. However, rising unit prices have made many consumers review their purchasing habits, which reveals some diverging spending patterns amongst shoppers. Those with higher disposable income and brighter future prospects prevent the non-essential categories from falling even more as they feel as if they can afford purchasing such goods despite rising prices. Shoppers whose spending power is much lower and who feel uncertain about their financial situation continue to purchase only the goods that Lithuanians are traditionally used to buying whilst looking for opportunities to save money either by trading down or hunting for discounts.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Pieno Zvaigzdes was the leader of other dairy in 2010 with sales of LTL91 million, good enough for a third of the market. The company’s success is due to the fact that it is present in all product categories, save for condensed/evaporated milk. Pieno Zvaigzdes also benefits from the joint marketing of its brands. Dvaro, Mu and other brands are also present in drinking milk, cheese and sour milk categories. Consumers that purchase one product and are satisfied with the quality tend to try other products under the same name. Pieno Zvaigzdes is also strong in product innovation, continuously shifting new products and measuring the reaction of the market, which helps it defend its leading positions.

PROSPECTS

  • Representatives of the dairy industry are cautiously optimistic about the prospects of other dairy products. Two product categories – cream and fromage frais and quark – together account for around three quarters of all other dairy sales and are indispensable in Lithuanian dining rooms and therefore resistant to price fluctuations. Other products are less needed but should rebound in line with the economy as goods of categories that are purchased impulsively will gradually find their ways into the baskets of the shoppers. Chilled snacks are well liked by many consumers and should be purchased more once disposable income increases.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 218 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 219 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 220 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 221 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 222 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 225 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 226 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In contrast to other categories, pasta maintained its upward trend in volume sales during the crisis. This could be explained by the significant range of cheap options among pasta products. In 2011, pasta sales continued to grow in value, as it did in volume terms. The growth drivers could be defined by two major aspects. Firstly, a significant number of consumers continued to save money, and pasta is among the cheaper products. Secondly, the trend of more expensive and higher quality pasta products predominating in the pre-crisis period showed signs of recovery in 2011. This trend is defined by growing consumer confidence and a willingness to try and experiment with products which are considerably new to Lithuanian consumers. Examples of such are fresh/chilled pasta, egg pasta, and pasta with vegetable extracts. Pasta was also the most impacted category by the European food supply support to the poorest people in 2011, as this product type was in the list of provisional products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Amber Pasta UAB continued strengthening its position as a leader in pasta, with a value share of 40% in 2010. Despite the fact that the company maintains its position as the leading pasta producer in Lithuania, its share was declining over the review period and showed a slight increase only in 2010. The fact that the company has not significantly changed its strategy or invested heavily in advertising makes it reasonable to assume that its share will continue to decrease in 2011. The company’s growth in 2010 is a reaction to consumers’ preference for good quality, cheaper products. This attracted additional consumers for the company’s Gintariniai brand, which is the leading pasta product in Lithuania. The second largest company with a 13% share was Mlynsko-Pekarsky a Cestovinarsky Kombinat AS. It was also able to achieve growth due to its range of products in the value-for-money segment and its Cessi brand which is offered at a very competitive price.

PROSPECTS

  • The increasing range of Italian pasta, and constant new product launches in this direction show that a significant share of pasta will be influenced by Italian pasta culture. However, the more common to Lithuanians standard pasta will dominate over the forecast period. The main issue regarding this trend is that new and more expensive Italian pasta will likely see faster growing rates in major cities, while smaller cities and rural areas will remain the major supporters of economy and standard pasta types over the forecast period. The premiumisation trend will result in the appearance of new pasta formats during the first part of the forecast period, mostly in the form of fresh/chilled pasta products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 227 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 230 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 231 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 232 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 233 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 236 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 237 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Considering the variations in growth rates across the different categories within ready meals in Lithuania, it is clear that different categories are affected by different forces. The global economic crisis has had a variety of effects on ready meals, with some categories recording sharp declines during 2009/2010, while others continued to grow. During 2011, Lithuania’s nascent economic recovery is beginning to benefit some ready meals categories, with the effect on others being less positive. These variations in dynamics suggests that during 2009/2010, cheaper options—specifically traditional Lithuanian meals in canned/preserved ready meals and frozen ready meals—were considered as viable alternatives to dining out as well as the best substitute for more expensive ready meals such as chilled pizzas, frozen pizzas and chilled ready meals, which were previously more popular. As consumer confidence increases, however, preferences are expected to switch back to more expensive products during 2011. The improved growth expected in ready meals in 2011 is a signal that ready meals in Lithuania has not yet reached saturation and that there is further potential for future growth. Lithuanian people increasingly prefer to include ready meals in their weekly shopping basket as fewer meals are now being prepared at home, while dining out regularly remains too expensive for a significant proportion of the Lithuanian population.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Viciunai ir Ko UAB maintained its leading position in ready meals in Lithuania during 2010 with a 19% value share. The company’s ability to provide a broad range of ready meals is the key factor behind the success of its Vici brand. Viciunai has been successful in utilising its strong brand name and has managed to introduce effective new products in response to the ongoing changes in Lithuania’s economic environment. Viciunai has made many changes in terms of extending and adjusting its existing product portfolio, with minor changes made to the ingredients of its ready meals. The company frequently refreshes the image of its products by changing packaging sizes and shapes. However, the company is also regularly introducing completely new products. Liutukas UAB was the second largest player in ready meals during 2010 with a 9% value share. The success of this company is based mainly on its strong position in more traditional local frozen ready meals. Liutukas products also offer a good price/quality ratio.

PROSPECTS

  • The reluctance of many Lithuanian consumers to purchase ready meals amidst the currently adverse economic environment is set to limit demand for ready meals during the first half of the forecast period. There are a number of potential macroeconomic factors which may continue to limit growth in ready meals in Lithuania throughout the forecast period, in spite of the projected recovery of the Lithuanian economy. Nevertheless, there is great potential for new product development during the forecast period, while existing products in the category are likely to become more popular over the course of the forecast period. Ready meals remains some way from saturation and there is currently plenty of room for new products and brands. One such niche with strong growth potential is Asian-style ready meals. Moreover, the current eating habits of the majority of Lithuanians involves the home preparation of meals. However, changing lifestyles mean that many Lithuanians have less time than ever for home cooking. The lack of cheap fast food restaurants in Lithuania means that cheaper consumer foodservice formats pose less of a competitive threat than in many other countries. Ready meals are not considered to be a healthy food option by many Lithuanians, although the possibility for health and wellness positioning to be exploited by a progressive company seeking to tap into the latent demand for healthier and more nutritious ready meals over the forecast period should not be ruled out. Among all categories of ready meals in Lithuania, chilled ready meals and prepared salads maintain the highest potential for growth over the forecast period as they remain niche categories rising from low sales bases.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 238 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 239 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 241 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 242 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 243 Ready Meals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 244 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 245 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 247 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 248 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 249 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During the economic downturn, sauces, dressings and condiments was able to maintain growth as a result of growing numbers of consumers starting to cook more at home. Although cheaper brands benefitted the most, it is worth noting the growing volume performance of other less traditional sauces and dressings. Despite the better economic environment, the situation in this category has not significantly changed in 2011. Slow economic recovery did not result in a massive shift to foodservice outlets, as people continued cooking at home. At the same time, small, less traditional sauces and condiments are growing above average in 2011. This suggests that most categories possess huge potential for future growth and the market is open for new entrants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 local sauce manufacturers continued their domination of the Lithuanian market. The largest value share of 16% was held by Vesiga UAB. It was followed by Valdorfo Didmenos UAB with a 13% value share in 2010. Both companies enjoyed stable performances in 2010, with only minor share fluctuations. This performance can be considered good, considering that in general this category continued to decrease in 2010. Vesigda has the well-known Daumantu brand which is the undisputable leader in mayonnaise, as well as a strong presence in tomato pastes and purées, and ketchup. Daumantu also reacted to the health and wellness trend and continued extending its product range with all natural products, free of E preservatives. Valdorfo Didmenos continued to benefit from its diverse product portfolio and continuous introduction of new products. The company’s ability to offer products for price conscious consumers was the main driver behind maintaining its market share during the recession period, in particular in 2010. Economic downturn allowed private label products to increase their sales and maintain their 13% share in sauces, dressings and condiments.

PROSPECTS

  • The situation is not expected to change significantly comparing to the performance in 2011. The most successful in growth terms are expected to be smaller categories, which are currently represented by foreign cuisines. The recovering economy will secure growth across sauces, dressings and condiments. At the same time, growing interest in novelties will drive the appearance of new products and extensions of current product ranges by major players, as well as smaller niche players. The health and wellness trend is penetrating most packaged food categories and a growing number of products for health conscious consumers will appear, if not come to dominate, sauces, dressings and condiments.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 250 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 251 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 252 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 253 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 254 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 255 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 256 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 258 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 259 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 260 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 17 Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: Product Types

Snack Bars in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The development of the snack bars category was only temporarily halted by the economic recession. The category remains very small as the majority of Lithuanians prefer chocolate confectionery products when they want something sweet. Snack bars are also not yet considered a “proper” meal. This situation is changing quite rapidly, however, as illustrated by the explosive growth rates seen in the past. The increasingly fast-paced lifestyles of Lithuanians, coupled with the health benefits of snack bars and a lack of alternatives in some cases, both underpinned growth in the past and are expected to continue to do so in the future.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Due to better availability in retail outlets, a number of brand variants and frequent usage of “two for the price of one” offers, Schwartauer Werke GmbH & Co, a German manufacturer, and its Corny brand remained the undisputed leader in snack bars in 2010, gaining a further 5.5 percentage points on the previous year. Even if this did not result in greater profitability, such results should be viewed as a success because the firm now has a strong position in a promising category and its leading brand is well known to many consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • There is plenty of room for growth in snack bars, which will surely attract new entrants as well as give impetus to existing players to intensify their efforts. These products are considered healthy by most, which will increase their appeal. Snack bars can also be consumed on the go, a factor which will further drive the development of the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 261 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 262 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 263 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 264 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 265 Snack Bars Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 266 Snack Bars Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 267 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 269 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 270 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 271 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 18 Other Snack Bars: Product Types

Soup in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The main issue affecting soup sales in 2011, as in most other categories, was the better economic situation and growing consumer confidence in Lithuania. It is important to state that soup has always been an important part of everyday meals in Lithuania. As a result, the main factor driving soup is the growing preference for ready soups over homemade soups. Soup is mostly used as a supplementary dish to a main course and less often used as a full lunch solution by the working population. While dehydrated and instant soups are used at home and away, canned/preserved soups are predominantly used for home cooking. Another specific about canned/preserved soup is that it benefits the most from consumers’ loyalty for domestic products in Lithuania.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The highest shares in value terms are observed among multinationals such as Gallina Blanca SA and Nestlé Baltics UAB with 23% and 17% value shares respectively in 2010. Both companies are major players in instant and dehydrated soup. These companies are represented through such brands as Gallina Blanca and Maggi. The third largest company was Kedainiu Konservu Fabrikas UAB; a strong local player. Unlike the first two companies, Kedainiu Konservu Fabrikas is dominant in canned/preserved soup with an 8% share of total value sales in 2010. The success of this category is defined by the company’s experience in canned/preserved food and knowledge of local tastes. The consumers’ strong support for local producers is mostly noticeable in canned/preserved food. While multinationals’ presence and acceptance by local consumers allowed them to secure major shares in instant and dehydrated soups.

PROSPECTS

  • The changing economic environment and slow recovery will contribute to the positive growth of soup, especially during the first half of the forecast period. The importance of soup in daily diets is traditional, meaning that there is constant potential in soups, as far as they comply and respond quickly to evolving trends. The health and wellness trend dictates more all-natural soup, enriched with vitamins or even a broad range of organic soups to be offered. Among such, the most likely to benefit will be UHT and canned/preserved soups. Other important issues are ability to comply with changing lifestyles and, as a result, the growing need for convenience products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 272 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 273 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 274 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 276 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 277 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 278 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 282 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Manufacturers, like consumers, have returned to a back-to-basics approach in recent years. The willingness to experiment with exotic flavours fell sharply while the most popular and traditional tastes returned to prominence. As efforts to differentiate their products were scrapped, manufacturers found themselves generally competing solely in terms of price. While consumers did not mind, this made it difficult for manufacturers to improve profitability. Rising commodity prices put pressure on consumers which saw retail prices of spreads rise, but as many spreads have few or no substitutes, Lithuanians had to put up with paying more.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With nearly a quarter of total value sales, Maxima LT UAB was the leading company in spreads in 2010. The company continued to gain share (four percentage points) in 2010 as a result of strong sales of jams and preserves. Interestingly, the company only gives its Optima Linija name to some jams but not to others. Overall, the company benefited from the economic crisis and a shift away from branded goods. Its products are priced competitively compared to the offerings of manufacturers which have been traditionally strong in the category. Having control over the positioning of goods on retail shelves also helps as Maxima’s goods enjoy the greatest visibility.

PROSPECTS

  • Industry sources are eagerly awaiting the recovery of the country’s economy, hoping that improving spending power will lead to higher revenues. All spreads are well-positioned to cater for the increasing pace of life because all of them require little or no preparation before eating. Product quality is also expected to improve, with consumers being more willing to try out new and more expensive offerings.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 283 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 284 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 285 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 286 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 287 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 288 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 289 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 290 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sugar confectionery, despite rising commodity prices in the global market, has performed fairly well in 2011. Although spending on such products has remained tight in terms of volume, consumers have shown the first signs of trading up. Despite the warnings of health specialists about the negative impact on health of sugar confectionery, Lithuanians continue to purchase such products occasionally. Retailers have also played their part by offering frequent price promotions. The results achieved by this fragmented category are slightly surprising given the fact that there are not that many strong brands nor are there many hard core purchasers of certain products, as there are in chocolate confectionery.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Vilniaus Pergale AB strengthened its leading position in 2010 in this fragmented category, commanding a 22% value share, up from 19% in 2009. The company has been present in Lithuania for a long time and because of its local roots can react to the changing moods of consumers faster than its competitors. Its other advantage over multinationals is that despite its efforts to boost exports – a goal on the list of virtually every producer in Lithuania – the domestic market remains its focus.

PROSPECTS

  • Lithuanians can be counted on to continue shopping for sweet products as they are considered affordable treats. The challenge for manufacturers will be to change the attitudes of purchasers and to shift attention from the price tag to the taste and any potential benefits of the products. This will be difficult to do as the bargain hunting habit is not expected to disappear anytime soon. After failing to gain the loyalty of consumers companies will also be threatened by the private label products introduced by retailers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 294 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 295 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 296 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 297 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 298 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 299 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 300 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 301 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 302 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 303 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 304 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 305 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 306 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 19 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The general economic situation, as well as consumers’ purchasing power, finally seems to be showing a recovery trend in 2011 after more than two years stagnation. Unlike the general performance in 2010, which could be considered stable and be defined as a bottom of the downturn, in 2011 we are able to see a growth in sweet and savoury snacks in both volume and value terms. The volumes grew by 2%, while value sales showed nearly 7% increase. This could be attributed to an increase in spending on extras, such as entertainment and non-essential products. Lithuanian consumers are also becoming more health conscious in terms of snacks, and a new regulation from the Ministry of Health that came into force in September 2010 forbids the sale of unhealthy products at schools. The list of forbidden products includes chips/crisps. This legislation defines the trend more, as the actual effects of this legislation did not significantly affect overall sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading brand in 2010 was Estrella owned by Kraft Foods Lietuva AB. The Estrella brand achieved a value share of 24% in 2010. It was followed by Lay’s from PepsiCo Inc with a 14% value share. The strong performances of these brands in sweet and savoury snacks is not surprising, as chips/crisps represent a major part of this category. The drop in share of Lay’s is mainly driven by the general decline of chips/crisps. Both brands are well recognised by Lithuanian consumers. However, their positioning as high quality products resulted in a one share point decrease for Lay’s and only one share point increase for Estrella. This increase was mainly defined by the introduction of new extruded snacks Estrella Rings and Estrella Double chips. Estrella and Lay’s are considered quality products, but because of prolonged economic stagnation, customers’ preference shifted towards cheaper or value for money products.

PROSPECTS

  • As was already mentioned, the economic downturn already reached rock bottom in 2010 and the Lithuanian economy started a slow but upwards trend over 2011. This will be the main factor driving this category and supporting its growth. In addition to this, all sweet and savoury snacks categories were significantly affected by the crisis and reduced consumer purchasing power. As a result, sales dropped dramatically in 2009-2010. The return to previous purchasing habits and growing consumer confidence will result in stronger growth rates over the forecast period. However, the growing health and wellness trend, supported by numerous articles in the press concerning healthy nutrition and dieting are likely to moderate growth rates of most categories in sweet and savoury snacks, especially during the second half of the forecast period. The commodity prices and fluctuations in them will mostly affect fruit snacks and nuts.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 307 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 308 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 309 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 310 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 311 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 312 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 313 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 314 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 315 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 316 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 317 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 318 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 20 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks performed relatively well during the recession and is poised for strong results in the currently rebounding economic market. Strong preference of consumers towards these products is largely responsible for the somewhat surprising results. Sour milk is traditionally often purchased by Lithuanians, especially older ones. The concept of yoghurt was introduced much later to consumers in Lithuania, but has gained approval, not least because of large sums of money assigned to advertising, including promotion of health benefits. Such products found their way to the baskets of more affluent consumers who were less affected by the economic crisis and could afford buying such goods.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Pieno Zvaigzdes, the leading dairy company in Lithuania, retained its leading position in yogurt and sour milk drinks in 2010 with 37% of value sales. The company was one of the first to enter the market and its innovative attitude was rewarded with a first-mover advantage as its brands Musu and Jo are popular amongst consumers. A good distribution network is also vital for the success of this (as for any other) company, as consumers are thrifty and read the expiration dates of short-lived products carefully.

PROSPECTS

  • Gradually rebounding purchasing power of consumers presents lucrative opportunities for companies as yoghurt and sour milk drinks fits nicely in the portfolio of each firm that seeks to take advantage of consumers’ preference towards healthier products. Although the market is getting crowded, there is still plenty of room for innovative products. What should concern local companies is that foreign firms are currently outperforming them in terms of innovativeness of their products, so intensified efforts of domestic dairy companies in this direction is expected.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 319 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 320 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 321 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 322 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 323 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 324 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 325 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 326 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 327 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 328 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 329 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 330 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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