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Country Report

Packaged Food in Mexico

Jan 2013

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

During 2011, overall healthy growth rate sustained most of the packaged food market

With an estimated retail value of Mx$706 billion by the end of 2011, packaged food experienced an increase in sales of 7%, while retail volume grew at a lower rate. Packaged food benefited from a number of factors such as dynamic expansion of modern retailers, financial stability in the country, also a stable currency exchange rate and slow-changing demographic factors, but it also faced adversity in the severe drought which affected the northern area of the country. In fact, the above described increase in retail sales was the largest experienced by the industry since 2007, just one year after the global crisis that exploded during Q4 2008.

The most severe drought in six decades may halt by mid-2012

During Q4 2010 and the whole of 2011, Mexico experienced what is considered to be the worst drought in seven decades. Northern Mexican states such as Chihuahua, Durango and Zacatecas received less than 50% of the usual rainfall, resulting in the loss of over 800,000 livestock and over 4.4 million acres of land. During 2011, the country was forced to increase its food imports by an estimated 34% when compared to 2010. This situation led to the country experiencing the third worst drop in food production, according to the FAO (Food and Agricultural Organization). However, the rainy season of 2012 might end this emergency situation since there are promising reports of considerable precipitation.

The packaged food industry remains highly fragmented with few dominant companies

The packaged food market remains highly fragmented with only one company, giant baker Grupo Bimbo, holding over 4% of retail value sales. In fact, only eleven companies of the dozens in existence hold over 1% of retail sales and one third of total sales are held by small, near-anonymous companies with artisanal production. However, there are some specific packaged food divisions that are notably dominated by a specific player, which deters the entrance of new players such as Sigma Alimentos in the chilled meats division, Herdez and La Costeña in the canned food industry or Grupo Bimbo in baked goods.

During 2011 the expansion of modern retailers was as vigorous as in previous years

During the review period modern retailing kept expanding at vigorous rates, led by OXXO convenience stores and by discounter, Wal-Mart. The previous legal threat to such strong expansion, known as Norma 29 (which banned the opening of any modern retailing in the vicinity of popular, traditional markets) never became an enforceable law, but is a perfect example of the distress this expansion is causing amongst traditional retailers (small independent grocers, traditional markets and some of the so-called “mayoristas”) which see their participation in grocers diminish every year amid better organised and managed modern retailers.

Reasonable growth seems likely but there are threats ahead

Most packaged food categories are mature and will grow at low and predictable rates. There are, however, some small segments that are rapidly expanding for particular reasons, such as chocolate for diabetics which is growing at double-digit rates (given the diabetic epidemic in the country) or prepared salads (for reasons of convenience). A good number of these fast-emerging categories are compatible with the notably increasing health and wellness trend, which help more health conscious consumers to overcome the overweight trend that has alarmed health authorities in the country. However, tough economic conditions in the country remain and these combine with the low growth of the US economy (which historically pulls up or drives down the performance of the domestic economic performance). These factors could deter the growth of the overall packaged food market.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Mexico with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Mexico, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Mexico for free:

The Packaged Food in Mexico market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Mexico?
  • What are the major brands in Mexico?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Mexico - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The most severe drought in six decades may halt by mid-2012

Reasonable growth seems likely but there are threats ahead

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Demographic trends shape packaged food product offering

Severe drought in Mexico affecting food imports and food prices

Expansion of modern retailing influences packaging sizes

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2009-2012
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2007-2012
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Mexico - Company Profiles

Distribuidora de Alimentos Naturales y Nutricionales SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Distribuidora e Importadora Alsea SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Fábrica de Pastas Alimenticias La Moderna SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Grupo La Moderna SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011 Retail sales

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Fábrica de Pastas Alimenticias La Moderna SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Gamesa SA de CV, Grupo in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Grupo Gamesa SA de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Grupo Gamesa SA de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Ganaderos Productores de Leche Pura SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 14 Ganaderos Productores de Leche Pura SA de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 18 Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Heinz México SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 21 Heinz México SA de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 22 Heinz México SA de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Herdez SA de CV, Grupo in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 25 Grupo Herdez SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 26 Grupo Herdez SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Industrial Lala SA de CV, Grupo in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 29 Grupo Industrial Lala SA de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 30 Grupo Industrial Lala SA de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Nestlé México SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 33 Nestlé México SA de CV: Production Statistics 2012

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 34 Nestlé México SA de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Sabritas SRL de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 37 Sabritas SRL de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Sigma Alimentos SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 40 Sigma Alimentos SA de CV: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 41 Sigma Alimentos SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Unilever de México SA de CV in Packaged Food (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 44 Unilever Food Solutions Mexico SA de CV: Competitive Position 2012

Baby Food in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During the first quarter of 2012, Nestlé México SA de CV launched a range of chilled baby food products, such as Gerber Bebible, Gerber Petit and Blend, as well as Yoghurt Batido Gerber. Nestlé is leveraging the Gerber brand, which has more than 70 years presence in the Mexican market, in part to create a totally new category of chilled baby food, currently unavailable in Mexico, and also to compete with yoghurt brands that target children, including Danone de México SA de CV’s Danonino and Sigma Alimentos SA de CV’s Yopli respectively. Nestlé seeks to produce the first yoghurt a baby eats, create loyalty and maintain a presence as the baby grows older.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé México SA de CV, alongside Nestlé SA subsidiary Productos Gerber SA de CV, leads sales of baby food with expected value shares of 51% and 11% respectively in 2012, effectively the same as the previous year. Nestlé México SA de CV has a strong presence in all categories apart from prepared baby food and other baby food, where Productos Gerber SA de CV holds an effective monopoly. Within milk formula, Nestlé México SA de CV holds an expected 57% share through its brands Nan, recommended by paediatricians, and Nido, which is subject to mass advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • The trend of women continuing to work after becoming mothers is expected to strengthen as more in the middle- and higher-income groups want to continue their professional career, while those in lower-income groups will need to continue to earn to support their families. Milk formula is thus expected to see increased penetration and volume growth, despite a declining birth rate, which is expected to fall by 6% over the forecast period as couples marry later, postpone starting a family and have fewer children overall.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 53 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2012
  • Table 54 Baby Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 55 Baby Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 56 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Baked Goods in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The global obesity epidemic is affecting Mexico much more seriously than other countries. According the OECD, in 2011, Mexico has the second largest overweight or obese adult population, after the US and, moreover, Mexico has the highest proportion of overweight and obese children in the world, thus it is officially considered an epidemic. Obesity is considered to be caused by Mexicans’ poor eating habits, with popular foods being high in calories, sugars and fats but low in nutritional value. One of the main cited causes of obesity and malnutrition in Mexico are baked goods and consumers have become aware of this. Nutritionists recommend moderating or even avoiding the consumption of baked goods to maintain a healthy weight, with the exception of tortillas, which are considered to be nutritious and non-fattening when not fried.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV is the leading player in the baked goods category, accounting for 29% of value sales in 2012. This category is very fragmented as the majority of the sales correspond to unpackaged/artisanal products, carried out by small independent producers. However, Grupo Bimbo dominates the packaged/industrial bread category due to its large distribution network that reaches every spot in the country, rural or urban, as well as its wide variety of brands and extensive product portfolio, including Bimbo, Marinela, El Globo, Suandy, Milpa Real, Sanissimo and Oroweat, among others. Grupo Bimbo has been present in the Mexican market for decades and has established a unique distribution network. It is present in all baked goods categories.

PROSPECTS

  • Tortilla is expected to regain some of the importance that was lost in recent years due to the consumption of fast food such as hamburgers and hot dogs. Obesity rates and awareness of potential associated health problems are expected to increase. Grupo Industrial Maseca SA de CV, through its campaign supporting tortillas, is leveraging the trend of consumers looking for less fattening, more nutritious products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 65 Packaged/Industrial Bread by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 66 Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread: In-store Bakery Sales 2007-2012
  • Table 67 Pastries by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 68 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2007-2012
  • Table 69 Baked Goods Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 70 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 71 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Biscuits in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The Gansitos brand, launched in 1957, leads the packaged/industrial cakes category with a 29% value share. Marketing research studies show that 96% of Mexican children recognise the image of the little gosling which is the image of the brand. This product is considered so important in Mexico than in 2006 the Mexican Post Office launched a series of stamps of Mexican icons, with one dedicated to this product. In the light of high awareness and consumption levels, Grupo Bimbo launched Galleta Gansito, which like the cake, is covered in chocolate with a creamy filling and strawberry jam, but in this case the product is crispy.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grupo Gamesa SA de CV led the category with a value share of 34% in 2012. Grupo Gamesa’s strategy consists of being present in every biscuits category, with a wide product portfolio that responds to a range of consumer needs. Distribution also plays a crucial role, since Grupo Gamesa is sold in all independent small grocers, convenience stores, supermarkets and hypermarkets, supplied by its 100 distribution centres. This company also has strong point-of-sales support through its merchandising team, which seeks to ensure prominence on retailers’ shelves. Innovation is also a key ingredient and, as a result of the wider trend towards low fat but indulgent products, it launched an Emperador variant, sweetened with Splenda.

PROSPECTS

  • The new regulations designed to reduce the consumption of high-calorie foods in schools have been addressed by the leading operators, launching smaller sizes in order to meet the calorie limits per lunch required by the Government. However, the Government is expected to reinforce the implementation of this initiative in the medium term.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 76 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 77 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 78 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 79 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 80 Biscuits Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 81 Biscuits Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 82 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 86 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Breakfast Cereals in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Mexico reports the highest child obesity rates in the world, and the Mexican Government has made efforts to create awareness of the long-term health and cost implications for country. Additionally, in 2011, the Government put into effect legislation to control the number of calories a snack marketed towards children should contain.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg de México SA de CV and Nestlé México SA de CV are the leading players within the breakfast cereals category in Mexico, accounting for 44% and 18% of retail value sales respectively in 2012. These companies lead due to three main factors: their brand positioning, their extensive distribution networks and their diversified product portfolios. The brands offered by these companies are by far the most well-known and both have strong reputations among consumers, due to a long-standing presence and their employment of strong advertising campaigns that allow them to better position their products. Furthermore, both Kellogg de México and Nestlé México are able to distribute their products across a range of distribution channels, which means their products are widely available to consumers. Included in the portfolios of both companies are products designed to meet the everyday demands of consumers, such as children’s breakfast cereals, fibre cereals, whole grain cereals and common popular products such as cornflakes and crisped rice.

PROSPECTS

  • The breakfast cereals category is expected to see continued leverage of the obesity trend, with products marketed as healthy alternatives to cakes and pastries, and manufacturers taking care to maintain an equilibrium between good flavour and healthy formulas. Additionally, more on-the-go versions are expected to become available, with the small cartons already used for children’s breakfast cereals becoming exploited for other segments. This way breakfast cereals will be able to substitute unhealthy snacks such as chips/crisps at work or elsewhere out of the home.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 87 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 88 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 89 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 90 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 91 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 92 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 93 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 95 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 96 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 97 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Canned/Preserved Food in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Due to the ever important convenience factor, canned/preserved food continued to register retail volume growth. Thus the popularity of such products is boosted by the presentation of smaller packaging. Two factors work in unison to spread the popularity of smaller presentations, specifically in canned/preserved beans, vegetables and fruit. They are the strong growth in the number of smaller households, including single-person households, and the ongoing expansion of discount and convenience stores, which typically offer products in small packs. As a result, the offer of 200g and 220g cans (mainly for beans, vegetables and fruit) has expanded, at the expense of the 800g and over presentations, commonly available in supermarkets and hypermarkets. It is important to note that this trend had less effect on canned/preserved fish/seafood and canned/preserved meat and meat products, since smaller packaging (from 120g to 170g for canned/preserved fish/seafood) was already standard across retail channels.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape is highly fragmented, with only two companies expected to account for more than 10% of retail value sales in 2012. Grupo Herdez is set to lead with a 15% share of retail value sales. The company holds important shares in canned/preserved food fish/seafood, fruit, meat and meat products, ready meals and vegetables. It has been present in Mexico for decades with a strong distribution network, offering good quality products at affordable prices. The manufacturer frequently invests in advertising. Conservas La Costeña, the second-ranked company, is projected to account for a 12% share. It follows a similar strategy to Grupo Herdez, though there are some differences: Conservas La Costeña does not participate in canned/preserved meat and meat products or fish/seafood, though it leads canned/preserved beans and “other” canned/preserved food, where Grupo Herdez is absent.

PROSPECTS

  • Food price increases are a constant threat for most canned/preserved food types, especially ones made from agricultural raw materials: vegetables, beans and fruit. The expected increase in prices of agricultural products could see retail value sales grow at double or even triple the rate of retail volume sales over the forecast period. It is difficult to accurately predict to the extent to which prices of agricultural products will rise or how far increases will affect canned/preserved food. Nonetheless a sizeable increase in raw material prices can be predicted. This will force companies to revise their pricing policies.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 45 Other Canned/Preserved Food: Product Types
  • Table 98 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 99 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 100 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 101 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 102 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 103 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 104 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 106 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 107 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 108 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Cheese in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cheese remains an important element in Mexican cuisine and the category contains a significant number of well-established products and brands. However, the products seeing the most growth are those offering convenience, as adults (particularly women, many of whom juggle childcare and jobs) are experiencing increasingly busy lifestyles. Mexican consumers are therefore purchasing products that are considered convenient and that make their lives easier. This includes cheese formats that facilitate the fast preparation of school lunches, such as the spreadable processed cheese Philadelphia from Kraft Foods de México SA de CV or single-portion packaged cheese such as La Vaca que Ríe soft cheese (from Quesos Bell México S de RL de CV’s and distributed by Sigma Alimentos SA de CV) and Babybel, also from Quesos Bell México S de RL de CV. As well as the convenience these products offer, they are also popular snacks with mothers as they are a perceived source of calcium and considered healthier than chips/crisps or confectionery, for example.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sigma Alimentos SA de CV leads cheese, with an expected 18% value share in 2012, achieved mainly through its Noche Buena brand targeted at middle- to high-income consumers and the El Torito and Chalet brands for lower-income consumers. Sigma Alimentos concentrates its marketing support on the Noche Buena brand, including its Manchego, grated Manchego, panela and Gouda varieties.

PROSPECTS

  • The number of women in the workforce is expected to increase, a trend that will lead them to continue to seek out convenient products. Thus, main category players are likely to launch more convenient formats of their existing cheese varieties; more sliced, grated and single-portion versions, as well as sticks, are expected to be launched, designed to make life easier. Advertising in the category is expected to focus on enjoying life, easy cooking and making the family happy with little effort.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 109 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 110 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 111 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 112 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 113 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 114 Unprocessed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2009-2012
  • Table 115 Cheese Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 116 Cheese Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 117 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 118 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 119 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 120 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 121 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Chilled Processed Food in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed meat is very popular in Mexico, with per capita volume consumption reaching 2kg year-on-year in the review period. Despite strong consumption, the average Mexican consumer is not demanding healthy meat products. Most people regard chilled meats as an indulgence and they are generally unaware of the content of such products. As a result, health and wellness products are estimated to account for less than a 1% share of retail value sales in chilled processed meat in 2012.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sigma Alimentos is expected to remain the leading player in chilled processed food in 2012, with a 46% share of retail value sales. In chilled processed meat, the company is set to maintain a 49% share. The manufacturer benefits from multibranding. Through this strategy it offers premium brands and products, such as Tangamanga and Oscar Mayer, and Spanish-style Serrano ham, standard brands, such as Fud, and economy brands, such as Viva. The portfolio comprises over 20 brands, including regional brands, such as Chimex, which is sold only in the north of the country, and Nayar, sold only in western Mexico. Sigma Alimentos manages top-of-mind brands, featuring a strong distribution network (with over 140 distribution centres) and regular advertising campaigns. Grupo Bafar, a distant runner-up with an estimated 14% share of retail value sales, has a large product portfolio, through well-known brands such as Parma, Bafar and Sabori.

PROSPECTS

  • Chilled processed meat is expected to record a 3% retail volume CAGR over the forecast period. Given the vast variety of such products and their possible uses in Mexican cuisine, demand should remain healthy. Chilled fish/seafood is predicted to grow by a 2% retail volume CAGR. However, the economic performance of the country is key, as these expensive products are far more sensitive to economic downturns than chilled processed meats. In retail value terms, chilled fish/seafood is expected to record stronger growth than chilled fish/seafood through the end of the forecast period. This will be influenced by the exchange rate fluctuations of the Mexican peso against the US dollar and euro, which usually favour these stronger currencies.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 122 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 123 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 124 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 125 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 126 Chilled Processed Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 127 Chilled Processed Meat: % Share of Chilled Meat Substitute 2007-2012
  • Table 128 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 129 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 130 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 131 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 132 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 133 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 134 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Chocolate Confectionery in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After a relatively long period of high prices for raw materials, namely cocoa beans, for which there were two peaks (December 2009 and February 2011) at around US$3,500 per tonne, prices started to fall and closed 2011 at US$2,200. This eased pressure on the finances of manufacturers. This situation was similar to that of sugar, which reached a high of US$0.30 per lb in January 2011 dropping to US$0.23 by the end of the year. However, the relief for chocolate manufacturers offered by the falling global price of sugar was limited by the cap on sugar imports enforced by the Mexican Government in order to protect the domestic sugar industry.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Only four companies hold shares of over 10%, making chocolate confectionery a relatively fragmented packaged food category. Multinational Nestlé México SA de CV leads with an expected 18% value share of total sales, with a number of well-known brands that have been present locally for decades, such as Larin, Carlos V and Crunch. Ranked second, Ferrero de México SA de CV accounts for an expected 16% share of value sales, selling a lower volume than Nestlé but leading in the more expensive standard boxed assortments category and dominating the even more expensive (per kg) chocolate with toys category. Hershey México SA de CV is ranked third overall with an expected 14% share, offering its iconic Hershey’s Kisses products alongside other Hershey’s lines, while Effem México SA de CV (owned by Mars Inc) follows closely with an expected 13% share, present in the twist wrapped miniatures, bagged selflines/softlines and countlines categories.

PROSPECTS

  • By the beginning of 2012 Mars Inc in the US publicly announced that the company would stop selling products with over 250 calories, starting in 2013. Given that the share of overweight and obese people in Mexico is the second highest in the world and that chocolate confectionery is dominated by international companies (including Mars, represented by Effem México SA de CV in fourth place), such a measure could potentially be implemented in Mexico. If this were to occur, other international manufacturers could follow suit. However, a strong impact by the health and wellness trend remains unlikely for the category. For example, during the review period Nestlé launched a low-sugar chocolate tablet under the Larin brand, but the product, packaged in distinctive green flexible plastic, has failed to gain a large consumer base, partially because (industry sources state) the product is typically placed right next to other standard chocolate products and people do not notice that there is a substantial difference.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 135 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 136 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 137 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 138 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 139 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 140 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 141 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 142 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 143 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 144 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 145 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 146 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 46 Other Chocolate Confectionery: Product Types 2012

Dried Processed Food in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Dried food prices have increased, though growth has been manageable rather than disastrous. In 2012, the average current unit price of rice is expected to grow by 6% to reach Mx$18.00 per kg. Mexico is highly vulnerable to price increases as it produces only one third of domestic consumption, with imports from the US and a number of Asian countries making up the shortfall. Moreover, prices are impacted by climate change, with drought affecting most agricultural products in Mexico in 2011-2012. The country was also affected by the drought that hit the US in mid-2012. The average unit price of rice, a commodity, in the world market was stable in 2012, reaching US$578.00 per ton in July 2012, still a long way from the all-time high of US$1,015 per ton in April 2008. In terms of sugar, a basic ingredient for dessert mixes, the situation is much better. Mexico is close to self-sufficient, producing almost 100% of domestic consumption; hence, it is less vulnerable to variations in the world market.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • As Cía Arrocera Covadonga applied for bankruptcy in 2010, the competitive landscape in rice became increasingly fragmented. Cía Arrocera Covadonga’s exit made it easier for a number of companies to gain notable shares. In 2012, only three companies are expected to hold retail value shares of more than 10%. Productos Verde Valle is set to remain the leading rice company with a 23% share of retail value sales, an increase of one percentage point on 2011. The company benefits from over four decades in the Mexican market and a very strong distribution network, consisting of 200 sales points across the country. Its expertise in the market has helped it to expand in packaged food, entering canned/preserved beans with the IsaDora brand.

PROSPECTS

  • Mexico is not expected to increase rice production significantly in the forecast period; hence, it will be forced to continue importing most of the rice required for domestic consumption. Companies will also be subject to currency exchange rate variation, which could make rice and other agricultural products more expensive. Furthermore, anticipated climate variations in Mexico and the US (the largest provider of food to the country, and vice versa) are likely to make agricultural products scarcer and even more expensive. It is almost guaranteed that price increases will be significant in rice, though it is very difficult to predict the extent of such increases and their underlying factors. In the case of sugar, the situation is much less drastic, since Mexico, among the 10 largest sugar producers in the world, is near self-sufficient in terms of consumption.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 147 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 148 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 149 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 150 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 151 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 152 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 153 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 155 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 156 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 157 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Drinking Milk Products in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Due to the burgeoning health and wellness trend, Jugos del Valle SA de CV, a juice company that is 50% owned by The Coca-Cola Co and 50% owned by Fomento Empresarial Mexicano (Femsa), is in the process of acquiring Santa Clara Productos Lacteos SA de CV. Santa Clara is a local company founded in 1927 that produces pasteurised milk, flavoured milk and milk derivatives such as cream, cheese and yoghurt. It operates 166 retail outlets in 16 states of Mexico and its products are also sold in hypermarkets, supermarkets and discounters. It also has institutional clients such as Restaurantes California, The Ritz Carlton and The Royal Resorts among others. Comisión Federal de Competencia (COFECO, the Federal Commission of Competition) approved this initiative in July 2012 but the acquisition will take some time to consolidate.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2012 Grupo Industrial Lala SA de CV remained the category leader with an expected value share of 34%, achieved largely through its Lala brand. Ganaderos Productores de Leche Pura SA de CV was ranked second with an anticipated 21% share, with the Alpura brand also ranking second. Both companies have strong manufacturing capability allowing them to constantly innovate. They also operate a large distribution network nationwide. Ranking third is Nestlé México SA de CV with an expected 9% value share in 2012, mainly achieved through its popular powder milk brand for children, Nido. All three companies have a wide product portfolio to meet the increasingly diversified consumer demand.

PROSPECTS

  • In the second half of 2012 and into 2013, the purchase of Santa Clara Productos Lacteos SA de CV by Jugos del Valle (owned by The Coca-Cola Co and Femsa) is expected to be completed as COFECO has already approved this initiative. The Coca-Cola Co and Femsa are expected to invest in supporting the Santa Clara brand, a move that has the potential to strongly impact the stable drinking milk products category that has long been controlled by local companies Grupo Industrial Lala and Ganaderos Productores de Leche Pura. The new brand owners are expected to invest in research and development in order to increase Santa Clara’s product portfolio, enabling it to compete with the already diversified category leaders.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 158 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 159 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 160 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 161 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 162 Chilled Vs Ambient Flavoured Milk Drinks: % Volume Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 163 Milk by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 164 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 165 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 166 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Frozen Processed Food in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Over 50% of frozen processed food in Mexico is derived from agricultural products (potatoes, vegetables and other frozen products - mostly fruits). However, agriculture is impacted greatly by the climate, which can make such products scarce and more expensive. If frozen bakery products, which depend on wheat prices, are added, agricultural products account for a 55% share of frozen processed food.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The top frozen processed red meat player, American Beef, is the overall leader in a fragmented competitive landscape. In 2012, the company is expected to account for a 15% share of retail value sales in frozen processed food. American Beef benefits from the high average unit price of frozen processed red meat, which is estimated to reach Mx$94.00 per kg in 2012. As a result, the company holds a lower retail volume share than Frigorizados La Huerta, the second-ranked player in retail value terms. Frigorizados La Huerta focuses on less expensive frozen processed vegetables, which has an estimated average current unit price of Mx$50.00 per kg. It dominates frozen processed vegetables with an estimated 77% share of retail value sales, due to aggressive distribution, large manufacturing facilities and innovation.

PROSPECTS

  • Frozen processed food is expected to continue to struggle to expand and grow its preference amongst Mexican consumers. There are perceived to be a number of disadvantages to frozen processed food, and this situation is unlikely to change in the forecast period. It will remain considerably more expensive than fresh food, and the ample supply of fresh food products is widely available in the country. Meanwhile, the perception that such products offer lower nutritional value and are less tasty than fresh and other packaged alternatives is likely to endure. Moreover, a heating device is required for consumption. As in most other packaged food divisions, potential price hikes may discourage purchases. The stability of the packaged food industry may come under threat. Harsher climate change, resulting in droughts, diseases along the lines of Avian flu, and the dependence of the country on exports to meet demand could see some food types, including frozen processed food, become scarcer and more expensive.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 47 Other Frozen Processed Food: Product Types
  • Table 171 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 172 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 173 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 174 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 175 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 176 Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 177 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 178 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 179 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 180 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Gum in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Although sugarised gum and bubble gum account for the larger share of volume sales in the gum category, sugar free gum continues to see the strongest growth in volume and value terms. This reflects the growing health and wellness trend in the country, illustrated by the even stronger growth seen by functional gum. As consumers show more concern about dental health and become more aware of the dangers of excessive sugar consumption, with high rates of diabetes in the country, the gum category will see a steady migration from sugarised to sugar free variants. Sugarised products remain popular, in particular bubble gum, which is targeted towards younger consumers who show less concern for the health issues raised by excessive sugar consumption.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury Adams Mexico S De RL De CV (owned by international food giant Mondelez International, Inc.) is the clear leader in the gum category with an expected value share of 64%. There are a number of reasons for this dominance. The company holds some of the best known brands in the marketplace, particularly the Chiclet brand that has been selling in Mexico for decades. The company’s comprehensive distribution network covers all modern retailers as well as hundreds of thousands of independent small grocers. Cadbury Adams Mexico places a strong emphasis on innovation. Trident was the first sugar free gum in the country, while Clorets was the first to use chlorophyll to give fresh breath. The company also invests heavily in regular advertising campaigns.

PROSPECTS

  • The forecast period is expected to see sugar free gum continue to outperform sugarised variants. Sugar free gum is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% in volume terms, to reach 25% of overall gum volume sales in 2017, up from 22% in 2012. The migration between the two categories will reflect the increased awareness of the dental and dietary benefits of sugar free gum amongst consumers, a trend in part driven by the efforts of manufacturers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 184 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 185 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 186 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 187 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 188 Leading Flavours for Gum 2007-2012
  • Table 189 Gum Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 190 Gum Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 191 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 194 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 195 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Ice Cream in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Impulse ice cream was the fastest growing category in 2012, achieving 6% value growth. This category is subject to more innovation, as it is targeted mainly towards children and tweens, who quickly tire of the same products and prefer novelties in terms of flavour, colour and form. Helados Holanda SA de CV regularly introduces products with attractive flavour and colour combinations, presented in fun formats to attract impulse purchases amongst young consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2012 Helados Holanda accounted for a 51% value share of ice cream sales. The company has a strong distribution network with nationwide presence, alongside a wide range of brands and flavours. Nestlé México ranked second with a 29% value share, ‘offering ice cream brands Mega, Extrême and Nestlé, as well as leveraging more broadly popular brands such as Nesquik and Crunch and introducing new eye-catching lines such as its brand new Pela Pop.

PROSPECTS

  • Innovation is set to be a key factor within the ice cream category over the forecast period, especially in terms of products with toys for children and tweens, such as Nestlé México SA de CV’s Pela Pop, which the company claims offer an experience rather than simply an ice cream. In addition, ice cream that contains real fruit chunks, juice or pulp is expected under Helados Holanda SA de CV’s Solero brand or Nestlé México’s Frizzy brand. Another trend in innovation is expected to stem from the line extension of the Yolado brand from Danone, as it seeks to leverage the health and wellness trend; Nestlé México is expected to launch a frozen yoghurt in order to compete with Danone.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 196 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 197 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 198 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 199 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 200 Leading Flavours for Ice Cream 2007-2012
  • Table 201 Ice Cream Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 202 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 203 Impulse Ice Cream Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 204 Impulse Ice Cream Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 205 Take-home Ice Cream Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 206 Take-home Ice Cream Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 207 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 208 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 209 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 210 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 211 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Meal Replacement in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Gradually, the growing incidence of diabetes in the country is impacting a number of packaged food categories and, in the case of meal replacement, it is having a direct influence on the two product areas within the category. In the case of convalescence, the main product addressing the needs of diabetic patients, the Glucerna brand, has achieved a strong performance, rising from a retail value share of 2% of convalescence sales in 2007 to an anticipated 3% in 2012. Meal replacement slimming products account for the bulk of all meal replacement products – the category is set to post a 70% volume share and an 88% value share in 2012. Slimming products are important for consumers for a number of reasons, with obesity being a key cause of diabetes. Health authorities estimate the number of diabetic people in Mexico accounts for between 10% and 14% of the total adult population, with many sufferers remaining undiagnosed. As a result, growing numbers of people are seeking to control their weight, with many turning to slimming products to in a bid to lose weight.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Herbalife Internacional de México SA de CV remained the leading company in the meal replacement category, with an expected 58% value share in 2012. The company has a large sales force (believed to be the largest distribution sales force in the country, with 400,000 people, many of whom work for the company as a second job). The second-ranked NBO is Slim-Fast Foods Co (GBO Unilever Group), with an anticipated value share of 20% in 2012; the famous Slim Fast brand has been present in Mexico for decades. No companies are present in both meal replacement slimming and convalescence, while no company active in convalescence holds a leading position overall due to the relatively small size of the convalescence category.

PROSPECTS

  • There are three key factors that are set to support the growth of meal replacement products over the forecast period. First, obesity rates in Mexico are expected to remain high, as the proportion of overweight or obese people stands at slightly over two thirds of the adult population. Even if drastic measures are taken to reduce this number, it would take many years to significantly reduce such a proportion. Secondly, the incidence of diabetes is also expected to remain high. Finally, given the high unemployment and underemployment rates in the country, direct selling is expected to remain the preferred distribution method of a number of operators in this category, most notably Herbalife and Omnilife.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 212 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 213 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 214 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 215 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 216 Meal Replacement Slimming by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 217 Meal Replacement Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 218 Meal Replacement Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 219 Sales of Meal Replacement by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 220 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 221 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 222 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Noodles in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • For a number of years, instant noodles have remained hugely popular amongst Mexicans, with reports of them even replacing other traditional products such as tortillas, to some degree. The reasons for such popularity are convenience, price and taste. Instant noodles are everywhere, at any traditional and modern retailer and even at small restaurants and stadiums and offered at informal street stalls. The product is quite inexpensively priced at around Mx$5.5 per cup and is quite tasty for most consumers. However, in recent years, noodles have had to contend with a reputation of being an unhealthy product. Noodles are regarded by many nutritionists as just refined flour fried in hydrogenated fat containing carbs with no nutrients, fibre, or vitamins. However, noodles are not only said to be depleted of nutrients, its appealing taste is said to be a product of monosodium glutamate, a food additive that raises concern in some consumers, besides having too much sodium, over 50% of the recommended daily intake in a single cup. Still, instant noodles remain very popular but less so amongst the most informed consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd, manufacturer of the famous Maruchan brand is the largest company in the noodles division with an outstanding 74% of total sales in 2012. This company was the first to offer cup noodles in the market when this product presentation was not even known back in 1990. Due to strong positioning, building an excellent distribution system and investing in advertising campaigns for decades, the Maruchan brand is tremendously popular and as of today, the Maruchan name is a synonym for instant noodles. In a distant second comes the Nissin Foods with a value share of only 9%. Its brand is usually found at large grocery retailers (supermarkets, hypermarkets) but less so in small independent grocers.

PROSPECTS

  • Noodles are likely to remain popular during the forecasted period, but companies will have to fight the growing perception that their products are not nutritious. Currently, most noodle products are enriched with vitamins A, B1, folic acid and iron, but given that a lot of products have some added vitamins (including regular dried pasta and even snacks), this claim is no longer significant. While some trends point to continuous expansion of noodle products (rising demand for convenient products, good distribution systems, preference for inexpensive manufacture), the category is expected to lose preference from consumers who are better informed on healthy nutrition practices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 224 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 225 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 226 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 227 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 228 Leading Instant Noodle Flavours 2007-2012
  • Table 229 Noodles Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 230 Noodles Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 231 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 232 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 233 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Oils and Fats in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Olive oil sales in México are very low, accounting for just 1% of total oils and fats sales in volume terms and 6% in current value terms in 2012. This product type is used mainly for frying or spreading and its consumption over salads is uncommon. However, the consumption rate of olive oil is rising, with volume sales having grown by 5% in each of the last three years of the review period. This product type is considered as gourmet and healthy but expensive and it is only used by middle-high-income consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • During 2012 ACH Foods, represented in Mexico by Alimentos Capullo, led oils and fats with a 22% share of total value sales, achieved mainly through traditional brands such as Mazola and Capullo in vegetable and seed oils, and Inca in cooking fats. This company is very active in terms of innovation and marketing support, launching the new Mazola Oliva y Soya with point-of-sale support (in the form of sampling and the presence of an in-store promoter) and Nuevo Capullo 100% puro de Canola with extensive advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • As Mexico is expected to continue facing challenges in terms of obesity, health organisations may continue to create awareness campaigns, with a focus on promoting healthier nutrition. Therefore, more operators within the oils and fats category are expected to launch versions of canola oil as consumers are set to become more aware of this product type, which has less saturated and polyunsaturated fat.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 236 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 237 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 238 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 239 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 240 Vegetable and Seed Oil by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 241 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 242 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 243 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 244 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 247 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Other Dairy in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of other dairy products are expected to increase by 6% in current value terms in 2012 to reach Mx$11 billion, following growth of 6% in 2011. Growth was supported by continued volume growth in flavoured, functional condensed milk, which is set to rise by 6% in 2012, while unit price rises across the other dairy category in 2012, as manufacturers pass on rising milk and sugar prices to consumers, are also set to have an impact. While retail volume sales of chilled dairy-based desserts are expected to rise by 2% in 2012, and flavoured fromage frais and quark is set to rise by 1%, the other dairy category as a whole is expected to see only marginal volume growth. Cream sales decline by 2% in volume terms in 2012, as Mexicans are becoming more health conscious and switching to healthier ingredients for cooking or coffee. However, as cream makes up only 15% of the category in volume terms, this moderate decline will not bring down the overall category growth rate too much.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé México SA de CV leads the other dairy category in Mexico, with an anticipated 47% value share in 2012, up from 46% in 2011. It recorded an increase in share in the last three years of the review period. The major packaged food operator has a long-standing presence in Mexico. Within the other dairy category the company has been active in the development of new products for adults and children. It has been particularly innovative in terms of flavours or colours, for example the distinctive new products Coffee-mate Líquido with interesting flavours within coffee whiteners and Nestlé Pureza Vital Gelatinitas within Chilled Dairy-based Desserts and is available in a bright colours.

PROSPECTS

  • Nestlé México SA de CV is expected to drive category growth in the forecast period as it will continue to invest in research and development, notably within condensed/evaporated milk and coffee whiteners, with the aim of generating true value-added products for consumers. The company will focus on Nestlé Professional as a source of business and will seek to provide extra value for its foodservice clients in terms of business administration, cuisine trends, nutrition information and workshops. These actions will be designed to build client loyalty towards its brands. Nestlé Professional is expected to establish more strategic partnerships – like that with Universidad del Valle de México, in which both parties will seek to training professionals in the food and beverage industry, generating synergies between the college and the food industry among other initiatives. This should help boost sales of Nestlé ingredients, such as cream and condensed milk, through foodservice through the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 248 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 249 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 250 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 251 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 252 Cream by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 253 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 254 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 255 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 256 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Pasta in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • International wheat prices showed remarkable stability during the review period. While commodity wheat prices had an important hike during May 2011 to US$354 per tonne (yet still far from the all-time high of US$440 in March 2008) this price came down to register US$270 per tonne by mid-2012. International wheat prices are important not only because wheat flour is the most important raw material for pasta, but because Mexico does not produce half of its wheat consumption and this deficit is covered via imports. These imports are subject to unfavourable currency exchange rates. To illustrate how damaging to the pasta industry a drastic a rise in international wheat prices can be, the March 2008 wheat commodity prices reached an all-time high at US$440 per tonne, a situation that forced pasta companies to increase prices in Mexico, driving unit prices to grow from Mx$15.4 by 2007 to Mx$24.4 just one year later.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Fábrica de Pastas Alimenticias La Moderna SA de CV has been the largest pasta company in Mexico for decades; the company is credited with being the pioneering company on offering pasta in Mexico when this product was barely consumed. As of 2012 the company holds up to 59% of total sales, and its product range covers dozens of varieties, ranging from the inexpensive regular dried pasta to more sophisticated products, such as high fibre pasta, pasta sauce, pasta for children, instant noodles, ready meal pasta and premium brands, such as De Luigi. In a distant second place comes Grupo Herdez with an 18% share of total retail sales. However, it is important to note that Herdez has a distribution agreement with the Italian Barilla company to distribute not only the Barilla but also the Yemina and Vesta brands. Other companies have really minor participations, usually lower than 2% of total sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Mexico is a country that for a number of years has imported a large portion of the basic food it consumes. In the case of wheat, the country imports slightly more than half of its total consumption; a situation that might be aggravated in the immediate coming years due to the severe drought that endured over 18 months. Given this situation, a number of food industries, including pasta, are subject to potential large increases in the price of commoditised agricultural products and the variations in the currency exchange rates that have remained very stable but have had a clear tendency to favour foreign currencies.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 258 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 259 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 260 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 261 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 262 Pasta Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 263 Pasta Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 264 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 265 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 266 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 267 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Ready Meals in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ready meals are expensive when compared to most standard fresh food, yet retail sales continue to increase steadily due to the growing appreciation of convenience among consumers. Demographic factors play an important role in the consistent growth of all packaged food types. According to CONAPO, one quarter of households in Mexico (over 28 million units) are headed by a woman, typically a working woman. This figure has been growing at a fast rate, as has the number of single-person units, which account for 9% of total households in the country. These figures help to understand the rising importance of convenience for a growing number of consumers. There is less time for household tasks, including cooking, and more consumers are turning to ready meals and prepared food in order to keep pace with increasingly hectic lifestyles.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sigma Alimentos, the leading player in ready meals, is expected to account for a 27% share of retail value sales in 2012. This share is partly due to the performance of its recognised brands, San Rafael, Guten, Fud and Del Chef. Most importantly, it is the only branded company in chilled pizza through San Rafael and Fud. Sigma Alimentos is also strong in chilled ready meals through Guten. This brand has been so successful that Guisy (Grupo Bafar) and Alguizo (Tyson Foods) were launched to compete directly against it.

PROSPECTS

  • The overall prospects for ready meals are good. Despite more expensive products being at a disadvantage in a struggling economy, increasingly hectic lifestyles in large and medium-sized cities will boost the demand for convenience products. Demographic factors will continue to play an important role in the sustained growth of ready meals, with single-person households, partly due to the rising divorce rate, stimulating demand. However, the constant threat of rising prices in the domestic and international markets could make ready meals even more expensive, which would discourage consumption.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 269 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 270 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 271 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 272 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 273 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2012
  • Table 274 Frozen Ready Meals % Breakdown by Ethnicity 2007-2012
  • Table 275 Chilled Ready Meals % Breakdown by Ethnicity 2007-2012
  • Table 276 Ready Meals Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 277 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 278 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 282 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Health and wellness trends keep growing, especially in terms of products that are frequently consumed in the country, such as mayonnaise. Mexicans tend to consume large amounts of mayonnaise and this product is considered an essential ingredient in all type of sandwich meals (tortas, hamburgers, hot dogs, sandwiches), as well as some fried foods and seafood as well as various other dishes. In the case of low fat mayonnaise, this category grew by an outstanding 7% in retail value to reach to 21,000 tonnes which is around one eighth of the volume of regular mayonnaise.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Herdez is the leading company, holding a notable, yet not dominant, 18% of total sales. The company benefits from having a decades-long presence in the market, having built a very strong distribution network and engaging in regular advertising besides having a presence in many categories: Tomato pastes and purées, pickled products, table sauces, mayonnaise and mustard, under own brands and licensed ones, such as McCormick. As a close runner up, Conservas La Costeña SA de CV holds a 16% share of total sales and also benefits from decades of operating in the domestic market and being involved in a number of categories, such as pickled products, chunky tomato, ketchup and sauce for pastas, besides building a strong distribution network and creating excellent advertising campaigns.

PROSPECTS

  • Price increase will be a constant threat if adverse climate events keep hitting the country, as happened during the drought of 2011-2012. Furthermore, as these events affect other countries that are sellers of food to Mexico (e.g. the US in mid-2012) the threat of rising prices in food will become even more menacing. It is nigh on impossible to predict price variations in the future but is easy to predict higher levels of volatility.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 48 Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: Product Types
  • Table 283 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 284 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 285 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 286 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 287 Wet/Cooking Sauces by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 288 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 289 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 290 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 294 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Snack Bars in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The global obesity epidemic is affecting Mexico more seriously than other countries. According to a recent study by OECD, Mexico has the second largest overweight or obese adult population, after the US. It also has the highest proportion of overweight and obese children in the world, thus this problem has been labelled an epidemic. Many Mexicans’ diets are high in calories, sugars and fats. Compounding this situation is the increasingly busy lifestyles of many Mexicans, who rely on food and beverages that are consumed on the go – a situation that has changed the way Mexicans snack throughout the day.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV remained the leader of the snack bars category with a 42% value share in 2012, followed by Kellogg de México SA de CV with 23% and Productos Quaker de México SA de CV with 13%. Grupo Bimbo is only present within breakfast bars, but as this is the largest category within snack bars, the company has been able to successfully sustain its overall share. The main reason for Grupo Bimbo’s success is distribution; the company has been present in Mexico for decades and has established a distribution network that allows it to reach virtually every corner of the country.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that the main companies active within snack bars will focus their research, product development and marketing efforts on the segment geared towards children as the ley antichatarra, which regulates the food that can be sold to children in schools, is expected to become stricter and better enforced during the forecast period. Furthermore, companies will focus on the segment of women who wish to take care of their shape. There is a very high obesity rate among women in Mexico, which continues despite a society that increasingly aspires to be slim.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 295 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 296 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 297 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 298 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 299 Snack Bars Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 300 Snack Bars Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 301 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 302 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 303 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 304 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 305 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Soup in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In contrast to other packaged food divisions in which health & wellness products are currently making a difference, in soup, these products are negligible and failing to make a significant or even noticeable presence. Part of the reason is that soup has a reputation of being a healthy product per se, despite being industrialised. Most soup products in Mexico are made of healthy natural vegetables which contribute to strengthening this image.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cocina Productos de Maiz SA de CV, local distributor of Unilever soup, is the largest player in the country with its Knorr brand, which holds 45% of total retail sales. The company succeeds by meeting consumer demand and providing a range of flavours which appeal to most consumers. These flavours are based on commonly used condiments and spices, such as tomato, onion, garlic and chili peppers. In fact, the Knorr brand is well known as an excellent flavouring in all kinds of dishes, especially soup and “consomes” and this brand is a synonym for stock cubes. As a close runner up, the Campbell’s brand holds 40% of total soup value sales. Important to note, is that while the Campbell’s brand dominates canned/preserved soup, accounting for 92% of total sales, the Knorr brand dominates UHT and dehydrated soup, with value shares of 83% and 68%, respectively.

PROSPECTS

  • An increase in food prices due to larger population combined with adverse climate events will be a constant threat to soup in the coming years, remaining unpredictable. What is for sure is that the costs of energy will keep increasing since the government (provider of most energy in the country) has plans to increase energy prices. The problem is that since soup uses a large number of agricultural products (corn, rice, wheat, a large number of vegetables and some beef and chicken) the risk of being affected by an increase in food prices can come from a number of fronts.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 306 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 307 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 308 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 309 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 310 Leading Soup Flavours 2007-2012
  • Table 311 Soup Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 312 Soup Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 313 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 314 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 315 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 316 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 317 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Spreads in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Mexico has the highest rate of obesity among children in the world and the Government has made significant efforts to create awareness of the effects of this condition. Mothers are more aware of the nutritious value of the food they give to their children. However, as many of them have joined the workforce, they do not have time to prepare dishes for breakfast or school lunches and sometimes just give a yoghurt or glass of milk to their children; it is thought the lack of an adequate breakfast or lunch can act to the detriment of a child’s wellbeing and performance in school.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grupo Herdez SA de CV led the spreads category with a 30% value share in 2012 due to its well positioned McCormick Jam brand, which has been present for over 60 years in the Mexican market. The company was followed by JM Smucker de México SA de CV with a 21% value share. This company is also strong in the jams and preserves category. Third place was occupied by Conservas La Costeña SA de CV, with a 10% value share. These three companies all support their brands through mass advertising, a strategy that helps to keep the brands fresh, despite being present in Mexico for many years.

PROSPECTS

  • High obesity rates in adults and children will prompt consumers to shift towards healthier options that are lower in sugar and richer in natural ingredients. Diabetes is one of the main problems stemming from obesity and Mexico has one of the highest incidences of the disease in the world, thus the main players within the spreads category are expected to launch more products with reduced or substituted sugar.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 318 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 319 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 320 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 321 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 322 Leading Flavours for Jams and Preserves 2007-2012
  • Table 323 Spreads Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 324 Spreads Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 325 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 326 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 327 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 328 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 329 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Sugar Confectionery in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In the case of the sugar confectionery, the very basic raw material, sugar, has a paramount role in the category, even more since sugar production and availability face a sui generis situation that stems from Government action. In Mexico, imports of sugar are limited by the Government to only 150,000 tonnes per year. This cap is domestically known as a cupo and its purpose is to protect the national sugar industry. However, the result is that when for any reason domestic sugar production drops and imports do not cover domestic demand, sugar prices go up regardless of global commodity prices. For example, during 2011 domestic production fell and imports determined by the cupo did not meet demand, creating an artificial rise in prices. While international sugar prices dictated that a 50kg bag was priced at Mx$500, in Mexico the price of the same bag was Mx$730. This situation affected the industry during 2011 and part of 2012. Domestic manufacturers, however, are limited in their scope in terms of price increases, since if prices rise significantly, then domestic products are no longer competitive with imported products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV is by far the largest bakery company in Mexico and for several years the largest bakery company in the world. The company has been expanding to other packaged food categories, including snacks, ready meals and sugar confectionery, through its powerful Ricolino division. It is expected to post a value share of 18% in 2012, due to important and iconic brands such as Duvalin, Panditas and Moritas and most recently (since 2011) Vero, which is the leading brand in lollipops. Grupo Bimbo has substantial expertise in the packaged food industry and has developed one of the best distribution networks in the country, besides engaging regularly in advertising campaigns. The only other company with over 10% of value sales is Cadbury Adams Mexico S De RL De CV, with an expected 12% share in 2012, due to strong shares in mints and lollipops and a dominant position in medicated confectionery with the famous Halls brand (present in Mexico for many decades).

PROSPECTS

  • Mexico is facing the worst drought in seven decades, impacting sugar production. The Government is facing calls to raise the cap on sugar imports (known as cupo) from 150,000 tonnes to around 250,000 tonnes, and beyond if necessary. If international sugar prices remain low or at least stable, as they have during the first half of 2012, then a move such as this would benefit sugar confectionery manufacturers, since sugar would cost less on international markets than domestically. Further rises in price would impact production costs for all sugar confectionery manufacturers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 330 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 331 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 332 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 333 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 334 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 335 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 336 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 337 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 338 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 339 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 340 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 341 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 49 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types 2012

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During the review period, the snack companies kept making efforts to slash the general perception of snack products being highly unhealthy. During 2011, Bimbo reduced from 20% to 30% the amount of salt used in its snacks and cut the saturated fat content in half. The company also reduced the sugar content of 140 products but this measure affected mostly its bakery products rather than salty snacks. The company said that during 2012 it will continue to reduce saturated fats, sugar and sodium. The snacks industry also launched a campaign defending its manufactures by saying that snacks are made out of natural ingredients such as corn, potatoes, peanuts and wheat and therefore have considerable nutritional value. Oil for manufacturing those products is vegetal and natural spices and chili are also used. There is strong concern among all players in the industry to play down this negative perception and to revisit their ingredients to change the image of the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sabritas SRL de CV, owned by PepsiCo, holds two thirds of total retail sales while the Barcel company owned by giant domestic bakery company Bimbo lags in a distant second with only 17% of total sales. The two companies benefit from operating for decades in the market, from having strong distribution networks, from the financial strength of their parent companies and from engaging in regular advertising campaigns. Interestingly, Barcel does not participate either in the fast growing fruit snack division nor in the popcorn division, making Sabritas the only manufacturer present and dominant at all snack categories.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that over the forecast period, one of the main priorities for snack companies will be to get rid of the largely negative image that positions most products as junk food. Companies will attack such perception by lowering the content of undesirable ingredients in their products (sodium, sugar, fats and carbs) as well as launching promotional campaigns pointing to the health benefits of basic raw materials that snacks are made of. Companies will keep promoting sporting activities and using slogans that encourage healthy eating and exercise. Perhaps the next step will be offering fortified products or even some organic versions.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 50 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types
  • Table 342 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 343 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 344 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 345 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 346 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 347 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 348 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 349 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 350 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 351 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 352 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 353 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Lifestyles in urban areas have become busier. People leave their houses early in the morning and return late at night. The journey from home to work can take more than an hour in Mexico City, where around 15% of the country’s population is concentrated. There has been a growing trend of people eating outside the home, relying heavily on unhealthy fast food and snacks as they do not have time to prepare snacks at home – a situation contributing to the high levels of obesity, diabetes and heart disease. In this context, the Government has made efforts to create awareness of health problems associated with obesity, thus people starting to show and interest in choosing healthier options such as yoghurt.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • During 2012 Danone de México SA de CV led the yoghurt and sour milk products category with an expected 27% value share. This company’s portfolio targets a number of different audiences, for example, women with the Activia and Vitalinea brands and young people with Dan’Up.

PROSPECTS

  • Lifestyles in urban areas are expected to become more hectic, as Mexican cities will continue growing in area and in terms of inhabitants. Growing numbers of women will join the workforce and will thus have less time to prepare (and eat) healthy snacks. Additionally, obesity rates are expected to remain high, but awareness levels will make people more responsible about their eating habits. Products within the drinking yoghurt category are expected to fit this lifestyle, thus the main operators within yoghurt will concentrate their launches on this category, responding to consumer demand for convenient, nutritious and tasty products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 354 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 355 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 356 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 357 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 358 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt: % Value Breakdown 2012
  • Table 359 Leading Flavours for Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt 2007-2012
  • Table 360 Leading Flavours for Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt 2007-2012
  • Table 361 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 362 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 363 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 364 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 365 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 366 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 367 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Baby Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Cow's Milk
            • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
              • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Long-Life/UHT Milk
              • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
              • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
              • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
          • Goat Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Drinks
          • Soy Milk
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products
        • Sour Milk Products
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut and Seed Based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by ethnicity
  • Analysis by flavour
  • Analysis by format
  • Analysis by type
  • Chilled vs ambient
  • In-store bakery sales
  • Per cent share of chilled meat substitute
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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