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Country Report

Packaged Food in Nigeria

Nov 2010

Price: $6,500

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Nigeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Nigeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Nigeria for free:

The Packaged Food in Nigeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Nigeria?
  • What are the major brands in Nigeria?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Strong steady growth of packaged foods

The growth of the packaged food market in Nigeria remained strong and steady over the review period. This can mainly be attributed to the sheer size of the Nigerian population, which equates to enormous and growing demand for packaged food products. Other contributory factors include improving product quality, the growing sophistication of Nigerian consumers, the increasing marketing activities of companies and generally higher disposable incomes. Packaged food is one of the most dynamic markets in Nigeria, with many new entrants and products each year.

The impact of the economic downturn persists

The economic downturn has resulted in a credit crunch in the economy. At present, most banks are still not giving credit and this has severely hampered business activities in Nigeria. It has also led to a rise in the cost of funds and that presents another major challenge for companies. Manufacturers have also had to deal with spiralling costs of raw materials for production, which have eroded profit margins. Companies that manufacture domestically also typically have high manufacturing costs as a result of poor infrastructure such as electricity. Although the Nigerian economy is showing signs of recovery, it has not fully recovered from the downturn.

Multinationals continue to dominate the market

The packaged food market in Nigeria is highly fragmented, with the presence of multinationals, domestic and foreign companies. Multinationals generally dominate except in categories where domestic players are protected by legislation. Notable players include Cadbury Nigeria Plc, Nestlé Nigeria Plc, UAC Foods, De-United Foods Industries, Dangote Industries Ltd, HJ Heinz Co and FrieslandCampina WAMCO Nigeria Plc. It is also common for large international companies to form alliances with Nigerian companies to repackage and/or market their products in Nigeria. This lowers the risk of market entry. It also enables the international company to benefit from the existing marketing and distribution capabilities of the Nigerian company.

Open markets remain the primary distribution channel

Open markets, included in other grocery retailers, are traditionally the primary distribution channel for packaged food in Nigeria. Nevertheless, the entry of new supermarkets and shopping malls is encouraging some consumers to switch to a different and novel shopping experience. By taking away the stress involved in haggling over items, the supermarket channel increased its value share over the review period. Most supermarkets offer products at reasonable prices, as well as allowing consumers to benefit from in-store promotions.

Positive outlook for the forecast period

A positive performance is predicted for the packaged food market in Nigeria over the forecast period. One of the main factors responsible for this will be the country’s current political stability and economic recovery, which is expected to continue in the future. Higher disposable incomes and increasing company advertising are also expected to drive growth in the future. As a result, the average Nigerian will spend more on packaged food, especially on items previously regarded as luxuries. The increasing sophistication of Nigerian consumers and improving product quality will also be growth drivers over the forecast period. Food items that are fast and convenient, such as pasta and noodles, will continue to experience dynamic growth in Nigeria.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Nigeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Strong steady growth of packaged foods

The impact of the economic downturn persists

Multinationals continue to dominate the market

Open markets remain the primary distribution channel

Positive outlook for the forecast period

MARKET DATA

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • The fast food industry in Nigeria is experiencing rapid growth at present because of westernisation and changing consumer lifestyles. Nigerians, both men and women, are working longer hours outside their homes, which has greatly increased demand for fast food. Additionally, the rising number of middle-class consumers with enough income to eat out regularly has provided sustained growth for foodservice outlets.

Competitive Landscape

  • Foodservice in Nigeria remained highly fragmented in 2009. There are many small players that supply the many independent foodservice outlets. Fast food chains and full-service restaurants prefer to source their packaged food items from local fresh food markets and companies such as Zartech Ltd, UTC Foods, CHI Ltd and Obasanjo Farms. Some fast food chains have also set up subsidiaries to handle their foodservice supplies; for example, Tantalizers set up First Bite Ltd to handle all its foodservice needs.

Prospects

  • There is great growth potential for future foodservice sales. This growth is expected because of the activities of players in the fast food industry. Companies such as Mr Bigg’s and Tantalizers have plans to expand their existing branch networks. And coupled with the anticipated entry of more new players, particularly multinational food chains, this will have a positive impact on companies selling to foodservice outlets.

CATEGORY DATA

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Volume growth in 2010 has been slower than growth over the review period because of the impact of the economic downturn on Nigeria. Although things are generally getting better, the pace of recovery has been quite slow, with consumers trying to cut down their on-the-go snacking. Unit prices have also been a deterrent for cash-strapped consumers who have switched back to basic foods.

Competitive Landscape

  • Sumal Foods Ltd led impulse and indulgence products in 2009 with a 12% retail value share, closely followed by other players such as Nigeria Biscuit Co Ltd, OK Foods Nigeria Ltd and Cadbury Nigeria Plc. Sumal Foods Ltd managed to stay ahead thanks to low prices and a wide portfolio of biscuits and confectionery that are distributed throughout the country.

Prospects

  • Impulse and indulgence products in Nigeria will record a 3% volume CAGR over the forecast period as consumer confidence recovers and the snacking trend expands further. Future demand will be driven by economy brands and convenience as street hawkers and vendors mostly offer these. The expected development of modern retailers such as Spar and Shoprite should help the development of the niche but growing premium segment of affluent consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • At present, the Nigerian economy is gradually recovering from the recession. With higher disposable income, consumption has risen and nutrition/staples have been the first to pick up because these are the most essential products.

Competitive Landscape

  • Notable nutrition/staples players in Nigeria include UAC Foods, Leventis Foods, FrieslandCampina WAMCO Nigeria, Dangote Industries, De-United Foods, Promasidor Nigeria and Unilever Nigeria. These companies have efficient nationwide distribution systems and spend considerable resources on advertising and marketing.

Prospects

  • Nutrition/staples is expected to record a volume CAGR of 4% and a constant value CAGR of 3% over the forecast period. Value growth will be mainly driven by noodles and pasta, which are by far the most popular and dynamic packaged food products in Nigeria at present. Their convenience and cheap prices make them the ideal staple to compete with more traditional products like rice, garri and yam. Furthermore, the flavours are a big attraction for consumers who want to experience new tastes.

CATEGORY DATA

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Volume growth in 2010 has been flat as a result of consumers switching to home cooking and basic staples instead of readymade products. This is a lingering effect of the economic downturn that forced consumers to go back to basics. Moreover, meal solution products are expensive compared to other packaged food items and consumers are switching to more affordable alternatives such as dried pasta and noodles as well as unpackaged products.

Competitive Landscape

  • Nestlé Nigeria Plc led meal solutions in 2009 with 13% value share. The company is present mainly in soup and stock cubes, which are used extensively in home cooking to flavour meals.

Prospects

  • Meal solutions is expected to post a volume CAGR of 3% and a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. A positive outlook for the Nigerian economy will boost consumer confidence and favour packaged food and readymade meals instead of fresh foods for reasons of convenience.

CATEGORY DATA

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Nigeria - Company Profiles

AG Leventis (Nigeria) Plc - Packaged Food - Nigeria

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 AG Leventis Plc: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 AG Leventis Plc: Competitive Position 2009

Big Treat Bakery & Confectionery Ltd - Packaged Food - Nigeria

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Big Treat Bakery & Confectionery Ltd: Competitive Position 2009

Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc - Packaged Food - Nigeria

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Golden Pasta Co Nigeria Ltd: Competitive Position 2009

May & Baker Nigeria Plc - Packaged Food - Nigeria

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 May & Baker Nigeria Plc: Competitive Position 2009

Tantalizers Nigeria Plc - Packaged Food - Nigeria

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Baby Food in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value growth for baby food stood at 4% in 2010. Demand was driven by working mothers who want to resume to their professional life soon after pregnancy. This trend boosted sales of packaged baby food, especially premium brands which offer the best quality claims. Even though breastfeeding is generally the more preferred form of feeding, mothers often do not have a choice since they have to go back to work after maternity leave.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Nigeria Plc leads sales of baby food and its dominance stems from the popularity of its brands and the fact that they are widely available in Nigeria. Its brands, Cerelac, Nestlé Nutren and Nan have been available for a long time in Nigeria and they are widely trusted by mothers.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of baby food are expected to grow at a 4% volume CAGR over the forecast period, supported by an improving economy and rising product awareness. It is expected that low-income parents will progressively increase their consumption of packaged baby food, thereby replacing homemade preparations. Constant value sales will rise at a CAGR of less than 1%; sales will still be driven by standard and economy products.

CATEGORY DATA

Baked Goods in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In recent years, rising raw material prices, especially flour and sugar, had a significant impact on retail prices within baked goods. However, baked goods retail prices stabilised in 2010 as raw material prices remained steady following the global food crisis.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leventis Foods, which produces the Val-U bread brand, led baked goods sales in 2009, recording a retail value share of 14%. UAC Foods followed closely behind with a retail value share of 13%. Both companies benefit from having large distribution networks.

PROSPECTS

  • Baked goods have a projected forecast period constant retail value CAGR of 4%. Growth will be fuelled by the increasing popularity of cakes and pastries for snacking. New products in these areas and intense advertising will help to attract new consumers over the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

Biscuits in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2010 was slower than the review period average due to increasing maturity. In response, producers are using a range of different strategies in a bid to stimulate sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sumal Foods dominates fragmented biscuits, recording a retail value share of 22% in 2009. The company’s most popular brand, Okin, has been available in Nigeria for a long time and is widely available. In addition, the company is also improving product quality and packaging in order to remain competitive.

PROSPECTS

  • Biscuits have a projected forecast period retail volume CAGR of 3%. Future demand will be driven by rising consumer sophistication and the snacking trend.

CATEGORY DATA

Breakfast Cereals in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Breakfast cereals were hit by the economic downturn and consequent rise in price sensitivity in 2009, with many consumers reducing expenditure on non-essential items. Consumption levels remain relatively low, with only high income households typically purchasing breakfast cereals on a regular basis.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kellogg led sales in 2009, recording a retail value share of 26%. Kellogg is the leading imported brand and benefits from having a strong brand name, a wide product range, and extensive in-store presence. However, the company’s brands are premium priced and generally only consumed by middle to high income earners.

PROSPECTS

  • Breakfast cereals retail volume sales are expected to increase by a total of 2% over the forecast period – a performance which is in-line with the review period average. The improving economy and rising disposable incomes will encourage consumers to trade-up to more expensive products such as breakfast cereals over the coming years.

CATEGORY DATA

Canned/Preserved Food in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The convenience offered by canned/preserved food is the most important factor driving retail sales growth in 2010. More women work outside the home, while more single men and people in general work longer hours. Therefore, products that are fast and convenient have a strong appeal. Previously, eating canned food was unacceptable to many households since most women were housewives. This attitude has shifted because of Western influences and lifestyle changes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • HJ Heinz Co led canned/preserved food in Nigeria with an 18% share of retail value sales in 2009. The company benefits from the popularity of the Heinz brand which has long been available in Nigeria. There is also a wide variety of Heinz products across different categories such as canned/preserved vegetables and baked beans.

PROSPECTS

  • Canned/preserved food sales are expected to grow by a 5% retail volume CAGR over the forecast period. This growth is expected because of the convenience that canned/preserved food offers consumers. This factor will become even more important as more women join the workforce and people continue to work longer hours.

CATEGORY DATA

Cheese in Nigeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Cheese is not very popular in Nigeria, thus it has negligible sales. It is present in urban centres in select retail outlets that target foreigners and middle- to upper-income consumers with sophisticated tastes. However, this is likely to change thanks to the development of modern supermarkets which tend to offer more premium products, thus raising the awareness to them.

Chilled Processed Food in Nigeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed food is not present in Nigeria because of the challenges of stocking these items and keeping them fresh due to the country’s irregular power supply. Therefore, most retailers rely on generators for electricity. However, the majority of retailers cannot afford to keep these generators running for 24-hrs therefore it is difficult for them to stock chilled items, which require a constant power supply. They would rather stock frozen processed food since frozen items in a freezer can keep for a couple of hours even when there is no power supply.

Chocolate Confectionery in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Rising average earnings in Nigeria are fuelling consumption of chocolates which were traditionally perceived as being luxury products. The increasing adoption of Western eating habits is also boosting demand for chocolate confectionery in Nigeria. The large expatriate population living in Nigeria has also contributed to increasing demand in this area.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury led sales during 2009, recording a retail value share of 26%. The company’s brands are of good quality and are also extremely popular and widely available. Moreover, the company has a very large portfolio of tablets with varied flavours and ingredients, from plain chocolate to fruits and nuts, and thus attracts a wide variety of consumers

PROSPECTS

  • Chocolate confectionery’s projected forecast period retail volume CAGR of 4% is significantly lower than the review period average of 2%. This decline will be due to increasing health concerns amongst consumers and the growing availability of cheaper competing products such as sugar confectionery.

CATEGORY DATA

Dried Processed Food in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, the category showed signs of recovery from the global food crisis with retail volume sales growing by 6%, compared to 4% in the previous year. In 2009, the availability and price of packaged rice in Nigeria were significantly affected by the economic downturn. Importers and distributors further compounded the problem by hoarding their supplies. In 2010, supplies started to return to pre-crisis levels but unit price growth was still high in current value terms, therefore most consumers continued to trade down to unpackaged rice.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading player overall, De-United Foods Industries, dominated dried processed food in 2009 with a 17% share of retail value sales provided by its domination over instant noodles. The company’s success is based on the strong brand name that it has built for Indo Mie in instant noodles. It has been the only product present in noodles for a long time and it is so popular that noodles are synonymous with Indo Mie. The company has won the hearts of consumers, especially children. De-United Foods Industries appeals to parents and children through advertisements and marketing events.

PROSPECTS

  • Dried processed food sales are expected to grow by a 5% retail volume CAGR over the forecast period. This growth will be driven by the rising penetration of instant noodles as a cheap and convenient alternative to fresh food and packaged rice. Furthermore, manufacturers of noodles will introduce more varied flavours in order to attract more consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

Drinking Milk Products in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smaller packaging continues to drive the growth of drinking milk products, particularly powder milk, in Nigeria since it makes individual purchases more affordable. Most manufacturers make their products available in small sachets of 10 g or 20 g so they can be purchased by customers no matter what their socioeconomic group.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • FrieslandCampina WAMCO Nigeria Plc leads sales with a 33% value share of the milk category and 35% of powder milk sales. One of the reasons for the company’s position is the length of time it has operated in Nigeria. Previous launches of the Peak milk brand have performed well in the past partly because of the success of the parent brand. However, the company’s new products have also been innovative and well packaged, which has also contributed to its success. For example, Peak Full Cream Milk Powder in a flexible 25g packaging is a product innovation which also directly addresses the needs of consumers since it presents the brand in a cheaper variant.

PROSPECTS

  • Drinking milk products is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% in retail constant value terms over the forecast period. New products and innovations are expected to fuel growth over the forecast period. Novel categories such as flavoured milk drinks are expected to continue to grow dynamically and will drive growth in the future.

CATEGORY DATA

Frozen Processed Food in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The impact of the economic downturn in Nigeria was still present in 2010 and retail volume sales decreased by 1%. Upper- and middle-income consumers who used to drive sales of the products, traded down during the period of economic uncertainty and shifted back to basic food, eg fresh food and canned/preserved products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Zartech Ltd led frozen processed food with a 24% share of retail value sales in 2009. Domestic players such as Zartech and CHI Ltd are poultry and meat farms which have gone into processing their poultry and meat in order to add more value and increase sales. Their products are of a high quality and widely available across retail outlets. They are also well packaged and supported by mass-media advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • The increasing sophistication and Westernisation of consumers in Nigeria will positively impact the demand for frozen processed food in the forecast period as the local economy recovers. This is expected to translate into a 2% retail volume CAGR, slightly faster than over the review period.

CATEGORY DATA

Gum in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2009, sales leader Cadbury decided to withdraw its Bubba Bubble Gum and the short-lived Stimorol brands. According to company sources, the company took this decision in order to focus on its major Bournvita, Tom Tom, and Butter mint brands in other areas. Industry experts are of the opinion that the company’s brands have suffered from the financial scandal it was embroiled in a few years ago.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury Nigeria Plc continued to lead gum sales during 2009, recording a retail value share of 47%. However, the company recently decided to discontinue its gum brands due to the low overall level of demand for gum in Nigeria.

PROSPECTS

  • Gum sales are expected to continue to decline over the forecast period due to dwindling demand, increasing maturity, and the withdrawal of Cadbury.

CATEGORY DATA

Ice Cream in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Ice cream volume sales declined by 1% in retail volume in 2010 as consumers were still cutting down on non-essentials such as bulk ice cream from grocery retailers and sticking to the basic food items. However, sales were resilient in the foodservice channel because most consumers of ice cream prefer buying the products outside of the home as a refreshing treat rather than stocking ice cream in their freezers. However, foodservice sales are significantly lower, so could not offset the drop in retail sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • UAC Foods leads the ice cream category in Nigeria with a 39% retail value share in 2009. Its Supreme Ice Cream Vanilla brand is popular and widely available at retail outlets across Nigeria. The company also distributes its ice cream through Mr Bigg’s, the leading fast food chain with over 200 outlets and another subsidiary of the UAC group. This partnership helped raise the company’s profile among consumers and had a knock-on effect on retail sales as well. The company’s superior performance can be attributed to its widespread nationwide distribution and the competitive pricing of its products.

PROSPECTS

  • Ice cream is expected to see a shift to growth in the forecast period, at a 3% CAGR in volume terms and 5% in constant value terms. Consumers will progressively spend more on indulgence products as the Nigerian economy improves. Moreover, retail sales will pick up again as consumers resume buying ice cream for home consumption.

CATEGORY DATA

Meal Replacement in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Meal replacement products are growing from a low base and have not made a significant impact in Nigeria. Awareness of products in this area remains limited and consumers are far less concerned over weight than in Western countries.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Most meal replacement products are imported, often by individual distributors that organise shipments from source countries in Europe or the US. The area is highly fragmented, with no clear leading brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Meal replacement products’ projected forecast period retail volume CAGR of 2% is significantly lower than the review period average of 9%. Demand will remain limited to a niche consumer segment, with products in this area not set to become typical day-to-day purchases. Most Nigerians are not concerned with diet and weight issues since there is no cultural stigma against obesity in the country.

CATEGORY DATA

Noodles in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The entrance of new players into noodles in 2009 resulted in extremely dynamic growth of this category. New players included Dangote Industries Ltd, Golden Pasta Co Nigeria and Tummy Foods Industries Ltd. This gave consumers more products to choose from and also resulted in increased marketing activities by manufacturers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • De-United Foods Industries dominated noodles in 2009 with 76% retail value share in 2009 and benefits from the strong brand name that it has built for Indomie Instant Noodles. It was the only product present in noodles for a long period of time and it is so popular that noodles are synonymous with Indomie. The company has won the hearts of consumers, especially children who are targeted in advertisements and marketing events.

PROSPECTS

  • Noodles are expected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 10% over the forecast period as opposed to 26% recorded in the review period. Even though this is extremely rapid growth, and shows that the booming phase of noodles will come to an end as the novelty factor wanes.

CATEGORY DATA

Oils and Fats in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Branded oils are becoming more popular in Nigeria because adulterated bulk oil is frequently sold in the country. Despite the ban on the importation of bulk vegetable oil by the government, bulk oil is still smuggled into Nigeria. Bulk oil has become more expensive and sometimes it is adulterated; as a result, many consumers have dramatically reduced their consumption.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grand Cereals & Oil Mills is a subsidiary of UAC of Nigeria Ltd and is the largest player with 31% of value sales in 2009. The company benefits from the fact that its flagship brand, Grand Pure, is available in vegetable, soy and groundnut oil formats. The brand is also widely distributed and available in retail outlets nationwide.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of oils and fats are expected to decline at a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms over the forecast period. However, volume sales will recover and start growing again. The decline will be slower than the rate seen over the review period in constant value terms. This will likely occur as a result of some middle- to upper-income consumers switching back to branded oil.

CATEGORY DATA

Other Dairy in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Other dairy in Nigeria consists almost entirely of condensed/evaporated milk. While this is the longest established milk format consumed in Nigeria, consumers have switched to powder milk because it is much cheaper than condensed/evaporated milk.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Friesland Foods Wamco Nigeria Plc leads the condensed/evaporated milk category with a 22% value share in 2009. Peak is the most popular condensed/evaporated milk brand in Nigeria and products under this brand target consumers across income groups. The company’s nationwide distribution and aggressive marketing strategies also contribute to its successful position.

PROSPECTS

  • The other dairy category is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3% over the forecast period. This is because new products and innovations are expected to drive growth.

CATEGORY DATA

Pasta in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pasta has mass market appeal in Nigeria; it is now considered a staple food item that is consumed by individuals from all income groups. Pasta is cheaper than traditional substitutes such as rice and yam and it is also faster to prepare and more convenient. These factors contributed to the dynamic growth observed in this category and domestic manufacturers boosted their capacity and improved product offerings in order to benefit.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Dangote Industries Ltd dominated pasta with 37% retail value share in 2009, gaining two percentage points. The company benefits from its highly efficient nationwide distribution system and wide product variety. Golden Pasta Co Nigeria Ltd followed with 30% value share.

PROSPECTS

  • Pasta is expected to grow by a retail volume CAGR of 3% over the forecast period. This is slower than growth over the review period and reflects the fact that the category is reaching maturity.

CATEGORY DATA

Ready Meals in Nigeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Ready meals are not popular because the concept is relatively foreign to Nigerians, who mostly prefer traditional home cooked meals. Also, since ready meals are not in high demand, they are not widely available through retail outlets in Nigeria.

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Westernisation and increasing sophistication remained the major drivers of growth in this category. The average Nigerian consumer has developed more refined tastes than in the past and therefore he/she demands good, well seasoned food. Nigerians like hot and spicy food. Convenience is also a key factor driving demand of these products since some of them make cooking easier or faster.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Nigeria Plc dominated the category with 21% value share in 2009. Maggi Seasoning Cubes is its foremost brand and benefits from its nationwide distribution and its perceived good quality. It is also marketed aggressively and has been available in Nigeria for a long time. The company’s marketing and advertising activities are also popular and consumer focused; for example, the annual Maggi National Cooking Contest is a keenly contested event.

PROSPECTS

  • Noodles are expected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. This is in line with the review period and future demand will slowly shift towards more convenience and novelty, as the purchasing power rises. Categories such as soy–based sauces and mayonnaise will record the fastest volume growth as their penetration expands.

CATEGORY DATA

Snack Bars in Nigeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Snack bars are currently unavailable in Nigeria due to very low consumer product awareness. Consumer purchasing power is not yet strong enough to support these products and importers and distributors are consequently focussed on other packaged food products.

Soup in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Westernisation and changing consumption patterns resulted in the growth of soup in Nigeria. More consumers work outside the home environment and they demand more convenient food such as soup. Increased affluence among consumers also contributed to the growth observed. There is also a large expatriate population in Nigeria that ensures a steady demand for soup.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • HJ Heinz Co is the largest player in soup with 30% value share. This company benefits from the fact that its products are well-known and it offers a wide variety. All Heinz products are imported into Nigeria. Furthermore, the company improved its supply chain network so as to avoid shortages and increase the number of outlets where its products can be purchased.

PROSPECTS

  • Soup is expected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. This growth is expected because more consumers will be drawn to the convenience that these products provide.

CATEGORY DATA

Spreads in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2010 was slower than the review period average as the recession caused some consumers to shift to cheaper bread compliments such as margarine.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Geurts Conservenfabriek dominates spreads sales, recording a retail value share of 31% in 2009, and is followed by Natco Natural Foods (29%). These companies benefit from the fact that their products are competitively priced and widely available within retail outlets throughout Nigeria.

PROSPECTS

  • Spreads has a projected forecast period constant retail value CAGR of -3%. Sales are expected to decline over the coming years due to the decline in honey which will progressively be replaced by jams and preserves because they are cheaper. Furthermore, most consumers can find unpacked honey at a much lower price than the packaged brands.

CATEGORY DATA

Sugar Confectionery in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The introduction of new and innovative products, especially within boiled sweets, by small domestic companies fuelled sugar confectionery growth during 2010. These new products are of high quality, typically attractively packaged, and have helped to increase the range of available products and to attract new customers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cadbury leads sales within highly fragmented sugar confectionery, recording a retail value share of 14% in 2009. The company has dominated sugar confectionery for many years due to the popularity of brands such as Trebor Peppermint, Tom Tom, and Trebor Buttermint.

PROSPECTS

  • Sugar confectionery has respective projected forecast period constant retail value and retail volume CAGRs of 1% and 2%. This is a similar trend as in the review period and rising health concerns in the population should prevent a faster growth. More consumers will start to switch to other areas such as chocolate confectionery and bakery products.

CATEGORY DATA

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Commuting became an important factor favouring the consumption of sweet and savoury snacks. Consumers spend long hours commuting in traffic and often purchase snacks on impulse to satisfy their hunger or yearnings. Street hawkers carry a variety of items including snacks, soft drinks and yoghurt.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Procter & Gamble Co dominates Nigerian sweet and savoury snacks with its popular Pringles Original brand and controls 28% of this highly fragmented category. Pringles is widely available in retail outlets and imported from the UK and South Africa. It is the category leader because its products are of very good quality and very popular among consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • Sweet and savoury snacks are expected to grow by a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. This increase is expected because the economy is gradually recovering from the economic downturn and consumers have more to spend on impulse items.

CATEGORY DATA

Yoghurt in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Commuters represent an important consumer base for yoghurt sales in Nigeria. A survey conducted by the Lagos Metropolitan Area Transport Authority, showed that most urban working adults spend an average of three hours every working day in traffic. This has led to a boom in the sales of items that can be kept cold in traffic considering the hot and humid weather. Yoghurt, which is generally packaged in sachets or plastic bottles, is mostly sold by street sellers in traffic.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Fan Milk Plc holds the leading position, with a 30% value share in 2009. The company achieved this as a result of the perceived good quality of the products it offers, as well as the wide array of products available and its nationwide distribution. Fan Milk products are also the most popular among street sellers; they are packaged in small sachets of different sizes and commonly sold in traffic.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of yoghurt are expected to decline in constant value terms at a 1% CAGR over the forecast period. However volume sales will rise at a 3% CAGR as penetration extends to all consumers, most notably low-income consumers. Drinking yoghurt will accelerate further as consumers get used to purchasing it on the go. Demand will be driven by low prices and economy brands sold by street hawkers.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-On Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-On Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-On Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-Based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-Based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-Based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-Free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-Free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-Based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-Based Desserts
          • Soy-Based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-Based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-Based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Ice Cream Parlours
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
        • Gravy Cubes and Powders
        • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
        • Stock Cubes and Powders
      • Dips
      • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
      • Herbs and Spices
      • Ketchup
      • Mayonnaise
        • Low Fat Mayonnaise
        • Regular Mayonnaise
      • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
      • Mustard
      • Pasta Sauces
      • Pickled Products
      • Salad Dressings
        • Low Fat Salad Dressings
        • Regular Salad Dressings
      • Soy Based Sauces
      • Table Sauces
        • Tomato Pastes and Purées
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
        • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Snack Bars
        • Breakfast Bars
        • Energy and Nutrition Bars
        • Fruit Bars
        • Granola/Muesli Bars
        • Other Snack Bars
      • Soup
        • Canned/Preserved Soup
        • Chilled Soup
        • Dehydrated Soup
        • Frozen Soup
        • Instant Soup
        • UHT Soup
      • Spreads
        • Chocolate Spreads
        • Honey
        • Jams and Preserves
        • Nut-Based Spreads
        • Yeast-Based Spreads
      • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
        • Chips/Crisps
        • Extruded Snacks
        • Fruit Snacks
        • Nuts
        • Popcorn
        • Pretzels
        • Tortilla/Corn Chips
        • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

    Statistics Included

    Statistics Included

    For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

    From Passport

    • Market Size
    • Market Share
    • Brand share
    • Distribution
    • Analysis by Type
    • Pricing
    • Products by Ingredient
    • Products by Ingredient Actuals
    • Single portion vs multi-portion
    • Soy-based vs dairy-based
    • Sugarised vs sugar-free
    • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

    Market size details:

    • Retail Volume
    • Retail Volume % growth
    • Retail Volume per capita
    • Foodservice Volume
    • Foodservice Volume % growth
    • Foodservice Volume per capita
    • Total Volume
    • Total Volume % growth
    • Total Volume per capita
    • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
    • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
    • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail RTD volume
    • Retail RTD volume % growth
    • Retail RTD volume per capita
    • Foodservice RTD volume
    • Foodservice RTD volume % growth
    • Foodservice RTD volume per capita
    • Total RTD volume
    • Total RTD volume % growth
    • Total RTD volume per capita
    • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
    • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
    • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
    • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
    • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
    • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
    • Total Volume (Tonnes)
    • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
    • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
    • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
    • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

    Methodology

    Methodology

    Global insight and local knowledge

    With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

    This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

    Industry specialists

    Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

    Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

    The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

    Country and regional analysts

    Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

    In-country research network

    To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

    Research Methodology

    Our research methods

    Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

    Desk research

    With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

    • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
    • National and international trade press
    • National and international trade associations
    • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
    • Company financials and annual reports
    • Broker reports
    • Online databases
    • The financial, business and mainstream press

    Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

    Store checks

    Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

    • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
    • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
    • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
    • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

    Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

    Trade survey

    Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

    Trade surveys allow us to:

    • Fill gaps in available published data per company
    • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
    • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
    • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

    In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

    Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

    Company analysis

    At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

    At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

    Forecasts

    Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

    Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

    Data validation

    All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

    The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

    Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

    Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

    Market analysis

    Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

    Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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