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Country Report

Packaged Food in the US

Mar 2012

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Food prices rise in 2011

The US packaged food industry recorded faster current value growth in 2011 than in 2010 due to the rise in commodity prices. However, the current value growth rate for 2011 was slower than the review period CAGR. In retail volume terms, many categories saw slower growth rates in 2011 as Americans resumed dining out. Growth over the review period as a whole have been driven by increased cooking at home, in response to the recession, and the sharp rise in commodity prices in 2008. After declining in 2009, commodity prices increased in 2010 and 2011 putting upward pressure on unit prices. Chocolate confectionery and dairy product makers were forced to pass on some of the rise in cocoa and milk prices to consumers.

Consumers seek out ethnic and bold flavours

Americans have become more adventurous eaters. The interest in ethnic food has exploded in recent years due to the growth in the Asian and Hispanic populations, as well as increased exposure to other cuisines through television and the internet. The Millennial generation (born between 1980 and 2000) is driving the demand

For ethnic food and bolder and spicier flavours. In turn, packaged food manufacturers are spicing up their offerings to respond to consumer tastes. Inspired by the growth of Asian and Mexican restaurants and food trucks, frozen ready meals and sauce companies have introduced more Asian and Latin flavours. Driven by the popularity of Thai sriracha sauce, spicy chili/pepper sauces registered the highest total volume sales growth in sauces, dressings and condiments in 2011.

US food companies downsize

After years of expansion with one acquisition after another, US packaged food companies are aiming to downsize. In August 2011, Kraft Foods announced that it would be splitting into two publicly held companies in 2012: a globally focused biscuits and confectionery enterprise; and a domestically focused cheese, chilled processed meats and ready meals firm. The announcement comes after Kraft’s February 2010 purchase of Cadbury Plc for nearly US$20 billion. Sara Lee Corp continued to downsize by selling its North American Refrigerated Dough business to Ralcorp Holdings Inc, and completing the sale of its North American Fresh Bakery business to Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV, in November 2011. Sara Lee is expected to be split into two separate, publicly traded companies in the first half of 2012: a “North American Retail and Foodservice business”; and “CoffeeCo”, consisting of Sara Lee’s International Beverage and Bakery business and North American beverage business. After purchasing Post cereals from Kraft in 2008, Ralcorp Holdings spun off its Post cereals business (Post Holdings Inc) on 3 February 2012.

Supermarkets face growing competition from other channels

Though supermarkets are the main retail channel for buying packaged food, other formats are making inroads by offering lower prices or more convenience. The recession, which affected low-income consumers disproportionately, has forced shoppers to consider alternative retail channels, as they look for deals. A big beneficiary of this consumer trend has been discounters, which carry fewer items and national brands than supermarkets, but offer lower prices. Discounters Aldi and Save-A-Lot continued to open more stores in 2011. Dollar store chains Dollar General and Family Dollar have been expanding their food selections to increase store visits. Cash-strapped consumers like dollar stores because they sell smaller pack sizes at low prices. In terms of convenience, drugstore chains CVS and Walgreens have been expanding their food selections, especially in urban areas, to leverage their convenient locations. Mass merchandiser Target has been rolling-out its PFresh format, featuring fresh produce, frozen food, dairy products and dry groceries.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in USA with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in USA, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in USA for free:

The Packaged Food in USA market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in USA?
  • What are the major brands in USA?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in the US - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Food prices rise in 2011

Consumers seek out ethnic and bold flavours

US food companies downsize

Supermarkets face growing competition from other channels

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

More Americans are food insecure

Grocers add foodservice options

Child obesity a growing concern in the US

Food companies turn to social media to boost sales

New product developments focus on ethnic, bolder and spicier flavours

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

PROSPECTS

  • Impulse product makers are expected to focus on more unique flavours and health and wellness properties to grow their sales. Consumers choose impulse products to indulge themselves, so offering bolder flavours, unusual flavour combinations and fun textures will be important ways to keep consumers engaged and indulged. Americans’ taste buds have become bolder, and younger consumers are expected to look for spicier and more ethnic flavours in their snacks. More producers are expected to introduce sweet & salty and sweet & spicy flavours in chocolate confectionery. Manufacturers of potato chips are expected to load on the flavour with combinations such as chili & cheese and spicy habanero.

CATEGORY DATA

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in the US - Company Profiles

Campbell Soup Co in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Chiquita Brands Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Chiquita Brands Inc: Competitive Position 2010

ConAgra Foods Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 ConAgra Foods Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Dole Food Co Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Dole Food Co Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Frito-Lay Co in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Frito-Lay Co: Competitive Position 2010

General Mills Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 General Mills Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Heinz Foodservice in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Hormel Foods Corp in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 23 Hormel Foods Corp: Competitive Position 2010

JM Smucker Co, The in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 26 The JM Smucker Co: Competitive Position 2010

Kraft Foods Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 29 Kraft Foods Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Nestlé USA Inc in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 32 Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings Inc: Competitive Position 2010
  • Summary 33 The Gerber Products Co: Competitive Position 2010
  • Summary 34 Nestlé USA Inc: Competitive Position 2010
  • Summary 35 PowerBar Inc: Competitive Position 2010

Sara Lee Foodservice in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Schwan Food Co, The in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 39 The Schwan Food Co: Competitive Position 2010

Unilever Food Solutions in Packaged Food (USA)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Baby Food in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The recession led to fewer babies and a decline in sales of baby food. With high unemployment rates (especially amongst the young) and a weak housing market, Americans have been postponing having babies. According to a June 2011 US CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) press release, the US birth rate declined by 3% in 2010 from 2009. From 2007 to 2009 the US birth rate fell by 4%. As a result of fewer babies, value sales of baby food are also projected to decline by 3% in 2011. This 3% decline reflects a negative change from the slightly positive current value CAGR in the review period. Much of the value decline is expected to be due to the 4% decrease in sales of milk formula in 2011. A reduction in the birth rate, a trend towards breastfeeding, and a change in the WIC (Women, Infants and Children) programme for low-income women and their children contributed to reduced sales of milk formula. The September 2010 recall of Similac powdered milk formula by Abbott Laboratories did not impact demand for milk formula in 2010 or 2011 as many consumers either switched to the liquid formats which were not recalled or switched to other brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Mead Johnson Nutrition dominated baby food in 2010 with a 33% value share, up from 32% in 2009. The company was the leader in milk formula through its Enfamil brand. After losing share in 2009 the company bounced back in 2010, benefiting from Abbott Laboratories’ baby formula recall in September 2010. This opening gave Mead an opportunity to catch up with Abbott, which launched Similac Advance EarlyShield with prebiotics in 2008. The company launched its own prebiotic-enriched formula – Enfamil Premium with Triple Health Guard with Prebiotics – in 2009.

PROSPECTS

  • Baby food is projected to increase by 5% in constant value terms in the forecast period 2011-2016. As the US economy recovers and unemployment rates decline, Americans are expected to become more confident about their future prospects and resume having babies. Demographers such as Demographic Intelligence Credit Suisse (in an 18 April 2011 press release) believe that US birth rates will recover due to the “recent improvements in the economy and ongoing growth in the number of women of childbearing age”. A higher birth rate should aid volume sales of many categories within baby food. More babies means that value sales of milk formula are expected to increase by 6% over the forecast period, whilst the trend towards breastfeeding continues to be strong. At the same time, retail volume sales of prepared baby food are projected to increase by only 6% over the forecast period, in contrast to the 12% growth in the review period, as the major changes in WIC programme allotment, effective from October 2009, have passed.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 54 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Already the largest category in baked goods, packaged/industrial bread is expected to continue to outperform the overall category in 2011. Retail current value sales are expected to increase by 3%; faster than any other category, whilst retail volume sales are expected to remain static (second in volume growth only to unpackaged/artisanal cakes). As mentioned above, this category benefited from an increased emphasis on quality and product innovation. In a sign of American consumers’ increasingly sophisticated tastes and desire for heartier, seemingly more nutritious food, wholewheat bread surpassed white bread in retail value sales for the first time in 2010. Major manufacturers and niche players alike have been increasing their wholewheat offerings, removing high-fructose corn syrup, lowering sodium and experimenting with more exotic or ethnic varieties and new formats, such as thinner slices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Both artisanal and private label witnessed marginal increases in their value shares in 2010, up to 49% and 15% (GBO terms) respectively. Whilst this may seem strange, given their polar positions on the price scale, it shows that the economic recovery has been uneven, as higher earners have regained their financial footing, and are returning to their former food shopping habits more quickly than lower earners.

PROSPECTS

  • Due to high penetration rates, the massive baked goods category is expected to grow slowly in the forecast period, as retail constant value sales are projected to increase by 4% to reach US$48.8 billion in 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Packaged/Industrial Bread by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread: In-store Bakery Sales 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Pastries by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 70 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 71 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • At 1%, retail current value sales growth is expected to be solid for the fairly mature biscuits category. However, this growth is not uniform, and the biscuits category will show clear winners and losers over the forecast period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods maintained its wide share lead in biscuits in 2010, despite a slight decline to 42%. Although it still accounts for nearly twice the value sales of its closest competitor, the company lost share in the review period. This is particularly unsettling for the leader, given the strong performance of the second company, Kellogg Co’s Keebler Foods, during the same period.

PROSPECTS

  • Diverging growth within the maturing biscuits category is expected to hamper growth in the forecast period. In constant terms, value sales are expected to increase by 3%, reaching US$11.9 billion by 2016. Retail volume sales are expected to grow even more slowly, increasing by just 2% in the same period, as savoury biscuits and crackers and sandwich biscuits buoy a category otherwise in decline.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 76 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 81 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 82 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With an expected increase in retail current value sales of 1%, 2011 was a welcome return to normalcy for the important children’s breakfast cereals category. The figures for 2010 in children’s breakfast cereals have been restated in this year’s edition to take into account the effects of Kellogg’s recall of some 28 million boxes of its Fruit Loops, Apple Jacks, Corn Pops and Honey Smacks brands. Faulty plastic packaging in the boxes resulted in an off-putting smell, and in some cases caused nausea and vomiting. The June recall came at a particularly inopportune time, and negatively affected Kellogg’s back-to-school campaign in the third quarter of 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Despite its mid-year recall, Kellogg maintained the leading position in breakfast cereals in 2010, finishing with a 29% value share. However, the second producer, General Mills, was able to reduce the gap considerably, as its value share increased by two percentage points to 28%. Strong growth in its Big G family of children’s breakfast cereals would suggest that General Mills benefited handsomely from Kellogg’s recall.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail constant value sales of breakfast cereals are expected to increase slowly over the forecast period, by 4%, to reach US$10.4 billion in 2016. Whilst this is higher than the growth during the review period, the outlook is not as rosy as it seems. The review period growth was severely negatively impacted by Kellogg’s mid-year recall, and it still faces the hurdles of a maturing category, the perceived unhealthy nature of many children’s breakfast cereals, and growing competition in hot cereals from foodservice.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 87 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 88 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 91 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 92 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 93 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 96 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 97 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During an economic recession many consumers reduce the number of trips they take to retail outlets, preferring to buy things all at once or in bulk. The idea is that fewer trips will lead to fewer opportunities to spend money. Sales of canned/preserved food will typically increase during a recession, as it is cheap and has a long shelf life. During the review period (which included the US economic recession), constant value retail sales increased by a CAGR of 1%, whilst retail volume sales remained flat. In late 2010, the US was declared to be out of recession, and Americans slowly began to regain their confidence in spending. With consumers trading back up to more expensive alternatives, sales of canned/preserved food are expected to decline by 1% in both retail volume and current value terms in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Campbell Soup was the leader in canned/preserved food in 2010, due to its presence in canned/preserved soup. The company held a 13% share of value sales, reaching US$2.4 billion in 2011. Despite its dominance, sales of Campbell Soup declined by 12% from 2008. The company was lauded for its initiative to reduce the amount of sodium in its soup, but this did not translate into sales. In fact, in July 2011 Campbell Soup announced that it was discontinuing its reduced sodium initiative to focus on flavour.

PROSPECTS

  • As the US economy recovers, Americans will begin to feel more comfortable spending money on value-added grocery items. As such, volume sales of canned/preserved food are projected to decline by 4%, as consumers search for fresher and healthier alternatives, such as fresh cut fruits and chilled ready meals. In addition, constant value sales are projected to decline by 1% over the forecast period, with sales falling to US$18.3 billion by 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 98 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 99 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 100 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 101 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 102 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 103 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 104 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 105 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 108 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 41 Other Canned/Preserved Food: Product Types

Cheese in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of cheese are expected to increase by 4% to reach US$19.1 billion in 2011. Retail volume sales are expected to be static in the same year. Static volume sales contrast with the 1% review period CAGR. Volume sales increased in 2009, when unit prices declined, and have since remained static. Higher prices in 2011, as well as an improved US economy, constrained retail demand in the year. After cheese prices declined in 2009, they continued to rise in 2010 and into 2011, as milk prices rose in 2011 due to a limited supply of milk. As the US economy moved into a recovery period, affluent consumers resumed dining out in restaurants. In turn, volume sales of cheese to foodservice outlets are expected to increase by 3% in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods was the leader in cheese in the US with a value share of 29% in 2010, down by half a percentage point from 2009. The company owes its position to its dominance in processed cheese, in which it held a 62% value share in 2010. Kraft has a smaller presence in unprocessed cheese. The company is known for its Kraft Singles processed cheese slices and its Kraft Philadelphia cream cheese. Kraft’s biggest competitor is private label, which has improved in quality and variety over the years. In unprocessed cheese Kraft holds a much smaller share – 18% in 2010 – and faces numerous competitors, ranging from Sargento Foods to artisanal cheese producers and imported cheeses. The company has been busy introducing new products to distinguish itself from private label products. In autum 2010 Kraft Foods introduced Kraft Natural Shredded Cheese with a Touch of Philly– the line of shredded cheeses contains some Kraft Philadelphia cream cheese. In March 2011 the company introduced Philadelphia Cooking Crème. A creamier extension of Kraft Philadelphia cream cheese, Philadelphia Cooking Crème is designed to be used as a cooking sauce.

PROSPECTS

  • Cheese is expected to benefit from Americans’ growing interest in cheese and the trend towards entertaining at home. Sales of cheese are forecast to increase by 1% in constant value terms and by 5% in retail volume terms in the forecast period 2011-2016. The 5% retail volume growth is in line with the 5% growth achieved in the review period. Growth will be driven by unprocessed cheese, which is projected to increase by 4% in constant value terms and by 8% in retail volume terms in the forecast period. Demand for speciality cheese in both hard and soft varieties is expected to continue growing in the future, particularly as Americans’ palates become more sophisticated. US cheese consumers are becoming increasingly adventurous, and interested in trying new cheeses with more distinctive flavour profiles.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 109 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 113 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 114 Unprocessed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2009-2010
  • Table 115 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 116 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 117 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 119 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 120 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 121 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed food typically takes less time to prepare than its frozen, dried, and canned/preserved counterparts. There is no need to defrost or open cans, and in many cases the products are ready-to-eat out of the packaging. As Americans place a high value on their time – in some cases more than they value their money – chilled processed food has been successful in the US despite higher unit prices than their counterparts. Sales of chilled processed food are expected to increase by 2% in current value terms to reach US$27.5 billion in 2011, marking the fourth year of consecutive growth. What makes this growth unique is that it occurred during the economic recession, in which Americans were supposed to be trying to save money. The success during the recession in the review period suggests that Americans are willing to spend more if it saves them in another area (in this case preparation time).

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods dominated chilled processed food with a leading 16% value share in 2010; with its nearest competitor being Sara Lee with a 9% share. The company owes its leading position to the Oscar Mayer brand, which has become synonymous with chilled processed meat products in the minds of American consumers. The brand’s “Oscar Mayer Wiener” jingle and “Wienermobile”, a hot-dog-shaped car, are cultural icons. The company’s Oscar Mayer brand is America’s best-selling frankfurter, bacon and luncheon meat. Oscar Mayer was the largest brand in chilled processed food in 2010, growing by 1% in value terms to reach US$3.2 billion.

PROSPECTS

  • Whilst chilled processed food costs more than its frozen, canned/preserved and dried counterparts, it was still sought by Americans during the recession. Chilled processed food convinced many consumers that it is worth the extra cost due to the level of convenience it offers. Many products, such as chilled lunch kits, save consumers the time it would take to prepare a meal (such as defrosting/assembling). Time will continue to be of value to Americans, and as such, retail constant value sales of chilled processed food are projected to increase by 7% over the forecast period, reaching US$29.3 billion by 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 122 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 123 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 124 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 126 Chilled Processed Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 127 Chilled Processed Meat: % Share of Chilled Meat Substitute 2006-2011
  • Table 128 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 129 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 130 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 132 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 133 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 134 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chocolate Confectionery in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Within chocolate confectionery, the top story in 2011 was undoubtedly the civil unrest in the Ivory Coast. After a disputed election in November 2010, incumbent Laurent Gbagbo refused to cede power to the internationally-recognised victor, Alasanne Ouattara. The resulting international outrage led to a successful blockade of Ivorian ports, through which nearly one third of the world’s cocoa production flows. The US dollar price for cocoa rose by nearly 20% in the five months after the election. Despite the removal of Gbagbo and the reopening of the ports, as of late May 2011, cocoa prices had fallen, but had yet to reach their pre-election level.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Chocolate confectionery in the US was dominated by two companies in 2010. Together, The Hershey Co and Mars accounted for nearly 70% of overall value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Through to 2016, retail constant value sales of chocolate confectionery are expected to increase by 8%, to reach US$19.5 billion. Higher prices and smaller average pack sizes (a function of both a reduction in pack size and an increased consumer interest in smaller, more premium bars) are expected to drive retail volume sales down by 6% over the forecast period. This is a fairly significant restatement from last year’s edition. However, the changes were warranted, given consumption trends, changing consumer preferences and the announced price increases from both Hershey and Mars, which should take effect in 2011 and 2012.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 135 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 137 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 138 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 139 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 140 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 141 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 142 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 144 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 145 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 146 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The US recession which occurred during the review period was beneficial to dried processed food, as many consumers sought food which was cheaper and had a long shelf life. Over the review period sales of dried processed food increased by 1% in volume terms and by 7% in 2011 constant value terms. As the US enters a period of economic recovery, sales of dried processed food are expected to decline, as consumers shift back towards eating out at restaurants. In fact, both retail current value and volume sales of dried processed food are expected to decline by 1% in 2011, marking a second consecutive year of decline.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kraft Foods led dried processed food in the US in 2010 because of its dominant presence in dried ready meals and dessert mixes. Kraft held the leading position in dried processed food with a 12% share of value sales in 2010. The company’s Kraft Macaroni & Cheese is a popular “comfort food” amongst children and adults alike. Kraft’s products offer consumers a trusted brand name, value for money pricing and satisfying family meals. These characteristics were especially appealing during difficult economic times. To maintain its sales momentum, the company is now seeking to persuade adults to eat more Kraft Macaroni & Cheese with a new, “You know you love it” slogan and new products. It appears that its campaign has had a positive effect, as despite an overall decline in dried ready meals, Kraft’s brands increased by 3% to reach sales of US$919 million.

PROSPECTS

  • Constant value sales of dried processed food are projected to increase by 4% to reach US$11.7 billion in 2016, whilst volume sales will remain flat. The recovering economy will prevent dried processed food from being as successful as it was over the review period. Most dried processed food products are often thought of as commodity items – cheap meals with a long shelf life. As such, a recession helps to increase sales, whilst a recovery period brings about difficulties in retaining consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 147 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 148 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 149 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 150 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 151 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 152 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 153 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 154 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 155 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 156 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 157 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumers were shocked when purchasing fresh/pasteurised milk in 2011. After enjoying a 16% price decline in 2009 and only a 2% price increase in 2010, Americans saw milk prices rise by 9% in 2011. Fresh milk prices fluctuated wildly during the review period. In 2007 and 2008 fresh milk prices in the US rose sharply due to higher corn feed prices and higher worldwide demand for milk. Price increases were followed by a glut of milk, a drop in prices, and the slaughter of dairy cows on farms in 2009.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With a 15% value share in 2010, Dean Foods Co was the leading branded milk producer. The dairy producer has become the leading force in branded milk through acquisitions, product developments and marketing efforts. Dean Foods is one of the few national players in milk, as most other branded milk is sold by regional dairies. The company sells Silk soy milk through its White Wave Foods division and Horizon Organic milk through its Horizon Organic Dairy division. To compete better against its rivals, especially private label producers, Dean Foods continues to focus on product innovation. Its latest launch was the August 2011 introduction of TruMoo, a chocolate flavoured milk which is made with 15-20% less sugar and no high fructose corn syrup. The creation of TruMoo was in response to many school officials calling for an end to flavoured milk in schools. As a result, milk processors across the country reformulated chocolate flavoured milk to contain less added sugar and fewer calories.

PROSPECTS

  • Demand for drinking milk products is expected to continue declining over the forecast period. Sales of drinking milk products are forecast to decline by 9% in constant value terms between 2011 and 2016. In retail volume terms, sales of fresh/pasteurised milk are forecast to decline by 2% in the same period. The forecast rate of volume decline is similar to the 3% volume decline in the review period, with consumers continuing to move away from milk in favour of other products, such as bottled water and energy drinks. The US has very high per capita consumption of fluid milk, so volume growth prospects are negative without a population boom.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 158 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 159 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 160 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 161 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 162 Chilled Vs Ambient Flavoured Milk Drinks: % Volume Analysis 2007-2010
  • Table 163 Milk by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2010
  • Table 164 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 165 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 166 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 167 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The defining moment of the 2006-2011 review period was the impact of the US recession. Many American consumer habits were altered by the recession. For example, more Americans prepared meals at home instead of dining out in restaurants. This switch in consumption benefited sales of frozen processed food, as consumers sought convenient ready meals and other foods which could be stored for a long period of time. During the review period sales of frozen processed food increased by 5% in volume terms and 6% in constant value terms. As the US economy was declared out of recession in 2010, manufacturers will have to once again to adapt to a new economic environment in terms of consumer behaviour.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 Nestlé was the leader in frozen processed food in the US with a 16% value share, representing sales of US$5.4 billion. Sales of Nestlé’s frozen processed food increased by 41% from 2009, due to the acquisition of Kraft Foods’s frozen pizza division. The company’s portfolio strength is derived from its business in frozen ready meals.

PROSPECTS

  • Whereas the review period was defined by economic recession, the forecast period is expected to see a period of recovery. The US recovery has so far been slow and arduous, and is likely to continue at the current pace. As such, American consumers are expected to retain some of their recessionary shopping habits in the near forecast period. Retail volume sales of frozen processed food are projected to increase by 2% over the 2011 to 2016 forecast period to reach four million tonnes. Retail constant value sales of frozen processed food are projected to increase by 7% over the forecast period, reaching US$35.9 billion in 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 171 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 172 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 173 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 174 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Frozen Processed Poultry by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 177 Frozen Processed Red Meat by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 178 Frozen Processed Vegetables by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 179 Other Frozen Processed Food by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 180 Frozen Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 181 Frozen Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 182 Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 183 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 184 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 185 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 186 Forecast Sales of Frozen Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 42 Other Frozen Processed Food: Product Types

Gum in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The gum category is expected to continue to polarise in 2011, as sugar-free gum is the only category to increase its value sales for the third year in a row. Value sales of sugar-free gum are expected to increase by 4% to US$3.3 billion in 2011. The category benefits from the positioning of such products as low-calorie, relatively guilt-free snacks, and the fact that many brands are backed by the American Dental Association Seal of Acceptance. The category also features the lion’s share of gum innovation. Manufacturers need to experiment with new flavours and fun, lifestyle marketing in order to maintain the interest of teenagers and young adults, who account for the majority of sales. New renditions of classic flavours such as mint, and increasingly exotic flavour combinations such as those in the Trident Layers and Stride Shift brands, also helped to maintain the novelty of the category.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The gum category in the US is firmly in the hands of Mars/Wrigley and Kraft Foods, which controlled 54% and 33% of the US gum category in 2010 respectively.

PROSPECTS

  • In 2011, Euromonitor International restated several category and brand sizes within gum. Materially affected were the historic and projected sizes for bubble gum, the projected sizes for functional gum, and several sugar-free and sugarised brands. Whilst trends and growth rates remained largely intact, sizes were adjusted to better reflect the market consensus.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 187 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 188 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 189 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 190 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 191 Leading Flavours for Gum 2006-2011
  • Table 192 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 193 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 194 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 195 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 196 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 197 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 198 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Demand for ice cream in retail channels is projected to decline in 2011. At the time of research (May – July 2011), summer 2011 weather in the US was expected to be warm but not to surpass the record hot weather conditions of summer (June – August) 2010. As a result, ice cream retail volume sales are expected to decline by 3% in 2011. However, current value sales of ice cream are expected to increase by 3% to reach US$12.0 billion, along with unit price increases in 2011. In volume terms, the expected 3% retail volume decline is worse than the negative CAGR of 2% in the review period, whilst the expected 3% current value growth is an improvement over the CAGR of 1% in the review period. In addition to the weather, the demand for ice cream at the retail level was also adversely affected by the improving economy, which allowed US consumers to indulge in visiting ice cream parlours, as they resumed shopping trips and trips to malls. Americans turned to ice cream purchased at ice cream parlours as an affordable indulgence.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With a 28% value share in 2010, Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings led ice cream in the US. The Nestlé subsidiary has been able to dominate ice cream in the US with constant product innovation and a nationwide direct store delivery (DSD) network. The company’s leading brand Dreyer’s/Edy’s built a lead in the category with the 2004 introduction of Dreyer’s/Edy’s Slow Churned Light, a lower-fat ice cream which mimics the flavour of regular ice cream. However, soon after, similar low-fat products were introduced by Unilever and other rivals.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer demand for ice cream sold through retail channels is expected to be lacklustre during the forecast period. Value sales of ice cream are predicted to decline by 5% in constant terms through to 2016, whilst retail volume sales are expected to decline by 4%. The 4% volume decline is an improvement over the 8% volume decline over the review period. It is difficult to increase ice cream sales in the US because there is already high household penetration, with most Americans owning a refrigerator. As the US economy makes a slow recovery consumers are expected to move back towards premium ice cream (aided by an expected decline in unit prices) for at-home consumption. Volume declines are expected as consumers buy smaller packages for higher prices. An improving economy should also aid sales through ice cream parlours.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 199 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 200 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 201 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 202 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 203 Leading Flavours for Ice Cream 2006-2011
  • Table 204 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 205 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 206 Impulse Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 207 Impulse Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 208 Take-home Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 209 Take-home Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 210 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 211 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 212 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 213 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 214 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Convalescence products are expected to increase by 2% in current value terms in 2011. Whilst such products are targeted mostly towards elderly consumers and the recovering sick, these products have also become increasingly popular amongst younger, perfectly healthy consumers. Their high vitamin and mineral content, along with more targeted formulations, make these products appeal to healthy consumers, who use them to complement their regular eating routines as convenient, on-the-go meals, or to address specific health concerns, such as muscle loss.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Abbott Laboratories, including EAS products, maintained its leading position in meal replacement products in 2010, accounting for a 19% share of value sales. Abbott is present in both the convalescence and meal replacement slimming categories, and the Ensure and EAS brands are amongst the most popular and respected in the category.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth of meal replacement products is expected to be slow in the forecast period. Whilst sales are expected to increase by 4% in constant value terms, retail volume sales are expected to decline by 1% by 2016, as consumers continue to move toward powder concentrates.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 215 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 216 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 217 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 218 Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 219 Meal Replacement Slimming by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 220 Meal Replacement Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 221 Meal Replacement Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 222 Sales of Meal Replacement by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 225 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 226 Forecast Sales of Meal Replacement by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Noodles in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Noodles manufacturers continue to search for ways to expand the demand for their products beyond a traditional Asian-American consumer base. One way of doing this has been to promote value-added products that can appeal to consumers looking for higher-end noodle options. Nissin Foods USA Co Inc, for example, has extensively advertised its Nissin Chow Mein line. The product, available in eight “exotic” flavours, is described as “easy-to-microwave” and containing “authentic sauces,” “hearty vegetables” and “famous ramen noodles.” These types of claims seek to position the noodles as a competitor to more premium meal options. Such efforts have begun to broaden the appeal of noodles beyond their core consumer base and have kept demand strong even as the sales boost caused by the recession has weakened.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Three Japanese instant noodles manufacturers lead noodles, together accounting for a 43% value share in 2010. The strength of these companies rests in their instant noodles products, where the companies accounted for a combined value share of 77% in 2010. Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd, with its category-leading Maruchan brand, held its position atop noodles in 2010 with a 22% value share. Maruchan, accounting for the majority of Toyo Suisan Kaisha’s sales, is associated entirely with the extreme value segment of instant noodles, as its pouch and cups/bowl instant noodles are consistently amongst the cheapest instant noodles brands. The company also markets a slightly higher-priced Yakisoba brand. The second-ranked player, Nissin Foods USA, maintains a wider brand portfolio and held a value share of 13% in 2010. The company’s efforts to drive growth through value-added products like its Nissin Chow Mein brand paid off in 2010, as the company’s overall value share of noodles grew by a full percentage point.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail volume and constant value sales of noodles are projected to grow at a CAGR of 1% and 2%, respectively. The noodles category maintains a strong consumer base that regularly purchases the product, a situation that is unlikely to change in the future. Ethnic consumers with strong tastes for noodles-based meals and low-income consumers relying on noodles for a low-priced source of sustenance are likely to remain loyal to the category. At the same time, consumer tastes favouring exotic flavours and creative at-home cooking should help pull new consumer groups into the category. Additionally, as ethnic groups comprise an increasingly large share of the US population, the noodles category stands to see growth. For these reasons, sales of noodles are expected to rise steadily from 2011 to 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 227 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 230 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 231 Leading Instant Noodle Flavours 2006-2011
  • Table 232 Noodles Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 233 Noodles Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 234 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 236 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 237 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 238 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Oils and Fats in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With the US economy making a recovery, consumers are cooking less at home and treating themselves to more restaurant meals. As a result, retail volume sales of oils and fats are expected to decline by 5% in 2011, whilst foodservice volume sales are expected to increase by 1%. Current value sales, on the other hand, are projected to increase by 4% in 2011, as unit prices increase. The expected 5% retail volume decline for 2011 is steeper than the negative CAGR of 3% in the review period, which benefited from the 1% increase in retail volume terms in 2009, as consumers cooked more at home during the height of the recession. The expected 4% current value increase in 2011 is similar to the 3% review period CAGR.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever United States was the largest player in oils and fats in 2010, with a 14% value share. The company led margarine and spreadable oils and fats with its Shedd’s Spread Country Crock, I Can’t Believe It’s Not Butter!, Imperial, Brummel & Brown and Take Control brands. Unilever promotes its Shedd’s Spread Country Crock brand as a healthy brand for the family. Its Country Crock Calcium Plus Vitamin D variety appeals to parents because many children often do not consume enough of the recommended intake of calcium and vitamin D.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer demand for oils and fats is expected to continue declining, with retail volume sales expected to drop by 6% between 2011 and 2016. As the US economy improves, Americans are expected to cook and bake less at home, and resume going out to restaurants and bakeries. Health concerns are also expected to result in declining per capita consumption of oils and fats overall in the forecast period. Consumers are expected to increase the use of cooking methods which do not require oil, such as steaming or grilling. However, retail volume sales are expected to decline by a smaller amount than the 12% decline recorded over the review period. Value sales of oils and fats are expected to decline by 5% in constant terms over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 239 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 241 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 242 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 243 Vegetable and Seed Oil by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 244 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 245 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 246 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 247 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 248 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 249 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 250 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sales of other dairy products are expected to increase by 4% in current value terms in 2011 to reach US$8.0 billion, after growing by 2% in 2010. The bump in value growth is expected due to continued growth in coffee whiteners, and price increases for other dairy products in 2011, as manufacturers pass on the rise in milk prices to consumers. Other than coffee whiteners, retail volume sales of other dairy products as a whole did not grow in 2011, as the improving US economy allowed more consumers to eat out in restaurants. The expected 4% current value growth rate in 2011 matches the 4% review period CAGR, which was driven up by 7% current value growth in 2008. Similar to 2011, a jump in dairy prices contributed to this value increase.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé USA led other dairy products with a 17% value share in 2010, up from 16% in 2009. The company is a big player in coffee whiteners and condensed/evaporated milk. Coffee-mate was the first non-dairy powdered creamer, introduced in 1961. Since then the company launched Coffee-mate Liquid in 1989, followed by flavoured varieties in the 1990s. In 2010 the company benefited from consumers drinking more coffee at home, as well as cooking more at home. Sales of Coffee-mate were aided by its April 2010 launch of a new marketing campaign using the slogan, “Add Your Flavor”, which notes that Coffee-mate is available in 25 flavours to allow consumers to customise their coffee. Sales of its Carnation condensed and evaporated milk increased in 2010, as Americans baked more at home to economise.

PROSPECTS

  • An improving US economy is expected to negatively affect sales of other dairy products in the forecast period. As unemployment rates decline and consumer confidence rises, Americans are likely to eat fewer meals at home, and will resume eating out. In turn, sales of other dairy products are predicted to be static in constant value terms over the forecast period. This lack of growth compares with 9% constant value growth over the review period. As consumers drink less coffee at home and more at coffee houses, retail sales of coffee whiteners are likely to slow down. Similarly, sales of condensed/evaporated milk are expected to decline by 7% in retail volume terms and by 9% in constant value terms over the forecast period, as people do less baking and cooking at home.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 251 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 252 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 253 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 254 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 255 Cream by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 256 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 258 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 259 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 260 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2007-09, retail sales of pasta witnessed solid growth in both value and volume terms. In addition to soaring wheat prices that pushed up unit prices, economic recession drove consumers to eat at home more often. Pasta’s positioning as a low-cost at-home meal option also helped spur sales at a time when consumers were looking to stretch their budgets. In 2010 and into 2011, however, this growth began to cool significantly. As the economy gradually improves, consumers have slowly returned to eating meals in restaurants. This scaled back pasta’s retail volume growth to 1% in 2010, and volume growth is expected to be even slower in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Private label products, which continue to enjoy a marked price advantage over their branded competitors, retained the top position in pasta in 2010 with a combined value share of 21%. As so many consumers rely on pasta as a cheap and convenient meal option, they are often drawn to the low prices offered by private label. This sentiment intensified in 2008 with the onset of the recession, as consumers looked to save in any way possible. For this reason, the value share of private label in pasta jumped four percentage points between 2007 and 2009. These gains receded slightly in 2010 as signs of economic recovery slowly emerged. Despite this, however, value-conscious consumers continue to be drawn by the price advantages offered by private label pasta products.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, constant value and volume sales of pasta are projected to grow at a slow but steady CAGR of 2% and 1%, respectively. The category saw booming growth during the recession and is prone to a general tapering-off during the economic recovery as consumers return to dining out. Despite this, consumer interest has been increasingly drawn to pasta due to the launch of healthy lines like Ronzoni Healthy Harvest, Ronzoni Garden Delight, Barilla Whole Wheat and Barilla PLUS. Pasta marketers have been very effective in promoting their products as a healthy part of a balanced diet and consumer awareness of the need for wholegrain foods will also help bolster sales. In addition, pasta retains the advantage of serving as a convenient, easy-to-prepare meal option for time-pressed consumers. All of these factors should help the category grow over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 261 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 262 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 263 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 264 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 265 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 266 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 267 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 269 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 270 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 271 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Americans are slowly regaining their confidence in the economic environment, as the country was declared out of recession in late 2010. Retail volume sales of ready meals are expected to decline by 1% in 2011 as consumers return to eating out at restaurants and other foodservice locations. However, the threat of a double-dip recession is very high and the return to on-trade dining is going to be at a slow rate. Thus, US sales of ready meals are not expected to incur a steep decline, as ready meals remain very convenient for Americans who eat at home.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Nestlé was the leader in ready meals in the US with a 19% value share. Sales of Nestlé’s ready meals increased by 57% from 2009, leapfrogging rival ConAgra Foods in terms of sales for the first time. However, it is important to note that this growth was due to the acquisition of Kraft Foods’s frozen pizza division. The company still needs to focus on the organic growth of its own brands in order to prevent sliding from the top spot.

PROSPECTS

  • The US economic forecast is expected to be slow and precarious, and consumers will return to eating out at a very slow rate. The fear of a double-dip recession and the likelihood of this occurring will keep sales of ready meals at a fairly stagnant rate. During the forecast period volume sales are projected to decline by a negligible amount over the first few years of the forecast period, before slowly recovering. Accordingly, overall volume sales of ready meals are projected to be stagnant from 2011 to 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 272 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 273 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 274 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 276 Ready Meals: Vegetarian Vs Non-vegetarian % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 277 Frozen Ready Meals % Breakdown by Ethnicity 2006-2011
  • Table 278 Chilled Ready Meals % Breakdown by Ethnicity 2006-2011
  • Table 279 Ready Meals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 280 Ready Meals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 281 Sales of Ready Meals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 282 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 283 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 284 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 285 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With the onset of economic recession in the US in 2009, retail volume sales of sauces, dressings and condiments jumped by 3%. Consumers with tight budgets chose to cut back on meals out, which was perceived as an easy way to save during difficult times. In place of these meals in restaurants, consumers chose to prepare meals at home. This shift led to the dramatic uptick in both volume and value sales of sauces, dressings and condiments in 2009. In 2010 and 2011, however, the economic situation has begun to improve slightly. Consumer confidence is slowly returning and people are beginning to eat in restaurants more often. Although this change has been slow (overall volumes are still higher than pre-recessionary 2008 levels), it has resulted in volume sales for sauces, dressings and slipping from 2009 levels in 2010 and 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Unilever United States Inc – which surpassed the share of Kraft Foods Inc in 2009 to become the top player in sauces, dressings and condiments – retained its leading position with a value share of 10% in 2010. Unilever’s share remained effectively flat in 2010, as its major brands such as Ragú pasta sauce, Hellmann’s Mayonnaise and Bestfoods Mayonnaise saw little movement in share. Unilever is also among the top three leading players in gravy cubes and powders, stock cubes and powders, salad dressings and vinaigrettes with its Wishbone and Knorr brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of sauces, dressings and condiments are expected to grow at a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms over the forecast period, to reach US$19 billion by 2016. Retail volume sales, however, are expected to decline at an annual rate of 1% during the same period. As the economy slowly recovers in the US and consumer confidence continues to grow, the number of meals eaten out at foodservice establishments is likely to rise. This return to eating out will limit the demand for sauces, dressings and condiments and cause retail volumes to slide slightly between 2011 and 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 286 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 287 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 288 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 289 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 290 Wet/Cooking Sauces by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 291 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 292 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 293 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 294 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 295 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 296 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 297 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Snack Bars in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The top story of 2011 was the continued explosive growth of energy and nutrition bars. After jumping by 14% in current value terms in 2010, value sales are expected to increase by another 13% in 2011, stopping just shy of US$2.0 billion. A decade ago, energy and nutrition bars were niche products used largely by athletes and dieters as a workout aid and meal supplement. These health benefits proved to be the foundation for the category’s rapid transformation in the 2000s, as the bars moved from the gym bag to the handbag and desk drawer. Today, many consumers are reaching for energy and nutrition bars to supplement their regular eating habits, while some time-crunched consumers even substitute a bar or two for an entire meal. Large percentages of one’s daily requirement of vitamins, calcium, protein and fibre are increasingly being complemented with natural grains and berries, and the common perception of energy and nutrition bars has changed from chalky, utilitarian food for workout junkies or crash dieters to flavourful and healthy snacks. Meanwhile, smaller brands like Clif Bar and Larabar have cultivated hip, socially-conscious lifestyle brands which appeal to younger, more affluent consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The US snack bar market is fairly consolidated, with the top three manufacturers controlling a 55% share of value sales; however, the concentration is bunched at the top. Beyond the top three, sales are split between a host of snack bar, consumer health and confectionery companies.

PROSPECTS

  • The snack bars category is expected to continue to grow strongly during the forecast period. Sales are expected to increase by 14% in retail constant value terms, whilst retail volume sales are expected to increase by 7%. Although impressive for any packaged food category, these growth rates will be lower than those in the review period. The slower growth is a factor of the category maturing, household penetration increasing, and the continued underperformance of the fruit bars category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 298 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 299 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 300 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 301 Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 302 Snack Bars Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 303 Snack Bars Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 304 Sales of Snack Bars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 305 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 306 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 307 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 308 Forecast Sales of Snack Bars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 43 Other Snack Bars: Product Types

Soup in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In July 2011, Campbell Soup Co announced that it was planning to increase the levels of sodium in its Campbell’s Select Harvest line of soups from 480mg to 650mg per serving. This announcement came as a shock, as all of the company’s actions for over a year indicated that it was dedicated to lowering sodium levels in its soups. In February 2010, for example, the company indicated that 60% of its soup products would undergo a reformulation to contain lower sodium levels. Then, in March 2011, Campbell Soup joined the National Salt Reduction Initiative’s (NSRI) sodium reduction goals. This July 2011 announcement, therefore, appears to be an effort by the company to re-evaluate consumer tastes with regard to sodium levels. This move marks a significant departure from the general lower-sodium direction in which soup was headed and may indicate a future in which average sodium levels in soup begin to rise again.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Campbell Soup Co holds a substantial lead in soup in the US, retaining a value share of 48% in 2010. The company offers a wide range of soup products that include ready-to-serve, condensed, chilled and UHT options. The company also offers many distinct brand names – including Campbell’s Chunky, Campbell’s Select Harvest, Campbell’s Healthy Request and Soup at Hand, amongst others – that appeal to different consumer segments. Despite its dominant position, however, Campbell Soup has seen its share eroded in 2009 and 2010 by both lower-priced private label products and small competitors that offer healthier options and high-quality soup products.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail sales of soup are expected to remain flat over the forecast period, with volume falling by a CAGR of 1% and constant values rising by a CAGR of 1% between 2011 and 2016. Several trends do not bode well for a future of growth in soup. First, the fact that household penetration rates of soup are significantly lower among Hispanics is an ominous sign, considering that this is the fastest-growing demographic in the US. Second, the economy is expected to recover over the forecast period. This will lead to more frequent dining out (rather than eating at home) and trading up to more premium retail food options (soup is not considered a luxury good by US consumers). Third, soup will continue to face stiff competition from a vast array of ready meals that promise more taste and convenience than most soup products. Finally, as consumers look to eat better diets, canned/preserved soup is likely to lose out to fresher products in grocery aisles. All of these factors will work to create an environment where it will be quite difficult for soup to grow in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 309 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 310 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 311 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 312 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 313 Leading Soup Flavours 2006-2011
  • Table 314 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 315 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 316 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 317 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 318 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 319 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 320 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Honey is expected to continue to set the pace in spreads in 2011, with current value sales increasing by 7% and retail volume sales increasing by 2%. Honey is experiencing something of a renaissance in both the foodservice and retail channels. Honey has gained increased attention in cookery books and on popular cooking shows, and is being celebrated by chefs and trend forecasters as an all-natural, single-ingredient sweetener. Proponents are also quick to point out honey’s more distinct flavour and lower calorie content (by weight). Artisanal and industrial producers alike are piquing consumer interest by expanding their ranges beyond standard clover honey, and exciting flavours such as wild flower, tupelo and mesquite are gaining distribution.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The JM Smucker Co maintained its leading position in spreads in 2010 with a value share of 39%. The Ohio-based producer of brands such as Jif and the eponymous Smucker’s has developed into the biggest player in the two biggest categories: jams and preserves and nut-based spreads. The company was able to increase its value share by two percentage points over the review period (whilst almost all other national brand producers lost share) by quickly recognising new consumer interests and out-innovating its competitors. In September 2006, the company became one of the first national brands to introduce a line of organic fruit spreads. The company sought to further capitalise on the all-natural trend in late 2009, when it introduced Smucker’s Orchard’s Finest preserves, which are made with real sugar and contain no artificial colours or preservatives. Smucker also acted quickly to prevent share loss from languishing brands. In April 2011, the company announced it would halt production of eight underperforming versions of its marquee Jif brand of peanut butter until at least October, in the face of rocketing input costs.

PROSPECTS

  • Spreads is expected to increase by 12% in constant value terms during the forecast period, whilst retail volume sales are expected to increase by 2%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 321 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 322 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 323 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 324 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 325 Leading Flavours for Jams and Preserves 2006-2011
  • Table 326 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 327 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 328 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 329 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 330 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 331 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 332 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail current value sales of sugar confectionery are expected to increase by only 1% in 2011, marking the lowest annual growth rate since 2004, when sales actually decreased. It seems that an uncertain economy, shaky holiday sales, and growing concern over the role of high-fructose corn syrup in childhood obesity hampered sales of sugar confectionery more than other confectionery categories.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Hershey Co was able to retain the top billing in sugar confectionery in 2010 when it accounted for a 14% share of value sales. Solid growth from Twizzlers and an outstanding year for Reese’s Pieces helped propel the company past Mars, which had claimed the top spot after its 2008 purchase of William Wrigley Jr Co. Hershey is present in nearly every product category in sugar confectionery, and its Twizzlers, Good & Plenty and Jolly Rancher brands are amongst the most iconic and beloved American sweets.

PROSPECTS

  • Despite better performances from some categories, growth in sugar confectionery as a whole is expected to be slow over the forecast period. In constant value terms, sales are expected to increase by 3% to reach US$10.2 billion in the forecast period; markedly lower than the growth in the review period. Prices are expected to increase faster than value sales, and retail volume sales are expected to fall slightly, as commodity prices squeeze margins and concern over calorie intake, artificial sweeteners and colourings leads some consumers to rethink or least cut back on their intake of sugar confectionery.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 333 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 334 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 335 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 336 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 337 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 338 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 339 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 340 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 341 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 342 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 343 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 344 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 345 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 44 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In April 2011, Diamond Foods Inc announced that it was acquiring The Procter & Gamble Co’s iconic Pringles brand in a multi-billion dollar deal. For Diamond, this acquisition brings one of the largest and most important brands in sweet and savoury snacks to its portfolio and increases the company’s stature. In spite of its size, however, the Pringles brand has seen sales fall during the review period. This acquisition by Diamond enables a company with expertise in snacks to breathe new life into the Pringles name. At the same time, this deal takes Procter & Gamble entirely out of sweet and savoury snacks and allows it to focus more intensively on its other core businesses.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • PepsiCo Inc’s Frito-Lay Co division continued to lead in sweet and savoury snacks, controlling a value share of 43% in 2010. The company remained the leading player in chips/crisps, extruded snacks, tortilla/corn chips and other sweet and savoury snacks. In 2010, Frito-Lay made a major push to convert half its US snacks portfolio to a natural-ingredient-only composition. Advertisements promoted the move by showing a chef handcrafting Lay’s chips from fresh/natural ingredients in a kitchen. In fact, the company even set up a “flavour kitchen” in New York’s Times Square in April 2010. Here, visitors were invited to observe the company’s snack-creation process and sample various new snack flavours.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of sweet and savoury snacks are projected to grow at a CAGR of 2% and 1% in constant value and volume terms, respectively, from 2011 to 2016. Snacking remains an integral part of US diets and the recent boom in all-natural/multigrain/healthy products should only serve to reinforce this trend. Manufacturers are constantly on the frontiers of innovation, developing new flavours, textures and better-for-you varieties of sweet and savoury snacks. This innovation continues to draw consumer interest and should drive sales growth in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 45 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types 2011
  • Table 346 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 347 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 348 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 349 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 350 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 351 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 352 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 353 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 354 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 355 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 356 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 357 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in the US - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Greek yoghurt is gaining numerous American fans, as US consumers respond favourably to its creamy, high-protein attributes. What was once a niche product, Greek yoghurt has become mainstream, with yoghurt producers and supermarkets racing to add more Greek varieties to their product ranges and store shelves. By positioning Greek yoghurt as a high-protein, low-sugar health food, manufacturers of these products have tapped into American consumers’ desire for a convenient, nutritious and tasty breakfast or snack. Greek yoghurt has rapidly gained popularity amongst weight-conscious women, because it is seen as the best yoghurt for weight loss due to its high protein (for satiety) and low sugar content. The high-protein nature of Greek yoghurt also allows it to appeal to active men, as it provides fuel for building muscle. Greek yoghurt’s creamy, thick texture has won over consumers who do not like the runny texture of traditional yoghurt. The straining process for Greek yoghurt produces a very thick, creamy yoghurt. The thickness of Greek yoghurt also means that home cooks are gravitating to Greek yoghurt as a lower-fat substitute for sour cream and mayonnaise.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Dannon Co was the leader in yoghurt and sour milk drinks in the US in 2010, with a value share of 31%, up from 30% in 2009. With the inclusion of its Stonyfield Farm division, the parent Groupe Danone held a 37% value share in 2010. The company’s flagship Dannon brand did well in 2010, growing by one percentage point to hold a value share of 19%.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of yoghurt are expected to continue booming, as Americans turn to yoghurt as a nutritious, tasty breakfast or snack. Sales of yoghurt and sour milk drinks are expected to increase by 12% in constant value terms over the forecast period, to reach US$8.9 billion by 2016. In retail volume terms, sales of spoonable yoghurt are expected to increase by 17% from 2011-2016. This 17% volume growth is much lower than the 37% growth recorded during the review period. Review period growth was boosted by the 2006 multi-million dollar launch of Activia, as well as the explosive growth in Greek yoghurt. As a result of new yoghurt launches, the healthy qualities of these products have become known to a wider US population.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 358 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 359 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 360 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 361 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 362 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 363 Leading Flavours for Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt 2006-2011
  • Table 364 Leading Flavours for Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt 2006-2011
  • Table 365 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 366 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 367 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 368 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 369 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 370 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 371 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by ethnicity
  • Analysis by flavour
  • Analysis by format
  • Analysis by type
  • Chilled vs ambient
  • In-store bakery sales
  • Per cent share of chilled meat substitute
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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