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Country Report

Packaged Food in Uzbekistan

Feb 2012

Price: US$6,500

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Packaged food continues to see positive develop

Packaged food in Uzbekistan continued to develop based on its strong historical background in the country. Most packaged food products are seen as essential products that are of primary importance for daily consumption. Such demand, in addition to the biggest population in the region, generated high sales of packaged food products. All major categories of packaged food are present in Uzbekistan and, over the review period, new ones were introduced successfully. The fact that Uzbek consumers remained open to new and novel product types ensured that newer categories had strong potential to develop.

Affordable prices and increasing product variety drives demand

Based on the existing favourable conditions in the country, production became one of the most profitable activities. The production of packaged food products was no exception. Compared to imports, domestic producers enjoyed savings in terms of labour costs, logistics and, perhaps most importantly, customs duties, which resulted in much lower unit prices for domestic products. Furthermore, in line with the development of domestic production, the range of products available also became wider, which, together with affordable prices, contributed to higher consumer demand.

Imports account for an unchanged share of retail value sales, while domestic products continue advancing

Across many packaged food categories, the average unit price increased in 2011. In many cases, this was driven by imports, as a result of currency fluctuations. However, with further development of domestic production and improvement of quality of products in different sectors of packaged food industry, imports saw a decline in retail volume sales, as they saw an ongoing loss of share to domestic products. As a result, domestic products accounted for a retail volume sales share approximately twice that of imports in 2011.

Packaged food benefits from the development of retailing

Packaged food products continued to be sold mainly through established grocery retailing channels. Each channel retained its own unique characteristics, in terms of location convenience, product variety, pricing, and consumer loyalty. From this perspective, opportunities created as a result of the ongoing development of retail proved beneficial to packaged food. The development of chained retailing resulted in increased consumer loyalty to retail outlets and, hence, to official sales. Meanwhile, payment types recently introduced by retail, including cashless payments, resulted in increased transaction volume.

Positive development expected

The trends that positively influenced demand for packaged food products in 2011 are expected to remain in place over the forecast period. Furthermore, these trends are expected to strengthen further, resulting in an even stronger positive impact on demand. Domestic production is expected to develop further, supported by government initiatives to develop import-substituting and export-oriented production. Furthermore, the healthy birth rate over the review period, which is expected to continue over the forecast period, will also positively impact demand for packaged food. Moreover, living standards in the country are expected to continue to improve, driven by government initiatives. Overall, packaged food is expected to enjoy a continuation of review period trends, which will contribute to strong retail volume and value sales growth over the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Packaged Food industry in Uzbekistan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Uzbekistan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Uzbekistan for free:

The Packaged Food in Uzbekistan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Uzbekistan?
  • What are the major brands in Uzbekistan?
  • As economic prospects slowly improve, are consumers starting to eat out more and spending less time cooking at home?
  • How is private label performing in the wake of retail consolidation and the global economic hangover?
  • Do consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Packaged Food in Uzbekistan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Packaged food continues to see positive develop

Affordable prices and increasing product variety drives demand

Imports account for an unchanged share of retail value sales, while domestic products continue advancing

Packaged food benefits from the development of retailing

Positive development expected

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

Category Data

MARKET DATA

  • Table 35 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 40 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2010
  • Table 41 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2007-2010
  • Table 42 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Packaged Food in Uzbekistan - Company Profiles

ABNMB Group JV in Packaged Food (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Anglesey Food SHK in Packaged Food (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Chimbay Moy JSC in Packaged Food (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Geomax XK MChJ in Packaged Food (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Geomax XK MChJ: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Geomax XK MChJ: Competitive Position 2010

Singapore-Samarkand IP OOO in Packaged Food (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 Singapore-Samarkand JV: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Singapore-Samarkand IP OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Baby Food in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The birth rate in Uzbekistan is very high. The age at which people marry is comparatively low compared to European standards, with men marrying from the age of 25 in urban areas and 22 in rural areas, while women also marry as young as 17 years old. The number of children in Uzbek families is also high, ensuring strong consumer potential with regard to sales of baby food products. However, not all babies are given baby food and consumption is limited to urban or very specific rural areas. In urban areas, more women are beginning to go back to work after the birth of their babies and many such parents give their babies packaged baby food based on the recommendations of their doctors or because they may have a problem with breast feeding.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The imported products of Nestlé held a leading 38% share of retail value sales in 2010. The company’s widest distribution coverage, strong consumer loyalty and traditional leadership were the main reasons behind its leading position. Other major companies in the category were Hipp with 23% and Nutricia Russia with an improving 13% in 2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Based on an anticipated ongoing baby boom in Uzbekistan, baby food products will continue to witness strong consumer potential. However, effective utilisation of this potential will depend on market players and their attempts to educate consumers on the advantages of their products. Given that current consumption is somewhat limited to urban inhabitants, total forecast volume sales will remain rather balanced.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Baby Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Baby Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Baked Goods in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Baked goods is represented by bread, cakes and pastries, but all of them are at different stages of development. In terms of total volume sales, all of these segments are due to gain marginal growth in 2011, illustrating their saturation and near full satisfaction of consumer demand. In 2011, baked goods is set to record just 1% growth in total volume terms, reaching 1.3 billion tonnes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Dominating due to peculiarities of national and cultural events, artisanal products accounted for 74% value in 2010 (and 89% in bread, 50% in cakes and 14% in pastries). From industrial suppliers, Uzdonmahsulot led sales with 3% value share, which took advantage of the development of its chained production subsidiaries. Bolshevik KF OAO, a Russian importer, was ranked third overall with 2% value share, due to significantly increasing the unit price of its brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Baked goods is expected to maintain its development over the forecast period. Although bread is very close to its highest saturation level, population growth and the increasing number of weddings will continue to influence volume sales over the forecast period. Cakes and pastries will also witness increased growth rates towards the end of the forecast period, which will be due to consumers increasing their living standards and availability of more disposable income to spend on additional baked goods in addition to traditional bread products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 59 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Packaged/Industrial Cakes: Single Portion vs Multi-pack % Breakdown by Type 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Baked Goods Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 65 Baked Goods Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 66 Sales of Baked Goods by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Biscuits in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Compared to baked goods, biscuits’ share among total volume sales of bakery is not particularly high; however, biscuits is represented by all segments, including savoury biscuits and crackers and all kinds of sweet biscuits. Sales of biscuits continued to grow based on several positive factors. Indeed the main factor is stability of various social and traditional ceremonies, where biscuits are always purchased as both a table-serving and a treat for guests. In addition to such stable trend, the category also benefits from the developing culture of coffee-breaks and other snacking habits in offices. This generates solid demand for biscuits, especially for those offered in a decent pack and good quality.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape in biscuits did not change significantly in 2010. Various domestic artisanal products represented by ‘others’ led sales, holding 27% value share. From manufacturers supplying branded and more packaged biscuits, Bolshevik KF OAO retained its leadership with 23% share of total retail sales in 2010. It was followed by Isanabi PF which marginally gained share to hold 14%. The third major company was Aylin QK MChJ, an Uzbek-Turkish joint venture, holding 10% value share.

PROSPECTS

  • Improved living standards and increasing number of business entities is the basis to anticipate stability and further growth of consumption of biscuits during coffee and tea-breaks in offices. Due to healthy birth rates, the number of children will also continue rising, which is also expected to strengthen consumer potential in this regard. Moreover, a comparatively younger generation signal stability for future marriages and other similar ceremonies, which is also expected to maintain stable total volume sales over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 71 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Biscuits Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 76 Biscuits Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 77 Sales of Biscuits by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Biscuits by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Breakfast Cereals in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Breakfast cereals is still a popular product, especially amongst families with young children. However, its higher price makes it less affordable and continues to hinder higher growth of volume sales. On the other hand, there are more conservative families who believe in eating a more traditional breakfast, which they perceive offers more in terms of energy levels including more calorific meals such as omelette (egg), sausages, and cheese and milk products. Given the high price of breakfast cereals, such families tend to change their preferences less and not switch to breakfast cereals.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, Cereal Partners Worldwide SA continued to lead retail value sales of breakfast cereals, accounting for 27% share. It owes its success to a wide range of products, covering at least five brands such as Nesquik, as the most popular and most sold brand, with 7% value share, Gold Flakes with marginally less share, Bogatstvo Zlakov with 6% and Snow Flakes with 4% share of total retail sales. All of these brands have successfully performed, based on strong consumer loyalty and exceptional quality.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of breakfast cereals are expected to grow, although in general they will remain as something unique or limited to individual consumer groups, represented by families of high-income levels, foreign residents in the country and those consumers looking to emulate European lifestyles at any cost. Considering the number of such consumers is not expected to increase drastically, the category is expected to develop at rather moderate rates with total volume sales recording a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 82 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 83 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Breakfast Cereals Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 87 Breakfast Cereals Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 88 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 90 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 91 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Canned/Preserved Food in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Canned/preserved food will achieve solid growth in volume sales in 2011, developing from a number of factors that existed or emerged during the review period. First, the convenience factor drives canned/preserved meat and meat products and canned/preserved fish/seafood products. These products continue to be a very good and convenient meal solution for single consumers or families, where mothers work outside the home.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There were no major changes among the leaders of canned/preserved products, although the category did witness the development of minor companies and the launch of several new ones. The leader Glavproduct sustained its leadership with 9% of value sales in 2011, thanks to its wide variety of products. Furthermore, its canned/preserved meat products are reminiscent of soviet type Tushenka (standard name for all such products) and therefore enjoy high popularity among consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The stability of ongoing trends, particularly the increasing popularity of national culinary activities among women and teenage girls, will create a solid basis for sales of canned/preserved food products in the forecast period. Sales will remain steady, also growing due to expansion of this trend in rural areas. As such, canned/preserved food is anticipated to generate CAGRs of 2% in constant value and volume sales over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 93 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 94 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 97 Canned/Preserved Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 98 Canned/Preserved Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 99 Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 100 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 101 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 102 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 103 Forecast Sales of Canned/Preserved Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cheese in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In line with ongoing investment into dairy production and the respective development of the dairy industry in Uzbekistan, cheese also enjoyed investment from local entrepreneurs. As a result, a number of new ventures were established, contributing to domestic production of cheese. This brought many new products into the category at attractive and competitive prices, contributing to increasing consumer purchases.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Based on a longstanding presence in the market, imported brands continued leading retail sales. Both Hochland by Hochland Russland and the eponymous Viola led with similar 17% shares of total retail sales. Another imported brand Yantarny of Yantar held 13%, followed by Bad Bibra’s two Bibertaler Edamer and Bibertaler Gouda brands, holding respective 9% and 8% shares of the market.

PROSPECTS

  • Cheese is expected to succeed and prosper in the forecast period. All existing trends will remain in place, but domestic brands will increase their shares. Considering that major trends are generated by domestic producers, in line with their further development, the impact of trends will become more influential and stronger. In terms of particular trends, consumers’ culinary related endeavours will mainly support domestic cheese thanks to its more affordable prices.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 104 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 105 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 106 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 107 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 108 Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Cheese Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 110 Cheese Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 111 Sales of Cheese by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 113 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 114 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 115 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chilled Processed Food in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chilled processed food is represented by chilled processed meat and chilled processed fish/seafood. The price of fish has always been much higher than meat, and fish products have never been considered regular meal solutions in the country. As such, chilled processed meat developed faster and became a part of daily consumption among middle-income families in urban areas.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sales of chilled processed food are predominantly carried out by domestic companies, although they remain very fragmented. Some 58% of retail value sales were achieved by “others”, which include regional producers of chilled processed meat products. The major companies are those which were founded and started emerging from Tashkent city and which target expansion to the regions.

PROSPECTS

  • Existing trends with regard to product consumption and consumer behaviour will remain in place over the forecast period ensuring steady and stable growth in both volume and constant value sales for the category. Furthermore, benefiting greatly from the development of private culinary and cookery schools on the one hand and increasing numbers of foodservice outlets on the other, salads will become an active ingredient in national cuisine. This will also contribute to sales growth in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 116 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 117 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 118 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 119 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 120 Chilled Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 121 Chilled Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 122 Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 123 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 124 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 125 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 126 Forecast Sales of Chilled Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Chocolate Confectionery in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chocolate confectionery represents one of the most developed categories of packaged food. Accounting for 79% share of total volume sales of confectionery, chocolate confectionery is set to continue its confident growth in 2011. There are a number of factors positively influencing sales, including a number of traditional and national ceremonies and events. These are wide-scale weddings, baby-birth ceremonies as well as lesser scale celebrations such as bride’s first visit, and Muslim Iyd holidays. During these events, women organise a ceremony to treat special guests. This in particular maintains positive sales, which based on other demographical population increases and improvement of social well-being contributes to growth of chocolate confectionery.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Roshen Kondyterska Korporatsia led retail sales in 2010, accounting for 14% value share. Its leadership is attributable to the widest product portfolio and very strong distribution system. Rossiya KO OAO maintained its second ranking, holding 12% value share. Its comparatively high retail sales are generated by higher unit prices, especially in tablets. The third major company Mars Inc marginally lost share, to hold value share of 9%. The company suffered loss of shares despite a solid marketing campaign to support Snickers and Mars brands. Other major companies were Krasny Oktyabr MKF OAO with 9% value share, Ferrero SpA with 6%, Nestlé Uzbekistan LLC and Rakhat JSC each with 5%.

PROSPECTS

  • Chocolate confectionery is set to see further stability of existing trends over the forecast period. In addition, demographic stability in terms of continuing growth of the population, as well as strong marriage potential of the population guarantees a confident basis for growth in both the long and short-term. Overall, total volume sales of chocolate confectionery are projected to grow by a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 127 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 128 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 129 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 130 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 131 Chocolate Tablets by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 132 Chocolate Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 133 Chocolate Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 134 Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 135 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 136 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 137 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 138 Forecast Sales of Chocolate Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Dried Processed Food in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The dried processed food category consists of products such as rice, dehydrated soup, dried pasta, instant noodles and instant soup. However, 83% of retail value sales and 82% of volume sales are generated by rice. Rice is used widely in national cuisine and all major category trends are also dictated by sales of rice.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The majority of retail sales are for rice supplied by local farmers. These products do not feature any particular company or brand name on the packaging. In 2011 they remained at the same level accounting for 81% of total retail value sales. Very often dried pasta is also presented by artisanal producers, offered in bulk packs without showing any company or brand name.

PROSPECTS

  • Thanks to its dominance, rice will continue dictating most of the category’s trends in the forecast period. Meanwhile consumers’ ongoing loyalty to national cuisine, increasing number of foodservice outlets and the further development of current trends in this channel, as well as natural demographic growth, will all contribute to rising sales of rice products over the forecast period. Rice will generate CAGRs of 3% in both constant value and volume sales over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 139 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 140 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 141 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 142 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 143 Dried Processed Food Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 144 Dried Processed Food Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 145 Sales of Dried Processed Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 146 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 147 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 148 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 149 Forecast Sales of Dried Processed Food by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Drinking Milk Products in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Drinking milk products are solely represented by milk, which is available in fresh/pasteurised and long-life/UHT formats. While the category was affected by one of the most influential players – Bishkeksut – ceasing its operations in 2010, the milk category recovered from loss of supply by 2011, thanks to the appearance of new suppliers which quickly filled the void.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 the competitive landscape underwent very specific changes. Thanks to the termination of Bishkeksut’s operations, category sales dropped significantly. However, this resulted in a dramatic increase in category share of the remaining players. For example, Nestlé’s shares increased from 22% in 2009 to 32% in 2010, taking the leading position. Bustonlik’s shares reached 28% in 2010, up from 19% in the previous year. Nevertheless, both leading companies performed well and also grew through their own efforts.

PROSPECTS

  • Packaged milk is very safe, convenient and attractive to urban inhabitants, whose numbers are steadily increasing. Producers are expected to actively promote their products in the forecast period, which will also contribute to higher sales. Furthermore, the number of companies supplying packaged milk products is expected to rise, resulting in more intense competition and improvement in product quality. Based on all positive forecasts, fresh/pasteurised milk is expected to achieve a strong CAGR of 6% of total volume sales in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 150 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 151 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 152 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 153 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 154 Drinking Milk Products Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 155 Drinking Milk Products Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 156 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 157 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 158 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 159 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 160 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Frozen Processed Food in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Frozen processed food products are absent in the Uzbek packaged food market.

Gum in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, gum witnessed several trends, including aggressive marketing campaigns, new lines in flavouring and certain domestic production, but overall total volume sales of gums almost stagnated. Set to grow by only 1% in 2011, gum did not enjoy any of the advantages it possesses as a mobile, hygienic and fun product. Such stagnation is due to continuous growth of the average unit price, which hinders consumers’ active purchasing of gum. With the appearance of premium-type chewing gum in sophisticated mobile-friendlier packs, consumers appreciated less existing brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Despite losing seven percentage points in 2010, Wrigley OOO continued to leading sales of gum, holding 37% value share. Its leadership is based on its wide product portfolio, including developed sales of Orbit, which accounted for 15% value share, Airwaves with 4%, Eclipse with 3% and Wrigley’s Spearmint and Juice Fruit together holding 5% share of value sales. Apart from Orbit which gained marginal share due to marketing support and a wide range of flavours, the remaining brands all lost share due to lack of marketing support and weakened distribution.

PROSPECTS

  • Despite marginal stagnation of total volume sales in 2011, gum is predicted to witness a favourable performance over the forecast period due to stabilising prices and higher consumer demand. Lower and more balanced prices will be generated mostly at the expense of domestic products in bubble gum and lower-priced Chinese or Turkish sugarised gum. Regardless of retail sales, the growth rate of total volume sales of all of bubble gum, sugar free and sugarised gum will grow over the forecast period. Bubble gum is predicted to display the highest sales performance in volume terms due to emerging from a low sales base, but will decline by a constant value CAGR of 7%, because of development of domestic production, whilst sugar free will also experience solid growth with a total volume CAGR of 1% attributable to consumers’ loyalty to their choices and stable health-concern reasons.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 161 Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 162 Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 163 Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 164 Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 165 Gum Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 166 Gum Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 167 Sales of Gum by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 168 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 169 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 170 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 171 Forecast Sales of Gum by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ice Cream in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Thanks to several factors positively influencing ice cream sales, the category continues to develop. Above all, ice cream sales benefit from the very hot and dry climate of Uzbekistan, with a large proportion of the population being consumers of ice cream. Furthermore, 30% of the total population is under 14 and this demographic, together with many middle-aged consumers, especially enjoy these cooling products. As for particular trends in 2011, the category witnessed further increasing activity among domestic producers. The number of small producers increased even more, aggressively winning shares from major veterans.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic production is developing with prices becoming more stable, packaging more attractive and quality improving. All of these elements contributed to a stronger sales performance of domestic producers, which already dominated. Singapore-Samarkand led sales with a 23% share, followed by of Imkon Plus on 20% and XIChTF Baxt-Bilol on 13%. Noticeably, all of the three major companies registered declines in share, although their positions in the competitive landscape remained the same.

PROSPECTS

  • Naturally, the hot and dry climate of Uzbekistan is not expected to alter much over the forecast period. Furthermore, the category will further enjoy comparatively younger consumer potential. Moreover, domestic production is expected to advance and reach another level, thanks to intensifying competition. Overall, based on stable positive trends the ice cream category is expected to generate a solid 5% CAGR in volume sales between 2011 and 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 172 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 173 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 174 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 175 Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 176 Ice Cream Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 177 Ice Cream Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 178 Sales of Ice Cream by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 179 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 180 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 181 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 182 Forecast Sales of Ice Cream by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Meal Replacement in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Sales of meal replacement products remain negligible.

Noodles in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Noodles remains an attractive meal solution for many households. Over the entire review period the convenience factor mainly drove sales, being the most optimal meal solution for single-person households or families with working mothers. However, in addition to this factor, an increasing range of products stimulated higher consumer demand in 2011 with the category becoming a favourite meal among children. Furthermore, it is a very cheap alternative to a full course meal, and therefore often served daily in work canteens or on construction sites.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The main change in the competitive landscape in the noodles category was a change in the sales leader. Continuing its aggressive price policy and further expanding to wider areas, Mareven Food Central with its Rollton and Big-Bon brands, accounted for 26% of retail sales and moved to first position. The former leader Koya retained its 25% share thanks to consumer loyalty and was positioned second.

PROSPECTS

  • The key forecast trend will be the advance of domestic production and its rapid development. Over the forecast period, the launch on the domestic level should lead to a wider range of products at even lower prices. Quality is expected to remain at the current level, but growing consumer potential thanks to a positive birth rate and improving social wellbeing will help boost sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 183 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 184 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 185 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 186 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 187 Noodles Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 188 Noodles Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 189 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 190 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 191 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 192 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 193 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Oils and Fats in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Oils and fats is a very important category in packaged food in Uzbekistan. The national cuisine means people consume oil in copious volumes as almost all national dishes are oily. While this helps to sustain healthy sales of vegetable and seed oil products, the continuous development of private bakery and cooking schools will encourage higher consumption of butter and margarine. The latter trend in particular has a very specific cultural aspect in the Uzbek market, as attending such schools has become trendy among teenage girls. Private schools function on a commercial basis, however all attendees must bring ingredients such as sugar, margarine, oil and butter with them as they take whatever they produce home with them. The development of such private schools overall is positively impacting category sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Toshkent Yog Moy Kombinati is the main domestic supplier of vegetable and seed oil, margarine and butter products and accounted for a 20% share of retail value sales in 2010. Its leadership is attributable to it having the widest distribution coverage for its Moya Mechta branded vegetable and seed oil and margarine products (7%), Sariyog’ branded butter (9%) and other products. Bunge SNG, importing a major vegetable and seed oil product under the Ideal brand, held 14% of total retail sales, followed by Nevinnomysskiy MEZ and Montedison, each holding 13% of sales with their respective Natura and Oleina brands.

PROSPECTS

  • Strong consumer demand based on strengthening trends of national cuisine and cooking culture will positively influence the sales performance of oils and fats over the forecast period. In particular, margarine and butter are expected to enjoy growing consumer demand, which will help them to record higher growth of volume sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 194 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 195 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 196 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 197 Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 198 Oils and Fats Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 199 Oils and Fats Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 200 Sales of Oils and Fats by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 201 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 202 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 203 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 204 Forecast Sales of Oils and Fats by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Other Dairy in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The other dairy products category continued to develop in 2011 and accounted for 11% growth in value sales, represented by growth across the board, except for flavoured flavoured/evaporated milk and savoury fromage frais and quark products. All other elements in the category continued growing based on various factors specific to each of them. However, development of domestic production and supply can be defined as one general trend applicable to all types of products in the category. This trend caused significant improvement in the category’s growth and value sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Competitive positioning depends on the category in which the players are present. Suppliers of products in fromage frais and quark and condensed/evaporated milk are in an advantageous position since each of these products accounted for over one-quarter of overall retail value sales in 2011. Bustonlik Sut, as a supplier of fromage frais and quark products, held a 14% brand value share under its Tog brand in 2011, followed by a supplier of condensed/evaporated milk product Karat with its eponymous brand on 5%. All the remaining brands held shares of under 4%.

PROSPECTS

  • Domestic production is expected to continue advancing over the forecast period, phasing out sales of imports in the remaining product groups. Moreover, consumers will be attracted by novelties in packaging, quality, product variety and flavours in which domestic companies will be particularly active. This along with a continuation of general trends, such as strong population growth, improving life-standards and improvement of the retailing market in rural areas, will sustain the category’s healthy growth rates over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 205 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 206 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 207 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 208 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 209 Sales of Other Dairy by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 210 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 211 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 212 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 213 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Pasta in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pasta, which consisted solely of dried pasta, continued its solid growth thanks to peculiarities of the Uzbek cooking culture and considerable demand for inexpensive ingredients. As such, pasta is the most suitable product for daily consumption. Based on such strong demand, domestic entrepreneurs continue to invest in local production. This in turn resulted in the appearance of various types of pasta and an improvement in quality without a significant increase in price.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic companies continue dominating the category, led by Zebiniso. Although the company lost seven percentage points, Zebiniso retained its leading position holding 58% of value sales in 2010. Makiz Baraka sustained second place with 10% of value sales. Other major companies were Makfa (7%), Oftob Biznes (6%) and Agrolimen (4%).

PROSPECTS

  • Improvement of pasta quality and moderate prices will be the main factors behind the anticipated stability of current trends, positively influencing category sales. Social factors, such as national culinary habits, will develop further with the introduction of newer cooking endeavours among consumers. Furthermore, consumer potential will further rise based on expected population growth in Uzbekistan.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 214 Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 215 Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 216 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 217 Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 218 Pasta Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 219 Pasta Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 220 Sales of Pasta by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 221 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 222 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 223 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 224 Forecast Sales of Pasta by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Ready Meals in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • The ready meals category remains undeveloped in Uzbekistan. Sales continued to be negligible in central areas of the capital Tashkent city, and do not exist at all in all other regions.

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite a well developed cooking culture and the importance of home cooking in Uzbekistan, sauces, dressings and condiments is a comparatively less mature category in the Uzbek packaged food market. There are numerous categories either absent or where sales are negligible, including certain bouillon/stock cubes, dry sauces/powder mixes, MSG, dips and an entire series of table sauces. Only the most traditional/standard category products such as ketchup, mayonnaise, puree and tomato paste and herbs/spices are available. Interestingly, salad dressings have never been popular in Uzbekistan.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sales of sauces, dressings and condiments belong to both domestic and imported brands, albeit in a non systematic manner. Domestic player, Tsymbalov, improved its share to 9% and sustained its lead in terms of value sales. Its sensible pricing policy as well as leading presence in ketchup, mayonnaise and expansion to new areas including salad dressings and pasta sauces helped the company to maintain its leadership despite very low unit prices. The next major leading companies were all internationals, all of which rely on product variety and high quality as their unit prices are all comparatively higher. Petroprodukt held a 6% share, Baltimor Holding (5%), Unilever Rus (5%) and MS Food SP and Mikado Foods (each with 4%).

PROSPECTS

  • Forecast period sales of sauces, dressings and condiments will continue enjoying those trends that favourably impacted sales during the previous five years. In addition to the increasing numbers of private cookery schools, special themed cookery TV programmes are also expected to be launched under sponsorship of local manufacturers. Furthermore, with improving living standards, the frequency of category products will shorten, meaning they will be more frequently consumed.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 225 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 226 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 227 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 228 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 229 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 230 Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 231 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 232 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 233 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 234 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 235 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 14 Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: Product Types

Snack Bars in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • In 2011, sales of snack bars remain negligible in Uzbek packaged food.

Soup in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Soup remains a comparatively unconventional product in Uzbekistan. Since there is no demand from rural inhabitants, sales are strictly limited to urbanites either with ultra-modern lifestyles or those seeking convenience. Therefore, soup sales will remain at a very low base, accounting for only 1,300 tonnes in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape of soup remained relatively concentrated, with no major company or brand joining the two major companies. Mareven Food Central with its Rollton brand slightly improved its share to 42% in 2010 with Russky Produkt retaining a 36% share.

PROSPECTS

  • The potential of the soup category in Uzbekistan is still to be fully utilised. Increasing urbanisation resulting in numerous young people moving to cities and living alone should generate a strong consumer group in the forecast period. People leading single lives and fully dedicated to work will create more potential for meal solutions, such as soup. Furthermore, the range of current consumer groups represented by high-income families and people living modern lifestyles will expand due to improving living standards in Uzbekistan. Overall, volume sales of soup are expected to grow by a CAGR of 4% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 236 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 237 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 238 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 239 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 240 Soup Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 241 Soup Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 242 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 243 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 244 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 245 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 246 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Spreads in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Spreads in Uzbek packaged food is represented by chocolate spreads, honey and jams and preserves. Nut-based spreads and yeast-based spreads are absent due to no consumer interest or demand. Jams and preserves is the most developed segment, predicted to account for 73% share of total volume sales in 2011. This is explained by consumers’ great demand for such products. As summer and autumn are always fruitful, consumers tend to make preserves and keep them for winter seasons too. Availability of domestic ingredients makes production less expensive and final products more affordable, hence more consumer-oriented.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of company positioning and competitive landscape in general, spreads witnessed several interesting events in 2010. Uzvinprom Holding Co continued its leadership, maintaining its 37% value share. Companies under the umbrella of Uzvinprom Holding Co enjoy a wide diversity of products, low prices and simple products. Another domestic company MS Food SP, a joint venture, gained some share to hold 8% due to its expanded distribution. Green World SP instead remained on the same level as in 2009, and accounted for 5% in 2010. Its marginally more expensive products are seen as preventing higher sales performance.

PROSPECTS

  • Spreads will remain important in consumers’ daily consumption. Since spreads is considered as a healthy, vitamin-rich and simply delicious breakfast product, it will become as one of the ‘must have’ breakfast products with more and more families. Besides, the number of children continues to grow, which will be another driving factor of individual directions in spreads. Overall, spreads is predicted to produce a total volume CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 247 Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 248 Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 249 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 250 Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 251 Spreads Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 252 Spreads Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 253 Sales of Spreads by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 254 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 255 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 256 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 257 Forecast Sales of Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sugar Confectionery in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As with chocolate confectionery, sugar confectionery has also developed mainly due to national ceremonies and celebrations. Uzbek weddings and other celebrations such as the birth of a baby, and jubilees continue to generate strong demand for these products. As a part of table servings and guest-treats (tea-)trays, sugar confectionery products strongly depend on the number of weddings and other such ceremonies, and those events are only increasingly based on the comparatively young population of Uzbekistan.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Roshen Kondyterska Korporatsia led sugar confectionery in 2010 and gained one percentage point to hold 20% value share. Its widest range of product varieties offer sugar confectionery of different packages with all price ranges. This makes it more consumer-oriented, whereas its mixture of exceptional high quality further drives sales. Perfetti Van Melle Group was ranked second to account for 16% value share. Enjoying popularity among children and comparatively higher unit price, its brands generate higher retail sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Sugar confectionery is projected to remain stable in terms of total volume sales. Taking advantage of all ongoing trends and enjoying further development of consumer potential based on growth of the population and improved living standards, the category will maintain its total volume sales with a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 258 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 259 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 260 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 261 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 262 Sugarised Vs Sugar-free Sugar Confectionery % Breakdown by Type 2011
  • Table 263 Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 264 Sugar Confectionery Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 265 Sugar Confectionery Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 266 Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 267 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 268 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 269 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 270 Forecast Sales of Sugar Confectionery by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 15 Other Sugar Confectionery: Product Types

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Sweet and savoury snacks sustained confident growth in 2011, thanks to the increasing popularity of newer types of category products among consumers. While sales of traditional products, such as fruit snacks and nuts, are popular as nibbles and table decoration, chips/crisps, extruded snacks and popcorn benefit from rising popularity among children. This new consumer group, in addition to existing key consumers (beer fans and other older consumers), played an important role in generating stable demand, especially for various chips and popcorn products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010, with the exception of the continuing development of domestic production and sales, no significant changes took place in sweet and savoury snacks in Uzbekistan. As the main supplier of the most developed fruit snacks category, Ber-Ad Group led sales with a 14% share of value sales in 2010. The domestic arm of the Russian company Sibirsky Bereg - Sibirsky Bereg XK, held 10% of value sales and ranked second with its major brands Kirieshki and Chipsony. Procter & Gamble, with its major Pringles brand, held 9%, down slightly on the previous year. This company’s brands carry the highest unit prices in the category. Other major companies were Bridgetown Foods (8%) with Chip’N’Go and Tri Korochki brands, Bahridzhamol (8%) with a number of generics and Spais Food (5%) with its Smak brand.

PROSPECTS

  • The most anticipated performance of the category in the forecast period will be stability and even a strengthening of existing trends. Ongoing investment activities across various categories, including comparatively new chips/snacks and popcorn will be good examples for other entrepreneurs at a local level and may trigger higher domestic production. Meanwhile, more intense competition is expected to cause a stronger focus on quality and marketing, which should attract more consumer activity. All of this will continue damaging sales of international brands since their price will continue suffering from constantly rising currency exchange rates.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 271 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 272 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 273 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 274 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 275 Popcorn by Type: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 276 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 277 Sweet and Savoury Snacks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 278 Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 279 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 280 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 281 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 282 Forecast Sales of Sweet and Savoury Snacks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 16 Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks: Product Types

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The yoghurt and sour milk drinks category continued to develop in 2011. Domestic producers increased the range of their products while a wider variety of yoghurts attracted many consumers and boosted sales. On the other hand, sour milk drinks continued enjoying strong and stable consumer demand.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Since sour milk drinks accounts for 90% of total volume sales and 84% of retail sales, the share of sour milk producers in the category is overwhelming. A major producer of sour milk, Bustonlik Sut, accounted for 60% of value sales of yoghurt and sour milk in 2011. Another major producer, which is a new player in the market – Bio-Sut QK- held a 9% share, thanks to the successful launch of its products in sour milk and yoghurts. All the remaining players held rather small but similar shares of around 3% of value sales.

PROSPECTS

  • Yoghurt and sour milk drinks is expected to grow in volume terms over the forecast period. Sour milk will continue to enjoy loyal and stable consumer demand. Furthermore, given an expected strengthening of functional sour milk production, sales are predicted to be even higher. Meanwhile, yoghurt sales will also grow thanks to positive developments in domestic production. Over the forecast period, the share of local products is expected to rise, thanks to their competitive price, improving quality and product variety attracting more consumers. This will generally positively influence category sales, however only in volume terms, while cheaper prices that are supported by improvement in domestic production will have an impact on value sales. It is expected that constant value sales will decline over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 283 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 284 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 285 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 286 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 287 Soy-based vs Dairy-based Yoghurt % Breakdown 2010
  • Table 288 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 289 Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 290 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 291 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 292 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 293 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 294 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Packaged Food
    • Baby Food
      • Dried Baby Food
      • Milk Formula
        • Standard Milk Formula
          • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
          • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
          • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Toddler Milk Formula
          • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
          • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
        • Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
          • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Prepared Baby Food
      • Other Baby Food
    • Bakery
      • Baked Goods
        • Bread
          • Bread Substitutes
          • Packaged/Industrial Bread
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Bread
        • Cakes
          • Packaged/Industrial Cakes
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Cakes
        • Pastries
          • Packaged/Industrial Pastries
          • Unpackaged/Artisanal Pastries
      • Biscuits
        • Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
        • Sweet Biscuits
          • Chocolate Coated Biscuits
          • Cookies
          • Filled Biscuits
          • Plain Biscuits
          • Sandwich Biscuits
      • Breakfast Cereals
        • Hot Cereals
        • RTE Cereals
          • Children's Breakfast Cereals
          • Family Breakfast Cereals
            • Flakes
            • Muesli
            • Other RTE Cereals
    • Canned/Preserved Food
      • Canned/Preserved Beans
      • Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood
      • Canned/Preserved Fruit
      • Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Tomatoes
      • Canned/Preserved Vegetables
      • Other Canned/Preserved Food
    • Chilled Processed Food
      • Chilled Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Coated Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Processed Fish/Seafood
        • Chilled Smoked Fish/Seafood
      • Chilled Lunch Kits
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Processed Meat
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Chilled Soup
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Fresh Cut Fruits
      • Prepared Salads
    • Confectionery
      • Chocolate Confectionery
        • Alfajores
        • Bagged Selflines/Softlines
        • Boxed Assortments
          • Standard Boxed Assortments
          • Twist Wrapped Miniatures
        • Chocolate with Toys
        • Countlines
        • Seasonal Chocolate
        • Tablets
        • Other Chocolate Confectionery
      • Gum
        • Bubble Gum
        • Chewing Gum
          • Functional Gum
          • Sugar Free Gum
          • Sugarised Gum
      • Sugar Confectionery
        • Boiled Sweets
        • Liquorice
        • Lollipops
        • Medicated Confectionery
        • Mints
          • Power Mints
          • Standard Mints
        • Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews
        • Toffees, Caramels and Nougat
        • Other Sugar Confectionery
    • Dairy
      • Cheese
        • Processed Cheese
          • Spreadable Processed Cheese
          • Unspreadable Processed Cheese
        • Unprocessed Cheese
          • Hard Cheese
            • Packaged Hard Cheese
            • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
          • Soft Cheese
          • Spreadable Unprocessed Cheese
      • Drinking Milk Products
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
          • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
        • Flavoured Powder Milk Drinks
          • Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
          • Malt-based Hot Drinks
          • Non-Chocolate-based Flavoured Powder Drinks
        • Milk
          • Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Fat-free Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh/Pasteurised Milk
          • Goat Milk
          • Long-Life/UHT Milk
            • Fat-free Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Full Fat Long Life/UHT Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Long Life/UHT Milk
        • Powder Milk
        • Soy Beverages
          • Soy Milk
          • Soy Drinks
      • Yoghurt and Sour Milk Drinks
        • Sour Milk Drinks
        • Yoghurt
          • Drinking Yoghurt
            • Functional Drinking Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Drinking Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Drinking Yoghurt
            • Regular Drinking Yoghurt
          • Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Flavoured Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Fruited Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Pro/Pre Biotic Spoonable Yoghurt
              • Other Functional Spoonable Yoghurt
            • Plain Spoonable Yoghurt
      • Other Dairy
        • Chilled and Shelf Stable Desserts
          • Dairy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Dairy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Dairy-based Desserts
          • Soy-based Desserts
            • Chilled Soy-based Desserts
            • Shelf Stable Soy-based Desserts
        • Chilled Snacks
        • Coffee Whiteners
        • Condensed/Evaporated Milk
          • Flavoured, Functional Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed/Evaporated Milk
        • Cream
        • Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
          • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
    • Dried Processed Food
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Dessert Mixes
      • Dried Pasta
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Instant Soup
      • Plain Noodles
      • Rice
    • Frozen Processed Food
      • Frozen Bakery
      • Frozen Desserts
      • Frozen Meat Substitutes
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Processed Fish/Seafood
      • Frozen Processed Potatoes
        • Non-Oven Frozen Potatoes
        • Oven Baked Potato Chips
        • Other Oven Baked Potato Products
      • Frozen Processed Poultry
      • Frozen Processed Red Meat
      • Frozen Processed Vegetables
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Frozen Soup
      • Other Frozen Processed Food
    • Ice Cream
      • Frozen Yoghurt
      • Impulse Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Dairy Ice Cream
        • Single Portion Water Ice Cream
      • Retail Artisanal Ice Cream
      • Take-Home Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Dairy Ice Cream
          • Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
          • Ice Cream Desserts
          • Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
        • Take-Home Water Ice Cream
          • Bulk Water Ice Cream
          • Multi-Pack Water Ice Cream
    • Meal Replacement
      • Convalescence
      • Meal Replacement Slimming
    • Noodles
      • Chilled Noodles
      • Frozen Noodles
      • Instant Noodles
        • Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles
        • Pouch Instant Noodles
      • Plain Noodles
      • Snack Noodles
    • Oils and Fats
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine
      • Olive Oil
      • Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Functional Spreadable Oils and Fats
        • Regular Spreadable Oils and Fats
      • Vegetable and Seed Oil
    • Pasta
      • Canned/Preserved Pasta
      • Chilled/Fresh Pasta
      • Dried Pasta
    • Ready Meals
      • Canned/Preserved Ready Meals
      • Chilled Pizza
      • Chilled Ready Meals
      • Dinner Mixes
      • Dried Ready Meals
      • Frozen Pizza
      • Frozen Ready Meals
      • Prepared Salads
    • Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
      • Cooking Sauces
        • Bouillon/Stock Cubes
          • Gravy Cubes and Powders
          • Liquid Stocks and Fonds
          • Stock Cubes and Powders
        • Dry Sauces/Powder Mixes
        • Herbs and Spices
        • Monosodium Glutamate (MSG)
        • Pasta Sauces
        • Wet/Cooking Sauces
      • Dips
      • Pickled Products
      • Table Sauces
        • Barbecue Sauces
        • Brown Sauces
        • Cocktail Sauces
        • Curry Sauces
        • Fish Sauces
        • Horseradish Sauces
        • Ketchup
        • Mayonnaise
          • Low Fat Mayonnaise
          • Regular Mayonnaise
        • Mustard
        • Oyster Sauces
        • Salad Dressings
          • Low Fat Salad Dressings
          • Regular Salad Dressings
        • Soy Based Sauces
        • Spicy Chili/Pepper Sauces
        • Tartare Sauces
        • Vinaigrettes
        • Worcester/Steak Sauces
        • Other Table Sauces
      • Tomato Pastes and Purées
      • Other Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
    • Snack Bars
      • Breakfast Bars
      • Energy and Nutrition Bars
      • Fruit Bars
      • Granola/Muesli Bars
      • Other Snack Bars
    • Soup
      • Canned/Preserved Soup
      • Chilled Soup
      • Dehydrated Soup
      • Frozen Soup
      • Instant Soup
      • UHT Soup
    • Spreads
      • Chocolate Spreads
      • Honey
      • Jams and Preserves
      • Nut-based Spreads
      • Yeast-based Spreads
    • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
      • Chips/Crisps
      • Extruded Snacks
      • Fruit Snacks
      • Nuts
      • Popcorn
      • Pretzels
      • Tortilla/Corn Chips
      • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Single portion vs multi-portion
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based
  • Sugarised vs sugar-free
  • Vegetarian vs non-vegetarian

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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