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Country Report

Pet Care in Colombia

Dec 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Pet population increases in the country

Patterns of family structure are pushing cat products in Colombia. As more people begin to live alone and as consumers become busier, cats are the fastest-growing type of pet in the country, as they can be counted on for companionship but require relatively little care. This is providing a number of opportunities for companies in pet care, especially within cat food. Cat gyms are also becoming quite popular, especially amongst consumers that live in cramped urban housing and want to provide more activities for their cats.

Sales of pet accessories sales increase

Sales of pet accessories such as clothes, toys and necklaces, amongst others have significantly increased in pet shops. Use of accessories is fashionable and reflects the growing identification of pets with the pet owner. Due to its economic growth, Colombia's population enjoys a higher purchasing power, which also is reflected in this type of consumer trend.

New manufacturers stimulate market

Because of free trade agreements coming into force in 2012, many new brands of pet products and pet foods have entered the Colombian pet care market. Products manufactured in Canada and Brazil have begun to energize pet food, for example, driving consumption of treats and wet food. The changes to the competitive landscape have shaken up market shares. Most notably, Alimentos Polar Colombia, the local subsidiary of a Venezuelan company, dove into the pet food market for the first time in 2011 with good results, thanks to a combination of strong distribution and low prices. Other companies like Logus Representaciones, the distributor for Brazilian player Mogiana Alimentos, which has launched the brand Guabi in economy dry dog food, have also successfully impacted the market.

Large retailers are betting on pet care

In the past, pet food was very small, with dry food for dogs and cats accounting for the large majority of sales in that category. With the growth of supermarket and hypermarket chains and new consumer needs, there are large sections of pet supplies and pet products, often with sales staff of companies available to provide information to the pet owner. Currently these large format stores offer dry food, wet food, treats for dogs, cats, birds, hamsters and fish. The wider availability of such products is helping to push sales growth and determining marketing strategies for pet care players.

Moderate growth projected for pet food

Pet food growth is projected to be gradual because the transition from homemade food to prepared food is slow due pet owners’ lack of knowledge about nutritional requirements and optimum quantities according to the lifestyle of the pet. Outside of cats, the increase in the number of pets in the country is also likely to be lacklustre. Other pets in particular will see almost no growth, whilst growth will be positive but quite moderate in the case of dogs. In the 2012-2017 period, companies will continue to need to reach out to low-income consumers and convince them of the need to invest in food created especially for their pets in order to increase the overall size of the market significantly.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Pet Care industry in Colombia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Pet Care industry in Colombia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Colombia for free:

The Pet Care in Colombia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Pet Care in Colombia?
  • What are the major brands in Colombia?
  • How did the downturn affect pet care spending?
  • Which is the best-performing category within pet care?
  • Which is the fastest-growing pet food manufacturer?
  • How have pet specialists fared in recent years?
  • What are growth prospects for pet care in the next 5 years?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Pet Care market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Pet Care in Colombia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Pet population increases in the country

Sales of pet accessories sales increase

New manufacturers stimulate market

Large retailers are betting on pet care

Moderate growth projected for pet food

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Increased foreign competition forces local companies to improve

Increased consumer education drives worming treatments

Pet services have not led to retail boom – yet

Purina anticipates boom in wet food with innovative product

Pouches offer hope for wet food

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Pet Populations 2007-2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales of Pet Care by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales of Pet Care by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Pet Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 7 Pet Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 8 Dog and Cat Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 9 Dog and Cat Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 10 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Dog and Cat Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 12 Sales of Dog and Cat Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 13 Sales of Pet Care by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Sales of Pet Care by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Pet Care in Colombia - Company Profiles

Alimentos Nutrion SA in Pet Care (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Alimentos Nutrion SA: Competitive Position 2010

Alimentos Polar de Colombia SA in Pet Care (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Alimentos Polar Colombia SA: Competitive Position 2011

Federico Osorio A SA in Pet Care (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Solla SA in Pet Care (Colombia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Solla SA: Competitive Position 2011

Cat Food in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2012 is expected to see a continuation of the same strong performance that occurred in 2011. In both years, fast growth in the feline population and the gradual extension of the cat-owning habit to lower-income classes are propelling strong growth rates for cat food, with little reason to expect a significant deviation from the trend.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive landscape in cat food is expected to heat up through 2012. Free trade agreements and an undeveloped market are attracting a large number of players to Colombia, which is set to see a surge in new brands, brand extensions, specialised products and more. In 2011, new players like Cipa with its brand CipaCat, and Logus Representaciones, with its brand Guabi, gained value share in the market, and more new players and brands are expected to follow.

PROSPECTS

  • Continued growth of the cat population should underpin a positive forecast for cat food in Colombia. Cat ownership trails far behind dog ownership, and at only 7% of households, there is plenty of room for growth. The number of pet cats in the country is expected to increase at a steady pace of close to 3% through 2017, which, combined with a large prepared food gap to close, offers good opportunities for companies.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 19 Cat Owning Households: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 20 Cat Population 2007-2012
  • Table 21 Cat Food Prepared vs Non-prepared Gap: % Analysis 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 13 Cat Food by Price Band 2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cat Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 23 Sales of Cat Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 24 Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 25 Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 26 Sales of Premium Cat Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 27 Cat Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Cat Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Cat Treats Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Dog Food in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Like 2011, 2012 is looking to be a continuation of the same trends in Colombian dog food, with both years showing high rates of volume and value growth as the number of consumers that look for packaged foods specifically designed for their pets continues to siphon away consumers that previously fed their dogs leftovers. In addition to families increasingly treating their pets lavishly, the economy continues to perform well in 2012, as the country continues a growth spurt owing to rising exports and high foreign investment that is helping protect it from the global malaise. Though 2012 volume growth is set to be 5%, which is only a slight return to the mean from 2011’s 6% growth, and the market continues to be very positive.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The entry of low-price players into the market, including Brazilian companies such as Grupo Guanbi, has potential to change the market by making quality products available at lower prices. In the coming years, this could disrupt the market and force companies to work harder to benefit from the growth of consumption amongst low-income consumers. Though these players remain too small to have impacted the market heavily through early 2012, they have potential to have a large impact in the future.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer education is expected to be the greatest growth driver for dog food over the forecast period. Colombian consumers are susceptible to new information about the benefits of prepared food and the nutritional needs of pets. Companies can expect to be rewarded for well-done campaigns that clearly explain the benefits of their products, convincing consumers to change their habits and begin to adopt prepared dog food at a faster rate.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 34 Dog Owning Households: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 35 Dog Population 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Dog Food Prepared vs Non-prepared Gap: % Analysis 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Summary 14 Dog Food by Price Band 2011
  • Table 37 Sales of Dog Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Dog Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Sales of Premium Dog Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 42 Dog Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Dog Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Dog Treats Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Other Pet Food in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The other pet food market is remarkably stable in Colombia, undergoing a relatively slow and smooth growth trend with no major disruptions. 2012 is expected to continue to be very similar to the quiet market conditions seen over the course of 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The other pet food market is quite stagnant relative to dog food and cat food. Growth is low, product innovation is rare, and there are fewer opportunities to chase. As a result, 2012 is likely to maintain the same general trends that were registered over the course of 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Other pet food is traditionally a sleepy pet food category, and it shows little sign of waking up over the forecast period. Whist a number of pet varieties exist and can be found in Colombia, there are no strong trends toward taking up any unconventional animals as pets. Indeed, the trend is more clearly towards traditional pets like dogs and cats, leaving almost negligible growth rates for birds, fish and small mammals/reptiles.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 49 Other Pet Population 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 52 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 53 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 54 Bird Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Fish Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Small Mammal/Reptile Food Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Pet Products in Colombia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The market for pet products is likely to undergo no significant changes from 2011 to 2012. In both years, the market is expected to undergo growth more or less in line with inflation rates.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The behaviour of demand and business strategies around pet products in 2012 should remain quite similar to 2011. There are no signs of any major changes in market dynamics, with the only interesting change to the market being the entry of Cipa in cat litter, which brought one more player to the pet products category in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Continued humanisation of pets is expected to provide opportunities for companies over the 2012-2017 forecast period. Pets are increasingly part of the family and owners are willing to spend more money on animals, for emotional reasons or because they find that well kept animals can be a source of prestige. This will especially be a trend to watch for sales of pet products, such as clothing and accessories.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Pet Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 62 Sales of Pet Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 63 Sales of Pet Healthcare by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 64 Forecast Sales of Pet Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of Pet Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Pet Care
    • Pet Food
      • Dog and Cat Food
        • Cat Food
          • Cat Treats and Mixers
            • Cat Mixers
            • Cat Treats
          • Dry Cat Food
            • Economy Dry Cat Food
            • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
            • Premium Dry Cat Food
            • Wet Cat Food
              • Economy Wet Cat Food
              • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
              • Premium Wet Cat Food
            • Dog Food
              • Dog Treats and Mixers
                • Dog Mixers
                • Dog Treats
              • Dry Dog Food
                • Economy Dry Dog Food
                • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                • Premium Dry Dog Food
                • Wet Dog Food
                  • Economy Wet Dog Food
                  • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                  • Premium Wet Dog Food
              • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform and Type
                • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform (Excl Treats and Mixers)
                  • Economy Dog and Cat Food
                    • Economy Dry Cat Food
                    • Economy Dry Dog Food
                    • Economy Wet Cat Food
                    • Economy Wet Dog Food
                  • Mid-Priced Dog and Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                    • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                  • Premium Dog and Cat Food
                    • Premium Dry Cat Food
                      • Premium Dry Dog Food
                        • Premium Wet Cat Food
                          • Premium Wet Dog Food
                          • Therapeutic Dog and Cat Food
                            • Therapeutic Cat Food
                              • Therapeutic Dog Food
                              • Non-Therapeutic Dog and Cat Food
                                • Non-Therapeutic Cat Food
                                  • Non-Therapeutic Dog Food
                                • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform (incl Treats and Mixers)
                                  • Cat Food by Price Platform
                                    • Cat Treats and Mixers
                                      • Cat Mixers
                                      • Cat Treats
                                    • Economy Cat Food
                                      • Economy Dry Cat Food
                                      • Economy Wet Cat Food
                                    • Mid-Priced Cat Food
                                      • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                                      • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                                    • Premium Cat Food
                                      • Premium Dry Cat Food
                                        • Premium Wet Cat Food
                                          • Therapeutic Cat Food
                                            • Non-Therapeutic Cat Food
                                          • Dog Food by Price Platform
                                            • Dog Treats and Mixers
                                              • Dog Mixers
                                              • Dog Treats
                                            • Economy Dog Food
                                              • Economy Dry Dog Food
                                              • Economy Wet Dog Food
                                            • Mid-Priced Dog Food
                                              • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                                              • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                                            • Premium Dog Food
                                              • Premium Dry Dog Food
                                                • Premium Wet Dog Food
                                                  • Therapeutic Dog Food
                                                    • Non-Therapeutic Dog Food
                                                • Dog and Cat Food by Type (Excl Treats and Mixers)
                                                  • Dry Dog and Cat Food
                                                    • Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Economy Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Premium Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Economy Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Premium Dry Dog Food
                                                      • Wet Dog and Cat Food
                                                        • Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Economy Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Premium Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Economy Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Premium Wet Dog Food
                                                      • Other Pet Food
                                                        • Bird Food
                                                        • Fish Food
                                                        • Small Mammal/Reptile Food
                                                    • Pet Products
                                                      • Cat Litter
                                                      • Pet Healthcare
                                                      • Pet Dietary Supplements
                                                      • Other Pet Products

                                                  Statistics Included

                                                  Statistics Included

                                                  For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                  From Passport

                                                  • Market sizes
                                                  • Company shares
                                                  • Brand shares
                                                  • Distribution
                                                  • Analysis by type
                                                  • Number of vets
                                                  • Pet ownership
                                                  • Pet population
                                                  • Prepared gap
                                                  • Pricing
                                                  • Product by life-cycle
                                                  • Products by ingredient
                                                  • Products by ingredient

                                                  Market size details:

                                                  • Retail volume
                                                  • Retail volume % growth
                                                  • Retail volume per capita
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

                                                  Methodology

                                                  Methodology

                                                  Global insight and local knowledge

                                                  With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                  This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                  Industry specialists

                                                  Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                  Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                  The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                  Country and regional analysts

                                                  Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                  In-country research network

                                                  To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                  Research Methodology

                                                  Our research methods

                                                  Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                  Desk research

                                                  With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                  • National and international trade press
                                                  • National and international trade associations
                                                  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                  • Company financials and annual reports
                                                  • Broker reports
                                                  • Online databases
                                                  • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                  Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                  Store checks

                                                  Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                  Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                  Trade survey

                                                  Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                  Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                  In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                  Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                  Company analysis

                                                  At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                  At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                  Forecasts

                                                  Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                  Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                  Data validation

                                                  All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                  The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                  Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                  Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                  Market analysis

                                                  Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                  Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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