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Country Report

Pet Care in Sweden

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sales of pet food slowing down

Due to economic instability in Sweden sales of pet food and pet products are slowing down; in 2012 both current value and volume growth is set to be slower than it was in 2011. The slowdown can be seen amongst the majority of the categories, some of which are also affected by a declining population – such as bird food, which will see volume sales decline in 2012 due to decreased ownership of pet birds. Furthermore, an increasing number of people are expected to trade down to mid-priced and economy brands. Due to the weaker economy people will also increasingly prefer premium private label brands which can offer a relatively good product at an affordable price.

Organic pet food not yet taking off

Although sales of organic food for humans have grown rapidly in Sweden in the last few years, organic pet food has not yet had a major breakthrough. There are several reasons for this. Due to the lack of supply, organic meat is still expensive and this makes it challenging to produce organic cat and dog food for a reasonable price. Many people also prefer organic food not only due to environmental reasons but also due to health reasons. Although especially dogs are seen as important family members, the majority of dog owners are not yet willing to spend money on organic dog food which may only have a marginal effect on the health of the dog.

Multinational brands lead value sales

In Sweden, pet food continues to be dominated by multinational brands such as Purina, Hill’s, Pedigree and Whiskas. The multinational brands enjoy synergy effects from both joint market and research resources. In recent years there has been growing interest in products made in Sweden and this has benefitted brands which have a local image and which uses local ingredients. The growing interest in feeding pets fresh food also challenges the multinational brands which usually focus on packaged food. Amongst dog owners there is, for example, a growing interest in BARF, or Biologically Appropriate Raw Food which favours a diet consisting of unprocessed meat. Retailers are also increasingly focusing on developing their private label assortment and this also poses a threat to the multinational brands in the long run.

Internet retailers increasingly compete with services

Internet retailers that specialise in sales of pet food and pet products are increasingly focusing on developing their service offerings. Although internet retailers already have competitive advantages when it comes to being able to offer a broad product assortment at lower prices than pet shops, several internet retailers are increasingly offering home delivery services. The leading pet care internet retailer Animail, for example, offers several home delivery options and these services have proved to be popular both amongst people with a car and amongst people who do not own car. Rising gas prices and the increasingly hectic lifestyles of the Swedes contribute to this trend.

Weaker growth rates in the forecast period

In the forecast period sales of pet food and pet products are projected to perform better than they did in the review period. This trend is mainly supported by the pet humanisation trend in the case of affluent consumers. Affluent pet owners are willing to pay more and buy more premium products for their house pets just as like for their own children. The trend is somewhat supported by the less affluent consumers as well. Poorer consumers are generally the once without job, who are also more depressed due to lack of job and have more time to spend on petting animals. These consumers spend the little money they have on pets to find some activities to do and treat, which in turn boosts the pet food and pet products market.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Pet Care industry in Sweden with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Pet Care industry in Sweden, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Sweden for free:

The Pet Care in Sweden market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Pet Care in Sweden?
  • What are the major brands in Sweden?
  • How did the downturn affect pet care spending?
  • Which is the best-performing category within pet care?
  • Which is the fastest-growing pet food manufacturer?
  • How have pet specialists fared in recent years?
  • What are growth prospects for pet care in the next 5 years?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Pet Care market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Pet Care in Sweden - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sales of pet food slowing down

Organic pet food not yet taking off

Multinational brands lead value sales

Internet retailers increasingly compete with services

Weaker growth rates in the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic growth in Sweden is losing strength

Increasing demand for BARF dog food

Pet food targeting specific needs

Internet retailers continue to take market shares

Growing interest in natural remedies and supplements

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Pet Populations 2007-2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales of Pet Care by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales of Pet Care by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Pet Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 7 Pet Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 8 Dog and Cat Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 9 Dog and Cat Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 10 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Dog and Cat Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 12 Sales of Dog and Cat Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 13 Sales of Pet Care by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Sales of Pet Care by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Pet Care by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Pet Care in Sweden - Company Profiles

Arken Zoo AB in Pet Care (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 1 Arken Zoo AB: Arken Zoo in Stockholm

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Arken Zoo AB: Competitive Position 2011

Dogman AB in Pet Care (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Dogman AB: Competitive Position 2011

Lantmännen Doggy AB in Pet Care (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Lantmännen Doggy AB: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Lantmännen Doggy AB: Competitive Position 2011

SP Standardt Produkter AB in Pet Care (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 SP Standardt Produkter AB: Competitive Position 2011

Cat Food in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth rates in 2012 are expected to slow down both in volume and value when compared to the growth rates in 2011. The economic instability in Europe and slower growth rates in the Swedish economy have contributed to the slower growth rates for cat food even though cat owners are becoming more willing to pay premium prices for products targeting their pets’ specific needs. Swedes who suffer from the economic instability can find satisfaction in pampering their cats and improving their health conditions by offering them a good diet.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Premium brands have in recent years taken market shares, whilst remaining the smallest segment in cat food; economic instability and the slower growth rate in the Swedish economy may, however, are hampering the development of premium brands in 2012.

PROSPECTS

  • The trend of products targeting specific needs of the cat is projected to become stronger in the forecast period. Cat owners are realising that they can improve the health of their cats by changing their cats’ diet.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 19 Cat Owning Households: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 20 Cat Population 2007-2012
  • Table 21 Cat Food Prepared vs Non-prepared Gap: % Analysis 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 22 Sales of Cat Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 23 Sales of Cat Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 24 Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 25 Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 26 Sales of Premium Cat Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 27 Cat Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Cat Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Cat Treats Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cat Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 15 Cat Food by Price Band 2011

Dog Food in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012 several factors continue to affect sales of dog food. The declining dog population continues to hamper sales. The economic instability and the slower growth rate in the Swedish economy are also contributing to the slower growth rates in 2012. On the other hand, dogs are increasingly seen as family members and dog owners are willing to invest in their dog’s wellbeing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The market for dog food is increasingly dominated by a declining number of international manufacturers and in 2012 the four largest players continued to strengthen their market shares. Retailers are, however, increasingly focusing on developing their own private labels and in the long run, the major manufacturers may be threatened by those retailers.

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period, volume sales of dog food will continue to be slightly constrained by the declining dog population and increased preference for smaller dog breeds, but volume sales of dog food will be slightly stronger than they were in the review period. Premium products will, however, drive the value sales.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 34 Dog Owning Households: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 35 Dog Population 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Dog Food Prepared vs Non-prepared Gap: % Analysis 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Dog Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Dog Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Sales of Premium Dog Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 42 Dog Food Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 43 Dog Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 44 Dog Treats Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Dog Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Summary 16 Dog Food by Price Band 2011

Other Pet Food in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012 sales of other pet food have been negatively affected by the growing economic instability and fears of another recession, just like other categories. As a result of this, volume sales of other pet food are expected to decline slightly (-0.4%), but current value sales are expected to increase by 2%. The current value increase can be explained by the fact that pet owners are becoming even more aware of their pets’ health, even though not as much as for dogs or cats, which are considered to be more like family members.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2012 the market for other pet food continues to be led by Dogman, Best Friend Sweden and Vitakraft Sverige. The three major companies are all present within bird food, fish food and small mammal/reptile food.

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period the premium trend will grow stronger. Pet owners are becoming increasingly concerned about the health of their pets. The premium trend will, however, not be as strong in this category as it is amongst cat and dog food. Cats and dogs live long and cats and dogs have become like family members.

CATEGORY INDICATORS

  • Table 49 Other Pet Population 2007-2012

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 52 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 53 Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 54 Bird Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Fish Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Small Mammal/Reptile Food Food Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Other Pet Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Pet Products in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012 the health and wellness trend continues to be strong and this will stimulate demand for products such as pet dietary supplements and pet healthcare. A deteriorating Swedish economy is unlikely to affect this trend significantly. In case of a recession, pet owners are more likely to save on various pet products such as various accessories, as many accessories have become fashion statements.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2012 there will not be any significant changes on the market for pet care products. The market will continue to be led by Dogman, Best Friend Sweden and Mars Sverige. In the long run the leading players will receive increased competition from retailers developing their private label assortment.

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period the natural trend will grow stronger and this trend will be especially strong in pet healthcare and pet dietary supplements. People are becoming increasingly suspicious of synthetic ingredients; they perceive natural ingredients to be less harmful. Products such as the pet dietary supplements by SP Standardt Produkter will continue to benefit by the growing interest in natural products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Pet Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 62 Sales of Pet Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 63 Sales of Pet Healthcare by Type: % Value Breakdown 2007-2012
  • Table 64 Forecast Sales of Pet Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of Pet Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Pet Care
    • Pet Food
      • Dog and Cat Food
        • Cat Food
          • Cat Treats and Mixers
            • Cat Mixers
            • Cat Treats
          • Dry Cat Food
            • Economy Dry Cat Food
            • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
            • Premium Dry Cat Food
            • Wet Cat Food
              • Economy Wet Cat Food
              • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
              • Premium Wet Cat Food
            • Dog Food
              • Dog Treats and Mixers
                • Dog Mixers
                • Dog Treats
              • Dry Dog Food
                • Economy Dry Dog Food
                • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                • Premium Dry Dog Food
                • Wet Dog Food
                  • Economy Wet Dog Food
                  • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                  • Premium Wet Dog Food
              • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform and Type
                • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform (Excl Treats and Mixers)
                  • Economy Dog and Cat Food
                    • Economy Dry Cat Food
                    • Economy Dry Dog Food
                    • Economy Wet Cat Food
                    • Economy Wet Dog Food
                  • Mid-Priced Dog and Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                    • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                    • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                  • Premium Dog and Cat Food
                    • Premium Dry Cat Food
                      • Premium Dry Dog Food
                        • Premium Wet Cat Food
                          • Premium Wet Dog Food
                          • Therapeutic Dog and Cat Food
                            • Therapeutic Cat Food
                              • Therapeutic Dog Food
                              • Non-Therapeutic Dog and Cat Food
                                • Non-Therapeutic Cat Food
                                  • Non-Therapeutic Dog Food
                                • Dog and Cat Food by Price Platform (incl Treats and Mixers)
                                  • Cat Food by Price Platform
                                    • Cat Treats and Mixers
                                      • Cat Mixers
                                      • Cat Treats
                                    • Economy Cat Food
                                      • Economy Dry Cat Food
                                      • Economy Wet Cat Food
                                    • Mid-Priced Cat Food
                                      • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                                      • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                                    • Premium Cat Food
                                      • Premium Dry Cat Food
                                        • Premium Wet Cat Food
                                          • Therapeutic Cat Food
                                            • Non-Therapeutic Cat Food
                                          • Dog Food by Price Platform
                                            • Dog Treats and Mixers
                                              • Dog Mixers
                                              • Dog Treats
                                            • Economy Dog Food
                                              • Economy Dry Dog Food
                                              • Economy Wet Dog Food
                                            • Mid-Priced Dog Food
                                              • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                                              • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                                            • Premium Dog Food
                                              • Premium Dry Dog Food
                                                • Premium Wet Dog Food
                                                  • Therapeutic Dog Food
                                                    • Non-Therapeutic Dog Food
                                                • Dog and Cat Food by Type (Excl Treats and Mixers)
                                                  • Dry Dog and Cat Food
                                                    • Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Economy Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Mid-Priced Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Premium Dry Cat Food
                                                      • Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Economy Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Mid-Priced Dry Dog Food
                                                        • Premium Dry Dog Food
                                                      • Wet Dog and Cat Food
                                                        • Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Economy Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Mid-Priced Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Premium Wet Cat Food
                                                          • Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Economy Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Mid-Priced Wet Dog Food
                                                            • Premium Wet Dog Food
                                                      • Other Pet Food
                                                        • Bird Food
                                                        • Fish Food
                                                        • Small Mammal/Reptile Food
                                                    • Pet Products
                                                      • Cat Litter
                                                      • Pet Healthcare
                                                      • Pet Dietary Supplements
                                                      • Other Pet Products

                                                  Statistics Included

                                                  Statistics Included

                                                  For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                  From Passport

                                                  • Market sizes
                                                  • Company shares
                                                  • Brand shares
                                                  • Distribution
                                                  • Analysis by type
                                                  • Number of vets
                                                  • Pet ownership
                                                  • Pet population
                                                  • Prepared gap
                                                  • Pricing
                                                  • Product by life-cycle
                                                  • Products by ingredient
                                                  • Products by ingredient

                                                  Market size details:

                                                  • Retail volume
                                                  • Retail volume % growth
                                                  • Retail volume per capita
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

                                                  Methodology

                                                  Methodology

                                                  Global insight and local knowledge

                                                  With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                  This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                  Industry specialists

                                                  Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                  Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                  The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                  Country and regional analysts

                                                  Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                  In-country research network

                                                  To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                  Research Methodology

                                                  Our research methods

                                                  Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                  Desk research

                                                  With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                  • National and international trade press
                                                  • National and international trade associations
                                                  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                  • Company financials and annual reports
                                                  • Broker reports
                                                  • Online databases
                                                  • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                  Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                  Store checks

                                                  Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                  Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                  Trade survey

                                                  Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                  Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                  In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                  Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                  Company analysis

                                                  At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                  At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                  Forecasts

                                                  Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                  Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                  Data validation

                                                  All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                  The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                  Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                  Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                  Market analysis

                                                  Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                  Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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