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Country Report

Retailing in Azerbaijan

Feb 2013

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retailing records good value growth in 2012

Increasing consumer income levels during 2011-2012 encouraged the further development of retailing in Azerbaijan. With local currency stabilisation, consumer confidence rose, increasing household spending. As a result, in 2012, retailing demonstrated strong current value growth which marginally exceeded the review period average. The main reasons for this performance were improved economic conditions in the country, increasing number of outlets and wider range of products available. Furthermore, price promotions offered by companies also fuelled growth. Nevertheless, structural and bureaucratic problems represent the main obstacles to foreign investment inflow for even higher growth.

Chained operators expand and gain popularity

In 2012, chained operators were more competitive than their independent counterparts. These included Favorit Market, Rahat Market, Bazarstore and Ideal Perfumery & Cosmetics amongst others. More competitive prices, loyalty programmes and wide product assortments were some of the factors which encouraged consumers to shop in modern retailing formats, especially chained supermarkets. The extended number of lower-priced brands from domestic and international operators actively presented in supermarkets and hypermarkets attracted consumers with their lower prices. Despite fact being price-sensitive, Azerbaijani consumers still gave preference to mid-priced products and high levels of service, which are not always provided by small independent retailers. Nevertheless, independent companies dominate retailing in 2012. This was due to the high number of local companies, specifically under traditional grocery retailers, apparel specialist retailers, home and garden specialist retailers, health and beauty specialist retailers and leisure and personal goods specialist retailers.

Further development of shopping centres

In 2012, shopping centres became more popular, as consumers became used to visiting them. More shopping centres are being developed, with several new larger ones under construction at the end of the review period. In addition, in shopping centres, Azerbaijanis can find a large variety of non-grocery outlets as well as grocery stores and various leisure and entertainment facilities. Consequently, consumers are gradually changing their attitudes towards shopping and switching from other grocery and other non-grocery retailers to specialists operating in modern stores. This trend will continue into the forecast period, with the development of several large shopping centres, both in Baku and in regions of the country.

Grocery retailers in the lead

In 2012, grocery retailers held the leading position within store-based retailing, holding a dominant share of total retail value sales. However, non-grocery retailers enjoyed more dynamic growth in 2012, than the grocery channel. Additionally, the share of non-grocery items within total sales of store-based retailers also increased. This was fuelled by the performance of modern grocery retailing, as supermarkets continued to develop further and showed higher growth than the review period average in number of outlets. Moreover, the first hypermarket was launched in late 2011, which improved its position amongst modern grocery retailers in 2012.

Positive growth over the forecast period expected

Over the forecast period, retailing is predicted to demonstrate positive constant value growth, compared with the negative performance of the review. This will be largely due to the improved economic conditions and rising disposable incomes of consumers. The growing number of outlets, expansion of chained operators and the entry of new companies will also stimulate positive growth over the forecast period. Rising urbanisation, increasing number of shopping centres with entertainment and foodservice facilities will also be other important factors contributing to the growth of retail sales in the country.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Azerbaijan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Azerbaijan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Azerbaijan for free:

The Retailing in Azerbaijan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Azerbaijan?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Azerbaijan?
  • How is retailing performing in Azerbaijan?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Azerbaijan?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Azerbaijan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retailing records good value growth in 2012

Chained operators expand and gain popularity

Further development of shopping centres

Grocery retailers in the lead

Positive growth over the forecast period expected

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Improved economic conditions drive retailing

Government regulation

Foreign direct investment

Demographic changes

Further development of shopping centres in 2012

Increased penetration of new brands of apparel

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2007-2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery: 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 10 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 11 Store-Based Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 12 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 13 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 17 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

APPENDIX

Operating environment

Cash and carry

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Azerbaijan - Company Profiles

ANC Group MMC in Retailing (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 ANC Group MMC: Competitive Position 2012

Embawood MMC in Retailing (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Embawood MMC: Competitive Position 2012

Intersun Holding FZCO in Retailing (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Intersun Holding FZCO: Competitive Position 2012

Music Gallery Ltd in Retailing (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Music Gallery Ltd: Competitive Position 2012

World Telecom MMC in Retailing (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 World Telecom MMC: Competitive Position 2012

Grocery Retailers in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, the main factor driving the growth of grocery retailers continued to be increasing number of chained outlets and attractive price promotions offered by chained retailers, especially by supermarkets. Attractive promotions such as price discounts on selected items every week such as buy-one-get-one-half price, or even buy-one-get-one-free were offered by chained companies over the review period. The current value growth registered in 2012 of 8% was higher than the review period CAGR of 5%, as a result of improved economic conditions, meaning higher purchasing power of customers, and increased share of the modern grocery channel versus the traditional channel.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Neptun-S MMC remained the clear leader of grocery retailers in 2012 with value share of 1%. Within grocery retailers, it competes in supermarkets. Consumer awareness of the Neptun brand is very high as it has been present for a long time throughout Baku city. In line with premium- and mid-priced segments, sales growth is obtained through the active development also of low-priced formats.

PROSPECTS

  • The positive changes observed in grocery retailers over the review period, such as faster development of modern grocery retailers compared with traditional, development of retail chains, more competitive services and pricing policies by the leading retail chains are expected to continue over the forecast period due to the continued underdevelopment of grocery retailing compared with European standards.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 1 Modern Grocery Retailers: Rahat Market in Baku (exterior)
  • Chart 2 Modern Grocery Retailers: Rahat Market in Baku (interior)
  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Bazarstore in Baku (exterior)
  • Chart 4 Modern Grocery Retailers: Bazarstore in Baku (interior)
  • Chart 5 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Market in Baku (exterior)
  • Chart 6 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Market in Baku (interior)
  • Chart 7 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Nicat Market in Baku (exterior)
  • Chart 8 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Nicat Market in Baku (interior)
  • Chart 9 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Kiosk Press in Baku

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 20 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 21 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 22 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 23 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 24 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 25 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 26 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 27 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Selling Space 2009-2012
  • Table 28 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 29 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 31 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Grocery Retailers in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, shopping centres became more popular, with increasing numbers of consumers gradually starting to make frequent visits. New shopping centres are also under construction, while 2012 saw an opening Metro Park shopping centre in the residential part of Baku city in March close to “Nariman Narimanov” underground station. This shopping centre welcomed the popular and strongly-established electronics and appliance specialist retailers as well as beauty specialist retailers, such as Baku Electronics, Ideal and Golden Rose, respectively. Furthermore, both grocery and non-grocery outlets can be found in shopping centres, along with various leisure venues, foodservice channels and entertainment facilities. In September 2012, another shopping centre Mall 28 was opened, which was the largest in Azerbaijan at the end of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Non-grocery retailers was led by Baku Electronics in 2012 with 6% value share. As electronics and appliance specialist retailers was the second highest performing channel in non-grocery retailing, Baku Electronic as its leader generated the most sales in this segment with 38% value share. The company markets a number of leading global brands, including Bosch, Tefal, Siemens, Samsung, HP, Dell, LG and Canon amongst others. Embawood MMC remained the second largest chain in non-grocery retailers in 2012 with a retail value share of 4%. Embawood owes its strong position to the presence in furniture and homewares stores, in which it engaged in outlet expansion and strong marketing over the review period.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the development of large shopping centres will be continuing. The end of 2012 witnessed the opening of the largest shopping centre in Azerbaijan called Mall 28, located in the very central part of Baku near the “28th of May” underground station. This will lead to the appearance of many new brands and companies, and development of existing ones, such as Ideal, Sabina Perfumery & Cosmetics, Golden Rose and adidas. Such a situation will further stimulate sales through non-grocery retailers and will encourage consumers to switch from open markets to specialised shops further in Azerbaijan.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 10 Non-Grocery Retailers: Aptek in Baku
  • Chart 11 Non-Grocery Retailers: MG Music Gallery in Baku (exterior)
  • Chart 12 Non-Grocery Retailers: MG Music Gallery in Baku (interior)
  • Chart 13 Non-Grocery Retailers: World Telecom in Baku
  • Chart 14 Non-Grocery Retailers: Topdan ve Perakende Qab-Qacaq Satisi (other leisure and personal goods specialist retailers) in Baku
  • Chart 15 Non-Grocery Retailers: Intellekt (stationers and office supply store (exterior)) in Baku
  • Chart 16 Non-Grocery Retailers: Intellekt (stationers and office supply store (interior)) in Baku

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 32 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 33 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 34 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 35 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 37 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 38 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 40 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 42 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Store Retailing in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The rapid growth of internet retailing over the review period was mainly due to the large increase of e-stores and in the number of internet users across the country, although they were mostly concentrated in Baku city. The development of internet providers helped to improve technical services, and more Azerbaijanis now have higher speed and lower cost internet access. Such government steps since 2010 helped to improve the internet retailing environment towards the end of the review period. Such a situation led to the high increase in growth rates of sales through internet retailing. However, this significant growth was attributed to the low base of sales. Internet retailing ranked third within non-store retailing in terms of value share and sales remain very low.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Oriflame Azerbaijan was the overall leader with a value share of 61% in 2012. Beauty and personal care direct selling companies also tend to launch new brands and develop new formulas for existing products each year. This strategy has helped Oriflame to maintain a dominant position in beauty and personal care direct selling. The company’s success is also attributable to its aggressive direct marketing tactics, with Oriflame consultants regularly conducting consumer surveys and promoting new products on the streets of Baku and other big cities.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-store retailing is predicted to record slower growth over the forecast period with a constant value CAGR of 7%, compared to the 9% CAGR of the review period. Specialised stores will gradually gain sales shares from beauty and personal care direct selling, for instance. Azerbaijani consumers have no strong tradition of buying products such as furnishings, home care, food and clothing or consumer electronics through non-store retailing. However, the category as a whole will continue to be dominated by a small number of direct selling and internet retailing formats, with others remaining underdeveloped. For consumers, the main attraction of internet retailing will be the opportunity to buy products at cheaper prices than in store-based retailing outlets, as well as the convenience factor.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 43 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 44 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 45 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 46 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
          • Furniture and Homewares Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellery and Watch Specialist Retailers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Furniture and Homewares Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Furniture and Homewares Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Furniture and Homewares Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Hot Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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