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Country Report

Retailing in Belarus

Feb 2013

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Relative stability after strong economic crisis

2011 was very difficult for Belarus, with the country experiencing an economic crisis. According to the local statistics, Belarus ended 2011 with the rate of inflation climbing to 120%. The official inflation for 2012 stands at 22%, according to the Belarusian Ministry of Finance.

Average unit prices in retail doubled in 2011, compared with average unit prices in 2010, further increasing the price- sensitivity of Belarusian consumers. Price inflation supported an increase in retail turnover.

Weaker players leave retailing

The economic crisis affected retailing as a whole, but had a different impact on the development of Belarusian retail chains. Weaker players failed to survive during the strong crisis, which led to several mergers and acquisitions. Some of the stronger players postponed their expansion plans until the crisis is over, which led to delays in the opening of retail outlets of large formats, like hypermarkets and supermarkets. The strongest players used the crisis as an opportunity to purchase smaller and weaker players that struggled to survive in difficult trading conditions.

Aside from the economic conditions, in 2011-2012 the development of retailing as a whole was hampered by the continuing complexity of Belarusian tax laws, insufficient infrastructure and high cost of rent, as well as by a sharp decrease in disposable incomes for the majority of the population. These factors combined resulted in low purchasing power and in stronger government price regulations in retail, resumed in 2011-2012 to protect price-sensitive consumers.

Grocery versus non-grocery parity indicates crisis

In Belarus, the split between grocery and non-grocery remains a good indicator of crisis or economic recovery. The split in 2011 moved toward increasing the value share of groceries. Retailing began its slow recovery in 2012 after sharp crisis in 2011. Euromonitor International expects that the share of groceries in 2012 will remain stable, on the level of 2011. Consumers are still predicted to reduce spending on non-essential goods and to increase spending on essential groceries. In 2012, grocery retailers as a whole recorded faster growth in current value sales than non-grocery retailers, as the development of the latter was hampered by lowered consumer purchasing power and by restricted access to credit with very high interest rates.

Opportunity for further mergers and acquisitions

Despite the economic crisis, the outlook for retailing in Belarus is generally optimistic. The Customs Union incorporation of Belarus with Russia and Kazakhstan, which started fully functioning at the beginning of 2012, provides a good opportunity for future expansion of strong Russian retail chains in Belarus. Retailing in Belarus is still comparatively underdeveloped, which leaves considerable room for growth in constant value sales and outlet numbers over the forecast period. At the same time, the expected privatisation of state-owned retail chains will also provide further opportunities for mergers and acquisitions.

Chained retailers demonstrate high growth

2011-2012 became a period of acceleration in the development of strong chained retailing. The situation of retailing could be described as a stage of growth and acquisitions at the end of the review period. High economic uncertainty in the second half of 2011 made the financing of growth activities very challenging, but it also led to a considerable weakness of small players, some of which faced bankruptcy. Consequently, conditions in retailing gave the opportunity for stronger chained retailers to purchase weaker players, and to demonstrate higher growth in 2011-2012.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Belarus with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Belarus, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belarus for free:

The Retailing in Belarus market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Belarus?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Belarus?
  • How is retailing performing in Belarus?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Belarus?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Belarus - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Relative stability after strong economic crisis

Weaker players leave retailing

Grocery versus non-grocery parity indicates crisis

Opportunity for further mergers and acquisitions

Chained retailers demonstrate high growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

2012 remains under the influence of the economic crisis

Government regulation resumed in crisis

Foreign direct investment increases

Demographic changes

Internet sees further development

  • Table 1 Internet Shops Development in Belarus 2009 - 2011

Expansion of leading retail chains to the regions of Belarus continues

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 2 Employment in Retailing 2007-2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery: 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 10 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 11 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 12 Store-Based Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 13 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 14 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 20 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

APPENDIX

Operating environment

  • Table 21 Share of retail sale of goods on markets and in trade centres, 2005 - 2012
  • Table 22 Shopping Centres Development in Belarus 2006-2011
  • Table 23 New shopping centres build in Belarus in 2011
  • Table 24 Shopping centres to open in 2012

Cash and carry

  • Table 25 Wholesale market Development in Belarus 2005 - 2010

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Belarus - Company Profiles

Belkniga OAO in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Belkniga OAO: Competitive Position 2012

Belkoopsoyuz CHUP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Belkoopsoyuz CHUP: Competitive Position 2012

DorOrs OAO in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 10 DorOrs OAO: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 DorOrs OAO: Competitive Position 2012

Eurotorg OOO in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 13 Eurotorg OOO: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Eurotorg OOO: Competitive Position 2012

Pharmacia UP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Pharmacia UP: Competitive Position 2012

Soyuzpechat' TRUP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 20 Soyuzpechat’ TRUP: Competitive Position 2012

Grocery Retailers in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, the trend for economical consumption continued within grocery retailers, continuing in from a difficult year in 2011. The big national currency devaluation caused by high inflation in Belarus in 2011 at 120% led to a significant decline in the disposable incomes of the majority of Belarusians, making them much more cautious in their spending habits. The situation in the economy improved in 2012, and hyper-inflation was stopped. However, the inflation in 2012 stands at 19%, according to the official sources. During 2012, both Belarusian consumers and retailers retained habits developed in 2011. Retailers continued to offer a wider selection of goods from the lower price category, while consumers continued to search for cheaper options. Most notably, many consumers reduced non-essential and luxury grocery products out of their shopping baskets, and also stopped making impulse purchases. At the same time, consumers sought to save money on essential purchases by trading down to cheaper brands. The search for lower prices is no longer a shameful habit for the majority of Belarusians. Retailers’ target in current condition is to offer the best value-for-money to maintain consumer loyalty. In 2012, the current value growth rate of 41% remained below 2011’s growth rate of 63%. However, high value growth in both years was mainly caused by high price inflation.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Belkoopsoyuz continued to lead grocery retailers in 2012, as in previous years, with a value share of 14%, although it lost one percentage point compared to 2011. Belkoopsoyuz is also the leading chain of grocery retailers in 2012 in terms of outlet numbers and selling space, sharing of an almost 35% and 29% accordingly. Its lower share in current value sales terms reflected the fact that the majority of its outlets are found in rural areas of Belarus, as well as in small towns, where consumer purchasing power is lower than in big cities. Formed during Soviet times, Belkoopsoyuz is collectively owned by a total of 118 consumer societies or cooperatives. The latter are controlled by six regional unions, one for each major region of Belarus - Minsk, Gomel, Grodno, Brest, Vitebsk and Mogilev. The company’s full name is Belarusian Republican Union of Consumer Societies. In grocery retailers, it competes in supermarkets and other grocery retailers.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, grocery retailers is expected to develop at a slower pace than over the review period, with sales growing by a 5% constant value CAGR and outlets number growing by a 1% CAGR. This growth rate will vary among different segments, with all channels however expected to show positive growth in constant value sales, selling space and retail outlet numbers. Stronger players are predicted to develop at a faster pace while some of their weaker counterparts will be forced to withdraw. During the early part of the forecast period, the development of grocery retailers as a whole is likely to be restricted as unfavourable economic conditions encourage consumers to curb spending and make some large chains scale back their expansion plans. Some grocery retailers, most notably discounter Euroopt and chained supermarkets and hypermarkets with a low-price positioning should actually be in a position to benefit from increased price-sensitivity among consumers while the downturn persists.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 1 Modern Grocery Retailers: Hypermarket BiMart in Minsk
  • Chart 2 Modern Grocery Retailers: Supermarket Gippo in Minsk
  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Supermarket Rodny Kut (chain Belkoopsoyuz) in Minsk
  • Chart 4 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Other grocery retailer Zorina in Minsk
  • Chart 5 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Food/Drink/Tobacco specialist Kommunarka in Minsk
  • Chart 6 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Food/Drink/Tobacco specialist Vinreal in Minsk

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 26 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 27 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 28 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 29 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 30 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 31 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 32 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 33 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Selling Space 2009-2012
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 35 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 37 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Grocery Retailers in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The recession had an impact on the development of non-grocery retailers in Belarus. There was a spike in consumption of non-grocery goods in the middle of 2011, when many consumers in an attempt to secure their savings, were engaged in ‘panic buying’, purchasing durable and semi-durable goods, as they expected high prices to increase in the near future. The spike in purchases of non-grocery goods was observed immediately after the devaluation and faded within a month. Many consumers bought non-grocery goods for the future and spent their savings, if they were in Belarusian roubles. As a result, these consumers were left with enough non-grocery goods for the near future. The sharp devaluation of 2011 led to a sharp decrease in disposable incomes of the majority of Belarusians, which was not compensated by rising wages in 2012. These two factors led to lower spending on non-grocery items in 2012. Additionally, the cost of credits rose sharply with interest rates climbing above 50% per year, which made it impossible to purchase durable and semi-durable goods on credit.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leader of non-grocery retailers did not change from 2011, with Belkoopsoyuz continuing its leadership with value share of 7% in 2012. It was also the leading player in terms of selling space with 15% volume share, and ranked second in terms of outlet numbers with 4% share, after the chained chemists of Pharmacia UP. Belkoopsoyuz’s share of non-grocery retailers was markedly lower than its share of selling space. This was due to the fact that the majority of its outlets are found in regional towns, where the consumer base is lower and consumers have lower purchasing power than in big cities. Over the review period as a whole, Belkoopsoyuz witnessed its share of outlets and selling space decline steadily, while its share of value sales declined at a slower pace. In 2011 alone it lost over one percentage point in value share. This was mainly due to the company’s decision to close unprofitable outlets in rural areas. In addition to other non-grocery retailers, Belkoopsoyuz also competes in department stores and home and garden specialist retailers.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-grocery retailers will continue to develop positively, with constant value sales expected to grow by a CAGR of 5% and outlet numbers by a volume CAGR of 3%. During the early years of the forecast period, however, the growth will be hampered by continued low purchasing power by the majority of consumers. However, as consumers’ purchasing power recovers by the end of the forecast period, they will more willing to spend on non-grocery goods. Non-grocery retailers positioned in higher price segments or trading with luxury items will be worst affected, while those that deal in essential products and compete on a low-price platform will cope better with reduced consumer spending. Some non-grocery retailers will have to scale back or postpone their expansion plans as economic conditions make it harder to obtain financing, particularly with existing high levels of interest rates for credit. Some players will face additional competition from chained hypermarkets and supermarkets which continue to expand their non-grocery assortments. Nonetheless, during the latter half of the forecast period, economic recovery is expected. Most channels should see growth in constant value sales and outlet numbers increase as economic recovery boosts consumer confidence and spurs the expansion of chained operators. By the end of the forecast period, consumers are expected to increase spending on non-grocery goods, paying higher attention to fashion, style, personal image and health.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 7 Non-Grocery Retailers: Milavitsa in Minsk
  • Chart 8 Non-Grocery Retailers: Orange Camel in Minsk
  • Chart 9 Non-Grocery Retailers: Ziko in Minsk
  • Chart 10 Non-Grocery Retailers: Doctor Do in Minsk
  • Chart 11 Non-Grocery Retailers: Zelenaya Apteka in Minsk
  • Chart 12 Non-Grocery Retailers: Svyaznoy in Minsk

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 38 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 42 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 43 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 44 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 48 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Store Retailing in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012, non-store retailing grew by 43% in current value terms, albeit from quite a low base. The category demonstrated higher growth in 2011 and 2012 than store-based retailers due to internet retailing and direct selling, which comprise the bulk of sales. However, current value sales in both internet retailing and direct selling were concentrated in a relatively small number of channels. This trend was most obvious in direct selling, with beauty and personal care direct selling accounting for the bulk of sales in the channel. The majority of players within non-store retailing offer lower mark-ups and prices to compete with store-based retailers; the key aspect to attracting consumers in a price-sensitive environment in crisis conditions. Another attraction for consumers is the convenience of non-store channels, mainly internet retailing, as consumers are able to compare prices and offerings from several companies without leaving home.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2012, sales through non-store retailing were led by direct selling companies. Oriflame Cosmetics IOOO was the overall leader with a value share of 29%, followed by Avon Products Inc with 8%. Both companies also demonstrated an increase in sales in 2012. Both Oriflame and Avon offer their own exclusive brands that are not available from other retailers. Beauty and personal care direct selling companies also tend to launch new brands and develop new formulas for existing products every year. The success of direct selling companies in Belarus is also attributable to their well-developed chains of qualified consultants, as well as due to the fact that Belarusian women like to be advised while choosing beauty and personal care.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-store retailing is expected to record a CAGR of 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period, as sales will recover in line with increasing consumer purchasing power. More consumers in Belarus will choose non-store retailing for the convenience and lower prices. The impact of the economic downturn should continue to make direct selling and internet retailing more attractive for consumers and retailers. At the same time, the need to reduce operating costs and improve margins will encourage more companies to develop internet retailing operations, including store-based players. For consumers, the main attraction of internet retailing services will be the opportunity to buy products at cheaper prices than in store-based retailing outlets, as well as the convenience factor. However, it is likely that the category as a whole will continue to be dominated by direct selling and internet retailing formats, with others remaining underdeveloped. A high level of fragmentation in non-store retailing is also expected.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 49 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 51 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 52 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
          • Furniture and Homewares Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellery and Watch Specialist Retailers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Furniture and Homewares Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Furniture and Homewares Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Furniture and Homewares Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Hot Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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