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Country Report

Retailing in Belarus

May 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Belarus with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Belarus, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belarus for free:

The Retailing in Belarus market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Belarus?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Belarus?
  • How is retailing performing in Belarus?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Belarus?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn continues to slow market development

For most of the review period, the Belarusian retailing market developed rapidly from a relatively low base. Over 2009-2010, however, the development of the market slowed in line with the global economic downturn. Nonetheless, the vast majority of retail channels continued to show growth in current value terms in 2010, due in part to the ongoing devaluation of the local currency. Moreover, with the exception of other grocery retailers, all store-based retailing channels also showed growth in outlet numbers in 2010, indicating that the worst of the economic crisis may be over for Belarus. Major chains have resumed their expansion plans, taking the crisis as an opportunity to purchase smaller and weaker players that have struggled to survive in difficult trading conditions. Aside from the economic downturn, in 2010 the development of the retailing market as a whole was still hampered by insufficient infrastructure, bureaucratic barriers, comparatively low disposable income levels and inflation.

Price forming and taxation changes take effect in 2010

Late 2009 and early 2010 brought changes in price forming and taxation within Belarusian retailing. At the end of 2009, the obligatory ceiling of 30% on retail mark-ups for the vast majority of goods was cancelled, opening the way for free price forming in the market. However, obligatory ceilings on retail mark-ups for so-called ‘socially important’ goods (eg nutrition/staples, products for children, medicinal products) were retained. With regard to taxation, 1 January 2010 saw VAT in Belarus increase from 18% to 20%.

Non-grocery retailers are worst affected by the downturn

The split between grocery and non-grocery products as a percentage of total retailing current value sales in Belarus remained close to 50/50 during the second half of the review period. Over 2008-2010, however, the value share of grocery products increased slightly as the economic downturn led consumers to cut spending on non-essentials and grocery retailers as a whole showed faster growth in current value sales than non-grocery retailers. The development of non-grocery retailers channels was hampered by low consumer purchasing power and restricted access to credit with high interest rates. Retailers specialising in durable goods and premium non-grocery items were among the worst affected.

Major players view the economic crisis as an opportunity for expansion

The economic downturn provided new expansion opportunities for some major retailing players in Belarus towards the end of the review period, with several mergers and acquisitions witnessed over 2009-2010. This trend was most visible among grocery retailers, with weaker and smaller chained and independent players being purchased by larger operators. Sosedi (Libretik COOO) purchased the Minsk-based Padzeya chain, while NTS OOO purchased Bobruisk-based chain Dednovo, Grodno-based chain Prodservis and a number of independent players. BelMarketCompany IOOO purchased the Voskhod and Arma chains, as well as a number of independent players. Discounters chain Euroopt purchased the Nelli chain, and Vasilenko PE acquired the Econom chain from TorgTechnoServis ChUP. While there was less activity in terms of mergers and acquisitions among non-grocery retailers, there were a number of developments in 2010. Most notably, the Materik (Ernis OOO) and Oma (OMA) home and garden specialist retailers chains opened new outlets, in February and June respectively.

Further market development and new mergers and acquisitions expected

Despite the current downturn, the outlook for retailing in Belarus is generally optimistic. The market is still comparatively underdeveloped, leaving considerable room for growth in constant value sales and outlet numbers over the forecast period. While the downturn persists and during the initial stages of economic recovery, market development is likely to be characterised by a focus on grocery retailing and the expansion of modern retail formats to smaller cities and regional areas. At the same time, the ongoing privatisation of state-owed retail chains will provide further opportunities for mergers and acquisitions. Likely targets for mergers and acquisitions by major players include DorOrs RUP, Azarenne OAO, Zorina OAO, Posttorg OAO, Zhivinka OAO, Zavodskoy Raipishchetorg OAO, GUM OAO, Nika OAO, Vitebskiye Producty OAO, Zadneprovye OAO, TabakVinTorg OAO, Borisov GorpishcheTorg and Prodtovary OAO.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Belarus - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn continues to slow market development

Price forming and taxation changes take effect in 2010

Non-grocery retailers are worst affected by the downturn

Major players view the economic crisis as an opportunity for expansion

Further market development and new mergers and acquisitions expected

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic conditions

Government regulation

Foreign direct investment

Demographic changes

Traditional formats remain an integral part of the Belarusian retail landscape

Economic downturn continues to fuel consolidation in retailing

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Operating environment

  • Table 13 Markets in Belarus 2005 - 2010
  • Table 14 Shopping Centres Development in Belarus 2005-2010

Cash and Carry

  • Table 15 Cash and Carry Development in Belarus 2005-2010

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Belarus - Company Profiles

Belkniga OAO in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 1 Belkniga OAO: Svetoch in Minsk

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Belkniga OAO: Competitive Position 2010

Belkoopsoyuz CHUP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 2 Belkoopsoyuz CHUP: Rodny Kut in Minsk

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Belkoopsoyuz CHUP: Competitive Position 2010

DorOrs RUP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 10 DorOrs RUP: Private Label Portfolio 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 DorOrs RUP: Competitive Position 2010

Pharmacia UP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 3 Pharmacia UP: Pharmacia in Minsk

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Pharmacia UP: Competitive Position 2010

Soyuzpechat' TRUP in Retailing (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 4 Soyuzpechat’ TRUP: Belsayuzdruk in Minsk

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Soyuzpechat’ TRUP: Competitive Position 2009

Grocery Retailers in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The economic downturn continued to hamper the development of grocery retailers in 2010, with current value growth rates for most channels remaining below the CAGRs recorded for the review period as a whole. As disposable incomes fell in the wake of the crisis, Belarusian consumers became much more cautious in their spending habits. Most notably, many consumers cut non-essential and luxury grocery products out of their shopping baskets, and also stopped making impulse purchases. At the same time, consumers sought to save money on essential purchases (eg bread, milk, butter etc) by trading down to cheaper brands or private label products.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 5 Modern Grocery Retailers: Korona in Minsk
  • Chart 6 Modern Grocery Retailers: BelMarket in Minsk
  • Chart 7 Modern Grocery Retailers: A-100 in Minsk
  • Chart 8 Modern Grocery Retailers: Euroopt in Minsk
  • Chart 9 Modern Grocery Retailers: Gippo in Minsk
  • Chart 10 Modern Grocery Retailers: Sosedi in Minsk
  • Chart 11 Modern Grocery Retailers: Rublevski in Minsk
  • Chart 12 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Belovezhsky in Minsk
  • Chart 13 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Kristal in Minsk
  • Chart 14 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Kristal in Minsk
  • Chart 15 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Komarovsky Market in Minsk
  • Chart 16 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Komarovsky Market in Minsk

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Belkoopsoyuz remained the clear leader in grocery retailers in 2010 with a value sales share of 21%. It was also the leading grocery retailers player in terms of outlet numbers and selling space, claiming a share of 49% in both cases. Its smaller share in current value sales terms reflected the fact that the majority of its outlets are found in rural towns and villages, where consumer purchasing power is lower than in big cities. Formed during Soviet times, Belkoopsoyuz is collectively owned by a total of 118 consumer societies or cooperatives. The latter are controlled by six regional unions, one for each major region of Belarus - Minsk, Gomel, Grodno, Brest, Vitebsk and Mogilev. The company’s full name is Belarusian Republican Union of Consumer Societies. In grocery retailers, it competes in the supermarkets and other grocery retailers channels.

PROSPECTS

  • Taken as a whole, the grocery retailers category will continue to develop positively over 2010-2015. All channels are expected to show healthy growth in constant value sales, and other grocery retailers is the only channel where outlet numbers are expected to decline, albeit marginally. During the early part of the forecast period, the development of grocery retailers as a whole is likely to be restricted as unfavourable economic conditions encourage consumers to curb spending and make some large chains scale back their expansion plans. This situation should improve once the economic recovery gains strength, however (expected over 2011-2012). Some grocery retailers, most notably discounters chain Euroopt and supermarkets/hypermarkets chains with a low-price positioning, should actually be in a position to benefit from increased price sensitivity among consumers for while the downturn persists.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 16 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 19 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Grocery Retailers in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Moves towards greater specialisation and expansion by large chains was one of the most visible trends within non-grocery retailers towards the end of the review period. Prominent examples included Euroset, Svyaznoy, Pyaty Element, Electrosila and Umniye Veshchi (electronics and appliance specialist retailers); Oma, Mebel Stroimaterialy, Decorum, Palas and Materik (home and garden specialist retailers); Marko, Belwest, Milavitsa, Axis, Megatop, Svitanak, Orange Camel, Marusya (clothing and footwear specialist retailers) and Buslik, Belkniga, Beluvelirtorg, Ziko and Mothercare (leisure and personal goods specialist retailers). Despite this trend, in 2010 informal retailers and private entrepreneurs operating via open markets or street stalls continued to account for the lion’s share of total non-grocery retailers current value sales. According to figures from the Ministry of Statistics of Belarus, in 2009 the value shares held by informal retailers in key non-grocery product categories were as follows: knitwear - 76%, clothing and underwear - 73%, audio and video products - 62%, footwear - 52%, building materials - 48%, home care tissue and hygiene - 43%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Belkoopsoyuz remained the leading non-grocery retailers company in 2010 with a value sales share of 6%. It was also the leading non-grocery retailers player in terms of selling space, and ranked second behind Pharmacia UP in terms of outlet numbers. Notably, Belkoopsoyuz’s share of total non-grocery retailers current value sales was markedly lower than its share of both total selling space and outlet numbers. This was due to the fact that the majority of its outlets are found in regional towns and villages, where consumers have lower purchasing power than in big cities. Over the review period as a whole, Belkoopsoyuz saw its shares of total non-grocery retailers outlet numbers and selling space decline steadily. This was mainly due to the company’s decision to close or sell off unprofitable other non-grocery retailers outlets in rural areas. Aside from other non-grocery retailers, Belkoopsoyuz also competes in the home and garden specialist retailers channel.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-grocery retailers will continue to develop positively, with constant value sales expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% and outlet numbers at a CAGR of 2%. During the early years of the forecast period, however, the development of some channels will be inhibited by the lingering effects of the economic crisis. Non-grocery retailers operators specialising in durable goods and luxury items will be worst affected, while those that deal in necessity products and compete on a low-price platform or offer regular discounts will be better positioned to cope with reduced consumer spending. Moreover, many non-grocery retailers players will have to scale back or postpone their expansion plans as economic conditions make it harder to obtain financing, and some will face additional competition as hypermarkets and supermarkets chains continue to expand their non-grocery assortments. Nonetheless, during the latter half of the forecast period most channels should see growth in constant value sales and outlet numbers pick up as economic recovery boosts consumer confidence and spurs the expansion of chained operators.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 17 Non-Grocery Retailers: GUM in Minsk
  • Chart 18 Non-Grocery Retailers: Kravt in Minsk
  • Chart 19 Non-Grocery Retailers: Belwest in Minsk
  • Chart 20 Non-Grocery Retailers: Axis in Minsk
  • Chart 21 Non-Grocery Retailers: Marko in Minsk
  • Chart 22 Non-Grocery Retailers: Household Goods in Minsk
  • Chart 23 Non-Grocery retailers: Household Chemicals in Minsk

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 22 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 25 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 27 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Store Retailing in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Non-store retailing showed growth of 17% in current value terms in 2010, albeit from quite a low base. Taken as a whole, the category remained underdeveloped, with vending, internet retailing and direct selling being the only formats to enjoy significant penetration in Belarus. Of these, only internet retailing and direct selling made a substantial contribution to total non-store retailing current value sales. Moreover, current value sales in both internet retailing and direct selling were concentrated in a relatively small number of channels. This was most obvious in direct selling, with beauty and personal care direct selling accounting for 94% of total current value sales.
  • Table 28 Internet Shops Development in Belarus 2009 - 2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • All of the top non-store retailing companies in Belarus in 2010 were direct selling operators. Oriflame was the overall leader with a value share of 25%, followed by Avon with 8%, Faberlic OAO with 3% and Mary Kay Inc with 2%. No internet retailing or vending companies held a visible share of total non-store retailing current value sales, reflecting the high level of fragmentation in these formats.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-store retailing looks set to show a reasonably positive performance over the forecast period, with total constant value sales expected to grow at a CAGR of 6%. However, it is likely that the category as a whole will continue to be dominated by a small number of direct selling and internet retailing formats, with others remaining underdeveloped. Nonetheless, the impact of the economic downturn should continue to make direct selling and internet retailing more attractive for consumers and retailers alike. High unemployment means that more women in Belarus are expected to take up part-time work as consultants for direct selling companies like Oriflame and Avon. At the same time, the need to reduce operating costs and improve margins will encourage more companies to develop internet retailing operations, including store-based players. For consumers, the main attraction of direct selling and internet retailing services will be the opportunity to buy good quality products at cheaper prices than in store-based retailing outlets, as well as the convenience factor.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 29 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 32 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Discounters
        • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
        • Hypermarkets
        • Small Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Independent Small Grocers
        • Supermarkets
        • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Clothing and Footwear Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Clothing and Footwear Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Clothing and Footwear Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Clothing and Footwear Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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