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Country Report

Retailing in Cameroon

Apr 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Cameroon with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Cameroon, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Cameroon for free:

The Retailing in Cameroon market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Cameroon?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Cameroon?
  • How is retailing performing in Cameroon?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Cameroon?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Growing economy and rising employment boost retailing in 2010

The Cameroon economy performed well in 2010. This improvement can be attributed to increased energy production and distribution, and growing consumer demand caused by rising employment within services, construction and agricultural industries. Furthermore, improvements in telecoms and banking services into most parts of the country have empowered consumers with different payment options.

Non-grocery sales increased sharply but lag behind grocery sales

The year 2010 saw rising demand and soaring sales for non-grocery items that accounted for significant retail value sales. Reasons for this include a significant drop in the price of non-grocery items in a bid to appeal to new customers. Middle- and high-income Cameroonians generally buy expensive clothes or furniture to show off their status and that they can afford them. For this reason, non-grocery retailing is expected to grow steadily in the long term as more and more middle-income individuals emerge with the growing economy.

Internet retailing gains ground with the introduction of e-payment facilities

While internet retailing in Cameroon remains insignificant, the year 2010 was greeted with enthusiasm due to lower internet access costs, increased availability of e-payment facilities and electronic cards. In the absence of local websites, internet retailing is still in its infancy, with consumers buying directly from international internet retailing channels such as Microcenter.com and Amazon.com. Consequently, internet retailing is projected to follow a positive growth trend as local retailers are expected to introduce this shopping channel and consumers are becoming increasingly excited by this new purchasing option.

Informal retailing remains significant despite on-going government measures

From street retailing to mobile entrepreneurs, it is quite common in every city in Cameroon to find hawkers selling anything from electronics, cosmetics, clothing and footwear items, and second-hand clothes to safety pins. This trend is supported by the need for survival among low-income Cameroonians. According to Cameroon 2009, a statistical year book, more than 70% of the labour force is employed in the informal sector with the government losing billions in untaxed income. The government decided to prohibit mobile entrepreneurship and street retailing in Yaoundé and Douala towards the end of the review period to boost formal retailing and its tax revenues. Industry insiders remain sceptical about the impact of this measure.

Significant growth expected over the forecast period

With a positive economic outlook from 2010 through 2015, the retail market will consequently feel the impact as more Cameroonians become economically empowered. This will attract new players and spur competition amongst major players such as Mahima, Leader Price, DOVV and Reyco, in terms of new customers and product line extensions.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Cameroon - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Growing economy and rising employment boost retailing in 2010

Non-grocery sales increased sharply but lag behind grocery sales

Internet retailing gains ground with the introduction of e-payment facilities

Informal retailing remains significant despite on-going government measures

Significant growth expected over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Growing economy and rising employment boost retailing in 2010

Government intervention to benefit the retail market

Rising foreign direct investment and improvement in business environment

Influx of population into cities on the rise

Internet retailing gain grounds with the introduction of e-payment facilities

Impressive discount campaigns spark serious competition in retailing

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Operating environment

Cash-and-Carry

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Cameroon - Company Profiles

Afrilec Sarl in Retailing (Cameroon)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Afrilec Sarl: Competitive Position 2010

Mahima SARL in Retailing (Cameroon)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Mahima SARL: Competitive Position 2010

SOCSUBA in Retailing (Cameroon)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 SOCSUBA: Competitive Position 2009

SODICAM SA in Retailing (Cameroon)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 13 SODICAM SA: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 SODICAM SA: Competitive Position 2010

Grocery Retailers in Cameroon - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Rising employment and increased disposable income as a result of the growing economy championed by the construction, agricultural and service industries, contributed immensely to the growth of grocery retailing in 2010. Consequently, more consumers were economically empowered to purchase grocery items from channels previously inaccessible to them and stores as opposed to only basic food items from open markets and roadside sellers, thereby boosting retail sales figures in the modern channels, including supermarkets and food/drink/tobacco specialists.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Grocery retailing continues to be dominated by independent small grocers and other grocery retailers. However, Mahima Supermarché as a brand led sales in 2010 with its increase in the number of outlets over the last few years of the review period. The company’s success can be attributed to a very wide range of products displayed, its strategic locations in busy city outlets, it’s very competitive pricing, and strong popularity of the brand among the middle class. Casino from SODICAM followed due to the popularity of its premium brand and greater appeal to the expatriate community. Bonjour, the retail brand of Total Cameroon, had the highest number of retail outlets in 2010 owing to the parent company’s wide network of petrol stations in the country.

PROSPECTS

  • The key forecast trend for grocery retailing in Cameroon is the expected increase in the number of grocery channels, rising employment and a better economic situation for all. Retailers with strong brand identity amongst customers will benefit more proportionately from the current trend. Tsekenis is negotiating with Socamit Oil, for example, to create a second brand of its T-Shop forecourt outlet. Mahima, the leader within supermarkets in 2010, has plans to set up more than 20 new outlets in different parts of the country by the end of the forecast period. This trend will obviously continue over the forecast period as more and more consumers patronise modern retail outlets.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 1 Modern Grocery Retailers: Casino Supermarché in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 2 Modern Grocery Retailers: Casino Supermarché in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Leader Price in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 4 Modern Grocery Retailers: Leader Price in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 5 Modern Grocery Retailers: Leader Price in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 6 Modern Grocery Retailers: Leader Price in Yaounde – View 4
  • Chart 7 Modern Grocery Retailers: Leader Price in Yaounde – View 5
  • Chart 8 Modern Grocery Retailers: My Shop in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 9 Modern Grocery Retailers: My Shop in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 10 Modern Grocery Retailers: My Shop in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 11 Modern Grocery Retailers: Arno Boutique in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 12 Modern Grocery Retailers: Arno Boutique in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 13 Modern Grocery Retailers: Arno Boutique in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 14 Modern Grocery Retailers: Arno Boutique in Yaounde – View 4
  • Chart 15 Modern Grocery Retailers: ONASHI in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 16 Modern Grocery Retailers: ONASHI in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 17 Modern Grocery Retailers: ONASHI in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 18 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Bakery in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 19 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Bakery in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 20 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Bakery in Yaounde – View 3

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 13 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 16 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Grocery Retailers in Cameroon - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Increased sales of non-grocery items were supported by major partnerships, impressive discounts and the availability of consumer credit. Some retailers entered into strategic partnerships with banks to allow customers to buy items by spreading the payment over several months. This in turn increased demand for many items as customers who previously were unable to make full payment upfront were now able to get these items and pay in instalments. This trend was also supported by impressive discounts run on different items throughout the year by major players such as NIKI, Tsekenis, Fokou and Afrilus. Afrilec and Equipement’s strategies of partnering with major financial institutions for equipment loans proved effective as CCA, a major microfinance institution, in partnership with Afrilec, received more than 2,000 applications for loans.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • SOCSUBA gained more than one percentage point to lead sales in this channel with a 24% value share in 2010. The company saw its share increase thanks to its aggressive marketing strategy sparked by its impressive discounts, its multi-product line extension, its quest for leadership via the introduction of new and innovative brands and its inorganic growth strategy characterised by mergers and acquisitions. Bricolux, another brand of SOCSUBA, held an 8% value share. This position was closely followed by Arno Boutique, DOVV and Afrilux; sales of which were affected positively by an extension of their distribution networks and channels into other cities around Cameroon.

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of non-grocery items are expected to increase sharply over the forecast period. This positive trend will be driven by an increase in the number of outlets and the emergence of chained non-grocery channels as a consequence of the growing economy and rising employment.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 21 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 22 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 23 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 24 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 4
  • Chart 25 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 5
  • Chart 26 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 6
  • Chart 27 Non-Grocery Retailers: Vision Confort in Yaounde – View 1
  • Chart 28 Non-Grocery Retailers: Vision Confort in Yaounde – View 2
  • Chart 29 Non-Grocery Retailers: Vision Confort in Yaounde – View 3
  • Chart 30 Non-Grocery Retailers: Vision Confort in Yaounde – View 4
  • Chart 31 Non-Grocery Retailers: Tsekenis in Yaounde – View 7

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 19 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 22 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Store Retailing in Cameroon - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2010 was supported by the activities of major players such as DX Max International and Techno which recruited students during holidays to train them and give them items to sell on a commission basis. Again, many Cameroonians were excited by the introduction of pre-paid credit cards that were accessible by all. Many credit cards holders were eager to utilise this new payment option over international retailing websites such as Amazon, Dabs, Computerworld, and Microcentre, which helped to boost growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • DX Max International led sales in 2010 with a share of 6% as a result of its large pool of door-to-door sales agents, its umbrella branding strategy and positioning of its products as premium products, although prices are relatively lower when compared to other channels. However, other players such as Techno and Anxion continued to gain market shares in this channel because some of their premium brands launched in 2010 are also positioned at a cheaper price than other premium brands.

PROSPECTS

  • With increased availability of e-payment facilities, such as credit cards, more retailers are expected to join non-store retailing. Conditions favouring this include the high level of unemployment that has pushed many graduates to register with DX Max International as direct sales agent; the fact that non-store channels have lower transaction costs, and the increased access to international retailing websites by local consumers. Equally, non-store sales, such as those by SODICAM, La Pasta and FOKOU in partnership with the government, are a vital indication of favourable grounds for store-based retailers to become involved in non-store retailing activities.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 25 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Discounters
        • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
        • Hypermarkets
        • Small Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Independent Small Grocers
        • Supermarkets
        • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Clothing and Footwear Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Clothing and Footwear Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Clothing and Footwear Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Clothing and Footwear Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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