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Country Report

Retailing in Estonia

Jan 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Domestic demand drives retail value growth

The Estonian economy grew rapidly in 2011 and fast growth is also expected for the forecast period. Consumer price index also increased in Estonia, particularly in grocery products. Rapid increases in the price of food forced consumers to spend substantially more money to maintain levels of food consumption. Despite the fast economic growth, wages and consumer purchasing power were in decline and this significantly affected households with lower incomes who spent a large proportion of their budget on food. Fast growth in prices is increasing retail sales in Estonia, but the inflation rate is having a negative effect on consumer spending. Unemployment decreased in Estonia thanks to private sector developments.

Modern retailing channels continue expansion

Moving from the country to cities is a long-term trend in Estonia and this is one of the reasons why modern retailing channels gained value share. Supermarkets and hypermarkets are popular with customers because they belong to big retail chains which are able to offer a wide range of products at reasonable prices and many have attractive discounting campaigns. While discounters grew in popularity during the economic crisis, in 2010 and 2011 consumers returned to supermarkets. Sparsely populated peripheral areas and the countryside are the areas that have independent small grocers. The countryside is not an attractive area for retail chains due to low population. Internet retailing sales had continuous growth over the review period.

Non-grocery retailing outperforms grocery sales

The increase in non-grocery retailing sales was partly due to the increase in prices. Many non-grocery products became more expensive after the adoption of the euro at the beginning of 2011. Retailers also increased prices by rounding them to more convenient numbers in euros. In addition, internet sales saw improvement as consumers purchased more clothing and electronics via the internet. Internet retailing is widening to other categories. Non-grocery retailing's stronger performance relates to the problems and inequalities in the Estonian economy.

Competition remains intense

Competition was strong in Estonia in 2011 and retailers used aggressive discounting and campaigning to attract consumers. Consumer purchasing power was still in decline in the first half of 2011 and consumers had to spend more money to maintain the same level of consumption. Therefore, creating interest is becoming increasingly difficult and some retailers used strategies such as price freezing or even selling some products cheaper than their purchase prices. Retailers chose different strategies in 2011 as some chains decided to expand their outlet network in Estonia, while others chose to cut costs and use discounting and advertising to compete.

Forecast economic growth leads to steady growth in retailing

Retailing is expected to grow over the forecast period, but high inflation will reduce value growth. The Estonian economy is very sensitive to changes in the global economy and it also reflects Scandinavian countries' economic performance. Companies operating in Estonia are expected to extend their business to the internet, use active advertising and extend their store network in order to win market share.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Estonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Estonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Estonia for free:

The Retailing in Estonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Estonia?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Estonia?
  • How is retailing performing in Estonia?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Estonia?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Estonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Domestic demand drives retail value growth

Modern retailing channels continue expansion

Non-grocery retailing outperforms grocery sales

Competition remains intense

Forecast economic growth leads to steady growth in retailing

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

The economic situation is improving

Government regulation concentrates on quality of life

Introduction of the euro has minimal impact on foreign direct investment

Residents and retailers continue moving to cities

Retailers increasingly use private label strategy

Internet retailing drives non-grocery sales

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Operating environment

Cash and carry

  • Table 13 Cash and Carry: Number of Outlets by National Brand Owner: 2008-2011

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Estonia - Company Profiles

Baltika Group in Retailing (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Baltika Group: Competitive Position 2011

Eesti Tarbijateühistu Keskühistu in Retailing (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 7 Eesti Tarbijateühistu Keskühistu: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Eesti Tarbijateühistu Keskühistu: Competitive Position 2011

Oriflame Eesti OÜ in Retailing (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Oriflame Eesti OÜ: Competitive Position 2011

Rimi Eesti Food AS in Retailing (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 14 Rimi Eesti Food AS: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Rimi Eesti Food AS: Competitive Position 2011

Selver AS in Retailing (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 1 Selver AS: Selver in Võru

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 18 Selver AS: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 Selver AS: Competitive Position 2011

Grocery Retailers in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Hypermarkets and supermarkets continued their expansion in Estonia to the detriment of independent small grocers. Supermarkets, hypermarkets and discounters are mainly chained in Estonia and they are able to offer very wide ranges of products at reasonable price levels. Independent small grocers, on the other hand, suffered and lost share to modern grocery retailers. This was due to changing consumer habits, as consumers prefer big stores with a wide range of products. The economic crisis also made consumers very price-sensitive and modern grocery retailers were able to provide more affordable prices thanks to their significant bargaining power with manufacturers and wholesalers.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 2 Modern Grocery Retailers: Rimi in Võru
  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Maksimarket in Võru
  • Chart 4 Modern Grocery Retailers: Säästumarket in Võru
  • Chart 5 Modern Grocery Retailers: A ja O in Haanja
  • Chart 6 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Johnny Pubi in Kose
  • Chart 7 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Laane Pood in Võru

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Rimi Eesti Food AS led sales of grocery retailers in 2011 with 19% value share. In second position was Eesti Tarbijateühistu Keskühistu also with 19%, followed by Selver AS with 16% share. Fourth, with a still significant value share, was Maxima Eesti OÜ with 14% in grocery retailers. These companies have significant power in Estonian retailing in that they dictate prices to consumers, but also affect wholesalers and producers prices as they have very strong bargaining power. They also actively support their brands with advertising and promotional campaigns and offer a wide range of private label products, which are popular with consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The changes in grocery retailers in 2011 are expected to remain as retailers are hoping to see a long term growth cycle over the forecast period. Some retailers will open new stores in order to develop their outlets network and to be closer to consumers. Many companies are positive about future expectations and are making investments to reduce higher profits from the next growth phase.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 14 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 17 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Grocery Retailers in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Non-grocery retailers had 10% value growth as sales reached €2.2 billion in 2011. Non-grocery retailers sales outperformed grocery sales in Estonia and this is explained by an inequality in incomes. Consumers with higher incomes were able to spend more money on non-grocery products but households with lower income were forced to cut their expenditure on grocery products due to price increases. Many consumers decided to purchase non-grocery products from discount sales, and retailers actively organised campaigns to attract consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tamro Eesti OÜ was leading player in non-grocery retailing with 4% value share in 2011. Tamro Eesti OÜ operates the Apteek1 chain of chemists in Estonia, which has 186 sites in 2011. In second position was Rautakesko OY with 3% value share. Rautakesko OY operates DIY, home improvement and garden centres stores under K-Rauta brand. K-Rauta outlets are popular in Estonia because they offer wide range of products at reasonable prices.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-grocery retailers value is expected to have a constant value 4% CAGR over the forecast period, to reach €2.6 billion in 2016. Economic recovery, growing wages, growing prices and postponed non-grocery purchases during the economic crisis are expected to drive non-grocery sales in Estonia over the forecast period. When the impact of economic growth reaches consumers and their confidence increases, they are expected to shop more freely in non-grocery retailers.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 8 Non-Grocery Retailers: Ivo Nikkolo in Tallinn
  • Chart 9 Non-Grocery Retailers: Wermo Mööbel in Võru
  • Chart 10 Non-Grocery Retailers: Kodumasinate Keskus in Võru

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 20 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 23 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Store Retailing in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Non-store retailing had dynamic growth in 2011 as sales increased significantly. Non-store retailing is a developing channel in Estonia and more consumers purchased products via this channel. Estonia has a large proportion of internet users who support internet retailing sales. According to Estonian Statistics data, 758,000 or 74% of 16-74 year old Estonians used the internet in 2010. Consumers emphasise the convenience of internet retailing and thanks to Estonia's small size, consumers sometimes receive products purchased via the internet the same day via courier service.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Beauty and personal care retailers Avon Eesti AS and Oriflame Eesti OÜ led sales in 2011 and both companies had 7% value share. They were followed by homeshopping and internet retailing companies Anttila AS and Halens Eesti OÜ and these companies also had 7% value share in non-store retailing. These multinational companies won the trust of consumers over years and offer high quality products with good prices.

PROSPECTS

  • Internet retailing is expected to drive non-store retailing growth over the forecast period. Online stores offer customers a quick and easy way to obtain overviews of products, product features and prices. Online stores are in a phase of fast development and new interesting concepts are expected to be launched over the forecast period, for example the virtual dressing room concept that is being tested in 2011.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 26 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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