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Country Report

Retailing in Georgia

Jan 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Georgia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Georgia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Georgia for free:

The Retailing in Georgia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Georgia?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Georgia?
  • How is retailing performing in Georgia?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Georgia?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Obstacles to Growth in Retailing

Following steady growth of the Georgian economy in the period 2004-2008, the Russo-Georgian War, together with the global financial crisis, served to negatively affect both retail and general economic performance. A decline in retail value sales was observed across all retail categories in 2009, with the exception of non-store retailing. The beginning of economic recovery and a return to stronger GDP growth in 2010, led to improved performance for non-store and non-grocery retailing. Grocery retailing continued to struggle, as consumers increasingly turned to the grey market. The downturn in non-grocery retailing was largely as a result of the country’s banks becoming more cautious with regard to granting credit in the wake of the global financial crisis. This negatively impacted the performance of non-grocery retailers, as a significant proportion of electronics products, which account for a large share of non-grocery retailers retail value sales in Georgia, tend to be purchased on credit.

Economic Recovery Begins

2010 saw the Georgian economy begin to stabilise and the recovery of Georgia’s major retailers, such as Elit Electronics and Nikora, following problems with the country’s taxation authorities and commercial banks. After an almost two year period, banks once again became more inclined to grant credit to consumers. This was an important development, as the use of credit remains popular amongst consumers and increased access to credit will be a prerequisite of improved performance over the forecast period.

Non-grocery Retailers Cope Better With the Challenge of Informal Retailing

Grocery retailing in Georgia saw non-consistent performance over the review period. Following a downturn in performance in 2006, a recovery was seen in 2007, which continued through until the end of 2008, followed by further poor performance in 2009 and 2010, in the wake of the global financial crisis. The fluctuating performance seen over the review period can be largely explained by activity in the grey market, where products are sold at lower prices. Meanwhile, non-grocery retailing saw continued positive growth in retail value sales over the review period, other than in the post war period in 2009. Non-grocery retailers managed to better compete with informal retailing, through offering guarantees and warrantees on products sold, which served to attract consumers away from the grey market.

Domestic Companies Remain Dominant

Retailing in Georgia is dominated by domestic companies. The main reason for this is the relatively limited size of the country, which makes it largely unappealing to multinationals. Furthermore, the Russo- Georgian War of 2008 served as another disincentive to invest in the country over the review period.

Continued Growth Expected Despite Challenges

The 2012 elections and the fact that a large proportion of Georgia’s foreign debt obligations fall due in 2013 are seen as obstacles to economic growth over the forecast period. Nonetheless, these two events are not expected to have as negative effect on economic performance as the war in 2008 did. It is likely that GDP growth will slow as a result of the events in 2012 and 2013, but it is not expected that retailing in Georgia will see a dramatic downturn in performance. Furthermore, non-store retailing, which continued to develop positively over the review period, despite the economic and political turbulence witnessed, is expected to continue to develop positively over the forecast period. The growth in popularity which information technology saw in Georgia in the later years of the review period is expected to lead internet retailing to see improved performance over the forecast period. Internet retailing retains much future growth potential in Georgia, where, by the end of the review period, it remained very much a niche, with the majority of sales generated through foreign-owned online sales portals.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Georgia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Obstacles to Growth in Retailing

Economic Recovery Begins

Non-grocery Retailers Cope Better With the Challenge of Informal Retailing

Domestic Companies Remain Dominant

Continued Growth Expected Despite Challenges

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic Conditions

Government Regulation

Foreign Direct Investment

Demographic Changes

Money Transfers as a Workers’ Remittances

Consumer Loans and Credit Purchases

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Operating Environment

  • Summary 1 Retail Landscape in Georgia

Cash and Carry

  • Table 13 Cash and Carry: Number of Outlets by National Brand Owner: 2006-2010

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Retailing in Georgia - Company Profiles

Elit Electronics JSC - Retailing - Georgia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 1 Elit Electronics JSC: Elit Electronics in Tbilisi

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Elit Electronics JSC: Competitive Position 2010

Goodwill Ltd - Retailing - Georgia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 8 Goodwill Ltd: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Goodwill Ltd: Competitive Position 2009

Nikora JSC - Retailing - Georgia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 12 Nikora JSC: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Nikora JSC: Competitive Position 2009

Populi JSC - Retailing - Georgia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 16 Populi JSC: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 17 Populi JSC: Competitive Position 2009

PSP Group - Retailing - Georgia

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 2 PSP Group: PSP Pharma Market in Tbilisi

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 20 PSP Group: Competitive Position 2010

Grocery Retailers in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As a result of low disposable income levels, the majority of the Georgian population tends to prefer unregulated grocers, independent grocers, grey market trading and bazaars, all of which offer lower prices than branded grocers. In 2010, informal retailing accounted for a 90% share of total grocery value sales. Statistics show that the share of grocery sales accounted for by formal retailers is directly linked to the economic health of the country.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Agrarian Market Place was the leading player in grocery retailing in Georgia in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 5% retail value share in 2010. Following, on retail value sales shares of 1% each, were Populi, Nikora and Navtlugi. Agrarian Market Place and Navtlugi accounted for the largest share of value sales earned by the bazaars in the centre of Tbilisi. Populi, is one of the largest supermarket chains in Georgia, with 43 outlets across the country, while Nikora operated some 45 outlets.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that, over the early years of the forecast period, grocery retailers in Georgia will look to improve their customer service levels. As competition intensifies, providing quality and unique services will become increasingly important for players to gain sales share. In choosing from the growing number of modern retail outlets, such as Goodwill hypermarket and G-Mart supermarkets, all of which offer a wide array of products and similar prices, consumers will need something extra in order to persuade them to pledge their loyalty. Those retailers, which offer the best service levels, are likely to become established among the leading players in grocery retailing in Georgia. Retail value sales are expected to decline at a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period, as consumers trade down, engage more in informal retailing and forego certain types of packaged food which they consider unnecessary.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 3 Grocery Retailers: Goodwill in Tbilisi
  • Chart 4 Grocery Retailers: Goodwill in Tbilisi
  • Chart 5 Grocery Retailers: Nikora in Tbilisi
  • Chart 6 Modern Grocery Retailing: Nikora in Tbilisi
  • Chart 7 Modern Grocery Retailing: Populi in Tbilisi
  • Chart 8 Modern Grocery Retailing: Ioli in Tbilisi
  • Chart 9 Traditional Grocery Retailing: Marketi in Tbilisi
  • Chart 10 Traditional Grocery Retailing: Samaia in Tbilisi
  • Chart 11 Traditional Grocery Retailing: Tobacco in Tbilisi

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 14 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 17 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Grocery Retailers in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Positive GDP growth, an influx of 1.5 million tourists to the country and progressive government policies all contributed to the strong performance seen by non-grocery retailing in Georgia in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Aversi-Pharma continued as the leading player in non-grocery retailing in 2010, in accounting for a retail value sales share of 6%. PSP Group and Elit Electronics followed, both with sales shares of 5%. Aversi-Pharma and PSP Group owed their strong performance in 2010 to their leading positions in health and beauty specialist retailers, where both companies engaged in outlet expansion and strong marketing over the review period. Meanwhile, Elit Electronics JSC retained its position as the country’s leading electronics and appliances specialist retailer. The company markets a number of leading global brands including Bosch, Siemens, Samsung, Philips, Intel, and LG, amongst others.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail value sales are expected to continue to see positive growth over the forecast period to return to pre-recessionary levels in 2014, with continued positive development expected thereafter. As the economy continues to recover over the forecast period, non-grocery retailing will benefit as consumers return to purchasing more high quality products.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 12 Non-Grocery Retailers: Family in Tbilisi
  • Chart 13 Non-Grocery Retailers: Second Hand Clothes from Europe in Tbilisi
  • Chart 14 Non-Grocery Retailers: AEG Electrolux in Tbilisi
  • Chart 15 Non-Grocery Retailers: Computer Store in Tbilisi
  • Chart 16 Non-Grocery Retailers: Loans in Tbilisi
  • Chart 17 Non-Grocery Retailers: PSP Pharma Market in Tbilisi
  • Chart 18 Non-Grocery Retailers: Aversi in Tbilisi
  • Chart 19 Non-Grocery Retailers: Isi Paris in Tbilisi

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 20 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 23 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Non-Store Retailing in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Non-store retailing saw strong retail value sales growth in 2010 compared to store retailing. This was largely due to the fact that sales growth was achieved from a relatively limited base. Furthermore, information technology infrastructure in Georgia saw improvements over the review period, which led to increased consumer access to the technology necessary for engaging in non-store purchasing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Oriflame Georgia remained the leading player in non-store based retailing in 2010, in accounting for a 29% share of retail value sales. The company is mainly involved in the selling of beauty and personal care products for females. The company continued to grow in popularity over the review period, as a result of its competitive pricing, frequent use of special offers and gifts, and the personal touch provided by the company’s consultants, who visit customers either at their homes or places of work. Many women saw selling the company’s products as an attractive means of earning additional income during the recession. Similar factors lay behind Avon becoming established as the second leading player in non-store retailing in Georgia. In 2010, Avon, which accounted for a 12% share of retail value sales, remained some distance behind Oriflame, as its network of consultants is neither as broad or as well developed as Oriflame’s.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail value sales are expected to see a CAGR of 9% over the forecast period, compared to the retail value sales growth of 3% seen in 2010. The recovery of the Georgian economy is expected to be the main driver of sales growth over the forecast period. Positive GDP growth and lower inflation will see consumers begin to return to their pre-recessionary spending habits. Adoption of information technology in the country is expected to increase over the forecast period, which in turn will lead internet retailing to see a strong surge in popularity. Furthermore, as employment rates rebound over the forecast period, non-store retailing will become an increasingly attractive option for consumers as they grow more time-constrained.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 20 Non-Store Retailer: Faberlic
  • Chart 21 Non-Store Retailer: Coca-Cola

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 26 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2006-2010
  • Table 29 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2007-2010
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Discounters
        • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
        • Hypermarkets
        • Small Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Independent Small Grocers
        • Supermarkets
        • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Clothing and Footwear Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Clothing and Footwear Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Clothing and Footwear Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Clothing and Footwear Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price excl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price incl Sales Tax Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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