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Country Report

Retailing in Macedonia

Jan 2013

Price: US$1,900

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Minor decline of retailing in 2012 amidst Eurozone’s economic woes

In 2012, retailing in Macedonia experienced minor decline after being virtually unaffected by the recent global financial crisis and recession. As vital economic partners in the region were hugely impacted by the turmoil in the Eurozone in relation to the enormous sovereign debt problems experienced by some of its member countries, the Macedonian economy was not able to remain immune to these developments. Consumer confidence and demand declined, leading to an overall negligible decline of retailing in 2012.

Grocery retailers dominate Macedonia’s retailing landscape

Grocery retailers dominate Macedonia’s retailing and accounted for the greatest share of retailing’s total value sales throughout the whole review period. Grocery retailing is at least twice the size of non-grocery retailing, although there is a tendency of increasing the gap between grocery and non-grocery retailing in favour of grocery. Modern chained grocery retailers continued expanding and improving their market share in 2012 at the expense of traditional grocers. Overall, expenditures on groceries remained largely unaffected by the economic conditions despite the decline in overall retailing in 2012.

Grocery retailing declines mildly, non-grocery retailing remains flat

Grocery retailing declined mildly as traditional grocery retailers continued experiencing negative growth whilst modern grocery retailers’ sales remained flat in 2012, mainly because of the moderate decline of the supermarkets channel on one hand and the strong performance of the hypermarkets, which is still a relatively small channel, and convenience stores on the other hand, which is somewhat larger in terms of outlets. Chained grocery retailers, particularly supermarkets, hypermarkets and discounters, continued expanding in terms of the number of outlets and retail space and further diversified their product offerings. The convenience stores concept, introduced in late 2010 and 2011, experienced strong performance in 2012. Modern grocery retailing remained the most dynamic category within store-based retailing in 2012 with the highest growth potential. Non-grocery retailing’s growth remained largely flat in 2012 as it witnessed the start of operations of the parapharmacies/drugstores distribution channel.

Traditional grocery retailers grapple with modern retailers’ competition

Although traditional grocery retailers continue to dominate the retailing landscape of Macedonia, they are in a constant battle to preserve as much value share on the market as possible whilst modern grocery retailers develop rapidly and put traditional grocery retailers to enormous competition both price- and qualitywise. The battle for dominance of the retailing market in Macedonia is ongoing. Traditional grocery retailing is highly fragmented. It consists of neighbourhood-based independent small grocers and a growing number of food/drink and tobacco specialist retailers which are competing mainly alone, financially exhausted and not well organised in terms of distribution and marketing.

Retailing growth to continue despite economic challenges in the region

Despite 2012’s decline and the slowdown expected in the forecast period, retailing in Macedonia is set to continue its constant value growth. The main engines of growth will be the modern grocery retailers, particularly hypermarkets and supermarkets. Traditional grocery retailers will continue to play an important role as the single largest category, whilst its constituents such as independent small grocers and other grocery retailers are set to continue declining in constant retail value terms. The growth and expansion of modern retailing formats is expected to change the product and brand landscape of Macedonia as a greater range of high-quality products and new international brands are expected to arrive in the country. This is a potential threat to the domestic and regional brands which dominated the market. Non-store retailing will remain the fastest-growing retailing sector, mainly due to the fast growth of internet retailing. The overall value of non-store retailing however, remains quite marginal in comparison with the store-based retailing in Macedonia.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Macedonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Macedonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Macedonia for free:

The Retailing in Macedonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Macedonia?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Macedonia?
  • How is retailing performing in Macedonia?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Macedonia?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Macedonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Minor decline of retailing in 2012 amidst Eurozone’s economic woes

Grocery retailers dominate Macedonia’s retailing landscape

Grocery retailing declines mildly, non-grocery retailing remains flat

Traditional grocery retailers grapple with modern retailers’ competition

Retailing growth to continue despite economic challenges in the region

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic conditions

Government regulation

Foreign direct investment

Demographic changes

Consumer behaviour changes

Private label development

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2007-2012

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery: 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 10 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 11 Store-Based Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 12 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 13 Store-Based Retailing Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 17 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

APPENDIX

Operating environment

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Macedonia - Company Profiles

EuroMedia doo in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

EuroMedia doo in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 4 EuroMedia doo: Share of Sales Generated by Internet Retailing

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 EuroMedia doo: Competitive Position 2012

KAM dooel in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 8 KAM dooel: Share of Sales Generated by Internet Retailing

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 9 KAM dooel: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 KAM dooel: Competitive Position 2012

Skopski Pazar AD in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 13 Skopski Pazar AD: Share of Sales Generated by Internet Retailing

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 14 Skopski Pazar AD: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Skopski Pazar AD: Competitive Position 2012

Tinex MT dooel in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 17 Tinex MT dooel: Share of Sales Generated by Internet Retailing

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 18 Tinex MT dooel: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 Tinex MT dooel: Competitive Position 2012

Veropoulos Dooel in Retailing (Macedonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 22 Veropoulos dooel: Share of Sales Generated by Internet Retailing

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 23 Veropoulos dooel: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 24 Veropoulos dooel: Competitive Position 2012

Grocery Retailers in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2012 grocery retailing experienced minor decline of current value by 1%. Large-format chained retailers such as supermarkets, discounters and hypermarkets continued their expansion of outlet networks and further enhanced their product offerings, with most being able to improve their competitive positions in 2012 as well.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tinex MT dooel with its supermarket brand Tinex was the lead grocery retailer in Macedonia in 2012 with 7% value share. Second ranked was Veropoulos dooel with its Vero brand of supermarkets with 5% value share in 2012. KAM dooel, which experienced the highest growth within the grocery retailers category, ranked third with nearly 5% value share in 2012. All top three companies have managed to maintain their reputation as reliable retailers, increasing their market visibility and expanding their outlet networks.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, grocery retailers is expected to register a CAGR of 1% in constant value terms over the forecast period and reach retail value sales of MKD79.5 billion by 2017. Modern grocery retailers will continue the expansion of their outlet networks and gain share at the expense of the traditional grocery retailers. The projected growth will be faster compared with the growth experienced over the review period.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 1 Modern Grocery Retailers: Super Tinex in Skopje (Pero Nakov Str.)
  • Chart 2 Modern Grocery Retailers: Vero in Skopje (Jane Sandanski Boulevard)
  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Ramstore Mall in Skopje
  • Chart 4 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Zito Leb in Skopje (Rekord)
  • Chart 5 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Biokult (organic food) in Skopje (Gradski Trgovski Centar)
  • Chart 6 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Kras store in Skopje (Makedonija str.)

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 21 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 22 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 23 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 24 Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 25 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 26 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 27 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 28 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Selling Space 2009-2012
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 30 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 32 Forecast Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Grocery Retailers in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The economy in Macedonia moderately declined in 2012 as a result of the effects of the European sovereign debt crisis affecting several countries which are major trade partners to Macedonia, most notably Greece. Consumer confidence declined as well, which led to a more cautious spending on non-grocery products. However, as a result of the prolonged economic uncertainties, consumers spent more money on non-grocery products relative to groceries compared to the previous years. The actual decline of non-grocery retailing was smaller than the decline of grocery retailing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Non-grocery retailers remained highly fragmented in 2012. Only the top two players had an individual value share higher than 3% in 2012. The top five players, however, maintained 11% value share in 2012

PROSPECTS

  • Non-grocery retailing is expected to achieve modest growth over the forecast period as a result of the persistent weak purchasing power amongst the Macedonian consumers, coupled with the shattered consumer confidence amidst one of the largest financial crises ever and potential devastating effects to the euro currency. This is resulting from the huge sovereign debt crisis looming across some countries that are members of the Eurozone and traditional economic partners to Macedonia, most notably Greece. The category is set to experience nearly 2% CAGR in constant value terms over the forecast period.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 7 Non-Grocery Retailers: Mr. Bricolage in Skopje (Pero Nakov street)
  • Chart 8 Non-Grocery Retailers: Neptun in Skopje (Pero Nakov street)
  • Chart 9 Non-Grocery Retailers: Apteka Viola in Skopje (Gradski Trgovski Centar)

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 33 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 34 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2007-2012
  • Table 35 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 36 Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 37 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 38 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 39 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: Outlets 2009-2012
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 41 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2012-2017
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 43 Forecast Non-Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2012-2017

Non-Store Retailing in Macedonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Internet retailing remained the fastest-growing channel within the non-store retailing with a growth of 14% in current value terms. The wider public has been slow to embrace internet shopping and internet retailing facilities due to their continued concerns over payment security and the prevailing traditional views on shopping which commend that products be seen, felt and personally touched before being purchased. Despite its growth, internet retailing remains relatively small with a mere 9% of the total sales value via non-store channels in 2012.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The top five market players in non-store retailing in Macedonia had a combined value share of 61% in 2012. Most of them have maintained strong presence in Macedonia and the region for nearly two decades.

PROSPECTS

  • Non-store retailing growth will continue to depend primarily on the developments in the direct selling and homeshopping categories as these two make up about 90% of total non-store retailing in the country. Although growing, internet retailing will still have relatively little influence over the category. Yet, internet retailing is expected to increase its size relative to direct selling and homeshopping by 2017 by nearly 50% and shall account for 15% of total non-store sales in Macedonia.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 44 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 45 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 46 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2008-2012
  • Table 47 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2009-2012
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 49 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • Home Improvement and Gardening Stores
          • Furniture and Homewares Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellery and Watch Specialist Retailers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Furniture and Homewares Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Furniture and Homewares Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Home Improvement and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Furniture and Homewares Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Hot Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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