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Country Report

Retailing in Uruguay

Jan 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Disposable income growth boosts sales

The good economic conditions prevailing in the country since the second half of 2009, with real GDP growing by 8.5% in 2010 and slightly above 6% in 2011. Thus, per capita disposable income surged to the highest level in Latin America. Rising consumer confidence resulted in a recovery in retail value sales, only one percentage point slower than the current value CAGR over the review period as a whole.

Costa Urbana’s inauguration, the main event of 2011

With a total investment (foreign and domestic) of over US$45 million, the Costa Urbana shopping and civic centre opened in 2011, in Ciudad de la Costa, a Montevideo satellite town with a population of more than 150,000. This mall combines a traditional structure with 70 retailing outlets, one supermarket, four cinemas and a restaurant plaza. It also has a civic centre, where state-owned utility companies, a bank (BROU), social security (BPS), the tax authority (DGI) and the government of Canelones (the province where the mall is located) have a total of 12 offices. Another first, besides the location, is the 40 private offices housed within the building. The impact on retailing in this area is expected to be significant during the forecast period.

Grocery retailing maintains lead over non-grocery retailing

During the economic boom, consumers saw per capita disposable income increase by over 31% in real terms between 2005 and 2010. Moreover, unemployment fell to a record low and consumer confidence grew. Thus, households were able to satisfy their basic needs and spend more on non-grocery items. With small variations, grocery and no-grocery retailing are set to produce very similar retail value CAGRs over the review period, maintaining the almost 2:1 ratio in favour of grocery retailing.

Supermarket chains continue to lead retailing

In a very fragmented competitive landscape, with more than 32,000 outlets, mostly independent small retailers, big retail chains dominate retail value sales. Chained supermarkets/hypermarkets, led by the domestic player Ta-Ta SA, occupy the first five places in terms of retail value sales. The domestic chained apparel specialist retailer chain Chic Parisien SA is ranked sixth and the fast growing Coboe SA (Farmashop parapharmacy chain) seventh.

Momentum to be maintained in the forecast period

According to the IMF, Uruguayan GDP is expected to grow by a 4.2% CAGR over the forecast period, posting the best per capita GDP growth in Latin America. Starting with the good momentum from 2005, the predicted good economic environment should produce strong growth rates. The confidence of companies remains high. Several, such as the supermarket chains Supermercados Disco SA, Ta-Ta and Mimatec SA, and apparel specialist retailers, such as Uruforus, have important expansion projects scheduled for completion during the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Uruguay with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Uruguay, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Uruguay for free:

The Retailing in Uruguay market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Uruguay?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Uruguay?
  • How is retailing performing in Uruguay?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Uruguay?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Uruguay - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Disposable income growth boosts sales

Costa Urbana’s inauguration, the main event of 2011

Grocery retailing maintains lead over non-grocery retailing

Supermarket chains continue to lead retailing

Momentum to be maintained in the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Favourable economic conditions for retailing

Government regulation

Foreign direct investment

Demographic changes

Environmental concerns hit retailers

Incentives and store cards stimulate sales

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Operating environment

Cash-and-carry

DEFINITIONS

Sources

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Uruguay - Company Profiles

Henderson & Cía SA (Tienda Inglesa) in Retailing (Uruguay)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 4 Internet Sale 2006-2011

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 5 Henderson & Cía SA (Tienda Inglesa): Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Henderson & Cía SA (Tienda Inglesa): Competitive Position 2011

Mimatec SA in Retailing (Uruguay)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 9 Internet Sales 2006-2011

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 1 Mimatec SA: Multi Ahorro Supermarket in Montevideo

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 10 Mimatec SA: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Mimatec SA: Competitive Position 2011

Supermercados Devoto Hnos SA in Retailing (Uruguay)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

  • Summary 14 Internet Sales 2006-2011

COMPANY BACKGROUND

  • Chart 2 Supermercados Devoto Hnos SA: Devoto in Montevideo - Uruguay

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 15 Supermercados Devoto Hnos SA: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Supermercados Devoto Hnos SA: Competitive Position 2011

Supermercados Disco SA in Retailing (Uruguay)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 19 Supermercados Disco SA: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 20 Supermercados Disco SA: Competitive Position 2010

Ta-Ta SA in Retailing (Uruguay)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 23 Ta-Ta SA: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 24 Ta-Ta SA: Competitive Position 2011

Grocery Retailers in Uruguay - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The most significant change in grocery retailing in 2011 is the expansion of chained supermarkets/hypermarkets into towns in the interior of the country, as the Montevideo city government announced it will not grant new construction permits for this type of store. Ta-Ta opened five new stores in provincial capital towns during 2011, to become the first chain with a presence in all 19 departamentos in Uruguay.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of retail value sales, supermarket chains continue to hold the top six positions. The domestic company Ta-Ta SA is the leader with a projected 5% share of retail value sales in 2011. Supermercados Disco and Henderson & Cía follow with retail value shares of 4%. Supermercados Devoto Hnos and Mimatec each hold shares of 3%. Ta-Ta regained the lead in retail value sales in 2010 due to its expansion in the interior of the country, where it added nine outlets in 2010-2011. The company has at least one outlet in each departamento.

PROSPECTS

  • The expansion of supermarket chains outside of Montevideo and satellite towns, started by Ta-Ta with nine new stores opened in 2010-2011 (eight of which are located in the interior of the country), is expected to continue during the forecast period. Mimatec is building a Multi Ahorro supermarket in Durazno and it has plans to open more outlets in other towns. In Montevideo, the last supermarket operator to be granted a permit from the city’s government was Supermercados Disco (owned by Casino Guichard-Perrachon SA) The outlet will open in Nuevocentro shopping centre, probably under the Geant brand. While the expansion of Punta Carretas Shopping is underway, the company still lacks a final permit for the enlargement of the Disco outlet in this location.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 3 Modern Grocery Retailers: Supermarket Multi Ahorro in Montevideo – Uruguay
  • Chart 4 Modern Grocery Retailers: Supermarket Devoto in Montevideo - Uruguay
  • Chart 5 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Independent Small Grocer Real in Montevideo - Uruguay
  • Chart 6 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Independent Small Grocer Teresa in Montevideo - Uruguay

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 13 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Grocery Retailers in Uruguay - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, after the boom in sales of TV sets in 2010, due to the FIFA World Cup, consumer spending was favoured by a significant increase in credit and higher purchasing power. As a result, many consumers turned to apparel and premium products. Despite a high component of informal sales, current value sales are set to increase by 11% in apparel specialist retailers in 2011. The strong sales growth of the largest channel is boosting the overall performance of non-grocery retailing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Chic Parisien is the leading non-grocery retailer with a projected 5% share of retail value sales in 2011. The company has 26 stores under the Parisien, La Casa de Las Telas, Indian and DNK brands. Most stores are centred in Montevideo, but it also has a presence in several towns in the interior of the country, while 16 Parisien outlets accommodate La Casa de las Telas units on the premises. Coboe SA (Farmashop), is ranked second with a 2% share, followed by San Roque SA with a 1% share. Non-grocery retailing is a highly fragmented competitive environment, where small independent retailers dominate.

PROSPECTS

  • The depreciation of the US dollar against the Uruguayan peso has impacted favourably on non-grocery retailing, due to the high percentage of imported products sold through this channel. This currency exchange trend is predicted to continue, at least in the short term. The slide of the US dollar accelerated in 2010 and the exchange rate is set to remain at current levels, at least, due to the relative strength of the Uruguayan peso and the anticipated massive influx of US dollars in the summer. This should extend the favourable conditions for non-grocery retailing into 2012 and 2013.

CHANNEL FORMATS

  • Chart 7 Non-Grocery Retailers: Apparel Specialist Retailer Ossira in Montevideo - Uruguay
  • Chart 8 Non-Grocery Retailers: Parapharmacy Farmashop in Montevideo - Uruguay
  • Chart 9 Non-Grocery Retailers: Traditional Toys and Games Store Giocattoli in Montevideo - Uruguay

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 19 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 22 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Store Retailing in Uruguay - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The household penetration of computers (69% in December 2010) and internet usage (58% nationwide, 65% in Montevideo) are high in Uruguay. ANTEL, the state-owned telecommunications company, is set to increase internet access and improve broadband speeds and lower costs. The first steps were taken in 2011, contributing to the strong performance of internet retailing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, the direct seller Nuvó Cosméticos is set to lead for a third consecutive year, with a 21% share of retail value sales. The company offers beauty and personal care and tupperware and houseware items. Cosmeticos Avon de Uruguay SA, which was overtaken by Nuvó Cosméticos in 2009, is expected to remain the second-ranked player with an 18% share of retail value sales. Henderson & Cía is the third-ranked company, with a projected 12% share, derived entirely from internet retailing.

PROSPECTS

  • It is anticipated that positive economic and consumer spending trends will continue to boost non-store retailing in the forecast period. These conditions should favour the growth of the new players that entered non-store retailing from 2009. For example, internet retailers like Selistar Shop, Tienda London Paris, La Cava 306 and Sham SRL and direct sellers such as Saisho Cosméticos and Zermat Internacional. Moreover, Urudermis, specialising in natural beauty products, launched a new line and direct selling operation in 2011. This player should also benefit from the prevailing economic and consumer trends.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 25 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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