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Country Report

Rtds/High-Strength Premixes in Bulgaria

Aug 2012

Price: US$900

About this Report

Executive Summary

TRENDS

  • The development of RTDs in 2011 indicates clearly that this is a declining category with not much chance of a revival. The products, which previously led market fashion, were introduced in 2001, but the products proved to be a fad. The rapid development of the category, with volume growth rates reaching double digits, was replaced by a swift decline, which characterised the whole review period. The global economic crisis, which did not spare Bulgaria, only accelerated this decline. The reasons for the strong underperformance in the last year of the review period were not very different from the ones which led to the overall decline in RTDs.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sofstock continued to be the leading company in 2011, distributing Bacardi Breezer, with a 48% share of overall volume sales. The company did not benefit from any significant marketing activity, but continued to thrive on the first-mover advantage gained early in the review period. Also, a significant benefit and leadership factor is the mother brand name. Second place was still held by Diageo Bulgaria EOOD, which accounted for 36% of sales. Its share increased slightly in 2011, despite the overall slight weakening of Diageo’s position in Bulgaria due to restructuring. Good sales results generated through the on-trade channel, and bars and clubs in particular, explain the dominant share of both brands. Since the beginning of the review period Sobieski Impress has been the number three brand, but with a share much lower than those of the leading two brands.

PROSPECTS

  • The development pattern of RTDs/high-strength premixes is not likely to change during the forecast period – the expected rate of volume decline is at a CAGR of 5%. The category has already lost momentum, and it seems as though brand owners are not willing to invest any further, because these products neither fulfill specific consumer needs, nor are fashionable any longer. The products will decline in popularity, as they continue to face serious competition from the leading beer brands, where producers follow a strong new product development policy and provide adequate support for their products. Also, wine will continue to gain loyal followers and replace RTDs in bars.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the RTDs/High-Strength Premixes industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the RTDs/High-Strength Premixes industry in Bulgaria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Bulgaria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market volume shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Bulgaria?
  • What are the major brands in Bulgaria?
  • Has the trend towards at-home entertaining had a positive impact on RTDs as consumers want to replicate the bar experience at home?
  • How have RTDs performed in comparisons to High-strength premixes?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The development of RTDs in 2011 indicates clearly that this is a declining category with not much chance of a revival. The products, which previously led market fashion, were introduced in 2001, but the products proved to be a fad. The rapid development of the category, with volume growth rates reaching double digits, was replaced by a swift decline, which characterised the whole review period. The global economic crisis, which did not spare Bulgaria, only accelerated this decline. The reasons for the strong underperformance in the last year of the review period were not very different from the ones which led to the overall decline in RTDs.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sofstock continued to be the leading company in 2011, distributing Bacardi Breezer, with a 48% share of overall volume sales. The company did not benefit from any significant marketing activity, but continued to thrive on the first-mover advantage gained early in the review period. Also, a significant benefit and leadership factor is the mother brand name. Second place was still held by Diageo Bulgaria EOOD, which accounted for 36% of sales. Its share increased slightly in 2011, despite the overall slight weakening of Diageo’s position in Bulgaria due to restructuring. Good sales results generated through the on-trade channel, and bars and clubs in particular, explain the dominant share of both brands. Since the beginning of the review period Sobieski Impress has been the number three brand, but with a share much lower than those of the leading two brands.

PROSPECTS

  • The development pattern of RTDs/high-strength premixes is not likely to change during the forecast period – the expected rate of volume decline is at a CAGR of 5%. The category has already lost momentum, and it seems as though brand owners are not willing to invest any further, because these products neither fulfill specific consumer needs, nor are fashionable any longer. The products will decline in popularity, as they continue to face serious competition from the leading beer brands, where producers follow a strong new product development policy and provide adequate support for their products. Also, wine will continue to gain loyal followers and replace RTDs in bars.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 6 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 7 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 8 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 10 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 11 Brand Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes 2008-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Bulgaria - Company Profiles

Belvedere Bulgaria in Alcoholic Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 2 Belvedere Bulgaria: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Belvedere Bulgaria: Competitive Position 2011

Alcoholic Drinks in Bulgaria - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic downturn slows down alcoholic drinks growth and affects all categories

Multinational players control the industry

Large retailers continue to expand

Changing lifestyles and demographics provoke new product developments

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Economic downturn slows down alcoholic drinks growth and affects all categories

Multinational players control the industry

Large retailers continue to expand

Changing lifestyles and demographics provoke new product developments

Key new product launches

  • Summary 4 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

Specialist Retailers

  • Summary 5 Leading Specialist Retailers 2010-2011

Market merger and acquisition activity

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

  • Table 16 Number of On-trade Establishments by Type 2006-2010

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 17 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 18 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Markups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 19 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011
  • Table 20 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011
  • Table 21 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/Parallel Trade

Duty-Free

Cross-border/Private imports

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 22 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 23 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 31 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCE

  • Summary 6 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • RTDs/High-Strength Premixes
    • High-Strength Premixes
    • RTDs
      • Malt-Based RTDs
      • Spirit-Based RTDs
      • Wine-Based RTDs
      • Other RTDs

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Distribution
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Off-trade volume
  • Off-trade volume % growth
  • Off-trade volume per capita
  • On-trade volume
  • On-trade volume % growth
  • On-trade volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price % growth
  • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade rtd volume
  • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
  • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
  • On-trade rtd volume
  • On-trade rtd volume % growth
  • On-trade rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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