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Country Report

Soft Drinks in Bulgaria

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The effects of the crisis are weakening

In Bulgaria the effect of the global economic crisis was felt less seriously in 2011, reversing the pattern seen in the previous two years as some growth was seen in almost all soft drinks categories. Bulgarians had limited their expenses on premium products but purchasing of such products started slowly growing again in 2011. As a whole, Bulgarians consider soft drinks a necessity; therefore, consumers only limited their expenditure on such products to some extent and did not cut them completely out of their budgets.

Healthy and modern products continue to win loyal consumer base

The market developed as a result of greater demand for calorie-free, healthy and modern products. Whilst the Bulgarian soft drinks market is not yet strongly oriented towards the functional and value-added features of products, these trends are now stepping into the market. Leading brand owners within bottled water, fruit/vegetable juice, sports and energy drinks and RTD tea are responsible for the increasing popularity of those concepts. Advertising for brands such as Bankia, Devin, Cappy, Nestea, Florina, Red Bull and Nescafé Xpress, to name a few, were not only to their advantage but also encouraged development of the market for modern and value-added products overall.

Concentration strengthens positions of multinational companies

Both multinational and local companies occupy the leading 10 positions. Unsurprisingly Coca-Cola HBC commands the largest value share of soft drinks. The acquisition of Devin and Bottling Co Mineral Water Bankia earlier in the review period contributed to the expansion of the multinationals in Bulgaria. There have also been company exits within the industry, mostly involving local companies with regional distribution, the number of which was more than halved since the beginning of the review period.

Volume sales dominated by off trade, as on trade generates value

Most soft drinks are consumed at home. In 2011 the off-trade channel accounted for 72% of volume sales. On the other hand, the off-trade channel generated only 44% of the market value. The only exception within this volume split is energy drinks, which finds its most loyal consumers in on-trade outlets. The good value generation potential of the on-trade channel is targeted by brand owners who have developed separate packaging and branded items to suit that channel’s needs.

Slower volume growth expected in forecast period, but constant value will be higher

Volume growth of soft drinks is expected to slow down in the forecast period. The main segments, which were responsible for the excellent results in the review period – bottled water, fruit/vegetable juice, RTD tea and sports and energy drinks – are expected to continue to develop, albeit at a slower pace. Constant value growth of both the on- and off-trade channels, however, is expected to be slightly higher. As bottled water, fruit/vegetable juice, RTD tea and sports and energy drinks penetrate the market, the slower volume growth opportunities will prompt brand owners to be more focused on launching innovative products and actively promoting their brands.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Soft Drinks industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Soft Drinks industry in Bulgaria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Bulgaria for free:

The Soft Drinks in Bulgaria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Soft Drinks in Bulgaria?
  • What are the major brands in Bulgaria?
  • What potential exists for multinational vs. local soft drinks companies looking to increase market share?
  • How have changing social attitudes affected soft drink sales?
  • How have sustainability issues; such as environmentally-friendly packaging, legislation on recyclability, or the amount of plastic in bottles, affected the soft drink industry?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Soft Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Soft Drinks in Bulgaria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The effects of the crisis are weakening

Healthy and modern products continue to win loyal consumer base

Concentration strengthens positions of multinational companies

Volume sales dominated by off trade, as on trade generates value

Slower volume growth expected in forecast period, but constant value will be higher

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Financial crisis did not affect soft drinks sales in 2011

Soft drinks production to become more concentrated

Producers differentiate their on- and off-trade lines

PET packaging continues to dominate whilst glass bottles decline

Modern retail trade takes share from traditional channels

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011
  • Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2011
  • Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2011
  • Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2011
  • Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 14 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 15 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 17 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2007-2011
  • Table 18 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2008-2011
  • Table 19 Penetration of Private Label (as sold) by Category by Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Penetration of Private Label by Category by Value 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 22 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Soft Drinks in Bulgaria - Company Profiles

Devin AD in Soft Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Devin AD: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Devin AD: Competitive Position 2011

Florina Bulgaria AD in Soft Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Florina Bulgaria AD: Competitive Position 2011

Lines Holding in Soft Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Lines Holding: Competitive Position 2011

Nova Trade OOD in Soft Drinks (Bulgaria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 11 Nova Trade OOD: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Nova Trade OOD: Competitive Position 2011

Bottled Water in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Bottled water is increasing its penetration in the country. The results of a representative sample carried out by the National Centre for Research on Public Opinion reveal that bottled water is drunk daily. The heaviest users are women, people between 36 and 40 years old and those with average and above-average incomes. Bottled water is increasingly being used as a substitute for plain tap water and is used both as a thirst quencher and as a substitute for other soft drinks, which fell out as consumers’ favourites. Carbonates is the most immediate losing group and whilst in 2006 it was the largest soft drinks category in the off-trade channel, it lost its volume advantage in the later years of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There is a great variety of bottlers and brands. According to the Association of Soft Drinks Producers there are 44 local bottled water brands in Bulgaria. Naturally, most of them are small and have regional significance, and only four companies account for 71% of volume sales. In 2011 the leading place was shared between Butilirashta Kompaniya Gorna Banya and Devin. Devin continued to work on all organisational levels to achieve leadership – after investing in production in 2010, in 2011 it focused on distribution and marketing that enabled it to increase its volume share and challenge Butilirashta Kompaniya Gorna Banya. Devin also employs PR, below-the-line activities (prize draws) and media advertising to develop the positive image of the brand. On the other hand, Butilirashta Kompaniya Gorna Banya continued to rely on the distribution network it developed earlier in the review period and favourable consumer attitude towards its Gorna Banya brand. It matched neither the production nor the marketing investment of Devin.

PROSPECTS

  • Bottled water is expected to develop further in the forecast period as a result of two factors: increasing consumption and launch of innovative products that will fill in the niche segments. As a result of manufacturers’ advertising, good distribution coverage across the country, low price and convenient pack sizes, Bulgarians are likely to increase their bottled water consumption. Bottled water will be increasingly purchased as a staple product because the quality of tap water is deteriorating and bottled products are healthier and affordable alternatives.

CATEGORY DATA

Institutional Bottled Water Sales

  • Table 30 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 35 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 36 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 37 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 38 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Carbonates in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Carbonates is the largest category within soft drinks and has the longest market presence. It also has the largest number of competitors. Even though the majority of those competitors are not economically active, competition within carbonates is still stiff. There are products in all possible carbonates categories and manufacturers have largely exhausted their possibilities for new product development. Also, there has been an ongoing debate on children’s health and nutrition and the possibility that carbonates and sweets sales in schools will be banned is very plausible.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The two leading companies in value terms are Coca-Cola HBC Bulgaria and Agrima. Coca-Cola HBC Bulgaria accounted for an impressive 56% of value sales in 2011, whilst the second most important competitor, Agrima had only a 12% value share. The difference in share reflects Agrima’s lower advertising spending and lower distribution coverage. Coca-Cola HBC Bulgaria increased its value share by two percentage points in 2011. It has managed to set up its own distribution network and delivers directly to clients all over the country.

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales growth of carbonates over the forecast period is easy to predict – the total volume CAGR is expected to speed up to just over 2% as the category will recover to its pre-crisis levels. Over the forecast period carbonates are expected to witness increasing competition from related soft drinks categories, and would have to respond by offering more competitive pricing and making other, better offers for their consumers, which would explain the expected acceleration over the coming five years. On other hand, the major competitor of carbonates, bottled water, is already the largest category within soft drinks, and will not post significant challenges to the sales of carbonated beverages.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 46 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Off-trade Sales of Low Calorie Cola Carbonates by Category: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Concentrates in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The market for concentrates is driven by two diverging trends: whilst powder concentrates is still recording some development, liquid concentrates are following a downward trend. The reason is the diverging approaches to the market that producers of liquid and powder concentrates have chosen. Whilst the latter are continuously engaged in new product development, often crossing the boundaries between concentrates and other soft drinks groups, manufacturers of liquid concentrates have been more traditional. As a result this product group continued to record negative volume development in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Domestic companies account for the largest share of liquid concentrates, whilst multinationals dominate powder concentrates. Higher Institute of Food & Nutrition Industry was the leading player in liquid concentrates in 2011 and throughout the review period, accounting for 59% of volume sales (including RTD concentrates). Despite the lack of any marketing activities, its products held the leading position as a result of their perceived health benefits. The manufacturer competes with just a few flavours (blackberry, raspberry and the very popular chokeberry) and has not expanded its portfolio. Also, its products are not sweetened additionally with sugar or other sweeteners. The second largest competitor in liquid concentrates is Radulov. The multinational Kraft Foods Bulgaria led powder concentrates with an off-trade value share of 39% in 2011, although it did not engage in much consumer communication activities for its Tang brand, as it did in previous years.

PROSPECTS

  • Concentrates is already quite mature and will not offer many novelties to consumers. Despite the new product development of Kendy Bulgaria, which launched an RTD tea, the company mainly relies on its very competitive prices, and will unlikely develop new concepts in future. However, it is at a disadvantage in that it does not engage in consumer communications to promote its products as modern and convenient for preparation (eg, as Nestlé Bulgaria did for its Nescafé 2-in-1 and 3-in-1 lines). In addition, the leading company, Higher Institute of Food & Nutrition Industry, has extended its operations into more profitable market areas. It competes in fruit/vegetable juice with the same Vitanea flavours but not in concentrated form.

CATEGORY DATA

Concentrates Conversions

  • Table 59 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 69 Company Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 70 Brand Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 71 Company Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 72 Brand Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 73 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 76 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 77 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 78 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Fruit/vegetable juice has continued to emerge as a healthier alternative to carbonates. As consumers get exposed to negative press opinions on the consumption of carbonates, they look for better and healthier alternatives. However, the more expensive and healthier types of fruit/vegetable juice –reconstituted 100% juice and nectars (25-99% juice) – saw volume decline in 2011 because consumers are more price sensitive than health oriented.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Fruit/vegetable juice is divided up between producers of 100% juice, nectars and juice drinks (up to 24% juice), and, on the other side, producers of fruit-flavoured drinks (no juice content). The high percentage share of fruit-flavoured drinks (no juice content) in off-trade sales secured Nova Trade, Aspasia and Lines Holding the leading positions overall in fruit/vegetable juice. Florina and Tymbark Bulgaria, the other companies operating in this category followed in fourth and fifth place. Aspasia 92 and Radulov were next in the ranking.

PROSPECTS

  • Fruit/vegetable juice is expected to continue its strong performance in the forecast period with volume and constant value CAGRs of 3% and 2%, respectively. The CAGR volume growth is higher than that of the review period and will mainly come as a result of flavoured drinks with no juice content seeing its growth rate accelerated. At the same time 100% reconstituted juice, nectars and fruit-flavoured drinks will continue to develop with growth rates similar to those of the review period. The very positive projections reflect growing demand for healthier soft drinks products in Bulgaria, which is likely to come largely at the expense of carbonates. The development of fruit/vegetable juice over the forecast period will also be driven by an anticipated rise in disposable incomes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 79 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 83 Leading Flavours for 100% Juice: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Leading Flavours for Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Leading Flavours for Nectars (25-99% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Leading Flavours for Fruit-flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 87 % Share of Smoothies in 100% Juice and Nectars (25-99% Juice): Off-trade Value 2011
  • Table 88 Chilled Vs Ambient Reconstituted 100% Juice: % Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 90 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 91 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 92 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 93 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 96 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

RTD Coffee in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There are couple of well-established international brands competing on the RTD coffee market in Bulgaria. Nestlé Bulgaria is competing with its Nescafé Xpress brand. Despite that RTD coffee products existed on the market for several years, to a large extent Nestlé Bulgaria pioneered this category because it was the first company to launch an advertising campaign and promote the category, parallel with its brand. However, since Nescafé Xpress was launched in 2008, it did not popularise the whole category to the extent that Coca-Cola HBC was intending.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Amongst the six main competitors, Obedinena Mlechna Kompania (OMK) dominates with a 50% value share in 2011. It is one of the main competitors in dairy products and its Fibela Cappuccino brand is the only locally manufactured RTD coffee product. Despite that Fibela cappuccino is a typical RTD coffee product, the company prefers to market it as a dairy-based flavoured milk drink. The brand’s packaging and appeal is very different from other RTD coffee products – it is sold in 1-litre brick liquid cartons and is intended for in-house consumption.

PROSPECTS

  • Expectations for the forecast period are that RTD coffee sales will register an impressive CAGR of more than 11% in volume and a constant value CAGR of 10%. However, this will only see sales reach 100,000 litres, given its low starting base.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 97 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 98 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 99 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 100 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 101 Company Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 102 Brand Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 103 Company Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 104 Brand Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 105 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 108 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2011-2016

RTD Tea in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 RTD tea continued to develop with growth rates that were well above the market average. The novelty of the category and marketing techniques of the leading companies contributed to its off-trade penetration. Even though not all products are sugar free and there are no clear health benefits associated with RTD tea drinking, the fact that it contains tea makes the product appear as “natural”. Also, consumers were attracted to the category because of advertising of the main player Coca-Cola HBC Bulgaria for its Nestea brand, good distribution of various products in both the on- and off-trade channels and good new product development of brand owners. There are now all possible RTD tea types – green, black and “other” tea based, imported and of local origin and of different price bands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The RTD tea fashion is being led by multinational companies. They have higher volume shares, which increased throughout the review period; whilst in 2002 they accounted for 57% of the value sales, in 2011 their share climbed to more than 73%. Whilst in 2000 there were just a handful of producers, now the most important carbonates, fruit/vegetable juice producers and bottled water producers have at least one RTD tea product within their portfolios. Most importantly, advertising of Coca-Cola HBC Bulgaria throughout the review period to a great extent contributed towards increasing the popularity of the category.

PROSPECTS

  • RTD tea is expected to continue its impressive development over the forecast period. Off-trade volume sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of 8% over the forecast period and off-trade constant value sales will go up by 7%. Demand for modern products will drive RTD sales upwards and the category is expected to steal from carbonates’ growth. RTD tea offers good perspectives for trading up because it contains tea, thus products are more expensive than the regular carbonates lines. Brand owners are expected to be even more innovative in their new product development. Another niche that is not yet explored is RTD tea with wellness and functional ingredients. As producers exhaust the possibilities of still RTD tea, sparkling versions might appear on the market.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 109 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 113 Leading Flavours for RTD Tea: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 114 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 115 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 116 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 117 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 118 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 119 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 120 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 121 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sports and Energy Drinks in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume growth of sports and energy drinks remains weak and in 2011 it was much slower than the review period’s average. Sales remain low because of the high average unit price of such drinks, although these products are penetrating the market because they are fashionable and suit the lifestyle of 18-30-year-olds. Combining a can of energy drink with spirits is already very common in Bulgaria, and many consumers opt for doing that instead of combining RTDs and spirits or carbonates or juice mix. Also, energy drinks are developing as a result of advertising and consumer promotions in nightclubs, in which energy drinks are presented as power boosters. The desire to be fit and look well, and strategic distribution in sports clubs and in specialised shops have also positively influenced sales of sports drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Since energy drinks are mainly distributed through the on trade, sports drinks brands account for the leading part of off-trade volume sales. Novartis, producer of the Isostar brand, was the leading player within sports and energy drinks in 2011, accounting for a volume share of 29% and a retail value share of 31%. Despite the lack of any above-the-line activities, Isostar remains the leading sports drink on the market. The company achieved an early entry advantage and now relies on its reputation for excellent quality and some below-the-line activities. In volume terms, Nutrim (IsoTop brand of sports drink) was the second leading company with a volume share of 20% in 2011, but in retail value it ranked third with an 11% value share; Devin, Red Bull’s NBO, which ranked second with a 17% value share.

PROSPECTS

  • Growing urbanisation, busier lifestyle and brand awareness on the food and drinks market are expected to continue to present a favourable environment for the sales of sports and energy drinks. The need for more energy whilst going out or working out will boost the importance of both categories. The good choice of products at different price points and awareness of brands as a result of the advertising of the market leaders will create a very favourable environment for future development of sports and energy drinks. Moreover, rising disposable incomes will mean more Bulgarian consumers will be able to afford to purchase sports and energy drinks products on a regular basis over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 122 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 123 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 124 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 126 Company Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 127 Brand Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 128 Company Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 129 Brand Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 130 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 131 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 132 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 133 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Soft Drinks
    • Bottled Water
      • Carbonated Bottled Water
      • Flavoured Bottled Water
      • Functional Bottled Water
      • Still Bottled Water
    • Carbonates
      • Cola Carbonates
        • Regular Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Regular Cola
          • Speciality Regular Cola
        • Low Calorie Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Low Calorie Cola
          • Speciality Low Calorie Cola
      • Non-Cola Carbonates
        • Lemonade/Lime
          • Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
          • Non Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
        • Mixers
          • Ginger Ale
          • Seltzer
          • Tonic Water
          • Other Mixers
        • Orange Carbonates
          • Juice-based Orange Carbonates
          • Non Juice-based Orange Carbonates
        • Other Non-Cola Carbonates
    • Concentrates
      • Liquid Concentrates
      • Powder Concentrates
    • Fruit/Vegetable Juice
      • 100% Juice
        • Frozen 100% Juice
        • Not from Concentrate 100% Juice
        • Reconstituted 100% Juice
      • Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice)
        • Frozen Juice Drinks
        • Juice Drinks Excluding Asian
      • Fruit-Flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content)
      • Nectars (25-99% Juice)
        • Frozen Nectars
        • Unfrozen Nectars
    • RTD Coffee
    • RTD Tea
      • Still RTD Tea
        • Still RTD Tea Excluding Asian
      • Carbonated RTD Tea
    • Sports and Energy Drinks
      • Energy Drinks
      • Sports Drinks
    • Asian Speciality Drinks

    Statistics Included

    Statistics Included

    For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

    From Passport

    • Market sizes
    • Company shares
    • Brand shares
    • Distribution
    • Chilled v ambient juices
    • Flavours
    • Off-trade vs on-trade
    • Per cent share of smoothies
    • Pricing
    • Products by ingredient
    • Products by ingredient
    • Sports vs other functional bottled water

    Market size details:

    • Retail volume
    • Retail volume % growth
    • Retail volume per capita
    • Foodservice volume
    • Foodservice volume % growth
    • Foodservice volume per capita
    • Total volume
    • Total volume % growth
    • Total volume per capita
    • Retail value retail selling price % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price % growth
    • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail rtd volume
    • Retail rtd volume % growth
    • Retail rtd volume per capita
    • Foodservice rtd volume
    • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
    • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
    • Total rtd volume
    • Total rtd volume % growth
    • Total rtd volume per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice per capita
    • Total fountain on-trade volume
    • Total fountain on-trade volume % growth
    • Total fountain on-trade volume per capita

    Methodology

    Methodology

    Global insight and local knowledge

    With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

    This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

    Industry specialists

    Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

    Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

    The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

    Country and regional analysts

    Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

    In-country research network

    To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

    Research Methodology

    Our research methods

    Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

    Desk research

    With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

    • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
    • National and international trade press
    • National and international trade associations
    • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
    • Company financials and annual reports
    • Broker reports
    • Online databases
    • The financial, business and mainstream press

    Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

    Store checks

    Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

    • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
    • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
    • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
    • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

    Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

    Trade survey

    Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

    Trade surveys allow us to:

    • Fill gaps in available published data per company
    • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
    • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
    • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

    In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

    Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

    Company analysis

    At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

    At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

    Forecasts

    Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

    Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

    Data validation

    All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

    The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

    Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

    Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

    Market analysis

    Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

    Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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