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Country Report

Soft Drinks in Canada

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand for soft drinks softens amid growing desire for healthier diet

In the wake of growing concerns over widespread consumption of high-sugar and high-calorie drinks, faltering consumer trust in the safety and quality of these beverages has resulted in the softening of overall retail sales of soft drinks during the review period. In particular, recent studies regarding Canadians’ sugar consumption trends as well as related health risks have raised questions about the quality of beverages that have long been perceived as healthy and nutritious, such as fruit and vegetable juice and RTD tea.

Energy drinks faces new regulatory challenges

In October 2011, Health Canada announced a new set of regulatory measures for caffeinated energy drinks. In the wake of rising caffeine consumption, particularly by adolescents and young adults, and concerns over the potential to exceed the maximum intake levels recommended by Health Canada, the Canadian government has set additional safety requirements to account for the way these beverages are perceived and consumed by consumers. Under the new regulation, manufacturers are required to limit caffeine content to no more than 400g per litre, or 180g per single-serve container. They are also obliged to provide food labelling, which includes ingredients, allergens and nutrition facts as well as caffeine level, and a warning statement advising not to mix with alcohol.

Health Canada’s approval of plant sterols fuel competition in juice

Following Health Canada’s decision to add plant sterols (phytosterols) to its tightly regulated list of approved food health claims in May 2010, manufacturers of fruit and vegetable juices seized upon their newly found opportunities for growth, in a market that is constantly challenged by the need for innovation. For example, A. Lassonde Inc expanded its line of Oasis juice by introducing Oasis Healthbreak CholestPrevent, followed by Coca-Cola Canada’s launch of Minute Maid Heart Wise; both of which are now fortified with plant sterols.

Grocery retailers continues to lead soft drinks market

Canadian grocers maintained their low prices throughout most of 2011, although discounts and promotions were less frequent than in the previous year. While in 2010, major grocery outlets engaged in aggressive pricing and promotional activities in their effort to attract consumers, competition was less fierce during the review period as leading players began to concede to the pressure of rising commodity costs. Soaring costs of sugar and oil have raised the manufacturer selling price (msp), which increased pressure on retailers to raise their prices as well. Nonetheless, with Wal-Mart Canada’s Rollback price reductions and strong Canadian dollar that favoured imported goods, leading grocers were able to continue offering affordable prices to their consumers.

Growth in soft drinks projected to slow down over forecast period

Soft drinks will continue to grow in most categories over the forecast period. Positive economic outlook, coupled with on-going innovation in the industry, will likely sustain demand for soft drinks. Increase in real GDP, employment gains, and rising disposable income will contribute to stronger consumer confidence, encouraging them to not only increase their beverage consumption, but also to diversify selection by, for example, trying new products that are launched on the market. Furthermore, Canada’s recent announcement to eliminate tariffs in the food processing industry is expected to lower the price of a number of soft drinks sold through Canadian retailers.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Soft Drinks industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Soft Drinks industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Soft Drinks in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Soft Drinks in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • What potential exists for multinational vs. local soft drinks companies looking to increase market share?
  • How have changing social attitudes affected soft drink sales?
  • How have sustainability issues; such as environmentally-friendly packaging, legislation on recyclability, or the amount of plastic in bottles, affected the soft drink industry?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Soft Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Soft Drinks in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Demand for soft drinks softens amid growing desire for healthier diet

Energy drinks faces new regulatory challenges

Health Canada’s approval of plant sterols fuel competition in juice

Grocery retailers continues to lead soft drinks market

Growth in soft drinks projected to slow down over forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Canadians more cautious about soft drinks amid concerns over high sugar consumption and associated health risks

Health Canada’s restriction on caffeine levels creates new challenges for energy drinks producers

Juice manufacturers adopt heart health positioning in the wake of Health Canada’s approval of plant sterols (phytosterols)

Grocery retailers remains competitive, but at a slower pace

Moderate growth in soft drinks projected despite positive economic outlook

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011
  • Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2011
  • Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2011
  • Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2011
  • Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 14 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 15 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 17 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2007-2011
  • Table 18 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2008-2011
  • Table 19 Penetration of Private Label (as sold) by Category by Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Penetration of Private Label by Category by Value 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 22 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Fountain Sales in Canada

MARKET DATA

  • Table 30 Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade through C-Store vs Other Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Soft Drinks in Canada - Company Profiles

A Lassonde Inc in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 A Lassonde Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Aquaterra Corp in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Aquaterra Corp: Competitive Position 2011

Canada Dry Motts Inc in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Canada Dry Motts Inc: Competitive Position 2011

GI Energy Drinks Corp in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 GI Energy Drinks Corp: Competitive Position 2011

Happy Planet Foods Inc in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Sun-Rype Products Ltd in Soft Drinks (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Sun-Rype Products Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Bottled Water in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Over the review period, retail sales of bottled water remained strong, increasing by 4% in value and by 2% in volume to reach 2.2 billion litres valued at C$2.2 billion in current value terms. Driven by strong desires to live healthier lives, sales of bottled water continued to see dynamic growth throughout the year as Canadians increasingly turned away from sugary drinks and sweetened juices. Furthermore, industry’s effort to reduce its environmental impact through the development of recyclable bottles has gained consumer support. For example, in April 2011, Coca-Cola Ltd introduced its line of Dasani water in plant-bottle packaging; the first ever fully recyclable plastic beverage bottle produced using plants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Bottled water in Canada is highly fragmented with different brands competing on several platforms, including price, image, origin/source of water and health benefits. Nestlé Waters of Canada Ltd continued to account for a lion’s share of retail volume sales – 26% in 2011. As a subsidiary of Nestlé SA, Nestlé Waters of Canada benefits not only from its highly-established brands, but also a wide distribution system across the country. Currently, it retails numerous brands across several categories, including Montclair, Nestlé Pure Life, Perrier and S Pellegrino. Nestlé Pure Life remained the leading brand in bottled water, accounting for 23% of total off-trade volume sales in 2011. The brands’ dominant positions were further bolstered by the success of Nestlé Pure Life Sparkling Water, which was launched in mid-2010.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of bottled water are expected to increase at a CAGR of 2% in volume terms, to reach 2.4 billion litres in 2016, while value sales will record a CAGR of 2% in constant terms to reach nearly C$2.5 billion. Sales will be largely driven by Canada’s on-going health and wellness trend with an increasing number of consumers migrating away from sugary drinks, such as carbonated soft drinks and sweetened juices.

CATEGORY DATA

Institutional Bottled Water Sales

  • Table 38 Sales of Bottled Water to Institutional Channel 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 44 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 45 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 47 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 49 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 50 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Carbonates in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales of carbonates further declined in current value terms to reach C$3.0 billion. Off-trade volume fell by 1%, reaching 2.6 million litres. Changing lifestyles of consumers, driven by growing health concerns and aging population, continued to drive down overall consumption of carbonates across Canada. In addition, growing presence of substitutes that offer higher nutritional profile has driven migration away from the category. According to a recent report published by the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), one in four Canadians is found to be obese, with higher prevalence among men. When taking into account the overweight population, nearly 60% of adult Canadians are reported to be struggling with weight management (overweight and obese). Furthermore, childhood obesity has been rising at an alarming rate in recent years. According to the Canadian Childhood Obesity Foundation, obesity rates in children have almost tripled in the last 25 years, with approximately 26% of Canadian children aged 2-to-17-years-old reported as being obese or overweight. As a result, parents as well as the government have become active in promoting healthier diets among children by, for example, eliminating sales and marketing of carbonates in school cafeterias and vending machines.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Coca-Cola Ltd remained the leading manufacturer and marketer of carbonates, accounting for 39% of total off-trade value sales and 35% of volume sales in 2011. Coca-Cola’s high visibility and presence in popular culture spans several decades and it has a brand recognition that ranks amongst the highest of all trademarks. Its long history allows the company to position its brands on the familiarity of the products and the memories they evoke. However, the company does not rely on nostalgia alone, but tries to remain culturally relevant through partnerships as well as on-going product innovation.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, off-trade sales of carbonates are projected to record a negative CAGR of 1% in constant value terms, reaching C$2.9 billion by 2016. Health concerns surrounding obesity and diabetes as well as an aging population will continue to change Canadians’ beverage consumption trends with an increasing number of consumers shying away from high-sugar/calorie carbonates. According to Statistics Canada’s population projection estimates, aging of the population is expected to accelerate rapidly until 2031, by which time the entire baby boom generation would have turned 65. By 2036, the number of seniors is projected to reach between 9.9 million and 10.9 million, more than double the level of 4.7 million in 2009 and surpassing the number of children aged 14 and under for the first time. In addition, the median age of the population is expected to range between 42-45-years-old, compared with the current median age of 39.7-years-old.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 51 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 55 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 56 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 57 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Off-trade Sales of Low Calorie Cola Carbonates by Category: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 61 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 62 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 63 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 64 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 65 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 67 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Low Calorie Carbonates by Category 2006-2011

Concentrates in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Over the review period, concentrates saw relatively slow growth in off-trade sales, with a rise of 2% in current value but a decline of 1% in volume in 2011, reaching two million litres valued at C$126 million in current value terms.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In powder concentrates, Kraft Canada Inc held the highest share of RTD volume sales of 62% in 2011. Kool-Aid continued to account for a lion’s share of sales with a 41% RTD volume share, followed by its Crystal Light brand, which accounted for 19% of total RTD volume sales during the review period. The latter, however, recorded the highest growth in share thanks to on-going product launches, such as Crystal Light Live Active Mixed Berry, which is fortified with fibre. For a long time, Kool-Aid remained off-the-radar with very little shelf space and marketing efforts in major grocery retailers. However, in 2011, the brand gained a significant level of product visibility, occupying as much shelf space as Crystal Light in large retailers, such as Loblaws and Sobeys. Through introduction of new flavours as well as partnership with a leading recycling company, Terra Cycle Inc, Kraft Canada’s Kool-Aid brand improved its overall image, registering good share growth.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, concentrates is projected to suffer a decline in off-trade sales, falling at a CAGR of 1% CAGR by RTD volume to reach 233 million in 2016. Slow innovation, low product visibility and fast-growing presence of substitutes – RTD beverages – will continue to hamper overall demand in this category. In addition, high sugar content and poor nutritional profile of concentrates will likely raise concerns among Canadian consumers, causing them to shy away from such products in their effort to lead healthier diets and lifestyles.

CATEGORY DATA

Concentrates Conversions

  • Table 69 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Company Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 76 Brand Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 77 Company Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Company Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 82 Brand Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 83 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail volume sales of fruit/vegetable juice rise marginally to reach 1.9 billion litres, witnessing a slight recovery from the previous year when sales declined. While growing consumer interest in nutritional beverages continued to drive demand, recent product innovations, particularly those fortified with additional vitamins and minerals were responsible for much of the growth during the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The market for fruit/vegetable juice in Canada is highly fragmented. However, the top three leading manufacturers – A Lassonde Inc, Minute Maid Co of Canada and Pepsi-QTG Canada Inc – together accounted for 45% of total off-trade volume sales in 2011. A Lassonde Inc remained in the lead with an 18% volume share, followed by Minute Maid (15%) and Pepsi-QTG Canada (12%).

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of fruit/vegetable juice are projected to grow at a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms and a CAGR of 1% in volume, reaching two billion litres valued at C$4.0 billion by 2016. Industry experts anticipate that juice will continue to see increasing sales as health-oriented consumers seek healthier alternatives to such drinks as carbonates and energy drinks. However, not all juice categories will benefit from the rising demand. While 100% juice is expected to grow in volume, sales of nectars and juice drinks will likely fall due to widespread concerns over high sugar and calorie levels in such drinks.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 89 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 91 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 92 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 93 Leading Flavours for 100% Juice: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 94 Leading Flavours for Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 95 Leading Flavours for Nectars (25-99% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 96 Leading Flavours for Fruit-flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content): % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 97 % Share of Smoothies in 100% Juice and Nectars (25-99% Juice): Off-trade Value 2010
  • Table 98 Chilled Vs Ambient Not From Concentrate 100% Juice: % Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 99 Chilled Vs Ambient Reconstituted 100% Juice: % Volume Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 100 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 101 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 102 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 103 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 104 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 105 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 106 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 107 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

RTD Coffee in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, off-trade volume sales of RTD coffee fell by 3%, reaching a total of 350,000 litres consumed. Similar to RTD tea, the high sugar and caloric content of RTD coffee has raised concerns over quality of the product among increasingly health-oriented Canadian consumers. Furthermore, Canadians’ preference for freshly-brewed hot coffee, even among on-the-go consumers, has meant very little opportunity for growth in this category. Lastly, the general lack of product innovation and marketing efforts with only one visible brand in mainstream retailers, Starbucks’ Frappuccino, overall consumer demand for RTD coffee continued to fall during the review period. Value sales remained relatively flat at C$3 million in current value terms, registering a 1% increase.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The North American Coffee Partnership accounted for 95% of total off-trade volume sales of RTD coffee in 2011. As the main distributor of Starbucks’ Frappuccino and Doubleshot Espresso, North American Coffee Partnership remained the leading player in RTD coffee in Canada. However, its overall volume share saw a slight decline during the review period due to falling demand for RTD coffee in the wake of growing public concerns over high sugar content of today’s beverages. Despite Starbucks’ effort to expand the availability of its packaged drinks in mainstream grocery retailers, such as Loblaws and Sobeys, the overall lack of popularity has made it difficult for the company to further increase its penetration of retail market. The North American Coffee Partnership held a 96% share of total value sales in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of RTD coffee are projected to see a negative constant value CAGR to reach estimated C$3 million by 2016. Volume sales will decline at a CAGR of 1% to reach estimated 300,000 litres. Lack of innovation and marketing efforts as well as general consumer preference for fresh hot and hot speciality coffee (such as cappuccino), will continue to drive down demand over the forecast period. Additionally, demographic tendency towards ageing population will also be undermining a customer base for RTD coffee as the products, along with made-on-premises similar cold coffee-based products, are usually preferred more by younger consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 108 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 109 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 110 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 111 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 112 Company Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 113 Brand Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 114 Company Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 115 Brand Shares of RTD Coffee by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 116 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 117 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 118 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 119 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2011-2016

RTD Tea in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales of RTD tea registered a 3% growth in current value to reach C$851 million, while volume sales grew by 2%, reaching a total of 339 million litres consumed. For a long time, negative publicity surrounding high-calorie drinks effectively drove consumers away from such drinks as carbonates, fuelling demand for healthier beverages like water, juice and tea to quench one’s thirst. However, RTD tea has increasingly come under public scrutiny for its high sugar and calorie content, raising concerns over nutritional benefits of the product among increasingly health-oriented Canadian consumers, eventually causing sales to slow down. Market saturation also played a role in modest increases, compared to earlier years of the review period when RTD tea saw a more robust demand in retail.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Minute Maid Co of Canada continued to lead off-trade sales of RTD tea, accounting for 55% of total volume sales in 2011. The company’s leading brand, Nestea, managed to remain ahead of the competition largely due to its innovation and adaption to changing consumer tastes. For example, in 2009, Nestea launched Nestea Vitao, a line of enhanced iced teas, which was granted the Natural Health Product (NHP) status by Health Canada. Enriched in calcium, vitamins A and E, the beverage uses green, white and red tea as its base and also contains a small percentage of juice fruit. The product, therefore, has appealed to many health-conscious consumers. However, the success of the brand appears to have been short-lived given the declining visibility of the product. In 2011, the company’s value share stood at 65%.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, retail sales of RTD tea are projected to see modest rise of a CAGR 1% in constant value terms, reaching estimated C$901 million in 2016. Volume sales are expected grow by 1% over the forecast period to reach 358 million litres. Lack of innovation and marketing efforts as well as increasing concerns over the safety and quality of RTD tea, especially in the wake of growing obesity rate across Canada, will continue to drive down demand over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 120 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 121 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 122 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 123 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 124 Leading Flavours for RTD Tea: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 125 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 126 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 127 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 128 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 129 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 130 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 131 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 132 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sports and Energy Drinks in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, retail sales of sports and energy drinks grew by 8% in value and 4% in volume, reaching just over 194 million litres valued at C$827 million in current value terms. Increasing demand for a quick and convenient source of energy, especially among younger consumers, as well as recent innovation in branding/marketing of sports drinks fuelled overall category growth over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Pepsi-QTG Canada Inc led total off-trade sales of sports and energy drinks with a 61% volume share in 2011. It remains the leading manufacturer of sports drinks in which it accounted for 78% of total volume sales over the review period. The company saw an increase in its share of the market after a slight dip in the previous year, thanks to its recent launch of the G Series line in March 2011. The new addition to the Gatorade brand is designed to help athletes maximise their performance by providing fuel and nutrients at every stage of activity – before (Gatorade Prime), during (Gatorade Perform) and after (Gatorade Recover). By catering to the various nutritional needs of today’s athletes, the launch of G Series has strengthened Pepsi’s image as being not only a sports drink company but a sports nutrition innovator.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, sports and energy drinks is projected to see a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms and a CAGR of 1% in volume, reaching 208 million litres with a value of C$923 million by 2016. Overall growth will continue to be driven by increasing demand for a quick energy boost by active, younger consumers. However, industry sources anticipate a decline in the pace of growth due to the relative maturity of the category, especially sports drinks, as well as recent changes in the regulatory environment affecting the sale and marketing of energy drinks in Canada.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 133 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 134 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 135 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 136 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 137 Company Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 138 Brand Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 139 Company Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 140 Brand Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 141 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 142 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 143 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 144 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Soft Drinks
    • Bottled Water
      • Carbonated Bottled Water
      • Flavoured Bottled Water
      • Functional Bottled Water
      • Still Bottled Water
    • Carbonates
      • Cola Carbonates
        • Regular Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Regular Cola
          • Speciality Regular Cola
        • Low Calorie Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Low Calorie Cola
          • Speciality Low Calorie Cola
      • Non-Cola Carbonates
        • Lemonade/Lime
          • Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
          • Non Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
        • Mixers
          • Ginger Ale
          • Seltzer
          • Tonic Water
          • Other Mixers
        • Orange Carbonates
          • Juice-based Orange Carbonates
          • Non Juice-based Orange Carbonates
        • Other Non-Cola Carbonates
    • Concentrates
      • Liquid Concentrates
      • Powder Concentrates
    • Fruit/Vegetable Juice
      • 100% Juice
        • Frozen 100% Juice
        • Not from Concentrate 100% Juice
        • Reconstituted 100% Juice
      • Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice)
        • Frozen Juice Drinks
        • Juice Drinks Excluding Asian
      • Fruit-Flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content)
      • Nectars (25-99% Juice)
        • Frozen Nectars
        • Unfrozen Nectars
    • RTD Coffee
    • RTD Tea
      • Still RTD Tea
        • Still RTD Tea Excluding Asian
      • Carbonated RTD Tea
    • Sports and Energy Drinks
      • Energy Drinks
      • Sports Drinks
    • Asian Speciality Drinks

    Statistics Included

    Statistics Included

    For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

    From Passport

    • Market sizes
    • Company shares
    • Brand shares
    • Distribution
    • Chilled v ambient juices
    • Flavours
    • Off-trade vs on-trade
    • Per cent share of smoothies
    • Pricing
    • Products by ingredient
    • Products by ingredient
    • Sports vs other functional bottled water

    Market size details:

    • Retail volume
    • Retail volume % growth
    • Retail volume per capita
    • Foodservice volume
    • Foodservice volume % growth
    • Foodservice volume per capita
    • Total volume
    • Total volume % growth
    • Total volume per capita
    • Retail value retail selling price % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price % growth
    • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail rtd volume
    • Retail rtd volume % growth
    • Retail rtd volume per capita
    • Foodservice rtd volume
    • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
    • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
    • Total rtd volume
    • Total rtd volume % growth
    • Total rtd volume per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice per capita
    • Total fountain on-trade volume
    • Total fountain on-trade volume % growth
    • Total fountain on-trade volume per capita

    Methodology

    Methodology

    Global insight and local knowledge

    With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

    This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

    Industry specialists

    Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

    Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

    The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

    Country and regional analysts

    Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

    In-country research network

    To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

    Research Methodology

    Our research methods

    Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

    Desk research

    With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

    • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
    • National and international trade press
    • National and international trade associations
    • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
    • Company financials and annual reports
    • Broker reports
    • Online databases
    • The financial, business and mainstream press

    Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

    Store checks

    Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

    • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
    • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
    • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
    • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

    Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

    Trade survey

    Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

    Trade surveys allow us to:

    • Fill gaps in available published data per company
    • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
    • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
    • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

    In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

    Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

    Company analysis

    At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

    At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

    Forecasts

    Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

    Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

    Data validation

    All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

    The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

    Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

    Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

    Market analysis

    Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

    Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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