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Country Report

Soup in Bulgaria

Nov 2010

Price: $900

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About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Soup industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Soup industry in Bulgaria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Soup in Bulgaria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Soup in Bulgaria?
  • What are the major brands in Bulgaria?
  • Will retail sales suffer as economic prospects improve and consumers move back to eating out rather than eating at home?
  • Are consumers moving from traditionally canned and dehydrated variants to more innovative chilled, frozen and UHT formats?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • Dehydrated soup remained the most popular type of product within soup for another consecutive year in 2010. Despite the already high base, the category continued growing in terms of value sales – the popularity of dehydrated soups is related to the fact that soup is a traditional meal for Bulgarians and the dehydrated varieties successfully substitute this national favourite most of the time when people do not have enough free time to prepare soup at home or in the office.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • For yet another consecutive year in 2009 Nestlé Bulgaria AD led soup due to the stable position and high popularity of its Maggi brand of instant soups and cooking additives. The multinational company continued to expand, although only slightly due to the global crisis, to reach a 75% share of soup in 2009. Gallina Blanca SA remained second in terms of value sales with a value share of 13%. Kendy Bulgaria OOD and Unilever Bulgaria EOOD are the other key players on the market, although with significantly smaller shares as compared to those of the leaders.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales within soup are expected to record CAGR of 1.5% during the forecast period. Amongst the reasons are the global financial crisis and the fact that soup is reaching maturity in the market.

Trends

  • The trend of negligible purchases of packaged food products in bulk, intended for the foodservice market, continued into 2010. Despite the positive development of foodservice outlets in recent years, retailers remain the main source for supplies. Metro Cash & Carry is the retailer preferred by foodservice owners for the purchase of packaged food, but it is still more of an exception rather than a rule.

Competitive Landscape

  • Packaged food companies operating in various sectors, such as Bella Bulgaria and Jimmy’s, reported the highest sales to foodservice, as they maintain foodservice sales divisions and can offer a wide range of products. Good performances were recorded also by frozen seafood producers.

Prospects

  • The cooperation between packaged food producers and the foodservice industry will be much more beneficial for both sides during the forecast period. Currently, foodservice outlets prefer to import high-quality food products from abroad, but EU accession and the implementation of safety and quality control systems are likely to significantly improve the quality of local products, and their sales to foodservice are also likely to increase.

Trends

  • Impulse and indulgence products have proven vulnerable to consumers’ restricting budgets buying products on offer or spending less on non-essentials. Although none of the categories displayed negative volume or value growth, the growth rates demonstrated in 2010 were generally lower than that achieved in 2009.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in 2009 remained largely unchanged and witnessed the continuing dominance of the multinational companies. The combined share of the local subsidiaries of the international companies Kraft Foods, Nestlé, Chipita International and Wrigley reached 41% in value share. Positions gained early in the review period, continuous support for their products, aggressive penetration strategies, especially in the modern retail channel and innovative image continued to form the basis for their success. Indeed, their good image and brand value reassurance enabled them to continue to be strong in conditions of economic slowdown and lower consumer spending on non-essentials. Lastly, since their products are positioned at the mid and high price points, the higher margins have provided much needed resources for reinvestment in production and marketing.

Prospects

  • The impulse and indulgence products sector is expected to display a positive constant value and volume performance over the forecast period. In constant terms, the value CAGR of 2% is forecast to be higher than during the review period since there is little to gain from the long-time favourite low-cost pricing strategy. Confectionery and sweet and savoury snacks will perform well with comparable volume CAGR in the forecast period, but pastries, cakes, biscuits and snack bars will witness decreasing growth rates. Products such as tablets, boxed assortments, chips and popcorn are very modern and are still in a development phase. Pastries, cakes and biscuits have been on the market for some time and while there is still demand for them, the future development will come from changing distribution channels in favour of the modern retail trade rather than organic market growth. Furthermore, unless more pull-demand orientated marketing is initiated for snack bars after the withdrawal of the marketing support of the leading players (Nestlé Bulgaria and Schwartauer Werke), the range is likely to continue losing ground.

Trends

  • Nutrition and staples encompasses ranges with very different development patterns. While products that are purchased on a daily basis, such as bread, dairy products, oils and fats, spreads, noodles and rice continued to slide into maturity, the remaining sectors (breakfast cereals, baby food and pasta) performed quite well. Even within the most traditional sectors, development patterns of the separate niches varies greatly. Thus, the development of nutrition and staples is shaped by the demand for modern products, which save time in their preparation, are healthy, or represent market innovations.

Competitive Landscape

  • Artisanal production accounts for the main proportion of the market value and in 2010 stood at 28%. This share declined by six percentage points since the beginning of the review period, which reflects that most nutrition/staples are purchased for their low price and are often unpackaged (eg bread and cheese). After artisanal production, the leading positions in nutrition/staples are occupied by dairy and oils and fats companies.

Prospects

  • The forecasted constant market value growth is expected to be higher than during the historic period with a CAGR of 1%. The current economic slowdown has stabilised (and even lowered) the prices of inputs, which is expected to have an impact on end prices of nutrition and staples products. Furthermore, the price cuts of several bread producers initiated in 2010 are expected to continue into the future and bring very low prices to consumers.

Trends

  • Frozen processed vegetables has been the backbone of meal solutions, with the largest value and volume sales. The popularity of these products is related not only to the convenience they offer, but also to the fact that frozen vegetables are considered a healthier alternative to other meal solutions such as canned/preserved food. In contrast, frozen processed fish, which is reaching maturity, cannot expect high growth during the forecast period.

Competitive Landscape

  • Meat producers such as Boni Holding, Bravo and Bella Bulgaria remain the leaders in the meal solutions sector. The wide product portfolios, the strong marketing efforts and the superior distribution of these companies helped them increase their sales and remain on top.

Prospects

  • The demand for healthy products of better quality will continue to shape developments in meal solutions during the forecast period. Therefore, chilled processed food, ready meals, premium products and delicacies are expected to grow faster than other categories, which are not considered so healthy, such as canned/preserved food, and in return they are expected to see declining performances.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Soup in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Dehydrated soup remained the most popular type of product within soup for another consecutive year in 2010. Despite the already high base, the category continued growing in terms of value sales – the popularity of dehydrated soups is related to the fact that soup is a traditional meal for Bulgarians and the dehydrated varieties successfully substitute this national favourite most of the time when people do not have enough free time to prepare soup at home or in the office.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • For yet another consecutive year in 2009 Nestlé Bulgaria AD led soup due to the stable position and high popularity of its Maggi brand of instant soups and cooking additives. The multinational company continued to expand, although only slightly due to the global crisis, to reach a 75% share of soup in 2009. Gallina Blanca SA remained second in terms of value sales with a value share of 13%. Kendy Bulgaria OOD and Unilever Bulgaria EOOD are the other key players on the market, although with significantly smaller shares as compared to those of the leaders.

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales within soup are expected to record CAGR of 1.5% during the forecast period. Amongst the reasons are the global financial crisis and the fact that soup is reaching maturity in the market.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Leading Soup Flavours 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Soup Company Shares 2005-2009
  • Table 7 Soup Brand Shares 2006-2009
  • Table 8 Sales of Soup by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Soup by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Packaged Food in Bulgaria - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Logistic centres are key to even distribution covering the entire country

The global financial crisis has not affected the sector seriously

Unit prices still on the increase in spite of the financial crisis

Modern retail continues to win share at expense of independent small grocers

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Logistic centres are key to even distribution covering the entire country

The global financial crisis does not affect the sector as seriously as in other EU countries

Unit prices still on the increase in spite of the financial crisis

MARKET DATA

  • Table 13 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 18 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2005-2009
  • Table 19 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2006-2009
  • Table 20 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2005-2009
  • Table 21 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • The trend of negligible purchases of packaged food products in bulk, intended for the foodservice market, continued into 2010. Despite the positive development of foodservice outlets in recent years, retailers remain the main source for supplies. Metro Cash & Carry is the retailer preferred by foodservice owners for the purchase of packaged food, but it is still more of an exception rather than a rule.

Competitive Landscape

  • Packaged food companies operating in various sectors, such as Bella Bulgaria and Jimmy’s, reported the highest sales to foodservice, as they maintain foodservice sales divisions and can offer a wide range of products. Good performances were recorded also by frozen seafood producers.

Prospects

  • The cooperation between packaged food producers and the foodservice industry will be much more beneficial for both sides during the forecast period. Currently, foodservice outlets prefer to import high-quality food products from abroad, but EU accession and the implementation of safety and quality control systems are likely to significantly improve the quality of local products, and their sales to foodservice are also likely to increase.

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Impulse and indulgence products have proven vulnerable to consumers’ restricting budgets buying products on offer or spending less on non-essentials. Although none of the categories displayed negative volume or value growth, the growth rates demonstrated in 2010 were generally lower than that achieved in 2009.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in 2009 remained largely unchanged and witnessed the continuing dominance of the multinational companies. The combined share of the local subsidiaries of the international companies Kraft Foods, Nestlé, Chipita International and Wrigley reached 41% in value share. Positions gained early in the review period, continuous support for their products, aggressive penetration strategies, especially in the modern retail channel and innovative image continued to form the basis for their success. Indeed, their good image and brand value reassurance enabled them to continue to be strong in conditions of economic slowdown and lower consumer spending on non-essentials. Lastly, since their products are positioned at the mid and high price points, the higher margins have provided much needed resources for reinvestment in production and marketing.

Prospects

  • The impulse and indulgence products sector is expected to display a positive constant value and volume performance over the forecast period. In constant terms, the value CAGR of 2% is forecast to be higher than during the review period since there is little to gain from the long-time favourite low-cost pricing strategy. Confectionery and sweet and savoury snacks will perform well with comparable volume CAGR in the forecast period, but pastries, cakes, biscuits and snack bars will witness decreasing growth rates. Products such as tablets, boxed assortments, chips and popcorn are very modern and are still in a development phase. Pastries, cakes and biscuits have been on the market for some time and while there is still demand for them, the future development will come from changing distribution channels in favour of the modern retail trade rather than organic market growth. Furthermore, unless more pull-demand orientated marketing is initiated for snack bars after the withdrawal of the marketing support of the leading players (Nestlé Bulgaria and Schwartauer Werke), the range is likely to continue losing ground.

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Nutrition and staples encompasses ranges with very different development patterns. While products that are purchased on a daily basis, such as bread, dairy products, oils and fats, spreads, noodles and rice continued to slide into maturity, the remaining sectors (breakfast cereals, baby food and pasta) performed quite well. Even within the most traditional sectors, development patterns of the separate niches varies greatly. Thus, the development of nutrition and staples is shaped by the demand for modern products, which save time in their preparation, are healthy, or represent market innovations.

Competitive Landscape

  • Artisanal production accounts for the main proportion of the market value and in 2010 stood at 28%. This share declined by six percentage points since the beginning of the review period, which reflects that most nutrition/staples are purchased for their low price and are often unpackaged (eg bread and cheese). After artisanal production, the leading positions in nutrition/staples are occupied by dairy and oils and fats companies.

Prospects

  • The forecasted constant market value growth is expected to be higher than during the historic period with a CAGR of 1%. The current economic slowdown has stabilised (and even lowered) the prices of inputs, which is expected to have an impact on end prices of nutrition and staples products. Furthermore, the price cuts of several bread producers initiated in 2010 are expected to continue into the future and bring very low prices to consumers.

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Frozen processed vegetables has been the backbone of meal solutions, with the largest value and volume sales. The popularity of these products is related not only to the convenience they offer, but also to the fact that frozen vegetables are considered a healthier alternative to other meal solutions such as canned/preserved food. In contrast, frozen processed fish, which is reaching maturity, cannot expect high growth during the forecast period.

Competitive Landscape

  • Meat producers such as Boni Holding, Bravo and Bella Bulgaria remain the leaders in the meal solutions sector. The wide product portfolios, the strong marketing efforts and the superior distribution of these companies helped them increase their sales and remain on top.

Prospects

  • The demand for healthy products of better quality will continue to shape developments in meal solutions during the forecast period. Therefore, chilled processed food, ready meals, premium products and delicacies are expected to grow faster than other categories, which are not considered so healthy, such as canned/preserved food, and in return they are expected to see declining performances.

Category Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Soup
    • Canned/Preserved Soup
    • Chilled Soup
    • Dehydrated Soup
    • Frozen Soup
    • Instant Soup
    • UHT Soup

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by flavour
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Total Volume (Tonnes)
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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