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Country Report

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium

Oct 2010

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Sweet and Savoury Snacks industry in Belgium with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Sweet and Savoury Snacks industry in Belgium, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium?
  • What are the major brands in Belgium?
  • How are manufacturers leveraging health and wellness trends like reduced sugar or organic sourcing?
  • How are manufacturers addressing consumer concerns over health and obesity?
  • As more consumers are spending more time at home to save money, how is this impacting retail sales for snacks?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • With the economy still suffering in 2010 and unemployment rising, sweet and savoury snacks continue to be undermined by a superfluous image. Although Belgian consumers are keen snack eaters, they are opting for confectionery, especially chocolate confectionery, fresh fruit, snack bars and charcuterie rather than savoury snacks such as crisps and extruded snacks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Smiths Food Group BV was the clear leader in the overall category in 2009 with a 50% share of retail value sales. The company’s position can be attributed to strong leadership in the three most valuable categories, crisps/chips, extruded snacks and nuts. Lay’s, its flagship brand, has performed the best, taking advantage of increasing sales of crisps/chips, while the other brands in Smiths Food Group’s portfolio have remained stable. The majority of Lay’s flavours are available in three variants - Regular, Light (33% less fat than regular Lay’s) and Oven Baked.

PROSPECTS

  • There is still potential for growth in the sweet and savoury snacks category. Innovative product developments are expected to drive moderate growth over the forecast period, notably in premium products with exotic flavours and new mixtures. Although the sweet and savoury snacks category is largely saturated, innovative products are expected to perform well, leading to volume and constant value CAGRs of 1% to 2015.

Trends

  • The main event of the last couple of years is the back seat of the consumer foodservice environment. The situation suddenly became disastrous after the credit crunch hit in September 2008. Prior to the autumn of 2008 the foodservice industry had already recorded the greatest number of bankruptcies of all Belgian industries, although this was almost offset by new openings. The rate of bankruptcies accelerated at the end of 2008 and particularly in 2009 and 2010 without the compensation of new entrants this time. In terms of sales, it was worse as the environment dropped by more than 7% in current value terms in 2009 and was not set to really improve in 2010. For the first time over the review period value sales underperformed transactions due to the phenomenon of downgrading. Consumers accustomed to upmarket restaurants switched to cheaper establishments, and those who patronised brasseries went to fast food restaurants, etc.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in foodservice is much less fragmented than in retail packaged food. Due to the need for more specific and even technical products, it is largely restricted to the specialised divisions of several mainstream manufacturers.

Prospects

  • Again, the outlook remains bleak for the consumer foodservice environment in coming years. There is a focus on price, with consumers becoming increasingly selective and demanding. In the short term, paying EUR10.00 or more per person for a meal and a drink at lunch in traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries (the French or Belgian equivalent of a pub) is likely to remain too expensive for many Belgians, who should opt for fast food or even the gamelle (packed lunch) or tartine (famous local open sandwich). A growing number of experts point to the risk of cannibalisation of foodservice by retail sales of sandwiches, pizzas and salads in supermarkets and, increasingly, convenience stores. Therefore, overall sales in consumer foodservice are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period.

Trends

  • Negative signs tended to accumulate in 2009 and 2010 for impulse and indulgence products. The psychological effects of the economic crisis encouraged Belgians to make an arbitrary choice between what really matters and what is considered superfluous. Instead of repeating their role of anti-stress remedies as during the economic slowdown of 2003, many snacking products were considered unnecessary indulgence items. Thus, meal solutions performed much better in 2009 than impulse and indulgence products. In addition, impulse and indulgence products continued to be the victims of frequent criticism from nutritionists and were identified by a growing number of Belgians as the main cause of growing levels of overweight and obesity. All these factors contributed to the worrying slowdown of chocolate confectionery, the sudden drop of gum sales and a general feeling of less numerous and more cautions innovations in the category.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape is extremely fragmented in Belgium. Due to the widespread availability of pastries and cakes in bakery outlets in Belgium, artisanal products accounted for one of the highest value shares in impulse and indulgence products in 2009. The leader among branded manufacturers was Kraft Foods Belgium SA in 2009, mainly due to the domination of Côte d’Or in chocolate confectionery, the most reputable brand in Belgium along with Coca-Cola according to industry sources.

Prospects

  • Competition between categories in impulse and indulgence products is likely to intensify in coming years. Gum and sugar confectionery, for instance, should fight for the best places on cashiers’ desks, but nonetheless the former is facing a return to reality. If gum really declines some experts consider that it could open up new horizons for PCP that tended to be asphyxiated by the upsurge of gum. Competition between chocolate and sugar confectionery should also become stronger. Belgians traditionally have a preference for chocolate confectionery and if they have to tighten their belts they previously tended to sacrifice sugar confectionery. However, while it used to be spared by the crisis, chocolate confectionery could also slow down in coming years.

Trends

  • Nothing worked as initially predicted in 2010 in the nutrition/staples environment. The category should have benefited from the combination of the health and wellness trend, the desire to return to more authentic food and the economic slowdown. Many Belgians needed and wished for a return to more formal or at least more balanced meals, for example at breakfast – and thus simple and value for money bread, spreads and milk – and dinners. Belgians could have tended to replace traditional foodservice restaurants with sandwiches (home-made or purchased in bakery fast food outlets) and even home cooking.

Competitive Landscape

  • The strong presence of unbranded and unpackaged/artisanal products in bread and cheese results in a high fragmentation of shares in the competitive environment for nutrition/staples. Being the outright leader in dominant dairy products, Danone NV/SA ranked first in nutrition/staples in 2009. While most manufacturers of dairy products are significant in only one category, Danone was present across all dairy products. Nonetheless, yoghurt, chilled desserts and fromage frais remained its core-business, where it was the major trend-setter and the top advertising spender in 2009. It still focused on the most promising product areas, notably Actimel and Activia, which forged ahead despite an already overwhelming share in probiotic products. With such a high share Danone NV/SA could not be spared the bad performance of yoghurts, however. It waned in value and particularly in volume terms in 2009 – the first time for many years. It was logically the most negatively impacted player by the recession, and the consumer switch to cheaper private label products. It particularly paid for the drop of the Vitalinea fat-free brand.

Prospects

  • Opinions differ regarding the potential of nutrition/staples in coming years. Some sources consider that nutrition/staples should continue to enjoy consumers returning to more economical sandwiches, formal breakfasts and more authentic home-made cooking. In addition, consumer concerns regarding unhealthy eating and snacking and the impact of this on weight and health are expected to result in more consumers changing their eating habits and once again consuming more balanced meals. Bread should benefit from the emulation between artisanal bakers and increasingly authentic packaged/industrial bread in supermarkets. Belgians are expected to continue to appreciate the convenience, cheap prices and exotic cachet of noodles. Pasta, the likely most dynamic products in coming years, will remain one a favourite foodstuff owing to the ongoing fad for Italian cooking and the recovery of unit prices here.

Trends

  • Although Belgians rediscovered the pleasure of cooking at home, they paradoxically had less time to do so. Lifestyles in Belgium became increasingly stressful and hectic at the end of the review period. Busy with their job and travelling time, Belgians had less time for home tasks such as cooking. Eating habits changed as people dedicated less time to formal meals. The high degree of urbanisation and density and the growing number of DINKs (dual-income, no kids) households created opportunities for marketers emphasising convenience. This factor was much appreciated by people living in cities, notably in the guise of increasingly sophisticated microwaveable ready meals.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in meal solutions remained fragmented in 2009, the top five GBOs retaining only 21% of the category value sales. This was attributed to the presence of many players and mainly the domination of private label products. Supermarket/hypermarket retailers, Delhaize ‘Le Lion’ SA, particularly Carrefour Belgium SA/NV and other private label products, led players with a combined value share of 53% in 2009.

Prospects

  • Despite the gloomy economic climate, the Belgian market should remain favourable for meal solutions. Due to the further increase of population density, time spent travelling and of the number of DINK households, Belgian consumers’ lifestyles should become increasingly hectic. Meal solutions should be ideal to handle their increasingly busy lifestyles and the desire to eat more balanced meals. Meal solutions often matched the three main trends in packaged food, namely convenience, taste and health and wellness. Lastly, sales in the related foodservice market are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period due to the high number of bankruptcies and the consumers’ switch toward cheaper formats such as fast food at the expense of traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With the economy still suffering in 2010 and unemployment rising, sweet and savoury snacks continue to be undermined by a superfluous image. Although Belgian consumers are keen snack eaters, they are opting for confectionery, especially chocolate confectionery, fresh fruit, snack bars and charcuterie rather than savoury snacks such as crisps and extruded snacks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Smiths Food Group BV was the clear leader in the overall category in 2009 with a 50% share of retail value sales. The company’s position can be attributed to strong leadership in the three most valuable categories, crisps/chips, extruded snacks and nuts. Lay’s, its flagship brand, has performed the best, taking advantage of increasing sales of crisps/chips, while the other brands in Smiths Food Group’s portfolio have remained stable. The majority of Lay’s flavours are available in three variants - Regular, Light (33% less fat than regular Lay’s) and Oven Baked.

PROSPECTS

  • There is still potential for growth in the sweet and savoury snacks category. Innovative product developments are expected to drive moderate growth over the forecast period, notably in premium products with exotic flavours and new mixtures. Although the sweet and savoury snacks category is largely saturated, innovative products are expected to perform well, leading to volume and constant value CAGRs of 1% to 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

Sweet and Savoury Snacks in Belgium - Company Profiles

Danone NV/SA - Packaged Food - Belgium

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 4 Danone NV/SA: Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Packaged Food in Belgium - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak signs of improvement in packaged food

Logical slowdown for impulse products but surprisingly for nutrition/staples too

Private label products find new angles of attack

Supermarket chains forge ahead, discounters miss the chance

Strong competition should result in meagre growth

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Crisis is still here in packaged food

Growing need to save time and money

Back to roots at home

Health and wellness becomes increasingly simple and natural

A-brands not really favoured by the counter-attack of supermarkets

MARKET DATA

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • The main event of the last couple of years is the back seat of the consumer foodservice environment. The situation suddenly became disastrous after the credit crunch hit in September 2008. Prior to the autumn of 2008 the foodservice industry had already recorded the greatest number of bankruptcies of all Belgian industries, although this was almost offset by new openings. The rate of bankruptcies accelerated at the end of 2008 and particularly in 2009 and 2010 without the compensation of new entrants this time. In terms of sales, it was worse as the environment dropped by more than 7% in current value terms in 2009 and was not set to really improve in 2010. For the first time over the review period value sales underperformed transactions due to the phenomenon of downgrading. Consumers accustomed to upmarket restaurants switched to cheaper establishments, and those who patronised brasseries went to fast food restaurants, etc.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in foodservice is much less fragmented than in retail packaged food. Due to the need for more specific and even technical products, it is largely restricted to the specialised divisions of several mainstream manufacturers.

Prospects

  • Again, the outlook remains bleak for the consumer foodservice environment in coming years. There is a focus on price, with consumers becoming increasingly selective and demanding. In the short term, paying EUR10.00 or more per person for a meal and a drink at lunch in traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries (the French or Belgian equivalent of a pub) is likely to remain too expensive for many Belgians, who should opt for fast food or even the gamelle (packed lunch) or tartine (famous local open sandwich). A growing number of experts point to the risk of cannibalisation of foodservice by retail sales of sandwiches, pizzas and salads in supermarkets and, increasingly, convenience stores. Therefore, overall sales in consumer foodservice are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period.

Category Data

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Negative signs tended to accumulate in 2009 and 2010 for impulse and indulgence products. The psychological effects of the economic crisis encouraged Belgians to make an arbitrary choice between what really matters and what is considered superfluous. Instead of repeating their role of anti-stress remedies as during the economic slowdown of 2003, many snacking products were considered unnecessary indulgence items. Thus, meal solutions performed much better in 2009 than impulse and indulgence products. In addition, impulse and indulgence products continued to be the victims of frequent criticism from nutritionists and were identified by a growing number of Belgians as the main cause of growing levels of overweight and obesity. All these factors contributed to the worrying slowdown of chocolate confectionery, the sudden drop of gum sales and a general feeling of less numerous and more cautions innovations in the category.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape is extremely fragmented in Belgium. Due to the widespread availability of pastries and cakes in bakery outlets in Belgium, artisanal products accounted for one of the highest value shares in impulse and indulgence products in 2009. The leader among branded manufacturers was Kraft Foods Belgium SA in 2009, mainly due to the domination of Côte d’Or in chocolate confectionery, the most reputable brand in Belgium along with Coca-Cola according to industry sources.

Prospects

  • Competition between categories in impulse and indulgence products is likely to intensify in coming years. Gum and sugar confectionery, for instance, should fight for the best places on cashiers’ desks, but nonetheless the former is facing a return to reality. If gum really declines some experts consider that it could open up new horizons for PCP that tended to be asphyxiated by the upsurge of gum. Competition between chocolate and sugar confectionery should also become stronger. Belgians traditionally have a preference for chocolate confectionery and if they have to tighten their belts they previously tended to sacrifice sugar confectionery. However, while it used to be spared by the crisis, chocolate confectionery could also slow down in coming years.

Category Data

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Nothing worked as initially predicted in 2010 in the nutrition/staples environment. The category should have benefited from the combination of the health and wellness trend, the desire to return to more authentic food and the economic slowdown. Many Belgians needed and wished for a return to more formal or at least more balanced meals, for example at breakfast – and thus simple and value for money bread, spreads and milk – and dinners. Belgians could have tended to replace traditional foodservice restaurants with sandwiches (home-made or purchased in bakery fast food outlets) and even home cooking.

Competitive Landscape

  • The strong presence of unbranded and unpackaged/artisanal products in bread and cheese results in a high fragmentation of shares in the competitive environment for nutrition/staples. Being the outright leader in dominant dairy products, Danone NV/SA ranked first in nutrition/staples in 2009. While most manufacturers of dairy products are significant in only one category, Danone was present across all dairy products. Nonetheless, yoghurt, chilled desserts and fromage frais remained its core-business, where it was the major trend-setter and the top advertising spender in 2009. It still focused on the most promising product areas, notably Actimel and Activia, which forged ahead despite an already overwhelming share in probiotic products. With such a high share Danone NV/SA could not be spared the bad performance of yoghurts, however. It waned in value and particularly in volume terms in 2009 – the first time for many years. It was logically the most negatively impacted player by the recession, and the consumer switch to cheaper private label products. It particularly paid for the drop of the Vitalinea fat-free brand.

Prospects

  • Opinions differ regarding the potential of nutrition/staples in coming years. Some sources consider that nutrition/staples should continue to enjoy consumers returning to more economical sandwiches, formal breakfasts and more authentic home-made cooking. In addition, consumer concerns regarding unhealthy eating and snacking and the impact of this on weight and health are expected to result in more consumers changing their eating habits and once again consuming more balanced meals. Bread should benefit from the emulation between artisanal bakers and increasingly authentic packaged/industrial bread in supermarkets. Belgians are expected to continue to appreciate the convenience, cheap prices and exotic cachet of noodles. Pasta, the likely most dynamic products in coming years, will remain one a favourite foodstuff owing to the ongoing fad for Italian cooking and the recovery of unit prices here.

Category Data

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

  • Although Belgians rediscovered the pleasure of cooking at home, they paradoxically had less time to do so. Lifestyles in Belgium became increasingly stressful and hectic at the end of the review period. Busy with their job and travelling time, Belgians had less time for home tasks such as cooking. Eating habits changed as people dedicated less time to formal meals. The high degree of urbanisation and density and the growing number of DINKs (dual-income, no kids) households created opportunities for marketers emphasising convenience. This factor was much appreciated by people living in cities, notably in the guise of increasingly sophisticated microwaveable ready meals.

Competitive Landscape

  • The competitive landscape in meal solutions remained fragmented in 2009, the top five GBOs retaining only 21% of the category value sales. This was attributed to the presence of many players and mainly the domination of private label products. Supermarket/hypermarket retailers, Delhaize ‘Le Lion’ SA, particularly Carrefour Belgium SA/NV and other private label products, led players with a combined value share of 53% in 2009.

Prospects

  • Despite the gloomy economic climate, the Belgian market should remain favourable for meal solutions. Due to the further increase of population density, time spent travelling and of the number of DINK households, Belgian consumers’ lifestyles should become increasingly hectic. Meal solutions should be ideal to handle their increasingly busy lifestyles and the desire to eat more balanced meals. Meal solutions often matched the three main trends in packaged food, namely convenience, taste and health and wellness. Lastly, sales in the related foodservice market are likely to decrease by 6% in constant value terms over the forecast period due to the high number of bankruptcies and the consumers’ switch toward cheaper formats such as fast food at the expense of traditional Franco-Belgian restaurants or brasseries.

Category Data

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 5 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Sweet and Savoury Snacks
    • Chips/Crisps
    • Extruded Snacks
    • Fruit Snacks
    • Nuts
    • Popcorn
    • Pretzels
    • Tortilla/Corn Chips
    • Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by Type
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Foodservice Volume
  • Foodservice Volume % growth
  • Foodservice Volume per capita
  • Total Volume
  • Total Volume % growth
  • Total Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes)
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Retail Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes)
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Total Volume (Tonnes)
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) % growth
  • Total Volume (Tonnes) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value manufacturer selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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