The Future of Tobacco

Introduction

Scope

Key findings

Forecasting the tobacco market: Health warning

Tobacco forecasting model elements

Key Findings

Does tobacco have a future ?

The big trends in tobacco 2010-2050

Market scenarios 2050

Context for long-term forecast: Outlook to 2015 by volume

Context for long-term forecast: Outlook to 2015 by value

Tobacco products growth trends by category to 2050

Leading cigarettes markets: Ranking changes 2010-2050

Smoking population trends: Short-term outlook 2010-2015

Tobacco product categories: Short term outlook 2010-2015

Operating Environment Outlook

Tobacco legislation: Where it leads

Further tightening of legislation

Plain packaging: Game changer for brands and pricing power?

Illicit trade: The short-term future

Illicit trade: Future indicators

Illicit trade: The long-term future

The Cigarette Market in 2050

The China syndrome

Cigarettes market: 2010 compared with 2050

The 50 year picture: Volume contraction

The major markets 2010-2050

The big risers 2010-2050

The big fallers 2010-50

OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Other tobacco products: Short-term outlook

Cigars: Short-term outlook by type

Cigars category 2050

Smoking tobacco future: RYO 2050

Smoking tobacco future: Pipe 2050

Smokeless tobacco future: Snuff 2050

Smokeless tobacco future: Chewing tobacco 2050

The tobacco and nicotine delivery market 2050

Corporate Strategies 2050

Corporate scenarios: What might have happened by 2050

The five leading companies: Present and future

Future: Expansion possibilities via privatisations

Reduced harm products: Where do they fit?

Reduced harm developments timeline

The tobacco and nicotine product delivery market 2010-2050

Conclusion

The tobacco products market in 2050: Best guesses

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