The Future of Tobacco

Introduction

Scope

• Introduction

Key findings

• Introduction

Forecasting the tobacco market: Health warning

• Introduction

Tobacco forecasting model elements

• Introduction

Key Findings

Does tobacco have a future ?

• Key Findings

The big trends in tobacco 2010-2050

• Key Findings

Market scenarios 2050

• Key Findings

Context for long-term forecast: Outlook to 2015 by volume

• Key Findings

Context for long-term forecast: Outlook to 2015 by value

• Key Findings

Tobacco products growth trends by category to 2050

• Key Findings

Leading cigarettes markets: Ranking changes 2010-2050

• Key Findings

Smoking population trends: Short-term outlook 2010-2015

• Key Findings

Tobacco product categories: Short term outlook 2010-2015

• Key Findings

Operating Environment Outlook

Tobacco legislation: Where it leads

• Operating Environment Outlook

Further tightening of legislation

• Operating Environment Outlook

Plain packaging: Game changer for brands and pricing power?

• Operating Environment Outlook

Illicit trade: The short-term future

• Operating Environment Outlook

Illicit trade: Future indicators

• Operating Environment Outlook

Illicit trade: The long-term future

• Operating Environment Outlook

The Cigarette Market in 2050

The China syndrome

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

Cigarettes market: 2010 compared with 2050

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

The 50 year picture: Volume contraction

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

The major markets 2010-2050

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

The big risers 2010-2050

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

The big fallers 2010-50

• The Cigarette Market in 2050

OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Other tobacco products: Short-term outlook

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Cigars: Short-term outlook by type

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Cigars category 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Smoking tobacco future: RYO 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Smoking tobacco future: Pipe 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Smokeless tobacco future: Snuff 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Smokeless tobacco future: Chewing tobacco 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

The tobacco and nicotine delivery market 2050

• OTP and Non-Tobacco Products in 2050

Corporate Strategies 2050

Corporate scenarios: What might have happened by 2050

• Corporate Strategies 2050

The five leading companies: Present and future

• Corporate Strategies 2050

Future: Expansion possibilities via privatisations

• Corporate Strategies 2050

Reduced harm products: Where do they fit?

• Corporate Strategies 2050

Reduced harm developments timeline

• Corporate Strategies 2050

The tobacco and nicotine product delivery market 2010-2050

• Corporate Strategies 2050

Conclusion

The tobacco products market in 2050: Best guesses

• Conclusion