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Country Report

Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya

Nov 2012

Price: US$2,400

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Growth of the middle class signals higher income and larger consumer goods market

A sustained economic growth of 4.3% yearly as well as a strong entrepreneurial spirit amongst Kenyans has brought about an observable increase in middle-income earners in the country. The Kenya Economic Survey 2011 defines a middle-income earner as an individual or household for which monthly consumption expenditure ranges from KES23,671 to KES120,000. Households that benefit from such high consumption allowances have contributed to the significant increase in the size of the consumer goods market and thus greater demand for consumer products countrywide.

Depreciation of the shilling increases the cost of living

The depreciation of the value of the shilling also caused imports, bought in US dollar denominations especially, to become more expensive. The added costs were pushed onto consumers in the form of increase in retail prices, which further increased inflation. Furthermore, the Central Bank of Kenya raised interest rates in a bid to save the currency, whose value reached an all-time low of KES107 to the dollar. This, however, increased the cost of borrowing in the country, on top of making it more expensive for current borrowers to furnish their loans and raising the cost of doing business and thus the cost of living. These factors threw the Kenyan economy into a vicious downward spiral for the better part of 2011.

Kenya awaits 2012 general elections in the wake of the 2008 postelection violence and 2010 constitutional reform

2012 will be the year that marks the first general election in the wake of the post-polling chaos that significantly destabilised the Kenyan economy and is the cause for much anxiety as to how the next elections will turn out. It also has a significant bearing on the investment climate of the country as capital inflow may freeze in the course of the election, its resuscitation depending only on the outcome. The Constitution, which was amended in August 2010, has also heralded an ambitious government restructuring program in the name of devolution of power meant to tackle the geographic and intertribal economic inequalities blamed for past electoral violence. Proper implementation of devolution will open several doors for investment, but this can only be confirmed after the election.

Retail channels expand their reach to cater for a wider consumer market

Supermarkets is the most common retail channel associated with members of every class in the Kenyan society that offers convenience for all looking to shop for anything from common household items to clothing and commercial equipment. Because such outlets are easily identifiable to the Kenyan consumer, their dissemination is increasing. Two notable retail brands, Nakumatt and Naivas, have reportedly expanded into residential areas to tap the increasing consumer demand due to the burgeoning middle class. This definitely helps widen demand for producers of products which are primarily sold in these outlets.

Expansionary activity amongst companies foreseen

The widening consumer market brought about by steady economic growth has created new opportunities for companies to expand production and product development to cater for this increase in demand that should result in an increase in sales of specialised and more sophisticated products in various categories such as surface care, toilet care and even air care. Companies such as Haco Tiger Brands that provide numerous consumer goods have already began seizing this opportunity by revealing plans to venture into the packaged foods industry, whilst Unilever is working on promoting surface care products in Kenya to boost sales.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tissue and Hygiene industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tissue and Hygiene industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • What are the most dynamic tissue and hygiene categories?
  • What are the major markets for tissue products sales?
  • What are the major markets for hygiene products sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tissue and Hygiene market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Growth of the middle class signals higher income and larger consumer goods market

Depreciation of the shilling increases the cost of living

Kenya awaits 2012 general elections in the wake of the 2008 postelection violence and 2010 constitutional reform

Retail channels expand their reach to cater for a wider consumer market

Expansionary activity amongst companies foreseen

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Birth Rates 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Infant Population 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Female Population by Age 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Total Population by Age 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Households 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Forecast Infant Population 2011-2016
  • Table 7 Forecast Female Population by Age 2011-2016
  • Table 8 Forecast Total Population by Age 2011-2016
  • Table 9 Forecast Households 2011-2016

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Tissue and Hygiene Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 13 Tissue and Hygiene Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2009
  • Table 16 Forecast Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya - Company Profiles

Chandaria Industries Ltd in Tissue and Hygiene (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Chandaria Industries: Competitive Position 2011

Away-From-Home Tissue and Hygiene in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2011 accelerated, albeit by a rather low rate. This can be attributed to the high growth in the service sector of the economy, including hotels and restaurants, showing revenue growth of 6%, a testimony to growing tourism within the country, which has raised the demand for AFH products. Construction also witnessed high growth – 8.1% — and this has led to the mushrooming number of corporate real estate properties, which has also raised the demand for AFH products.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Chandaria Industries is still the leading provider of AFH products, particularly tissue products. It has a specific product line catering to this sector.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth in away-from-home tissue and hygiene in Kenya over the forecast period is expected to be higher than the growth sustained over the review period, rising in constant value at a CAGR of 3%. The main driver of growth will be the favourable performance expected in Kenya’s travel and tourism industry and the commitment of the Kenyan Government to support the industry.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 18 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2009
  • Table 22 Forecast Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth was slower in 2011 compared to the previous year, and this can be attributed mainly to the rise in prices occasioned by high inflation rates within the year that reduced real income available to consumers. The high prices were brought about as a result of rising manufacturing costs due to an inflated import bill thanks to the depreciating shilling, which is largely responsible for the high inflation rates.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • African Cotton Industries was once again the leader in cotton wool/buds/pads sales with its Dove and Tender Care brands commanding a majority share of 60%. These are well-known brands that have been in the market longer than most, enough to earn consumers’ trust.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth rates are expected to rise in line with the trend of the growing middle class with higher incomes that is set to widen the market size for all consumer products, amongst them cotton wool/buds/pads.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 24 Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 28 Forecast Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 29 Forecast Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Incontinence in Kenya - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • The availability of incontinence products is limited to a few supermarkets and pharmacies in upper-middle and upper-class neighbourhoods. The product has a very small market and sales are virtually negligible because the topic of adults wearing diapers is taboo. Awareness on this issue is therefore extremely low. As such, the cost of purchasing them is typically not covered by the very few insurance policies available for the elderly in the market.

Nappies/Diapers/Pants in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Value growth was slightly slower in 2011 compared to the previous year, and this is largely due to the exceptionally high inflation rates experienced in the country towards the close of the year.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Procter & Gamble has retained the lead in sales with its brand Pampers, which in 2011 had a 64% value share. This is due to the fact that Pampers has been in the market long enough for it to become a common household reference term for diapers and is thus quite popular amongst consumers as the diaper of choice.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth in nappies/diapers/pants is expected to continue, however at a marginal rate with a 1% value CAGR as more mothers begin to embrace the convenience offered by diapers, especially in the face of increasing income levels characteristic of the growth of the middle class.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 30 Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Nappies/Diapers/Pants Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Nappies/Diapers/Pants Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Retail Tissue in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail tissue is encumbered by increasing production costs brought on by high inflation, rising cost of fuel, the depreciating Kenyan shilling and high cost of electricity. Rising costs of raw materials such as paper pulp and wood are also affecting retail tissue negatively.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Chandaria Industries led sales in 2011 due to its brands which controlled a majority 59% value share, the most visible of which is Velvex. This is due to its diverse product range that targets all consumers within the country’s income range as well as its wide distribution network that has enabled its products to penetrate the consumer market more effectively. Chandaria Industries also recorded the largest increase in value sales for 2011. Its Velvex brand especially has benefited from viral marketing which is tied to its strong market presence and even the conspicuous shelf space it occupies in supermarkets.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth within retail tissue is expected to rise with new product types such as paper kitchen towels achieving increased penetration into the market, thanks to the growing middle class sporting increased income levels and thus greater capability to purchase for convenience as opposed to cost saving.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 36 Retail Tissue Sales by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 37 Retail Tissue Sales by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Tissue Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 39 Retail Tissue Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 40 Forecast Retail Tissue Sales by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Retail Tissue Sales by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sanitary Protection in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Unit prices have risen largely due to exceptionally high inflation rates. This is due to the weakening shilling that has raised costs of manufacturing, whose inputs such as energy and raw materials are imported. The additional costs due to these macroeconomic factors are subsequently pushed onto consumers in the form of raised prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Procter & Gamble once again led sales in 2011 due the fact that Always has been in a long time and is thus a trusted brand amongst females. Procter & Gamble experienced the largest increase in sales by three percentage points, a result of its aggressive and consistent marketing activities such as television and print as well as in-store advertising.

PROSPECTS

  • Sanitary protection is relatively constant and is expected to demonstrate sustained growth. Also, on the company side, product development as well as aggressive marketing on top of introduction of new brands will boost the expected growth of sanitary protection, whereas on the consumer side growth will be accounted for by the growth of the middle class due to the steady 4.3% annual growth rate of the economy that has raised average income levels.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 42 Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Sanitary Protection Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 45 Sanitary Protection Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 46 Forecast Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tissue and Hygiene
    • Away-From-Home Tissue and Hygiene
      • Away-From-Home Hygiene
        • AFH Incontinence
      • Away-From-Home Tissue
        • AFH Boxed Facial Tissues
        • AFH Paper Tableware
          • AFH Napkins
          • AFH Tablecloths
        • AFH Paper Towels
        • AFH Toilet Paper
        • AFH Wipers
    • Retail Tissue and Hygiene
      • Retail Hygiene
        • Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads
        • Incontinence
          • Light Incontinence
          • Moderate/Heavy Incontinence
        • Nappies/Diapers/Pants
          • Disposable Pants
          • Nappies/Diapers
            • Junior Nappies/Diapers
            • New Born Nappies/Diapers
            • Standard Nappies/Diapers
        • Sanitary Protection
          • Intimate Wipes
          • Sanitary Protection Excluding Intimate Wipes
            • Pantyliners
            • Tampons
            • Towels
              • Standard Towels
                • Standard Towels With Wings
                • Standard Towels Without Wings
              • Ultra-Thin Towels
                • Ultra-Thin Towels With Wings
                • Ultra-Thin Towels Without Wings
        • Wipes
          • Home Care Wipes and Floor Cleaning Systems
            • Dry Electro-Static Wipes
              • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Dry Electro-Static)
              • Wipes and Refills (Dry Electro-Static)
            • Floor Cleaning Systems
              • Refills
                • Cleaning Solution
                • Refill Wipes/Pads
              • Starter Kits/Trigger Device
            • Impregnated Wet Wipes
              • All Purpose Cleaning Wipes
              • Furniture Polish Wipes
              • Toilet Care Wipes
              • Wet Floor Wipes
                • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Wet)
                • Wipes and Refills (Wet)
              • Window/Glass Wipes
              • Other Impregnated Wipes
            • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Excluding Wipes)
            • Wipes (Excluding Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks)
          • Personal Wipes
            • General Purpose Wipes
            • Intimate Wipes
            • Baby Wipes
            • Cosmetic Wipes
              • Facial Cleansing Wipes
              • Deodorant Wipes
      • Retail Tissue
        • Kitchen Towels
        • Paper Tableware
          • Napkins
          • Tablecloths
        • Tissues
          • Boxed Facial Tissues
          • Pocket Handkerchiefs
        • Toilet Paper
      • Total Tissue and Hygiene
        • Total Hygiene
          • Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads
          • Total Incontinence
            • AFH Incontinence
            • Incontinence
              • Light Incontinence
              • Moderate/Heavy Incontinence
          • Nappies/Diapers/Pants
            • Disposable Pants
            • Nappies/Diapers
              • Junior Nappies/Diapers
              • New Born Nappies/Diapers
              • Standard Nappies/Diapers
          • Sanitary Protection
            • Sanitary Protection Excluding Intimate Wipes
              • Pantyliners
              • Tampons
              • Towels
                • Standard Towels
                  • Standard Towels With Wings
                  • Standard Towels Without Wings
                • Ultra-Thin Towels
                  • Ultra-Thin Towels With Wings
                  • Ultra-Thin Towels Without Wings
          • Wipes
            • Household Care Wipes and Floor Cleaning Systems
              • Dry Electro-Static Wipes
                • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Dry Electro-Static)
                • Wipes and Refills (Dry Electro-Static)
              • Floor Cleaning Systems
                • Refills
                  • Cleaning Solution
                  • Refill Wipes/Pads
                • Starter Kits/Trigger Device
              • Impregnated Wet Wipes
                • All Purpose Cleaning Wipes
                • Furniture Polish Wipes
                • Toilet Care Wipes
                • Wet Floor Wipes
                  • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Wet)
                  • Wipes and Refills (Wet)
                • Window/Glass Wipes
                • Other Impregnated Wipes
            • Personal Wipes
              • General Purpose Wipes
              • Intimate Wipes
              • Baby Wipes
              • Cosmetic Wipes
                • Facial Cleansing Wipes
                • Deodorant Wipes
        • Total Tissue
          • Kitchen Towels
          • Total Paper Tableware
            • Total Napkins
              • AFH Napkins
              • Napkins
            • Total Tablecloths
              • AFH Tablecloths
              • Tablecloths
          • Total Tissues
            • Total Boxed Facial Tissues
              • AFH Boxed Facial Tissues
              • Boxed Facial Tissues
            • Pocket Handkerchiefs
          • AFH Paper Towels
          • Total Toilet Paper
            • AFH Toilet Paper
            • Toilet Paper
            • AFH Wipers

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Pricing

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Volume
      • Volume % growth
      • Volume per capita
      • Away-from-home volume
      • Away-from-home volume % growth
      • Away-from-home volume per capita
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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