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Country Report

Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia

Aug 2012

Price: US$2,400

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tissue and hygiene continues to see weak performance in 2011

Strongly affected by the economic downturn and a decline in disposable incomes, tissue and hygiene continued to underperform in 2011, in both volume and constant value terms. Although high quality international brands continued to lead sales, their shares declined amidst a growing offer of cheaper economy products, including private label. The effects of the financial crisis have interrupted the premiumisation process which started at the beginning of the 2000s, placing price once again in the foreground.

Tax refund for all baby-specific products

As a measure to encourage people to have children, despite the recession, the Government announced a new refund of VAT for food and other necessary products intended for babies, including in the retail tissue and hygiene category. The decree, which came into effect at the end of March 2012, was intended to help with family budgets during the difficult economic period and the challenging time after a baby’s birth. However, due to limited levels of competition, in response to this measure retailers are maintaining the same prices by increasing margins, thus parents have seen little benefit while the state loses its tax income.

International companies lead sales

After leader Procter & Gamble Marketing & Services doo, local company DrenikND doo accounted for a substantial 21% value share within tissue and hygiene in Serbia in 2011. However, other local companies remain much more minor players; thus in the top 10 there are no more local operators. It is evident that companies invest more in marketing every year, particularly in television advertising presenting a barrier to entry for small players. The most advertised categories in 2011 were sanitary protection and nappies/diapers.

Dynamic distribution channels, but still no discounters

For many years supermarkets represented the main distribution channel for tissue and hygiene products. The health and beauty retailers channel has the largest capacity for growth along with non-grocery retailers. At the end of the review period, there were only two health and beauty retailer chains – Lilly Drogerije doo and DM-Drogerie Markt doo – however new entries can be expected over the forecast period, along with an increase in share for this channel. Despite very dynamic development over the review period, retailing in Serbia is still without discounters. There are indications that the first discounter will be Lidl, because it has registered a company in Serbia, but it is still uncertain when the first outlet will be opened.

Population and low purchasing power

Socioeconomic factors had the biggest impact on the category over the review period and these can be split into two categories: on the one hand, negative population trend which is reflected in the decline of birth rate, and on the other, a decline in purchasing power followed by the highest unemployment rate in the country’s history. Without a clear national strategy of economic recovery and the attraction of foreign investment, the entire FMCG market is set to continue to stagnate, while consumers will continue to gravitate towards lower price segments.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tissue and Hygiene industry in Serbia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tissue and Hygiene industry in Serbia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Serbia for free:

The Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia?
  • What are the major brands in Serbia?
  • What are the most dynamic tissue and hygiene categories?
  • What are the major markets for tissue products sales?
  • What are the major markets for hygiene products sales?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tissue and Hygiene market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tissue and hygiene continues to see weak performance in 2011

Tax refund for all baby-specific products

International companies lead sales

Dynamic distribution channels, but still no discounters

Population and low purchasing power

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Birth Rates 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Infant Population 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Female Population by Age 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Total Population by Age 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Households 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Forecast Infant Population 2011-2016
  • Table 7 Forecast Female Population by Age 2011-2016
  • Table 8 Forecast Total Population by Age 2011-2016
  • Table 9 Forecast Households 2011-2016

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Tissue and Hygiene Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 13 Tissue and Hygiene Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 14 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2009
  • Table 16 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Retail Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia - Company Profiles

DrenikND doo in Tissue and Hygiene (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 DrenikND doo: Competitive Position 2011

Lomax & Co in Tissue and Hygiene (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Lomax & Co: Key Facts

Paloma dd in Tissue and Hygiene (Serbia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Paloma dd: Competitive Position 2011

Away-From-Home Tissue and Hygiene in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In the context of the global crisis, the Serbian AFH tissue category declined by 3% in volume terms in 2011. This represented a slower decline than some retail tissue categories. On the other hand, AFH hygiene continued to grow, with volume sales rising by 1% in 2011 as a result of low level conditions in hospitals and slow but steady improvement of the same.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading producers of AFH products in Serbia in 2011 were domestic company DrenikND doo with its Perfex brand in AFH paper towels and AFH toilet paper and Paloma by Paloma dd with its AFH napkins, toilet paper and paper towels.

PROSPECTS

  • Despite being affected by the economic crisis, AFH tissue and hygiene products are expected to perform well over the forecast period as a result of the continued expansion of the HoReCa channel (72% of total AFH value sales are through this channel) and continued improvements in the hygiene of the hospitals/healthcare channel. Next to the increasing number of new AFH products that are expected to be introduced over the forecast period, significant growth rates are anticipated for underdeveloped categories such as AFH napkins and AFH incontinence with a predicted volume CAGR of 3% and 2% respectively and respective constant value CAGRs of 4% and 3%. The most developed channel, HoReCa, still has room for growth and outlets within this channel will remain the main focus for players to supply in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 19 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2009
  • Table 23 Forecast Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Away-From-Home Sales of Tissue and Hygiene by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As a result of the global economic downturn and approaching saturation, the cotton wool/buds/pads category recorded a decline of 3% in 2011 – the first decline since the crisis began. A decline in spending power and the non-essential nature of the products in the category have pushed consumers to abstention. In terms of current value sales, growth of 9% was in the line with the inflation rate but significantly lower than the pre-crisis growth rate. The expansion of private label products is also an important part of this trend.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Although Sisma SpA’s brands – Cotoneve and Farmacotone – are ranked second and third with a retail value share of 19% and 18% respectively, Sisma SpA led in overall company sales in 2011. Its performance was supported by its products’ affordable prices and the company’s strong distribution network that covers the key retail channels. As a producer of premium products, Sisma has established a high level of consumer loyalty. Ranked second was Niva ad, with its leading Cik-Cak brand, which held a 23% value share in 2011. In third position was Lomax & Co with its LMX brand, which accounted for a 14% value share. Both Niva and Lomax are domestic producers.

PROSPECTS

  • Consisting of the newly-emerged cotton pads and the more mature categories of cotton wool and cotton buds, the expected overall volume and constant value growth of cotton wool/buds/pads will be marginal. While poor volume growth will be a result of saturation, value growth will slow as a result of the strengthening presence of private label products and low unit price increases.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 25 Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Forecast Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 30 Forecast Retail Sales of Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Incontinence in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Until 2011 volume sales had not declined, despite the recession thanks to the steady positive change in attitudes regarding incontinence. It had a positive impact on the whole category’s growth over the review period. Meanwhile, a decline in living standards and strong price increase of basic food products resulted in a reduction in household budgets for products considered non-essential in 2011, as well as group which includes incontinence products. As a result of these trends, volume sales declined by 3% in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Combined, the two leading producers – SCA Group and TZMO Capital Group SA – accounted for more than half of retail value sales in 2011. Wide brand portfolios of quality products covered by strong distribution networks that ensure strong availability via key retail channels are the main reasons for their success. However, generally limited competition in terms of both distribution and manufacturers, is the reason of frequent price increases.

PROSPECTS

  • Change in perception and gradual acceptance of incontinence products will be the main drivers of the category in the future. Also, increase over the forecast period can be expected in the light of predicted population aging, so incontinence products are expected to post a CAGR of 2% in both volume and constant value terms over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 31 Retail Sales of Incontinence by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Retail Sales of Incontinence by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Incontinence Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Incontinence Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Retail Sales of Incontinence by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Retail Sales of Incontinence by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Nappies/Diapers/Pants in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • A significant period of economic decline and difficult parenting as a result of poor living standards were additionally affected by the global recession and negative population trends. All these circumstances are reflected in the stagnation in the consumption of nappies/diapers/pants in the second half of the review period. Thanks to a 3% volume increase of new born nappies/diapers, the category as a whole recorded marginal volume growth in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Procter & Gamble Marketing & Services doo with its Pampers brand is the clear leader with a 46% share of retail value sales, ahead of local producer, DrenikND doo. Since the 1990s Pampers has been a synonym for nappies and the number one brand with a large loyal consumer base. The brand is continually supported by mass advertising, below-the-line promotional activity and sponsorships.

PROSPECTS

  • The nappies/diapers/pants category is not expected to experience significant changes in either volume or value sales over the forecast period. The whole category has reached maturity and is approaching saturation, largely due to a relatively flat birth rate and the product type’s long-time presence in the market. Volume sales are set to see a rise of 1% over the forecast period as a whole, while constant value sales will rise at a CAGR of 1%. Although in terms of penetration there is still room for progress, this will be slow and will not significantly affect sales. Impacted by a slow post-crisis recovery, the category could move towards standard and economy brands, including private label.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 38 Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 39 Nappies/Diapers/Pants Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 40 Nappies/Diapers/Pants Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 41 Forecast Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Retail Sales of Nappies/Diapers/Pants by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Retail Tissue in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The increasing interest in economy products and value for money were the main characteristics of the Serbian retail tissue category in 2011. A return to single- and 2-ply formats significantly mitigated unit price increases. Premiumisation seen prior to the economic crisis is no longer a factor impacting the category, reflected in the fact that many brands that were previously considered as premium have been offered with lower-cost extensions. On the other hand, domestic producer DrenikND doo launched premium extensions of its brand Perfex in a bid to attract higher-income consumers, however it offered these at lower prices than international brands of the same quality.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Recession and the decline in purchasing power is leading to the growth of economy and private label products. Despite strong international and domestic competition, local manufacturer DrenikND doo is the leading producer in retail tissue thanks to the well-positioned Perfex brand (and to a lesser extent the Regina and Boni brands), strong advertising activity and extensive distribution. With a 20% retail value share in 2011, DrenikND was ranked ahead of SCA Group with its Zewa brand and Paloma dd with Paloma brand, with these two competitors registering a value share of 15% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Due to the saturation of mature categories (toilet paper and tissues) and the sluggish growth of new categories that have room for progress (kitchen towels, boxed facial tissues and tablecloths), the retail tissue category as a whole is expected to register a constant value CAGR of 4% over the forecast period. Until stronger economic growth and greater segmentation occur, new categories will grow slowly, with some products in being substituted by alternatives in more mature categories. Thus, products within the kitchen towels category will be substituted by toilet paper; boxed facial tissues by pocket handkerchiefs; and paper tablecloths by regular tablecloths. If the crisis persists, many consumers will be unwilling to spend on non-essential products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 43 Retail Tissue Sales by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Retail Tissue Sales by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Retail Tissue Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 46 Retail Tissue Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 47 Forecast Retail Tissue Sales by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Retail Tissue Sales by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sanitary Protection in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The persistence of the economic crisis, alongside the negative demographic trend in terms of the decline in the population of females aged 10-54, resulted in a 1% volume decline for sanitary protection excluding wipes in 2011. Apart from ultra-thin towels with wings, which recorded 11% current value growth as a result of the growth of more expensive international brands, all categories posted value growth below the inflation rate.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The long-term leader of sanitary protection in Serbia, Procter & Gamble Marketing & Services doo, maintained its first ranking in 2011 with a 41% share of retail value sales. A good image built through high-quality and innovative products supported with strong marketing support and strong distribution across the key retail channels are the main factors behind its success. Its main brand, Always, is the leading brand with a 31% value share in 2011. The second-ranked player is domestic producer DrenikND doo, with its popular standard brand Boni which accounted for a 26% share of retail value sales in 2011. The main competitive stance of the Boni brand is good quality at an affordable price.

PROSPECTS

  • Negative population trends among the female population aged 10-54, which is projected to decline by 4% by 2016, along with a slow post-crisis recovery, will be the main drivers of decline in both volume and constant value terms. While a volume decline at a CAGR of 1% is predicted, constant value sales will decline by 2% over the forecast period as a whole.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sanitary Protection Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Sanitary Protection Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Forecast Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 54 Forecast Retail Sales of Sanitary Protection by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Wipes in Serbia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Unlike personal wipes, which is already a well-developed category, home care wipes is still at a nascent stage, with significant sales recorded for the first time in 2011. Initially, consumption was recorded in two home care wipes categories: all purpose cleaning wipes and furniture polish wipes. Other types are either not present, or are marginal. Still accustomed to traditional liquid cleaners, Serbian consumers have not yet adopted new wipes cleaning formats, particularly given the still-limited marketing activities. Apart from point-of-sale positioning, there were no other promotional activities.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • A long-term presence in the local market and a strong brand image sees Beiersdorf doo lead the wipes category with its Nivea Baby and Nivea Intimo brands, which enabled the company to register a retail value share of 36% in 2011. Second-ranked Mega Disposables SA held a share of 22%, achieved through its Baby Care and Daipers brands, while Procter & Gamble Marketing & Services doo was in third position with an 18% share through its Pampers brand. All these manufacturers engage in mass advertising support and operate strong distribution across key retail channels.

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 55 Retail Sales of Wipes by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Retail Sales of Wipes by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Wipes Retail Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 58 Wipes Retail Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 59 Forecast Retail Sales of Wipes by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Retail Sales of Wipes by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tissue and Hygiene
    • Away-From-Home Tissue and Hygiene
      • Away-From-Home Hygiene
        • AFH Incontinence
      • Away-From-Home Tissue
        • AFH Boxed Facial Tissues
        • AFH Paper Tableware
          • AFH Napkins
          • AFH Tablecloths
        • AFH Paper Towels
        • AFH Toilet Paper
        • AFH Wipers
    • Retail Tissue and Hygiene
      • Retail Hygiene
        • Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads
        • Incontinence
          • Light Incontinence
          • Moderate/Heavy Incontinence
        • Nappies/Diapers/Pants
          • Disposable Pants
          • Nappies/Diapers
            • Junior Nappies/Diapers
            • New Born Nappies/Diapers
            • Standard Nappies/Diapers
        • Sanitary Protection
          • Intimate Wipes
          • Sanitary Protection Excluding Intimate Wipes
            • Pantyliners
            • Tampons
            • Towels
              • Standard Towels
                • Standard Towels With Wings
                • Standard Towels Without Wings
              • Ultra-Thin Towels
                • Ultra-Thin Towels With Wings
                • Ultra-Thin Towels Without Wings
        • Wipes
          • Home Care Wipes and Floor Cleaning Systems
            • Dry Electro-Static Wipes
              • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Dry Electro-Static)
              • Wipes and Refills (Dry Electro-Static)
            • Floor Cleaning Systems
              • Refills
                • Cleaning Solution
                • Refill Wipes/Pads
              • Starter Kits/Trigger Device
            • Impregnated Wet Wipes
              • All Purpose Cleaning Wipes
              • Furniture Polish Wipes
              • Toilet Care Wipes
              • Wet Floor Wipes
                • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Wet)
                • Wipes and Refills (Wet)
              • Window/Glass Wipes
              • Other Impregnated Wipes
            • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Excluding Wipes)
            • Wipes (Excluding Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks)
          • Personal Wipes
            • General Purpose Wipes
            • Intimate Wipes
            • Baby Wipes
            • Cosmetic Wipes
              • Facial Cleansing Wipes
              • Deodorant Wipes
      • Retail Tissue
        • Kitchen Towels
        • Paper Tableware
          • Napkins
          • Tablecloths
        • Tissues
          • Boxed Facial Tissues
          • Pocket Handkerchiefs
        • Toilet Paper
      • Total Tissue and Hygiene
        • Total Hygiene
          • Cotton Wool/Buds/Pads
          • Total Incontinence
            • AFH Incontinence
            • Incontinence
              • Light Incontinence
              • Moderate/Heavy Incontinence
          • Nappies/Diapers/Pants
            • Disposable Pants
            • Nappies/Diapers
              • Junior Nappies/Diapers
              • New Born Nappies/Diapers
              • Standard Nappies/Diapers
          • Sanitary Protection
            • Sanitary Protection Excluding Intimate Wipes
              • Pantyliners
              • Tampons
              • Towels
                • Standard Towels
                  • Standard Towels With Wings
                  • Standard Towels Without Wings
                • Ultra-Thin Towels
                  • Ultra-Thin Towels With Wings
                  • Ultra-Thin Towels Without Wings
          • Wipes
            • Household Care Wipes and Floor Cleaning Systems
              • Dry Electro-Static Wipes
                • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Dry Electro-Static)
                • Wipes and Refills (Dry Electro-Static)
              • Floor Cleaning Systems
                • Refills
                  • Cleaning Solution
                  • Refill Wipes/Pads
                • Starter Kits/Trigger Device
              • Impregnated Wet Wipes
                • All Purpose Cleaning Wipes
                • Furniture Polish Wipes
                • Toilet Care Wipes
                • Wet Floor Wipes
                  • Starter Kits/Sweepers/Sticks (Wet)
                  • Wipes and Refills (Wet)
                • Window/Glass Wipes
                • Other Impregnated Wipes
            • Personal Wipes
              • General Purpose Wipes
              • Intimate Wipes
              • Baby Wipes
              • Cosmetic Wipes
                • Facial Cleansing Wipes
                • Deodorant Wipes
        • Total Tissue
          • Kitchen Towels
          • Total Paper Tableware
            • Total Napkins
              • AFH Napkins
              • Napkins
            • Total Tablecloths
              • AFH Tablecloths
              • Tablecloths
          • Total Tissues
            • Total Boxed Facial Tissues
              • AFH Boxed Facial Tissues
              • Boxed Facial Tissues
            • Pocket Handkerchiefs
          • AFH Paper Towels
          • Total Toilet Paper
            • AFH Toilet Paper
            • Toilet Paper
            • AFH Wipers

      Statistics Included

      Statistics Included

      For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

      From Passport

      • Market sizes
      • Company shares
      • Brand shares
      • Distribution
      • Pricing

      Market size details:

      • Retail volume
      • Retail volume % growth
      • Retail volume per capita
      • Retail value retail selling price % growth
      • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Volume
      • Volume % growth
      • Volume per capita
      • Away-from-home volume
      • Away-from-home volume % growth
      • Away-from-home volume per capita
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price % growth
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
      • Away-from-home value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

      Methodology

      Methodology

      Global insight and local knowledge

      With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

      This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

      Industry specialists

      Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

      Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

      The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

      Country and regional analysts

      Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

      In-country research network

      To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

      Research Methodology

      Our research methods

      Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

      Desk research

      With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

      • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
      • National and international trade press
      • National and international trade associations
      • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
      • Company financials and annual reports
      • Broker reports
      • Online databases
      • The financial, business and mainstream press

      Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

      Store checks

      Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

      • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
      • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
      • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
      • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

      Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

      Trade survey

      Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

      Trade surveys allow us to:

      • Fill gaps in available published data per company
      • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
      • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
      • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

      In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

      Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

      Company analysis

      At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

      At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

      Forecasts

      Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

      Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

      Data validation

      All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

      The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

      Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

      Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

      Market analysis

      Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

      Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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