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Country Report

Tobacco in Algeria

Jul 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Algeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Algeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Algeria for free:

The Tobacco in Algeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Algeria?
  • What are the major brands in Algeria?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Algeria?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Algeria?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Algeria?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Algeria in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Algeria?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

More regulated legislation pushes domestic production up

Tobacco in Algeria has continued to grow in both volume and value terms. Since the government published a list of legal brands in 2009, consumers are more aware of what brands are contraband. This has encouraged domestic production to grow and, as a result, illicit trade is declining. Imports were nil in 2010.

Increase in additional tax doe not affect volume growth

In 2010, the government added to the additional tax per pack/box/bag in order to finance social security and medical care. The price rise did not hinder volume growth but, on the contrary, volume and value positively increased. By increasing the additional tax, government is showing a rising awareness of the dangers of tobacco and is trying to transmit the message to consumers, whose awareness remains low.

SNTA remains leader but international brands continuously gain shares

Since the end of its monopoly in 2001, Sociéte Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA) has maintained its leading position within all tobacco categories. However, the national company is witnessing tough competition from STAEM, second on the market, and British American Tobacco Algeria, the only two manufacturers of international brands and of mid- and low-tar cigarettes.

Newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks remains the largest tobacco distribution channel

Newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks is the largest distribution channel for tobacco products in Algeria. The retailers cover the entire country and offer a large choice of products, including illicit trade tobacco. Therefore, consumers prefer this channel, where they can also buy other products than tobacco.

Tobacco will continue to grow due to lack of government control of smoking regulations

Tobacco, and particularly the cigarette category, is expected to continue positively growing over the forecast period. The lack of control at points of sale and the disregard of smoking bans will allow for a growing smoking population, particularly for women and the young. However, because the tax regulatory authority controls the list of legal brands, new product developments and growth might be limited.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Algeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

More regulated legislation pushes domestic production up

Increase in additional tax doe not affect volume growth

SNTA remains leader but international brands continuously gain shares

Newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks remains the largest tobacco distribution channel

Tobacco will continue to grow due to lack of government control of smoking regulations

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Trade Statistics – Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Algeria - Company Profiles

Bentchikou Tabacs Algérie in Tobacco (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Bentchikou Tabacs Algérie: Competitive Position 2010

Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA) in Tobacco (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 6 Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA): Production Statistics 2009

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA): Competitive Position 2010

STAEM Algerie Spa in Tobacco (Algeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 STAEM: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The reason for the solid volume increase is the fact that tobacco sales regulations and smoking ban rules are ignored, and people can still smoke in restaurants and cafés, which does not hinder volume sales. The reason for the faster value increase is the rise in price due to an additional tax increase of DZD3 per pack in 2010 that pushed value sales up but did not hinder volume growth. Equally, there is a rising demand for mid- and low-tar cigarettes, which are typically international and mid-to-premium brands.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2001 the monopoly on tobacco products held by the Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA) ended and STAEM Algerie was created in 2002. 49% of STAEM is owned by SNTA, 49% by investors from the United Arab Emirates and 2% by Sofinance, an Algerian investment company. STAEM started importing foreign brands in 2005 and has produced them under licence from July 2009 when all imports stopped. British American Tobacco Algeria is the second private company present in Algeria and has manufactured its own brands in the country since 2008.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The category is expected to witness a 5% volume CAGR and a 4% constant value CAGR over the forecast period. Both solid growth rates will be resulting from an expected development of legal brands and decline in contraband. An increasing smoking population amongst women and the young is also expected to boost volume sales and particularly value sales, since these segments prefer international brands, which are typically mid- and high-priced brands. Smoking ban laws are not expected to be applied over the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filtered/unfiltered

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars/cigarillos are not traditional in the country. Only two brands are legally present (since 2009), and other brands that can be found in newsagent-tobacconists are from illegal trade. Both legal and illegal products are of bad quality, and the few consumers, which tend to be men from the upper-income consumer group, would buy cigars abroad, but their number is negligible. Algerian consumers are more inclined to buy cigarettes and smokeless tobacco.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The domestic manufacturer SNTA is the only manufacturer of cigars in the country. Since 2009, the government has published a list of the legal brands present in the market, which includes the only two domestic brands and allows SNTA to generate 100% sales made in the country. All other products that can be found in retailers come from illegal trade.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars are expected to experience a negative 3% volume CAGR and negative 3% constant value CAGR over the forecast period. All sales are expected to continue to be generated by the same two brands allowed by government, which is not planning to change the regulation.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Over the years, smokeless tobacco trends have declined and demand is now limited to the lower income group, as others substitute it with cigarettes. Locally, “chemma” is the term given to moist snuff and “neffa” is dry snuff. Chemma is put directly on gums or placed in paper, whilst dry snuff is ingested through the nose. The latter is also consumed by older ladies in rural areas. Consumption is becoming less popular, particularly for dry snuff, but is still present in rural areas. Moist snuff is the most prevalent category of smokeless tobacco and is available within both legal and illicit channels.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The biggest company present in smokeless tobacco is the national company Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA), which generated 88% of volume shares in 2010. It the only domestic manufacturer and is present with two leading brands, Makla El Hilal and Nedjema. The second company present in the category is Bentchikou Tabacs Algérie, an importer since 2006 of the moist snuff brands, Makla Bouhlal Bentchikou and Makla Ifriquia, and dry snuff brand, Naffa Africaine.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smokeless tobacco is expected to witness a volume and constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period. The weak growth rates are expected to result from a lack of interest towards these categories, which is much segmented towards low-income groups. Young smokers will prefer cigarettes to smokeless tobacco, as the latter is recognised to be extremely harmful to the gums and perceived as dirty to utilise.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 59 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 64 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Algeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pipe smoking is not a tradition in Algeria; however, there are some amateurs and in particular older male smokers who enjoy pipe smoking and are used to the only pipe brand legally present in the country, which is produced by SNTA.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Société Nationale des Tabacs et Allumettes (SNTA) produces the only legal brand of smoking tobacco in Algeria, Safina. This is not an exclusive distribution right but other manufacturers were not present in this category and have no plans of importing or manufacturing. In 2009, in order to regulate the market and mark what is legal and contraband, the tax authority established a list of legal brands, which included Safina.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is expected to record a 3% volume CAGR and 1% constant value CAGR over the forecast period. Both rates will remain slow because SNTA is the only legal brand, and category development is not expected at this point.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2010
  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2010
  • Table 74 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 75 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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