You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesTobacco
print my pages

Country Report

Tobacco in Australia

Aug 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Cigarette volume sales tumble in Australia in 2011

Cigarette retail volume sales decreased in 2011, while current value sales growth slowed down considerably when compared with the previous year. High value growth in 2010 was spurred by the one-off excise tax increase in April 2010, however excise tax inflation adjustments also contributed to value and unit price growth in 2011. State and federal governmental policies such as retail display bans and legislation around retail outlet single selling points adversely impacted the growth of tobacco in 2011. Nonetheless, RYO tobacco retail volume sales increased during 2011, as a result of the price differential between factory-made cigarettes and RYO stick equivalents. In line with these legislative changes and ongoing public health campaigns, smoking prevalence in Australia decreased over the review period.

Double blow of plain packaging and retail display bans

Australian tobacco manufacturers and retailers were hit with a double blow of plain packaging legislation and retail display bans over the review period. Plain packaging legislation was passed by the House of Representatives in August 2011 and approved by the Australian Senate in November 2011, making Australia the first country in the world to do so. All tobacco products will have to be sold in plain packaging from the 1st of December 2012. The policy was meant to be implemented from July 2012; however this was amended due to earlier delays. Under the new legislation, tobacco packaging must be plain (no decoration or embellishments on packs and cartons); rigid and made of cardboard with a flip-top lid; drab dark brown with no trademarks; and include health warnings on 75% of the front of the pack and 90% of the back of the pack. Furthermore, retail display bans came into force across each state in Australia during the latter half of the review period. This new legislation prohibits the display of tobacco products in retail outlets within Australia.

British American Tobacco Australia Ltd remains the top tobacco player

British American Tobacco Australia Ltd successfully maintained its leading position in tobacco in 2011, with the company possessing a particularly strong presence in cigarettes. The company owns popular cigarette brands such as Winfield, Benson & Hedges and Holiday. Winfield is almost considered an Australian brand, due to its long history and well-established presence within the country. The company offers cigarettes in all three price segments; namely economy, mid-priced and premium.

Grocery retailers continues to control tobacco sales

Grocery retailers continued to dominate cigarette retail volume sales during 2011. The most prominent channels included supermarkets, convenience stores, tobacco specialists and independent small grocers. Grocery retailers continued to play a significant role within cigars in Australia during 2011, with tobacco specialists accounting for a significant share of retail volume sales. Lastly, supermarkets accounted for almost half of all retail volume sales for smoking tobacco during 2011.

Weak forecast outlook for tobacco in Australia

Players in tobacco will continue to face challenging conditions in Australia over the forecast period, with anti-smoking bodies and the government both keen to further reduce smoking prevalence. The implementation of plain packaging legislation will practically eliminate the concept of branding and product differentiation through packaging. As a result, players will not be able to charge a premium on their products, which could facilitate the entry of new players and create potential for private label products. It is expected that a new price segment, namely “budget”, will emerge over the forecast period as tobacco manufacturers seek to find new ways to entice consumer demand. This segment is expected to be positioned below the economy segment. The likely beginnings of this trend emerged during the latter half of the review period, with the introduction of Wesfarmers Ltd’s private label cigarettes.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Australia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Australia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Australia for free:

The Tobacco in Australia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Australia?
  • What are the major brands in Australia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Australia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Australia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Australia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Australia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Australia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Australia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Cigarette volume sales tumble in Australia in 2011

Double blow of plain packaging and retail display bans

British American Tobacco Australia Ltd remains the top tobacco player

Grocery retailers continues to control tobacco sales

Weak forecast outlook for tobacco in Australia

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Plain packaging

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies: Cigarettes 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies: Cigars 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Taxation and Duty Levies: Pipe Tobacco 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 7 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Australia - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Australia Ltd in Tobacco (Australia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Australia Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Imperial Tobacco Australia Ltd in Tobacco (Australia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Imperial Tobacco Australia Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris (Australia) Ltd in Tobacco (Australia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Philip Morris (Australia) Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Australia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail volume sales for cigarettes declined by 5% in 2011 to reach 19 billion sticks. On the other hand, current value growth was positive at 3% to reach A$10.6 billion. The decline in volume sales for 2011 was lower than 2010’s retail volume growth of -8%. In contrast, 2011’s current value growth was below the 15% growth for 2010. Higher growth in 2010 was due to several events, including increased excise duties on cigarettes. Negative volume growth in 2011 was partly the result of retail display bans that were implemented throughout Australia over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Australian cigarettes is dominated by three multinational players; British American Tobacco Australia Ltd, Philip Morris (Australia) Ltd and Imperial Tobacco Australia Ltd. In retail volume terms, other companies represented just 1% of sales during 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Plain packaging and retail display bans are expected to characterise cigarettes in Australia over the forecast period. Retail display bans were only instituted towards the end of the review period and plain packaging regulations begin in December 2012. Consequently, the full effects of these legislative changes will be felt during the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 12 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slim vs superslim

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Australia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars are generally considered luxury items in Australia, as well as a status symbol and a sign of wealth. Unlike cigarettes, cigars are not considered everyday items. Rather, cigars are consumed less frequently and are often given as gifts. Consumers are also uniquely interested in the origins of cigars, as this indicates the relative quality and positioning of such products. Nonetheless, over the latter half of the review period, the challenging economic climate in Australia has led to a slowdown in demand for cigars. Consumers continued to face discretionary spending pressures and therefore volume growth for cigars in Australia was negative during 2011.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • During 2011, the major players within cigars in Australia included Stuart Alexander & Co Pty Ltd, Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S and British American Tobacco Australia Ltd. Cigars in Australia were dominated by large, multinational firms over the review period and during 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail display bans and plain packaging are expected to have a negative impact on volume sales for cigars and cigarillos during the forecast period. Display bans will make cigars and cigarillos less accessible to consumers, and are expected to dissuade them from purchasing these products over the forecast period. High-end tobacco specialists rely on the ability of consumers to walk in and survey the range of cigar products stacked on shelves. New legislation has removed this opportunity and volume sales are expected to suffer as a result over the forecast period. Nonetheless, as with cigarettes, volume growth is not expected to be impacted highly. This is due to the fact that excise tax increases are more likely to trigger immediate and strong reactions from consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 57 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 58 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Australia - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • The permanent ban on smokeless tobacco products came into effect in June 1991. This means that it is illegal to commercially import or manufacture smokeless tobacco into Australia. Nonetheless, consumers are able to privately import smokeless tobacco into Australia if the import quantity does not exceed 1.5 kilograms.

Smoking Tobacco in Australia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RYO tobacco is reasonably popular in Australia; however pipe smoking is not as prevalent. According to the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation Project, approximately 27% of Australian smokers either consume RYO tobacco occasionally or are predominant users of RYO tobacco (compared with factory-manufactured cigarettes). One of the primary drivers behind RYO tobacco use in Australia is the large price difference between factory-made cigarette unit prices and RYO tobacco unit prices. The average unit price of a cigarette in Australia during 2011 was A$0.55 per stick in 2011. Cigarettes in Australia usually contain 0.8 grams of tobacco. Conversely, the average unit price of RYO tobacco in Australia was A$497.57 per kilogram. If it is assumed that a consumer would use the same amount of tobacco to make a RYO cigarette (0.8 grams), then this would result in a unit price of A$0.40 per RYO cigarette stick. It is therefore clear that RYO tobacco was much more affordable than factory-made cigarettes during 2011. Furthermore, RYO tobacco users are free to add even less tobacco in a RYO cigarette, therefore spreading the tobacco further.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There were three main players within smoking tobacco during 2011 in Australia, including Imperial Tobacco Australia Ltd, British American Tobacco Australia Ltd and Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S. Swedish Match (Australia) Pty Ltd merged with Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S during 2011 with the new company taking on the latter’s name. All Swedish Match brands were acquired by Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S, with the exception of its Willem II cigar brand. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) approved the merger on the proviso that Swedish Match (Australia) Pty Ltd, or the newly-merged company divest its popular Willem II brand.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Public health campaigns, plain packaging legislation and retail display bans are expected to negatively impact volume sales for smoking tobacco over the forecast period. Consequently, volume sales for smoking tobacco are expected to decline by a CAGR of 1% over the forecast period. This is in contrast to the positive 3% volume CAGR of the review period. Price-conscious consumers switching from factory-made cigarettes to RYO tobacco over the latter half of the review period was the reason behind the positive growth during this time. Nonetheless, legislation enacted over 2010/11 is expected to shift volume growth from positive to negative over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 69 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 70 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 71 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!