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Country Report

Tobacco in Azerbaijan

Jul 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Azerbaijan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Azerbaijan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Azerbaijan for free:

The Tobacco in Azerbaijan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Azerbaijan?
  • What are the major brands in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Azerbaijan?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Azerbaijan in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Azerbaijan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising health awareness causes a small slowdown in consumption

In 2010, cigarettes recorded a slower growth rate in retail volume terms, standing at 2% compared to the 3% growth rate in 2010. The structure of consumer demand changed for the first time in several years as rising health awareness led some Azerbaijani smokers to try and quit smoking and discouraged many potential customers from taking up the habit. Some non-governmental organisations began anti-tobacco campaigns, setting up meetings with school children, explaining the dangers of smoking. From time to time, National Parliament claims that anti-tobacco regulation is expected to be enacted which becomes the subject of mass-media propaganda for a time.

Growth of slim and lower tar cigarettes continued

Due to the changing preferences in smoking, the leading manufacturers experimented with the format of cigarettes, launching slim/superslim sizes, innovative filters and reduced the tar level. Hence, cigarettes welcomed an inflow of new launches. The majority of new product launches and re-launches continued to fall within slims/superslims. Towards the end of the review period, the structure of consumer demand changed largely. Azerbaijani smokers traded up to premium and mid-priced tobacco products. The number of economy cigarettes decreased in the country, since they have become less cost-effective. More sophisticated types of cigarettes with filter innovations (Kent Convertibles) and slim/superslim versions (Winston XS) appeared in the market. Consumers started to believe that those cigarettes are produced to minimise the dangerous effects of smoking.

British American Tobacco Plc led the market

In 2010, the leading players in Azerbaijan’s tobacco market (in GBO terms) remained the same - British American Tobacco Plc, Imperial Tobacco Group Plc and Japan Tobacco Inc. Imperial Tobacco and Japan Tobacco saw their shares increase significantly during 2009-2010. During 2009-2010, well-established companies Imperial Tobacco (Imperial Classic and Davidoff), Reynolds American Inc (Pall Mall), Japan Tobacco (Winston XS) and British American Tobacco (Kent Convertibles), turned their attention towards further developing their low-tar and ultra low tar portfolios.

Street vendors experienced a share loss

The main distribution channels for tobacco products in Azerbaijan are independent small grocers, supermarkets/hypermarkets and newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks. Tobacco specialists dominated retail distribution of cigars and cigarillos and smoking tobacco products in 2010. Street vendors are still popular, benefiting from their location in busy public places, such as in front of underground and transport stations. This channel offers low unit prices, a wide product assortment, including illegal ones and sells cigarettes and cigars by the stick, as well as whole packs. However, as a result of the constant struggle of relevant authorities to reduce contraband cigarettes and eradicate street trading, the volume share of sales through street vendors decreased in 2010, dropping down to 4% compared to 6% the previous year.

Cigarettes sales performance dependent on health consciousness

Over the forecast period, anti-tobacconists will have an opportunity to influence the law making process at National Parliament and be involved in discussions about increasing excise tax. The planned implementation of a new anti-tobacco law which bans smoking in any enclosed public spaces will result in a slower growth rate of cigarettes. High tar cigarettes will demonstrate negative sales performance in retail volume sales, since they will be gradually withdrawn from the market. Health consciousness will increase among smokers. Contraband will continue to take market share from legitimate sales of tobacco products, despite constant attempts by the relevant authorities to deal with this.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising health awareness causes a small slowdown in consumption

Growth of slim and lower tar cigarettes continued

British American Tobacco Plc led the market

Street vendors experienced a share loss

Cigarettes sales performance dependent on health consciousness

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation: Azerbaijan Law

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes
  • Table 8 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 9 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Azerbaijan in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Azerbaijan: Competitive Position 2010

El Casa del Habanos in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 El Casa del Habanos: Competitive Position 2010

Imperial Tobacco MMC in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Imperial Tobacco MMC: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Towards the end of the review period, the number of high tar brands decreased which resulted in further negative growth for cigarettes in volume sales terms; down by 6%. The shift from high tar cigarettes to mid tar cigarettes and low tar cigarettes continued. The main reason was growing health awareness among Azerbaijani smokers. This switch was also fuelled by the wider assortment of low tar and ultra low tar cigarette brands on offer with slim/superslims varieties (Winston XS) and filter innovations (Kent Convertibles).

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tobacco production in Azerbaijan is still in the hands of giant domestic enterprise European Tobacco-Baku JSC with a 33% of retail volume share, which is a licensee enterprise of British American Tobacco. The enterprise remained the leader in cigarettes throughout the review period, however encountered a large decline in share, mostly due to the decreasing numbers of brands. Although the company decreased the production run due to rising health-consciousness and inflow of new launches from well-established brands, such as Winston XS and Kent Convertibles with lower tar content in the slim/superslim formats, the company’s Azeri, Baki, Shirvan, and N Prima brands are still popular in Azerbaijan mostly among conservative and addicted smokers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, sales will be mainly driven by the strong performance of lower tar cigarettes with various filter innovations, and demand for slim/superslim formats, which carry higher unit prices. Rising health awareness promoted by both non-governmental and state anti-tobacco organisations might lead many smokers in Azerbaijan to try and quit smoking or discouraging new consumers from taking up this habit.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 33 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Decades ago, the former Soviet Union was the biggest strategic partner of Cuba. This allowed Soviet citizens to find Cuban cigars in several specialist Cuban cigar shops, however in Moscow, as the centralized capital of USSR. Nevertheless, they were not fully appreciated by the wider consumer group, since people could not generally afford such a luxurious product and only very few could purchase such an expensive product. Thus, there is no long-standing tradition of smoking cigars and cigarillos in Azerbaijan. The relatively mass culture of cigar smoking in Azerbaijan was born only in the 2001. The development of the products during the review period was stimulated by the general economic recovery in the country. With growing disposable incomes and a rise in the middle and upper classes, it became fashionable.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Almost all cigars and cigarillos are imported into Azerbaijan and distributed by local companies mainly due to the low capacity of the market. El Casa del Habanos (22% volume share), Imperial Tobacco Group (22% volume share), Swisher International Group (19% volume share), Villiger Söhne AG (18% volume share), and John Middleton Inc (7% volume share) are the main players operating in cigars, while the main companies in cigarillos were Swisher International (39% volume share), Dannemann Cigarrenfabrik GmbH (22% volume share), Davidoff & Cie, Genève (17% volume share), Imperial Tobacco Group Plc (12% volume share) and Skandinavisk Tobakskompagni A/S (4% volume share).

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales of cigars and cigarillos will continue to grow due to the recovery of demand after the strong drop in 2009 by 3%. By 2015, volume sales are expected to increase by 4% to over nine million sticks. Growth in real incomes will stimulate consumers to come back to cigars and cigarillos instead of cigarettes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 57 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 58 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tradition of using dry snuff has a long history in Azerbaijan. For centuries, the use of nasal snuff was considered to be prestigious, with the product being regarded as lower risk in terms of health impact. However, this perception has ceased to exist and with the wide development of cigarette manufacture, offering brands of any type, style, tar and nicotine content, the traditional methods of consuming tobacco are on the verge of disappearing.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Despite a negligible consumer base, there are still eye-catching brands in the market, McChrystal’s Raspberry Snuff from McChrystal’s (Leicester) Ltd, Ozona Cherry and Gletscherprise snuff from Poschl Tabak and Skoal Wintergreen Long Cut from US Smokeless Tobacco Co. The category still lacks a competitive environment and hence, consolidation.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, smokeless tobacco products appears to have a positive outlook; demanded mainly by the limited number of foreigners. Chewing tobacco could perform well, being associated with gum. However, NRT smoking cessation gums (mainly the Nicorette brand with various flavours, such as menthol) might be an obstacle to demand for chewing tobacco and as health awareness grows, people will become increasingly aware that chewing tobacco products can cause oral health problems.

Smoking Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco was not popular in Azerbaijan for a long period of time. Towards the end of the review period, smoking tobacco still remained a minor category compared to cigarettes both in volume and current value sales terms. Demand for RYO tobacco continued to be hampered by the widespread availability of domestic low-priced and mid-priced cigarettes, in line with imported standard and premium-priced cigarettes.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Planta Tabak-Manufaktur Dr Manfred Obermann GmbH & Co and Imperial Tobacco Group Plc led smoking tobacco in 2010, with volume shares of 68% and 6%, respectively. RYO tobacco is dominated by Planta Tabak-Manufaktur Dr Manfred Obermann with a volume share of 83% in 2010, and pipe tobacco is controlled by Swedish Match AB with a volume share of 22%. Both of these companies were present in the pipe tobacco category.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, many younger Azerbaijanis will see smoking galyan/nargile as a fashionable pastime, particularly at parties, or at karaoke venues while having tea and socialising, and this will lead to increasing demand which will in turn drive sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 67 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 69 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 70 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 71 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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