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Country Report

Tobacco in Azerbaijan

Feb 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

TOBACCO in Azerbaijan

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Launch of lower tar cigarettes improves performance in 2011

Towards the end of the review period, the introduction of a number of new lower and ultra low tar slim and superslim cigarettes from strongly-established manufacturers helped to stimulate volume growth. Such products included, L-D from JT International, Yava Export and various sub-brands of Kent Nanotek 2.0 from British American Tobacco. Potential smokers now have more knowledge of the negative health impact of smoking cigarettes and more Azerbaijanis are seeking out ‘healthier’ cigarettes (low and mid-tar variants) due to growing health concerns.

Increasing unit prices in 2011

In 2011, cigarette average current unit prices increased by a significant 17%. However, there were no tax increases in the area. Instead, distributors and manufacturers attributed this increase to the rising cost of imported raw materials. However, unit price increases did not affect the number of smokers significantly. The gap in unit prices between locally-produced cigarettes (eg Shirvan) and imported cigarettes (eg Yava Export) declined. Moreover, the fact that consumers are increasingly opting for better quality cigarettes with a lower tar level, the majority of which compete within the medium and premium priced segments, is also putting upwards pressure on unit prices.

Newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks consolidate position

Towards the end of the review period, a number of new stylish and larger kiosks were installed throughout Baku in place of older Soviet-style kiosks. As consumers do not want to wait in queues at supermarkets just to buy cigarettes, newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks are slightly behind supermarkets in terms of distribution share. However, the main distribution channel for cigarettes remains independent small grocers.

Street vendors lost sales share despite benefiting from their location in busy public places, such as in front of underground and transport stations, due to the constant efforts of the relevant authorities to reduce contraband cigarettes and eradicate street trading. Cigars and cigarillos and smoking tobacco are mainly distributed through tobacco specialists, where consumers can find a wider variety of products.

Strong domestic manufacturers lose sales share to multinationals

Regarding the competitive environment, in 2011 there was an increase in the number of imports from well-established operators like British American, Imperial Tobacco and JT International. The further penetration of slims/superslims was one of the main new product development trends within the area. This trend signified a shift towards premium brands, which are perceived as better quality cigarettes. Such a shift can be attributed to the reduction in the price difference between imported and locally produced bands – a development which was underpinned by the fact that there are no domestic brands in the premium price segment. All these factors, in line with rising production costs, resulted in a decline in sales of locally-produced cigarettes towards the end of the review period.

Importance of tar levels to increase over forecast period

Over the forecast period, tar levels in cigarettes will become increasingly important due to rising consumer health awareness. Some high tar cigarettes will continue to be offered. However, the availability of such products will gradually decline. It is expected that anti-smoking campaigns will also be more active in the future. Over the forecast period, imported low tar cigarettes are expected to record the best performance due to their better quality and affordable prices, especially if there is no major gap between locally-produced and domestic cigarettes. It is likely that prices will increase over the coming years, mostly due to rising taxes.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Azerbaijan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Azerbaijan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Azerbaijan for free:

The Tobacco in Azerbaijan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Azerbaijan?
  • What are the major brands in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Azerbaijan?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Azerbaijan?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Azerbaijan in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Azerbaijan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Industry Overview

TOBACCO in Azerbaijan

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Launch of lower tar cigarettes improves performance in 2011

Increasing unit prices in 2011

Newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks consolidate position

Strong domestic manufacturers lose sales share to multinationals

Importance of tar levels to increase over forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation: Azerbaijan Law

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

ADVERTISING & SPONSORSHIP

Media advertising (TV, radio, billboards, press, trade press, cinema, etc.)

Advertising through retail sales points

Sponsorship of sporting/music events

Distribution of tobacco branded gifts (cigarette branded lighters, pens, etc.)

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes
  • Table 8 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2007-2011

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 9 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Azerbaijan MMC in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Azerbaijan MMC: Competitive Position 2011

Cahan Tobacco MMC in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Cahan Tobacco MMC: Competitive Position 2011

JTI Azerbaijan MMC in Tobacco (Azerbaijan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 JTI Azerbaijan MMC: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2011 marked an increase in consumer interest in slim and superslim cigarettes, which usually have lower tar levels, due to increasing awareness of the negative impact on health of higher tar brands. This trend signified a shift towards premium brands, which are seen as better quality cigarettes. Such a shift can be attributed to the reduction in the price difference between imported and locally produced bands. At the same time, more Azerbaijanis are seeking healthier cigarettes (low and mid-tar variants) due to growing health concerns. All of these factors, along with rising production costs, resulted in a decline in sales of locally-produced cigarettes towards the end of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Multinationals dominated cigarettes in Azerbaijan in 2011, accounting for the bulk of sales in all areas and 80% of overall retail volume sales. The area’s performance was shaped by the activities of the four giants: British American Tobacco, Imperial Tobacco, JTI Azerbaijan and European Tobacco-Baku. The local tobacco market is a monopoly in Azerbaijan. Local finished cigarettes production in Azerbaijan is mostly in the hands of European Tobacco-Baku (licensee of British American Tobacco), which accounted for 16% of retail volume sales in 2011. The other local finished cigarettes producer is Cahan Tobacco, which is concentrated mainly in the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic and offers three main brands: Cahan, Visore and Nova. The fact this operator only functions in Nakhichevan means that its sales share remains insignificant.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 10 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarettes has a projected forecast period CAGR of 9% in constant retail value terms and 5% in retail volume terms. Growth within the area will be fuelled by the increasing number of smokers in the country. In addition, it should be noted that while the percentage of the population which smokes will fall over the forecast period, the actual number of smokers will increase due to the rate of growth of the Azerbaijani population. Despite the economic growth recorded in the country in recent years, Azerbaijanis were still living under stressful conditions and remain price-sensitive. Unit prices will increase due to rising global raw material costs and taxes. While the impact of smoking on health is increasingly on the minds of smokers, people continue to smoke due to the strength of the habit and their desire to relax from stressful lifestyles.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 11 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs. slims vs. superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 33 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The popularity of cigars started to grow in 2001, when people started to search for uniqueness, luxury and sophistication. However, cigars have been available in Azerbaijan for many years. As one of the former Soviet Union countries, citizens in Azerbaijan already knew about the existence of cigars in 1960-1970 when the first Cuban cigars appeared on the shelves of several specialist Cuban cigar stores in Moscow. The broad range of Cuban cigars was dominated by brands such as: Belinda, Cabanas, Partagas, Montecristo and Romeo y Julieta. These products were available because of the close political relationship between Cuba and the Soviet Union at the time.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs. Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, Imperial Tobacco Group continued to lead sales within cigars excluding cigarillos with a retail volume share of 23% due to the popularity of its Hav-A-Tampa Jewels and Phillies Blunts brands. Swisher International Group Inc (King Edward brand) ranked second with a retail volume share of 19% while Villiger Söhne AG (Villiger brand) ranked third (18%) and El Casa del Habanos ranked fourth (12%). This later player is noted for its wide presence in large cigars and also benefits from the fact that it offers an assortment wide enough to cater for various consumer tastes.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales of cigars and cigarillos are expected to increase at an average annual rate of 5% over the forecast period while constant retail value sales are projected to increase at an average annual rate of 4%. Volume growth is expected to be higher than the review period CAGR due to the economic downturn, increasing number of higher-income consumers and growing interest in these products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 58 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 59 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Azerbaijan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Water pipes increased in popularity in Azerbaijan in 2011 with such pipes being smoked in water pipe cafes. Classic pipe tobacco is consumed mainly by high-income earners and is mostly smoked in private places. As a result, pipe tobacco has not been affected either by the financial crisis or the smoking ban in enclosed public areas. In general, water pipe tobacco in Azerbaijan comes in two versions: non-flavoured Tumbeki (mainly consumed by older people) and flavoured Galyan (Nargile in Turkish, Ghalioun in Persian), which is mainly consumed by young people aged 25-40-years-old. The most popular flavours are apple, cappuccino, melon and strawberry. It is worth noting that people who consume galyan do not quit smoking or migrate to pipe tobacco from cigarettes but instead continue smoking cigarettes on a general daily basis.

The role and effect of cannabis/marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Planta Tabak-Manufaktur Dr Manfred Obermann and Imperial Tobacco Group continued to lead smoking tobacco in 2011 with retail volume shares of 68% and 6% respectively. RYO tobacco is dominated by Planta Tabak-Manufaktur Dr Manfred Obermann (retail volume share of 83% in 2011) while pipe tobacco is controlled by Imperial Tobacco Group (22%).

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The variety of flavoured tobacco is expected to increase over the forecast period. Given rising demand for and the good performance of flavoured variants, manufacturers will focus on developing new flavours and competitors will focus on flavour sophistication. Many younger consumers will look at smoking galyan as an attractive pastime either at home or in Chaykhanas and this increasing demand will drive sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 70 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 71 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 76 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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