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Country Report

Tobacco in Belarus

Sep 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Belarus with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Belarus, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belarus for free:

The Tobacco in Belarus market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Belarus?
  • What are the major brands in Belarus?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Belarus?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Belarus?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Belarus?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Belarus in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Belarus?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Government retains strong hold on tobacco market

In 2010 the government maintained strong regulatory control of the Belarusian tobacco market with fixed retail prices of cigarettes, with cigarette output also regulated by production quotas, and the right to import all tobacco products belonging to the state. For 2010 the government imposed a production quota on cigarettes of 22.1 billion sticks, which was later increased to 25.1 billion. The importation of cigarettes was kept to a minimum, with the only imports allowed being those brands for which production is not viable in local facilities, ie premium brands. In 2010, imports stood at only 300 million sticks.

Production of compact king size cigarettes begins in Belarus

The local authorities are encouraging the manufacture of “import replacement” products and international cigarette brands in local factories. In October 2010 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno started production of compact king size cigarettes by launching two brands: Minsk Capital and Minsk City. Local manufacturing of international brands in the compact king size format was scheduled for 2011 on the premises of Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno.

Licensed and contract cigarette manufacturing continues to grow

In 2010 the local manufacture of a few more international brands began in Belarus. Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno started its relations with a new player on the market – Tobacco International Enterprises Limited (TIEL) – by contract production of its brands Velvet, Rider and Oscar. According to the TIEL representative, annual manufacturing of all TIEL brands is planned at 1.57 billion sticks, of which 20% will be for export. Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno already manufactures cigarettes under contract for two international companies: BAT and JTI. In 2010 private company Tabak-Invest began production of the Gauloises Blondes brand under licence from Imperial Tobacco.

Neman tobacco factory Grodno continues modernisation

The largest local cigarette manufacturer, Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno, continued its technical modernisation. It did this using its own resources, as well as financial support from international companies which use Grodno for contract manufacturing of their brands. In 2011 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno plans to put into production two new cigarettes lines: one for packaging superslim cigarettes in round-corner packs with a capacity of 6,000 cigarettes per minute; another for packaging of king size cigarettes with the capacity of 8,500 cigarettes per minute. The total cost of both is BYR72.1 billion. In October 2010 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno tested its new cigarette packaging line for compact king size cigarettes. The equipment, costing EUR4.8 million with a capacity of 1.1 billion sticks per year, was financed with company’s own resources.

Restrictions and bans

Belarus, which signed in 2004 and ratified in 2005 the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC), has already implemented a number of restrictions and bans on tobacco consumption, sales and advertising. Among the latest was a restriction prohibiting labelling cigarettes as ‘lights’ or ‘ultra lights’, which came into force in April 2010. In addition, from April 2010 the size of health warnings on tobacco products was increased to cover no less than 30% of the space on each wide side of a pack. Furthermore, information regarding tar and nicotine levels must cover no less than 15% of one of the narrow sides. All packs must also be labelled with the words “Sale of tobacco products is forbidden to under 18 year olds”. The future is expected to see increased fines for smoking in places where smoking is forbidden, a complete ban on smoking in public places, and an increase in the minimum smoking age. These are being debated by Belarusian officials and are likely to be implemented over the forecast period.

Growth expected to continue over forecast period

Cigarettes in Belarus are expected to see moderate volume growth over the forecast period. Volume growth will be supported by increases in mid-, low- and ultra-low tar categories. High-tar cigarettes are expected to see a volume decline due to changing consumption habits. Value growth will surpass volume growth thanks to increasing consumption of more expensive cigarette brands.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Belarus - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Government retains strong hold on tobacco market

Production of compact king size cigarettes begins in Belarus

Licensed and contract cigarette manufacturing continues to grow

Neman tobacco factory Grodno continues modernisation

Restrictions and bans

Growth expected to continue over forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Overview - Tobacco

Country-specific legislation

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty-paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006 - 2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples (H2 2010)

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes 2006-2010
  • Table 7 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Belarus - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Plc in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Trading Company FE: Competitive Position 2010

DelfiDealing in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Japan Tobacco International in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Japan Tobacco International: Competitive Position 2010

Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 11 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno OAO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno: Competitive Position 2010

Tabak-Invest SP OOO in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 15 Tabak-Invest SP OOO: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Tabak-Invest SP OOO: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The local authorities are encouraging the production of ‘import replacement’ products and international cigarette brands in local factories. The key story in the industry in Belarus in 2010 was the start of production of compact king size brands at Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno in October 2010 by launching two of its own brands: Minsk Capital and Minsk City. It is expected that manufacturing of international brands of compact king size cigarettes will begin in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are two manufacturers of cigarettes in Belarus: Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno is a government-owned company, and Tabak-Invest SP is a privately-owned joint Belarusian-American company. At the beginning of 2008 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno changed its status from RPUE (Republican Production Unitary Enterprise) to OAO (Open Joint Stock Company) with 100% of shares belonging to the government. According to the new company status, its shares can be sold and purchased, with up to 50% eligible for purchase by the company’s employees.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Cigarettes – New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarette production over the forecast period, as over the review period, will be regulated by quotas, which are set by the Belarusian Government. At the same time, international companies are likely to start production of more of their brands in local factories. These companies include British American Tobacco Plc, Japan Tobacco Inc, Imperial Tobacco Group Plc and Tobacco International Enterprises Limited. Cigarette imports will continue to go through only one state-owned company – Belarustorg RUE – and will be reduced to 0.5 billion sticks per year.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 18 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: slims/superslims compared with regular

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition of smoking cigars or cigarillos in Belarus. Moreover, cigars and cigarillos are perceived as luxury products, expensive and very often unaffordable to Belarusian consumers. These products are still novelties in Belarus. Most people choose them only for the purpose of trying something new, but not as a regular part of daily tobacco consumption. A trade representative states that these products are often chosen by tourists, who visit Minsk, the capital of Belarus.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce cigars and cigarillos. All products are imported. Before 1 January 2008 only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in import and distribution of cigars and cigarillos. However, legislation changed in January 2008. Since this date DelfiDealing has imported via ‘special importer’ Belarustorg RUE, but continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Cigars and Cigarillos – New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Changing consumption habits towards ‘safer’ products have been apparent throughout the tobacco market in Belarus. This trend will develop in cigarillos, with the segment seeing increasing consumption of filtered cigarillos over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition of consumption of smokeless tobacco in Belarus. Consumers are even less aware of smokeless tobacco than they of smoking tobacco.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce smokeless tobacco products; all products are imported. Before 1 January 2008 only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in smokeless tobacco import and distribution. However, legislation changed in January 2008. Since this date DelfiDealing has imported via the ‘special importer’ Belarustorg RUE, but continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The future of smokeless tobacco is hard to predict with the high possibility of excise being set on the product during the forecast period. For this reason, and also taking into the account the novelty of the product and its very low consumer base, a moderate volume CAGR of less than 2% is expected over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition for smoking tobacco in Belarus. Consumers are not used to smoking pipes or RYO tobacco. During the last few years a greater interest in smoking water pipe tobacco has been observed. This practice was brought from Egypt, which has been one of the most popular holiday destinations over the last few years.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce smoking tobacco products; all products are imported. Before 1 January 2008 only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in smoking tobacco importation and distribution. However, legislation changed in January 2008. From this date DelfiDealing imports via the ‘special importer’ Belarustorg RUE, but continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 20 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Players in smoking tobacco have already adapted to the new legislations and bans that occurred over the last few years. Over the forecast period smoking tobacco is expected to see a healthy volume CAGR of 5%.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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