You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesTobacco
print my pages

Country Report

Tobacco in Belarus

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic crisis fails to halt growth of tobacco

In 2011, Belarus faced a severe economic crisis. According to national statistics, price inflation in 2011 in the entire retail channel was 108%. This was due to a single significant 42% devaluation of the national currency on 24 May 2011 as well as ongoing devaluation throughout the year. Price inflation supported an increase in tobacco value sales of 204% in current terms. Volume sales of tobacco also grew by 16%. According to tobacco experts, domestic demand for cigarettes in Belarus is fairly stable, but additional volumes, which were sold in Belarus in 2011, were taken out of the country to nearby European countries by private travellers. These so-called “people’s exports” were mainly due to the existing disparity between retail prices of cigarettes in Belarus and nearby European countries (Lithuania, Latvia and Poland), which further increased due to the economic crisis in Belarus and the devaluation of the national currency against the US dollar and the euro.

Government regulation of the tobacco market

In 2011, as in previous years, the Belarusian government maintained strong regulatory control of its tobacco market, regulating retail prices of cigarettes and cigarette output. The right to import all tobacco products belongs to one state company. Cigarette output is regulated by a production quota, which was set at 27.6 billion sticks in 2011 but was later increased to 29.23 billion sticks. The production quota for 2012 is 30.23 billion sticks. The import of cigarettes is kept to a minimum, with most brands, including international brands, being produced locally. In 2011, imports stood at just 300 million sticks.

From 1 January 2012, changes were made to the regulation regarding the retail selling price of cigarettes. There now exists a “maximum retail selling price”, while previously there was a “fixed retail selling price”.

Production of superslims and compact king size cigarettes rising in Belarus

The local authorities are encouraging the manufacture of “import replacement” products and international cigarette brands in local factories. In January 2009, Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno began the production of superslim cigarettes, and in October 2010 started production of compact king size cigarettes. Since these dates, the local manufacture of international superslims and compact king size cigarette brands has been carried out on the premises of Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno. In 2011, the share of locally produced superslims and compact king size cigarettes in Belarus stood at 9.7% and 6.4%, respectively, of total retail value sales.

Economy brands gain during the crisis

The consumption of economy brands was the main trend in 2011. Some consumers traded down to local brands, most of which are present in the economy segment. This led to the economy segment increasing its share to 60%, up from 52% in 2010. Economy cigarettes took sales from the mid-priced segment, whose share dropped from 39% in 2010 to 31% in 2011. This trend led to local cigarette manufacturer Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno increasing its own volume share by ten percentage points.

Forecast period to see growth due to illegal exports

Tobacco in Belarus is expected to see moderate volume growth over the forecast period, mainly due to a further increase in cigarette sales. Volume growth will be supported by increases in the mid-, low- and ultra-low tar categories. High-tar cigarettes is expected to post a volume decline due to changing consumption habits. As per the review period, it is expected that a large amount of cigarettes officially sold in Belarus will be illegally exported by individuals to neighbouring countries because of significant differences in cigarette unit prices.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Belarus with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Belarus, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Belarus for free:

The Tobacco in Belarus market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Belarus?
  • What are the major brands in Belarus?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Belarus?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Belarus?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Belarus?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Belarus in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Belarus?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Belarus - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic crisis fails to halt growth of tobacco

Government regulation of the tobacco market

Production of superslims and compact king size cigarettes rising in Belarus

Economy brands gain during the crisis

Forecast period to see growth due to illegal exports

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011
  • Table 4 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Belarus - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Plc in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Plc: Competitive Position 2011

Japan Tobacco International in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Japan Tobacco International: Competitive Position 2011

Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno: Competitive Position 2011

Tabak-Invest SP OOO in Tobacco (Belarus)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 14 Tabak-Invest SP OOO: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 Tabak-Invest SP OOO: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • From 1 January 2012, legislation regarding cigarette prices was changed. The government still controls the retail selling price of cigarettes, but from that date there exists a “fixed maximum retail selling price”, while before there was a “fixed retail selling price”.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of local cigarette producers in Belarus, there are only two companies - government-owned Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno and privately-owned joint Belarusian-American company Tabak-Invest SP OOO. At the beginning of 2008, Neman Tobacco Factory Grodno changed its status from RPUP (Republican Production Unitary Enterprise) to OAO (Open Joint Stock Company) with 100% of shares belonging to the government.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Cigarettes – New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarette production over the forecast period, as over the review period, will be regulated by quotas which are set by the Belarusian government. At the same time, international companies are likely to start production of more of their brands at local factories. These companies include BAT, JTI, Imperial Tobacco Group Plc and Tobacco International Enterprises Ltd. Cigarette imports will continue to go through only one state-owned company – Belarustorg RUE – and will be reduced to 0.5 billion sticks per year.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 17 Cigarette Price Band Definitions (end of 2011)

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars and cigarillos are relatively new products in Belarus. They are generally perceived as luxury products, expensive and largely unaffordable to most Belarusians. Most people choose them only for the purpose of trying something new, but not as a regular part of daily tobacco consumption. Another consumer group for cigars and cigarillos is tourists who visit Minsk, the capital of Belarus.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce cigars and cigarillos. All products are imported. Before 1 January 2008, only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in the import and distribution of cigars and cigarillos. However, the legislation regarding tobacco imports changed in January 2008. A state monopoly for all tobacco imports was created in Belarus on 1 January 2008; since that date all imports of cigars and cigarillos have been carried out by just one company, Belarustorg RUE, while DelfiDealing continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 18 Cigars and Cigarillos – New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period the category is expected to post a retail volume CAGR of 6%. Growth will be supported by a still low base and the low penetration of cigars and cigarillos in Belarus. The vast majority of sales will be accounted for by cigarillos.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition for smokeless tobacco in Belarus. Consumers are even less aware of smokeless tobacco than they are of smoking tobacco.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce smokeless tobacco products. All products are imported. Before 1 January 2008 only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in the import and distribution of smokeless tobacco. However, the legislation for tobacco imports changed in January 2008. A state monopoly for all tobacco imports was created in Belarus on 1 January 2008; since that date all imports of tobacco products have been carried out by just one company, Belarustorg RUE, while DelfiDealing continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The future of smokeless tobacco looks promising after the government made the decision that smokeless tobacco will have to carry excise labels but excise duty will be zero. With the legal issues now resolved, the category is anticipated a volume CAGR of 12% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Belarus - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco is not very popular in Belarus. Consumers are not used to smoking pipes or RYO tobacco. During the last few years greater interest in smoking water pipe tobacco has been observed. This practice was brought from Egypt, which has been one of the most popular holiday destinations over the last few years.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Local companies do not produce smoking tobacco products. All products are imported. Before 1 January 2008, only one company, DelfiDealing, specialised in the import and distribution of smoking tobacco. However, the legislation for tobacco imports changed in January 2008. A state monopoly for all tobacco imports was created in Belarus on 1 January 2008; since that date all imports of tobacco products have been carried out by just one company, Belarustorg RUE, while DelfiDealing continues to distribute the products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period smoking tobacco is expected to post a volume CAGR of 5%. This performance will be supported by a still low sales base and the still low penetration of smoking tobacco in Belarus, as well as growing interest in water pipe tobacco. The vast majority of sales will be accounted for by pipe tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!