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Country Report

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Sep 2010

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Bosnia-Herzegovina for free:

The Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What are the major brands in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Bosnia-Herzegovina in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Drop in illicit trade boosts sales

The decline of illicit trade, cut by almost three times over the review period, was the key factor impacting sales of tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina. This is largely a consequence of the establishment of a single taxing authority at state level – the Bosnia and Herzegovina Indirect Taxing Authority, which was put in charge of collecting all indirect taxes on the whole territory of Bosnia-Herzegovina. Introduction of a VAT system in 2006 was important for fighting the illicit trade. For the last three years of the review period, the tobacco market in Bosnia-Herzegovina has stabilized on a new higher level and has become one of the main revenue producers for the public sector.

New law on excises

The most important 2009 event for the tobacco market in Bosnia-Herzegovina was the introduction of a new law on excises, which became operational on 1 July 2009. This law revised ad valorem excise by decreasing it, while at the same time introducing specific excise. Overall, the effect on the market was instant price increases. Furthermore, the Law projects future tax hikes for upcoming years. This will largely determine the outlook of the market for the forecast period.

Domestic producers maintain their good performance

Domestic producers did reasonably well relative to internationals in 2009. Consumers turned to domestic brands in search of savings. Largest domestic manufacturer – Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo is still a strong leader in volume sales, while Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka looks for ways to upgrade its archaic product portfolio. These manufacturers will continue to fight hard to defend their market shares for as long as it takes. Their goal is to be at the top of their game, when the time for acquisition comes. Obviously, Bosnia-Herzegovina tobacco market is widely open to imports – import taxes are being lifted, internationals are opening their offices. Soon domestics will not be able to keep their sales up.

Convenience drives distribution

In 2009, convenience factors are still the most influential in the current structure of the retail distribution landscape of tobacco products in Bosnia-Herzegovina. This is why three channels: convenience stores, kiosks and independent small grocers, control almost 80% of total retail volume of cigarettes. For other less conventional products like cigars and smoking tobacco, the retail distribution pattern is somewhat different, emphasizing the role of more specialized retail outlets. Recently adopted laws have imposed new restrictions on the distribution of tobacco products, but these are yet to be fully enforced.

Tax hike impacts future growth in sales

A consequence of the adoption of the new law on excises is that retail prices of cigarettes will increase by at least 10% on average, each year until the end of the forecast period. This sharp incline of unit prices will inevitably hurt demand for cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Stricter enforcement of anti-smoking laws will further support this trend. However, not everything seems bleak for tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Categories like smoking tobacco and cigars will not be negatively affected by the new law on excises. If anything, the new law means less of a tax burden for smoking tobacco, which is why this category could come out as the winner at the end of the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Drop in illicit trade boosts sales

New law on excises

Domestic producers maintain their good performance

Convenience drives distribution

Tax hike impacts future growth in sales

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2004-2009
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2004-2009

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2004-2009

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2009

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2004-2009
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Company Profiles

Fabrika Duhana Mostar dd - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd: Competitive Position 2009

Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION BY FACTORY

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad: Competitive Position 2009

Philip Morris doo - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Summary  Philip Morris doo: Competitive Position 2009

Rovita doo - Tobacco - Bosnia-Herzegovina

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Rovita doo: Competitive Position 2009

Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • New law on excises which came into effect on 1 July 2009 was a crucial event for cigarettes that year. It is likely to continue affecting the market strongly during the forecast period as well, as it projects a mandatory tax hike. The law introduced a specific excise tax which will be increased by at least BAM7.5 per 1,000 sticks each January, until cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina reach those of other EU countries.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina is not organised as a monopoly. There are three domestic cigarettes manufacturers. Fabrika Duhana Mostar dd has not operated for several years now. An attempt to privatise it fell through in 2009, when Bulgarian investors backed out of the project, claiming they were not getting what they bought. Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad was privatised in 2005 – its majority shareholder being a domestic distributor of FMCGs – Antonic Trade doo. Antonic Trade is also an exclusive distributor for TDR brands in Republika Srpska. Finally, the largest domestic cigarettes manufacturer, Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd is still controlled by the state, or rather the entity – Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The recently adopted law on excise tax will have the strongest influence on cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina during the forecast period. The law has set a rule for a tax hike which is likely to increase average cigarette prices in Bosnia-Herzegovina by at least 50% by 2014. Such a strong price increase will inevitably affect the demand for cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Furthermore, increased public revenues from excises will provide funds for the implementation of a stricter anti-smoking policy.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 18 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

Cigars in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition of cigar/cigarillos smoking in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Average consumers recognize cigars/cigarillos as status symbols. Regular cigar/cigarillo smokers are few, and it is not a category that many cigars/cigarillos retailers in Bosnia-Herzegovina can live off.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2005-2009

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Lora doo was the largest importer and distributor of cigars and cigarillos in Bosnia-Herzegovina. The company markets a wide range of cigar and cigarillos brands manufactured by Arnold André Cigars GmbH & Co KG, Corporacion Habanos SA, Swedish Match AB and Agio Sigarenfabrieken NV. The brands distributed by Lora accounted for over 90% of retail volume sales of cigars and cigarillos in Bosnia-Herzegovina during the review period. However, Lora did not import a single cigar nor cigarillos pack for three years, as it tried to get rid of its stock.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Growth of cigars/cigarillos over the forecast period in Bosnia-Herzegovina will be driven by recovery of consumers’ disposable income and revival of supply – new importers, improved availability and brand range and introduction of advertising.

CATEGORY DATA

Smokeless Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is not sold in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Smoking Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RYO smoking tobacco is very popular with elderly people in the south of Bosnia-Herzegovina, more precisely in Herzegovina. However, most RYO tobacco consumed by this population is from their own production or bought off the retail market. Pipe tobacco is significantly less popular, and regarded as a kind of status symbol or an image item.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • As with cigars and cigarillos, Lora doo is the largest importer and distributor of smoking tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Lora markets smoking tobacco brands from the following manufacturers: Mac Baren Tobacco Co A/S, McClelland Tobacco and Lane Ltd.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco, especially RYO tobacco, has a real chance to penetrate the economy segment in Bosnia-Herzegovina during the forecast period. There is no specific excise on smoking tobacco, whereas specific excise looks to become a dominant proportion of an average economy cigarette’s retail price. Currently, specific excise accounts for approximately 20% of an average economy priced pack of cigarettes. The plan is to keep increasing it until total excise reaches at least BAM2.5 per pack of 20 cigarettes, which means a price increase of some 300% for economy cigarettes over the next decade.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Handmade vs Machine-manufactured Cigars
  • Illicit Trade Penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit Trade Volume
  • Illicit Trade Volume % growth
  • Illicit Trade Volume per capita
  • Retail Volume (sticks)
  • Retail Volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail Volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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