You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesTobacco
print my pages

Country Report

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Excise hikes impact negatively on cigarettes volume sales

Increased taxation was the most influential trend in Bosnia-Herzegovina’s tobacco market during the review period. The adoption of new legislation led to the introduction of a specific excise tax on cigarettes in July 2009. This excise duty subsequently increased sharply at the beginning of 2010 and 2011. The primary goal of these tax hikes was to significantly bolster government revenues from the tobacco market, and they were largely successful in this regard. Excise hikes also had a number of other consequences, however. Most notably, rising unit prices impacted negatively on retail volume sales of cigarettes, as many smokers tried to cut down or quit or switched to cheaper tobacco products in order to save money. Price increases resulting from excise hikes also sparked a resurgence in illicit trade within the cigarettes category.

RYO tobacco increasingly favoured by price sensitive smokers

After having performed poorly during the first half of the review period, in 2010 RYO tobacco recovered strongly to record rapid growth in retail volume sales. This recovery gained pace in 2011, with volume growth dwarfing that for the previous year. The impressive turnaround of the category was another consequence of excise hikes on cigarettes. As cigarette unit prices rose sharply, many smokers switched to RYO tobacco products, which were not subject to tax hikes and thus became an increasingly economical alternative.

Multinational giant Imperial Tobacco makes significant gains in 2011

Aside from a general slump in demand, sharp price increases also caused significant changes within the competitive environment in cigarettes in 2011. Since they were primarily focused on offering lower priced brands, which were most affected by excise hikes, domestic companies Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd and Rovita doo both experienced volume share declines. Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo’s share declined at a slightly slower rate, allowing it to overtake Rovita and become the leading cigarettes player overall in volume sales terms. Thanks to their broader portfolios and global experience, multinationals were much better equipped to cope with the impact of excise hikes. This was particularly the case with Imperial Tobacco BH doo. New launches and strategic changes in the price positioning of a number of key brands enabled the company to increase its cigarettes volume share by a very impressive six percentage points over 2010-2011.

Independent small grocers lose ground in tobacco products distribution

Independent small grocers remained the most important distribution channel for cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina in 2011. During the review period, however, its volume share declined steadily as channels like hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores and forecourt retailers gained ground in line with the expansion of chains and the trend towards busier lifestyles. Independent small grocers also experienced volume share declines in cigars and smoking tobacco, where hotels/restaurants/bars and tobacco specialists were the dominant distribution channels respectively in 2011. While the review period did witness the adoption of legislation that imposed new restrictions on the distribution of tobacco products, as of late 2011 they had yet to be fully enforced.

Number of adult smokers looks set to decline steadily towards 2016

It is expected that specific excise hikes will continue to push cigarette unit prices upwards over the forecast period. This will in turn continue to impact negatively on retail volume sales of cigarettes, as price increases will bolster illicit trade, encourage some smokers to cut down or quit and lead others to switch to cheaper types of tobacco products. This latter trend will be most beneficial for RYO tobacco, which is expected to be by far the most dynamic category in volume and constant value growth terms. The forecast period is also expected to witness the adoption of new anti-smoking legislation in Bosnia-Herzegovina, as well as stricter enforcement of existing regulations on issues like public smoking bans and tobacco distribution. Together with price hikes and rising health awareness, such activities should cause the number of smokers in the adult population to decline steadily, while also bolstering demand for smoking cessation aids and substitutes like e-cigarettes or even smokeless tobacco.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Bosnia-Herzegovina for free:

The Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • What are the major brands in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Bosnia-Herzegovina?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Bosnia-Herzegovina in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Excise hikes impact negatively on cigarettes volume sales

RYO tobacco increasingly favoured by price sensitive smokers

Multinational giant Imperial Tobacco makes significant gains in 2011

Independent small grocers lose ground in tobacco products distribution

Number of adult smokers looks set to decline steadily towards 2016

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Company Profiles

Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd in Tobacco (Bosnia-Herzegovina)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo dd: Competitive Position 2011

Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad in Tobacco (Bosnia-Herzegovina)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka ad: Competitive Position 2011

Rovita doo in Tobacco (Bosnia-Herzegovina)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Rovita doo: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • After unexpected albeit very modest growth in 2010, retail volume sales of cigarettes declined by 5% in 2011. This decline was a direct consequence of a hike in the specific excise tax on cigarettes. First introduced in 2009 and increased at the start of 2010 and 2011, this excise tax caused cigarette prices to rise sharply during the latter half of the review period. This led many smokers to start buying black market cigarettes from illicit traders, and encouraged others to switch to RYO tobacco. Moreover, together with rising health awareness, price increases motivated some smokers to try and cut down or quit altogether. This also contributed to the decline in retail volume sales of cigarettes. While the specific excise tax hike caused retail volume sales of cigarettes to decline, resultant price increases ensured that the category still showed current value growth of 6% in 2011. Because of the decline in volume sales, however, current value growth was significantly slower than that recorded the previous year.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • State-controlled company Fabrika Duhana Sarajevo was the overall leader in cigarettes in 2011 with a retail volume share of 32%. Thanks to its competitive pricing strategy and a broad portfolio that includes well established domestic brands such as Drina, Aura, Code, 8, Royal and Diva Slims, it dominated high tar cigarettes, ranked second in the ultra low tar category and finished third and fourth respectively in mid tar and low tar cigarettes. Rovita was the second leading player overall with a volume share of 30%. The company led the mid tar, low tar and ultra low tar categories, and ranked fifth in high tar cigarettes. Rovita’s most popular cigarettes brands included Ronhill, Walter Wolf, York, MC and Avangard. Philip Morris finished third overall with a retail volume share of just over 14%, closely followed by fellow multinational Imperial Tobacco with a 14% share. Fabrika Duvana Banja Luka, one of only two domestic cigarette producers still active in Bosnia-Herzegovina, rounded out the top five with a retail volume share of 3%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches 2011

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period Bosnia-Herzegovina is expected to witness stricter implementation of existing tobacco control laws, as well as the introduction of new ones. Pressure on the government to take a tougher line in this area will come from domestic and foreign NGOs, as well as international organisations like the WHO and the EU. At the same time, the specific excise tax on cigarettes will continue to increase, while consumers will become better informed about the dangers of smoking thanks to improvements in living standards and rising health awareness. Together, these factors will cause retail volume sales of cigarettes to decline steadily. Constant value sales are expected to grow by 4% in 2012, primarily due to an increase in the specific excise tax, and then decline consistently due to falling volume sales. Despite some fluctuation, it is expected that by 2016 cigarettes constant value sales will be unchanged on the figure recorded in 2011.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions 2011

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Bosnia-Herzegovina does not have a well established or significant cigar smoking culture. Traditionally, cigars have been perceived as status symbols associated with affluence. The number of people who smoke cigars or cigarillos on a regular basis is still very low, which has historically limited the attractiveness and profit potential of this category for large distributors. Nonetheless, towards the end of the review period the category did benefit from the entry of new distributor Satelit TMB HB. This company carries a wide selection of brands and has a more competitive pricing strategy than many of its rivals. Moreover, unlike most distributors, Satelit is not solely focused on major urban centres, with its network also serving retailers in smaller towns and even rural areas.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swedish Match remained the overall leader in cigars in 2011 with a volume share of 37%. This was mainly due to its strong lead in cigarillos, the largest category in volume terms, where it offers the La Paz, Willem II and Clubmaster brands. Agio Sigarenfabrieken ranked second overall, claiming a volume share of 25%. Like Swedish Match, Agio Sigarenfabrieken is primarily active in the cigarillos category, where it offers the Panter and Mehari’s brands. Imperial Tobacco was the third leading cigars company with a volume share of 15%. Thanks to a broad portfolio that includes brands like Jewels, Phillies, Davidoff and Flor De Copan, the company ranked third in both cigars (excluding cigarillos) and cigarillos. Corporación Habanos SA, which offers world famous brands such as Cohiba, Hoyo De Monterrey and Montecristo, was the leading company in cigars (excluding cigarillos), followed by Arnold André Cigars GmbH & Co KG, which offers the Vasco da Gama and Independence brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigars - New Product Launches 2011

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Compared to the declines witnessed during the review period, cigars looks set to show a significantly improved performance over 2011-2016, with robust growth in total volume and constant value sales predicted. This improvement will be underpinned by economic recovery and rising disposable incomes, which will make cigars and cigarillos affordable to greater numbers of consumers. New launches and improvements in distribution, particularly via mainstream retail channels like newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks, will also impact positively on the development of the entire category. To a lesser extent, the category will also benefit as rising health awareness continues to encourage some cigarette smokers to switch to cigars and cigarillos in an effort to reduce their overall tobacco consumption.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco products were not available in Bosnia-Herzegovina in 2011.

Smoking Tobacco in Bosnia-Herzegovina - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume and current value growth rates for smoking tobacco in 2011 were up massively on those for 2010, as well as on the respective CAGRs for the entire review period. This was mainly due to the strong performance of RYO tobacco, the most dynamic category with volume growth of 90% and current value growth of 43%. From 2009 onwards, the specific excise tax on cigarettes made RYO tobacco an increasingly affordable and attractive alternative for many smokers in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Companies in the latter moved quickly to capitalise on this switching trend, launching a wave of new brands in the economy segment and reducing prices for many established brands as subsequent hikes in the specific excise tax made cigarettes even more expensive.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Imperial Tobacco retained its leading position in smoking tobacco in 2011 with a volume share of 42%. Offering a broad portfolio that includes economy (Paramount), mid-priced (Super Value) and premium brands (Golden Virginia, Drum, Davidoff), the company was the clear leader in RYO tobacco, where it claimed a volume share of 46%. It also ranked third in pipe tobacco, where it offers products under the Super Value and Davidoff brands. Distribution of Imperial’s smoking tobacco brands is split between a number of companies. The company itself distributes Paramount, for example, while Satelit handle distribution of Super Value. Most of the company’s premium brands meanwhile are directly imported from Croatia by tobacco specialists.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco looks set to be the most dynamic performer within the wider tobacco market of Bosnia-Herzegovina over the forecast period. Volume and constant value growth rates for the entire category are expected to dwarf the respective CAGRs recorded during the review period. This will be main due to the growing popularity of RYO tobacco as an affordable alternative to cigarettes, prices for which will continue to rise steeply in line with specific excise hikes. Manufacturers and distributors in will continue to try and capitalise on this trend by launching new RYO tobacco products, particularly in the economy segment, while also investing in the expansion of their distribution networks. Such activities will help to further strengthen the development of smoking tobacco as a whole.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!