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Country Report

Tobacco in Denmark

Jul 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Denmark with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Denmark, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Denmark for free:

The Tobacco in Denmark market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Denmark?
  • What are the major brands in Denmark?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Denmark?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Denmark?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Denmark?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Denmark in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Denmark?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail value sales see positive growth in 2010

Tobacco in Denmark saw positive retail value sales growth in 2010, which was faster than the CAGR recorded for the review period as a whole. This improved performance can be linked to the high increase in taxation levels seen in 2010, which served to drive up unit prices and, consequently, had a positive influence on retail value sales for the year. However, these taxation increases had a negative impact on retail volume sales and encouraged demand for lower priced, economy cigarettes. The popularity of economy cigarettes has increased significantly since their introduction in 2002, to the point that in 2010 they accounted for a 24% share of retail volume sales.

Taxation dominates developments in 2010

In 2010, Denmark witnessed a significant increase in the taxation of cigarettes. This resulted in a strong increase in unit prices and, combined with a decrease in smoking prevalence in the country, had a negative impact on retail volume sales growth. The increase also led to a consumer shift towards economy cigarettes in 2010. Players sought to support this shift through strengthening their economy brand product portfolios. For example, the Pall Mall brand saw the launch of a new flavour variant and the introduction of different packaging types during the year.

Supermarkets/hypermarkets remains the leading distribution channel

Supermarkets/hypermarkets was the leading distribution channel for cigarettes and smoking tobacco in Denmark in 2010. Tobacco specialists remained the most important distribution channel for cigars, while convenience stores remained the leading distribution channel for smokeless tobacco. In line with changes in the Danish grocery retailing landscape, which saw an increase in the number of discounter outlets, discounters saw a further gain in its share of tobacco retail volume sales in 2010. Internet retailing likewise saw a further increase in its share of tobacco retail volume sales in 2010, albeit from a limited sales base.

Concentrated sales environment

Multinationals continued to hold strong positions in tobacco in Denmark in 2010. This was most evident in cigarettes, where British American Tobacco and Philip Morris together accounted for a retail volume sales share in excess of 90%. Domestic players, however, continued to enjoy dominant positions in cigars, smoking tobacco and smokeless tobacco, with Scandinavian Tobacco, Mac Baren Tobacco and House of Oliver Twist the leading players in these categories. The domestic company, V2 Tobacco A/S emerged as an important player in Swedish-style snus over the review period.

Retail value sales expected to decline

Retail value sales of tobacco in Denmark are expected to see a decline over the forecast period, as an expected decrease in smoking prevalence will lower absolute demand for tobacco. Consumer health-consciousness is increasing on a year-by-year basis and this, combined with governmental forces designed to lower the consumption of tobacco, is serving to limit the appeal of tobacco products. Meanwhile, players are expected to seek to further develop economy cigarette sales over coming years, which will have a further negative impact on retail value sales growth. Recent new launches, such as the economy Pall Mall brand, are accordingly expected to see increased demand over the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Denmark - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Retail value sales see positive growth in 2010

Taxation dominates developments in 2010

Supermarkets/hypermarkets remains the leading distribution channel

Concentrated sales environment

Retail value sales expected to decline

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Denmark - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Denmark A/S in Tobacco (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Denmark A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Mac Baren Tobacco Co A/S in Tobacco (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Mac Baren Tobacco Company A/S: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Mac Baren Tobacco Company A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S in Tobacco (Denmark)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 11 Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The 8% decline in retail volume sales seen in 2010 was significantly larger than the negative CAGR of 2% recorded over the review period as a whole. This can primarily be attributed to the increase in taxation seen in 2010, but can also be linked to a continued decrease in smoking prevalence amongst Denmark’s adult population, which decreased in 2010 on 2009 recordings to equal 22%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • British American Tobacco Denmark remained the leading player in cigarettes in Denmark, in accounting for a retail volume sales share of 83% in 2010. The company’s position was supported by its ever popular Prince brand, which accounted for a leading retail volume sales share of 30% in global brand name terms.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales are expected to record a negative CAGR of 2% over the forecast period. This is weaker than the performance recorded over the review period. Increasing health-consciousness is expected to result in a decrease in smoking prevalence. Furthermore, taxation increases are also expected to negatively affect demand over the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is a strong tradition of both smoking and manufacturing cigars in Denmark. What is really noticeable is the relatively high number of female cigar smokers, as traditionally, it has been socially acceptable for women to smoke cigars in Denmark. While many younger smokers changed to cigarettes during the 1970s and 1980s, cigars had a small revival and became fashionable again during the mid-to-late 1990s, especially among those aged 25-35 of both genders. Over the review period, people continued to typically acquire the habit at this age, and the majority of cigar smokers remained former cigarette smokers.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Scandinavian Tobacco Group continued to dominate cigars and cigarillos in Denmark in 2010, in accounting for an 83% share of retail volume sales. The company sells its own brands and imports and markets many major international brands and niche products. It therefore has a wide brand portfolio of premium and mass brands. Of its own brands, Golf, Advokat and Café Crème are among the most important. The former two remained the leading brands in cigars excluding cigarillos in Denmark in 2010, while the latter was the second-ranked cigarillo brand behind Mini Golf. Montecristo, Cohiba, Dunhill, Davidoff and CAO are amongst the most renowned brands that the company distributes exclusively in Denmark.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales are expected to decrease over the forecast period. This can be linked to the expected decrease in smoking prevalence, as a result of increasing consumer health-consciousness.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Denmark has a long tradition of producing and consuming smokeless tobacco. One of the category leaders, the Danish company House of Oliver Twist, was founded in 1805 when it began the production of ‘skrå’, which is the traditional Danish version of US-style chewing tobacco. Skrå was very popular up until the end of World War II. In 1946, total domestic consumption stood at 635 tonnes. It then grew to be regarded as old fashioned, as most tobacco users switched to cigarettes over the next 50 years. In 1997, smokeless tobacco consumption stood at 6 tonnes, and skrå was largely associated with the elderly. Since then, skrå has been re-invented; the modern version is often called ‘tobacco bits’ and is much more hygienic and discreet. This and the anti-smoking trend have helped smokeless tobacco regain popularity.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Scandinavian Tobacco led smokeless tobacco in Denmark in 2010, in accounting for a retail volume sales share of 32%. However, retail volume sales are not representative of retail value sales shares and actual presence in smokeless tobacco, as snus is a much heavier product format than chewing tobacco. Serving about the same usage, a pack of chewing tobacco weighs 7g, while a pack of snus weighs 40g-50g. In 2010, the average unit price for snus was DKr446 per kg, while that of chewing tobacco was DKr3,965 per kg.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales are expected to see a CAGR of 4%, or growth of 20%, over the forecast period to reach 49 tonnes in 2015.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Denmark - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Denmark has a long tradition as a pipe and tobacco manufacturing nation. Scandinavian Tobacco Group is the largest player in the global pipe tobacco arena, not including Arabic water pipes. It is also a significant producer of RYO tobacco. The Danish company, Mac Baren Tobacco is also a well-known producer, mainly of pipe tobacco. Strong domestic production of pipes and tobacco has traditionally led to a high number of pipe smokers in the country. Denmark has the highest number of western-style pipe smokers per capita in the world.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Scandinavian Tobacco remained the clear leader in smoking tobacco in Denmark in 2010, in accounting for a retail volume sale share of 77%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • An expected decline in smoking prevalence from 22% in 2010 to 20% in 2015 will negatively impact retail volume sales growth over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 77 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 78 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 79 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 80 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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