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Country Report

Tobacco in Georgia

Jun 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Georgia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Georgia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Georgia for free:

The Tobacco in Georgia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Georgia?
  • What are the major brands in Georgia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Georgia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Georgia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Georgia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Georgia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Georgia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising health awareness

Illegal production and distribution decreased noticeably due to decisive steps by the government to improve customs during the review period in Georgia. The outcome of this was legal volume sales increased in 2006, although rising health awareness strengthened the volume sales decrease. Potential smokers had more knowledge of the negative impact to health of smoking cigarettes, which reduced the number of people who started the habit, and encouraged some to quit smoking. In 2009 this was the major reason for the decline in volume sales of cigarettes. In 2010 there was an increase in volume sales once again, meaning that health awareness was not such a concern any longer, as people still suffer from stressful life due to political and economical uncertainty. In fact, consumers preferred better quality cigarettes with a lower tar level in 2010.

Tar level matters in 2010

The tar content of cigarettes was limited to 10mg by presidential decree in Georgia for a while (since 1st of March 2009). However, law enforcement in this regard is not very developed in Georgia, so cigarettes with a tar content of more than 10mg are still sold in the country. Since 2009, this situation has been gradually changing, and high tar cigarettes are steadily being withdrawn from the market. This is due mainly to importers and local producers being willing to work more strictly to the existing decree. However, as some high tar cigarettes remain in stock, distributors will sell them in the Georgian market to exhaust their supplies.

Increasing unit prices in 2010

Local manufacturers and multinational manufacturers have operated actively in the Georgian market over many years. The leading brands depend on the circumstances, and have been imported cigarettes or locally produced cigarettes at various times; it mainly depends on price differences and quality preferences. In 2010, taxes were increased for local manufacturers, and the price of imported raw materials also increased. This meant that the gap in unit price between locally-produced cigarettes and imported cigarettes reduced. In 2010 the leading share belonged to local manufacturers. However, it is likely that prices are going to increase once again, and people will choose imported brands because of their better quality and affordable prices over the forecast period.

Small grocery retailers and tobacco specialists dominate distribution

Independent small grocers was the main distribution channel for tobacco products in Georgia in 2010. However, tobacco specialists dominated retail distribution of cigars and cigarillos and smoking tobacco. Independent small grocers and other small grocery retailers are very widely established across Georgia. In particular they are popular in rural areas of the country. The smoking population in these areas is larger than in urban areas. People in cities are concerned about health issues, and are more willing to give up this habit. Tobacco specialists is the main distribution channel for cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco. This is due to the current legislation, as the sale of these products in newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks and other non-grocery retail outlets is prohibited. Internet retailing gained some share of cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco in 2010.

Imported cigarettes may lead in the future

Over the forecast period, low tar cigarettes and imported cigarettes are expected to see the best performance. Georgians are aware of the damage which smoking can do to health these days. It is expected that anti-smoking campaigns will also be more active in the future. Therefore, smokers who will not give up smoking completely are expected to switch to cigarettes with a lower tar level. Imported cigarettes are considered better quality, and when the price is the same as locally-produced cigarettes, more consumers will choose imported products over the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Georgia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Rising health awareness

Tar level matters in 2010

Increasing unit prices in 2010

Small grocery retailers and tobacco specialists dominate distribution

Imported cigarettes may lead in the future

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

The law on tobacco control in Georgia

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 1 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 2 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 4 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2006-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 5 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 6 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Georgia - Company Profiles

Eliz Group in Tobacco (Georgia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Georgian Tobacco Manufacturing Ltd (GTM) in Tobacco (Georgia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Georgian Tobacco Manufacturing Ltd (GTM): Competitive Position 2010

Omega Group Tobacco Ltd in Tobacco (Georgia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Omega Group Tobacco Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Georgian people, having experienced a great deal of stress within the last two years, although currently going through recovery, tended to consume more tobacco; consumption was also encouraged by low prices of cigarettes and a lack of strictness in terms of executing the regulations by the respective authorities.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The tobacco market is not a monopoly in Georgia.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 10 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarettes is expected to see a CAGR of 2% in constant value terms and a CAGR of 3% in retail volume terms over the forecast period. This will be due to increasing numbers of smokers and the increasing unit price of cigarettes. Georgians were living under stressful conditions due to the war with Russia and global economic recession during recent years. This situation increased the smoking population in Georgia. Unit prices will increase due to the increasing global price of raw materials and increasing taxes. The impact of smoking on health is, without any doubt, going to be an issue in Georgians’ minds over the forecast period. This will certainly decrease the smoking population in the future.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 11 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filtered/unfiltered

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is very little tradition of smoking cigars and cigarillos in Georgia, as in Soviet times there were only cigarettes available. Smoking of cigars and cigarillos belonged to “evil capitalism”, and people were not even allowed to smoke them openly. There are two main reasons for the small share of cigars in the Georgian tobacco market: people cannot afford them as they are very expensive, and consumers do not understand why to smoke cigars. There is a complete lack of cigar culture in the country.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 Altadis maintained the leading position in cigars excluding cigarillos, with a retail volume share of 60%. The cigar brand Phillies and cigarillos brand Hav-A-Tampa contributed to the achievement of the leading position. The brand Phillies Titan Black held the leading position in cigars excluding cigarillos with a volume share of 25%. The second position was held by Phillies Sweets with a retail volume share of 11%. The third position was held by Phillies Blunts, also with a retail volume share of 11%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 12 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales of cigars and cigarillos are expected to increased by a CAGR of 4% to reach 100,000 units, and to increase by a retail constant value CAGR of 4% to reach GEL0.7 million over the forecast period. Growth in sales is expected to be positive because previous demand was very low due to the economic downturn. As the key consumers are higher-income, positive growth is expected, because of their increasing interest in these products. Economic stabilisation and growth will be very beneficial for more expensive tobacco products than for cigarettes. Over the forecast period new launches are expected, which in addition to advancing distribution through internet retailing and an increasing number of cigar clubs and bars, will lead to growth in retail volume and constant value terms.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 44 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 50 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 51 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Georgia - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • There is no tradition for smokeless tobacco in Georgia. The law on tobacco control states smokeless tobacco as a type of tobacco, but does not mention it further, whether it is banned or legal.

Smoking Tobacco in Georgia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In the past, tobacco was grown in the country, so smoking tobacco in Georgia has deeper traditions than that of cigars and cigarillos. However, smoking tobacco has very little contribution to overall sales of tobacco, with very low volume and value sales. This is due to Georgia being part of the Soviet Union for half a century, whereby cigarettes was the only legal smoking material. Georgians recognise that smoking tobacco is quite problematic compared with cigarettes in terms of having to roll cigarettes yourself or stuff a pipe. The other major problem preventing smoking tobacco from becoming more popular is its quite high price when bearing in mind the price of cigarettes in Georgia.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2010 the leading company in smoking tobacco was British American Tobacco Middle East & Caucasus, with a retail volume share of 4% due to the success of its Samson and Captain Black brands. Samson Halfzware Shag and Samson Bright Blend held the leading brand positions in RYO tobacco, whilst Captain Black and Captain Black Lights ranked in fifth and second positions respectively in the pipe tobacco.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • The forecast is likely to be positive, as smoking tobacco is expected to increase by a constant value CAGR of 11% over the forecast period, and retail volume sales are expected to increase by a CAGR of 9%. Positive growth is expected in volume and constant value terms due to volumes remaining very low in the category. Some other factors will also help to increase demand. As Georgians are sensitive to price issues, it is expected that some cigarette smokers will switch to RYO or pipe tobacco because of the expected constant price increase in cigarettes. At the same time, smoking tobacco is believed to do less harm to health, and some cigarette smokers could change for that reason in Georgia.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 58 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 63 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 64 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 65 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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