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Country Report

Tobacco in Hungary

Jan 2012

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Hungary with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Hungary, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Hungary for free:

The Tobacco in Hungary market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Hungary?
  • What are the major brands in Hungary?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Hungary?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Hungary?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Hungary?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Hungary in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Hungary?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic factors and health concerns continue to influence market development

Similar economic factors and consumption trends to those observed in 2009 continued to influence the development of the Hungarian tobacco market in 2010. The impact of the economic downturn encouraged some people to quit smoking, while others sought to save money by smoking less or switching to cheaper tobacco products. At the same time, rising health awareness also encouraged people to try and reduce their tobacco consumption, or in the case of cigarette smokers, switch to lower tar products or even electric cigarettes. The most visible result of these trends was that retail volume sales of cigarettes continued to decline, while cigars and smoking tobacco both showed robust growth in volume terms. Cigarette smokers switched to cigars and smoking tobacco products not only because they are cheaper, but also in the hope that such a move might help them to lower their total tobacco intake and thus improve their health.

Cigarettes volume sales continue to decline but price hikes bolster current value sales

While retail volume sales of cigarettes continued to fall in 2010, the rate of decline was slightly slower than that recorded in 2009. This suggests that the trend of cigarette smokers switching to cigars or smoking tobacco for health or economic reasons, which caused retail volume sales to decline in the latter three years of the review period, may have already peaked. Meanwhile, growth in cigarettes current value sales in 2010 represented a significant improvement on the previous two years, when the category recorded consecutive declines in value terms. Given that retail volume sales continued to decline, growth in current value sales was mainly due to tax hikes, which pushed unit prices upwards. However, growth in total current value sales (and the slower rate of decline in volume terms) also reflected the increasing consumer preference for ultra low tar cigarettes, which are the most expensive type but are perceived as being less damaging to health than low tar and mid tar products. Mid tar cigarettes remained by far the most popular in retail volume sales terms, followed by low and ultra low tar variants.

2010 brings further changes to tobacco taxation system and public smoking laws

Hungary’s government continued to make changes to how tobacco is regulated and taxed in the country in 2010. In terms of regulation, one of the most notable developments during the year was the prohibition of smoking at or near certain types of public transportation stops and stations. Changes to the taxation system meanwhile caused average unit prices for all types of tobacco products to increase substantially in current value terms. Regulatory and tax changes were made not only to try and improve public health standards in Hungary, but also to ensure compliance with EU directives on tobacco control. Changes to the system of tobacco taxation will continue until 2018, by which time taxation levels in Hungary will be fully compliant with EU regulations.

Economy brands become the most popular choice among cigarette smokers

2010 saw economy brands overtake mid-priced brands for the first time ever to claim the largest share of cigarettes retail volume sales in Hungary. Consistent volume share gains for the economy segment towards the end of the review period reflected both the impact of the economic downturn and changes to the system of tobacco taxation, which caused cigarettes unit prices to rise. 2010 also saw Bond Street by Philip Morris Magyarország Kft overtake Sopianae by British American Tobacco Magyarorszag Kft (BAT) to become the number one cigarettes brand in retail volume sales terms. Sopianae was relegated to third place overall as Viceroy, also produced by BAT, became the second leading cigarettes brand. This change in cigarette brand rankings reflected Sopianae’s position as the biggest loser amidst greater price competition in the economy segment.

Philip Morris poised to overtake British American Tobacco in cigarettes

Rising health awareness and price concerns will remain the most influential factors dictating the development of the Hungarian tobacco market over the forecast period. Cigarette smokers will continue to switch to smoking tobacco and cigars products in the hope that this will help them to cut down their total tobacco consumption, and thereby improve their health, or enable them to save money. Accordingly, retail volume sales of cigarettes will continue to decline, while cigars and smoking tobacco are both expected to show steady growth in volume terms. Rising health awareness will also lead consumers who continue to smoke cigarettes to switch from mid and low tar products to ultra low tar brands. This trend should help Philip Morris to overtake British American Tobacco and become the leading company overall within cigarettes in retail volume sales terms.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Hungary - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic factors and health concerns continue to influence market development

Cigarettes volume sales continue to decline but price hikes bolster current value sales

2010 brings further changes to tobacco taxation system and public smoking laws

Economy brands become the most popular choice among cigarette smokers

Philip Morris poised to overtake British American Tobacco in cigarettes

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Legal and regulatory measures

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Aids to quit smoking

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Cigarettes: Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Trade Statistics: Cigarettes 2006-2010
  • Table 7 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Hungary - Company Profiles

Hungarotabac Tabaccoland Rt in Tobacco (Hungary)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Hungarotabac-tobaccoland Zrt: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Magyarország Kft in Tobacco (Hungary)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Philip Morris Magyarország Kft: Competitive Position 2010

Róna Kft in Tobacco (Hungary)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Róna Kft: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Hungary - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Rising health concerns undoubtedly contributed to the decline in retail volume sales of cigarettes in 2010. Thanks to sustained investment in educational campaigns by both government agencies and NGOs, public awareness of the health risks associated with smoking in Hungary improved throughout the review period. However, the decline in Hungary’s smoking population in 2010 was nowhere near large enough to fully explain why retail volume sales of cigarettes were down by 6% on 2009. Rather, this decline was primarily due to price hikes. As cigarette prices increased sharply, many smokers switched to cheaper black market cigarettes, RYO tobacco or cigars. The volume of illicit trade in cigarettes grew by 32% in 2010 to reach 2.8 billion sticks, while the RYO tobacco and cigars categories both showed robust growth in retail volume sales. Falling disposable incomes, attributable to Hungary’s economic crisis, compounded the impact that price increases had retail volume sales of cigarettes and gave smokers a greater incentive to seek out cheaper alternatives from black market sources. At the same time, some cigarette smokers switched to cigars or RYO tobacco not only for economic reasons, but also in the hope that this would make it easier for them to reduce their overall tobacco intake and thereby improve their general health.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • BAT remained the leading cigarettes player in Hungary in 2010, claiming a retail volume sales share of 41%. The company’s overall leadership was mainly due to the popularity of its Viceroy, Sopianae and Pall Mall brands. It held the number one position in mid tar cigarettes, the largest category, and ranked second in both low and ultra low tar cigarettes. Other brands in the BAT cigarettes portfolio include Vogue, Dunhill, Kent, Lucky Strike and Peter Stuyvesant.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 10 Cigarettes: New Product Launches 2010

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales of cigarettes are expected to decline at a CAGR of 2% over the forecast period. Retail volume sales will decline as rising health awareness leads some smokers to quit, while price hikes encourage others to switch to RYO tobacco, cigars or illicit cigarettes from black market sources. As was the case in 2010, this latter trend will be more influential in driving retail volume sales down than health concerns, as Hungary’s smoking population is expected to decline by a total of just 3%, while the illicit trade in cigarettes is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1% to reach 2.9 billion sticks in 2015. RYO tobacco and cigars meanwhile are expected to see retail volume sales grow at CAGRs of 9% and 10% respectively.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 11 Cigarette Price Band Definitions 2010

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Hungary - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, retail volume and current value growth rates for cigars and cigarillos as a whole were up on those recorded in 2009. This general improvement was largely due to rising demand for cigars and cigarillos among consumers who previously smoked cigarettes. Some cigarette smokers switched to cigars and cigarillos for health reasons, in the hope that this would help them to reduce their overall tobacco intake. For others, the decision to switch was primarily driven by economic considerations as tax hikes caused cigarette prices to rise sharply. New launches and improvements in distribution also contributed to the positive development of cigars and cigarillos. Due to increasing maturity, however, retail volume and current value growth rates for the entire category were slower than the respective CAGRs for the review period as a whole.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With domestic production remaining negligible, large distributors continued to control cigars in Hungary in 2010. Cigar Tower was the leading player overall, accounting for 10% of cigars (excluding cigarillos) retail volume sales with a broad portfolio that includes popular global brands such as Alvaro, Cohiba, Romeo y Julieta, Montecristo and Guantanamera. Róna Kft, which offers the Henri Wintermans and King Edward brands, finished second with a volume share of 6%, while Hungarotabac Tabaccoland Rt, distributor of the Davidoff brand, ranked third with 2% share. Other prominent competitors in cigars (excluding cigarillos) included Finn Kereskedelmi Kft and Swedish Match AB, while several small independent distributors were also present.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 12 Cigars and Cigarillos: New Product Launches 2010

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars and cigarillos looks set to continue performing well over the forecast period, with retail volume and constant value sales expected to grow at CAGRs of 10% and 7% respectively. Growth in retail volume and constant value sales for the entire category will be primarily driven by rising demand for cigarillos. Cigarillos are becoming an increasingly popular alternative among smokers who want to give up cigarettes, either for health reasons or to save money. Meanwhile, the large, standard and small cigars categories will also develop positively as Hungarian consumers develop a greater interest in cigar smoking generally, and become better informed about different brands, varieties etc. New launches and improvements in distribution will also help to sustain the positive development of cigars and cigarillos as a whole.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Hungary - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco products are illegal in Hungary.

Smoking Tobacco in Hungary - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail volume and current value growth rates for smoking tobacco in 2010 were up on those recorded in 2009, and also faster than the respective CAGRs for the entire review period. This general improvement was mainly due to the strong performance of the RYO tobacco category. During the review period, many smokers switched from cigarettes to RYO tobacco in order to save money, as tax hikes caused prices for the former to rise sharply. This switching trend became even more pronounced with the onset of Hungary’s economic crisis. Rising health awareness also contributed to this trend, with some cigarette smokers switching to RYO tobacco in the hope that this would make it easier for them to regulate and ultimately reduce their overall tobacco intake.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Imperial Tobacco maintained its commanding lead in smoking tobacco in 2010 with a retail volume share of 41%. With a broad portfolio that includes popular local and global brands such as Symphonia, Pakli, Mustang, Drum and Moon, the company was the clear leader in RYO tobacco, the dominant category. It also ranked third in pipe tobacco, thanks mainly to its Mátyás and Moon brands. Continental Dohányipari was the second leading smoking tobacco player overall with a volume share of 22%. The company ranked second in RYO tobacco thanks to the combined strength of its Sláger and Sodró brands. It also finished a strong second in pipe tobacco, where it offers the Festival brand. Philip Morris was the third leading smoking tobacco company overall with a volume share of 16%. It held a narrow lead in pipe tobacco with its Corvina brand, and finished fourth in RYO tobacco, where it offers Harmonia brand. Róna ranked fourth overall with a volume share of just under 16%. The company finished third in RYO tobacco with a broad portfolio that includes brands such as Primus, Tisza, Club, Kaplar and Magyar. It was also the fourth leading player in pipe tobacco, where it offers the Róna, Puszta and Star brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Smoking Tobacco: New Product Launches 2010

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco will continue to perform well over the forecast period, with retail volume and constant value sales expected to grow at CAGRs of 8% and 11% respectively. Rising demand for RYO tobacco products among smokers who decide to leave the cigarettes category for health or financial reasons will be the biggest driver of growth in retail volume and constant value sales. New launches and improvements in distribution will also contribute to the positive development of smoking tobacco as a whole.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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