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Country Report

Tobacco in India

Jul 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in India with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in India, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in India for free:

The Tobacco in India market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in India?
  • What are the major brands in India?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in India?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in India?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in India?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in India in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in India?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to grow in both volume and value terms during 2010

Tobacco in India continued to increase in value during 2010. Growth in value sales was supported by the ongoing volume growth in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco, which are the two biggest contributors to sales of tobacco in India. Furthermore, the rising taxation levied on smokeless tobacco and, in particular, cigarettes, pushed value growth into double-digit territory during 2010.

Proposal for new pictorial warnings on packaging stirs up tobacco industry

After the implementation of pictorial warnings on all tobacco packaging in India during 2009, the current crop of pictorial warnings, which depict X-rays of cancerous lungs and the image of a scorpion, are perceived not to constitute a sufficiently strong warning by many government agencies. Thus, the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare issued a notification during May 2010 that the new proposed pictorial warnings of a cancer-stricken mouth must be implemented on all tobacco packaging from 1 December 2010. Somewhat predictably, this notification was met with a negative response from industry players such as ITC and Godfrey Phillips India Ltd, which resulted in a stop being put on production of tobacco products until such time as the government decided to review its policy of beefing up the pictorial warnings on tobacco packaging again in December 2011.

Ban on FDI in India’s tobacco industry receives mixed responses

During 2010, the Indian government took the step of issuing a blanket ban on foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country’s tobacco industry. The responses to this policy among key tobacco industry players have been mixed, particularly among cigarette producers. According to some key tobacco industry players, the ban on FDI will create a less competitive operating environment as the move will benefit completely local players such as ITC whilst being potentially negative for international players such as Godfrey Philips India and Japan Tobacco International in terms of making it more difficult for them to obtain external financial support.

Traditional retail outlets remain the principal distribution channel for tobacco

Paan shops, which are categorised under other grocery retailers, remained the most important distribution channel for tobacco in India during 2010, particularly cigarettes, smokeless tobacco and, increasingly, cigars and cigarillos. Convenience is the key factor in the dominance of paan shops, which are located on corners in the majority of high streets across India. Moreover, the possibility of purchasing single sticks also encourages Indian consumers to purchase their cigarettes from paan outlets. Nonetheless, with the presence of modern grocery retailers such as supermarkets/hypermarkets expanding rapidly across India, the volume share of total tobacco distribution accounted for by paan shops is set to fall slightly over the forecast period.

Cigarettes is set to increase at a higher rate than other tobacco products

Constant value growth in tobacco in India is projected to be positive during the forecast period due to anticipated positive growth in both cigarettes and smokeless tobacco, the two major contributors to volume sales of tobacco in India. Furthermore, the increases in excise tax expected after 2011 will also contribute to value growth. Cigarettes is expected to continue increasing in constant value throughout the forecast period, retaining its position as the largest contributor to total tobacco value sales in India, ahead of smokeless tobacco.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in India - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to grow in both volume and value terms during 2010

Proposal for new pictorial warnings on packaging stirs up tobacco industry

Ban on FDI in India’s tobacco industry receives mixed responses

Traditional retail outlets remain the principal distribution channel for tobacco

Cigarettes is set to increase at a higher rate than other tobacco products

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC LEGISLATION

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Cigarettes Taxation 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Flue Cured Virginia Tobacco Auction 2004-2009
  • Table 8 Trade Statistics –Tobacco 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

Beedis

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 9 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in India - Company Profiles

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd in Tobacco (India)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 Godfrey Phillips India Ltd: Production Statistics 2008-2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Godfrey Phillips India Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Golden Tobacco Ltd in Tobacco (India)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Golden Tobacco Ltd: Competitive Position 2009

ITC Ltd in Tobacco (India)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 ITC Ltd: Production Statistics 2008-2010
  • Summary 13 Third party contract manufacturing: Production Statistics 2008-2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 ITC Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

VST Industries Ltd in Tobacco (India)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 17 VST Industries Ltd: Production Statistics by Factory

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 VST Industries Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • During April 2010, the Indian government decided to ban foreign direct investment (FDI) for all Indian tobacco companies, including those based in special economic zones (SEZ). However, the ban applies only to new investment and does not apply to existing FDI in Indian tobacco companies. The ban benefits domestic companies such as ITC by making it more difficult for multinational tobacco companies to compete in India. Currently, several multinational tobacco companies such as Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco (BAT) and Japan Tobacco Inc (JTI) operate within India. Under the new ban, these multinational companies are no longer able to increase investment in their existing partner companies in India, making it impossible for these global tobacco giants from making further inroads into the cigarettes in India.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigarettes in India remained dominated by three leading players during 2010: ITC Ltd; Godfrey Phillips India Ltd (GPI); and VST Industries Ltd. These three leaders accounted for 97% of total cigarettes volume sales in India during 2010. ITC Ltd remained the undisputed leader in cigarettes during 2010 with a 75% volume share, while GPI and VST held volume shares of 14% and 8% respectively.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • With the FDI in the Indian tobacco industry now banned by the Indian Government, consolidation among cigarette manufacturers is expected to become stronger over the forecast period as leading domestic companies will have greater advantages in terms of their financial positions and distribution networks, allowing them to boost their volume shares. Thus, the more vulnerable positions of multinational cigarette companies will leave them at the mercy of domestic players because the multinational players will be forced to remain minor players as they will be unable to invest further either in their own subsidiaries or by acquitting interests in the leading domestic companies, limiting the possibility for the global tobacco giants to expand the presence of their leading global cigarette brands in India during the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 20 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filtered/unfiltered

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slim/superslim cigarettes vs regular cigarettes

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 33 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The prevalence of cigar smoking in India continued to rise in India during 2010. Cigar smoking was not widely visible in India until the late 1990s and cigar smoking culture is still considered to be at a nascent stage in India. During the early stages of the review period, cigar smoking was largely restricted to upper income and upper-middle income Indians. This lent an air of luxury, opulence and high status to cigars and has served to confer a strongly aspirational aspect on cigars and cigar smoking. In India, cigars are often smoked at weddings and social functions attended by prominent business people and celebrities.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading player in cigars in India during 2010 remained Chemon Group, the exclusive importer and distributor of Cuban cigars in India. Furthermore, Godfrey Philips India (GPI) remained a leading player in cigars in India, focusing on imported small cigars as its mass brand Phillies led cigars in India during 2010.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 21 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The government’s requirement that all tobacco products sold in India should carry a pictorial warning depicting a mouth stricken with oral cancer was shelved during 2010, although the decision as to whether or not to require the graphic image to be included on the packaging of all tobacco products is expected to be reviewed again by December 2011. Should the government decide to press ahead with its plan to require the morbid and grisly image to be mandatory on all cigar packaging, a negative impact should be expected to accrue to sales of cigars, particularly premium cigars. This will be due to the large packaging size for premium cigars, meaning that the warning image will be much larger than for other tobacco products, representing a significant potential deterrent to would-be cigar smokers. This might provoke a shift in the preference of Indian cigar smokers towards cigars in smaller packaging sizes as well as limiting the use of limited edition packaging such as carved wooden boxes for cigars.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There are several types of Asian-style chewing tobacco available in India, including gutka, zarda, khaini and mawa. Sian-style chewing tobacco continues to be widely available across India and remained the most visible tobacco product in India during the review period. Chewing tobacco is the oldest form of tobacco commonly consumed in India. Indian chewing tobacco consumers normally rub the product until it becomes hot before chewing it and finally spitting out the remains. Gutka is the most common chewing tobacco in India and normally has a flavour added to it. Gutka is often confused with a similar product, Paan masala, which does not contain any tobacco and is more often used as its use promotes oral freshness. According to key industry sources, the use of gutka constitutes some 80% of total volume sales of Asian-style chewing tobacco in India, while the second most popular form of Asian-style chewing tobacco is zarda.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in smokeless tobacco in India remained highly fragmented during 2010 because of the low barriers to entry in the category. Furthermore, each region of India has its own leading brand of smokeless tobacco. Nonetheless, Dhariwal Industries Ltd and its RMD Gutkha brand continued to lead in 2010 with a 13% value share, a position which can be attributed to the company’s strong financial resources and nationwide distribution as well as RMD Gutkha being one of the oldest smokeless tobacco brands in India. Other prominent smokeless tobacco companies in India include Dharampal Satyapal Ltd with its Baba and Tulsi brands, Som Sugandh Industries Ltd with its Dilbagh brand, Shree Meenakshi Food Products Pvt Ltd with its Goa brand and Kothari Products Ltd with its Pan Parag brand. However, these five leading players accounted for only 34% of total smokeless tobacco volume sales during 2010.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Following the implementation of the Indian government’s ban on plastic packaging for Asian-style chewing tobacco, it remains to be seen what kind of short term impact will be felt by producers of smokeless tobacco in India during the forecast period. One thing is for sure, however, and that is that the outcome of the government’s new packaging restrictions will depend very much on how stringently implemented the regulations will be. However, any negative impact on manufacturers of smokeless tobacco will hit smaller regional manufacturers harder as these companies will be less able to absorb the cost of investing in new packaging machinery. Thus, smaller regional producers of Asian-style chewing tobacco are expected to proceed as before, using plastic packaging for their products and resorting to going underground and becoming illicit in order to avoid incurring sanctions for doing so. Bigger companies will be better able to cope with the cost of changing packaging machinery in order to meet the requirements of the government’s new packaging regulations during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in India - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco has been used in India since ancient times. In particular, the practice of smoking hookah, which is smoked using a single or multi-stemmed water pipe (also known as a hookah), has been part of Indian culture for centuries. The tobacco which is smoked through such a device is usually known as hookah tobacco or gudaku. Another type of smoking tobacco, sheesha, is made from fresh, dark tobacco leaves, fruit pulp, honey or molasses and glycerine and is smoked via a device which is also known as a sheesha. The device is similar to a hookah. RYO smoking tobacco is also common, as Indians often use tendu leaves to roll their smokes, which are normally used to produce beedis. However, the majority of smoking tobacco available in India remains unpackaged and/or unbranded, which explains the negligible size of smoking tobacco as a category in India.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With regard to imported hookah or sheesha tobacco, most of the products are generally imported from Middle Eastern and Mediterranean countries such as Qatar, United Emirates Arabs. The majority of hookah tobacco available in India is unbranded. There are no chains of hookah bars or hookah service providers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Unpackaged and unbranded smoking tobacco is expected to remain very common in India during the forecast period and will continue to account for the bulk of the consumption of smoking tobacco, limiting demand for branded and packaged smoking tobacco.

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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