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Country Report

Tobacco in Israel

Jan 2012

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
Report format: PDF doc_pdf.png (download a sample)
Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Israel with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Israel, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Israel for free:

The Tobacco in Israel market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Israel?
  • What are the major brands in Israel?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Israel?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Israel?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Israel?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Israel in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Israel?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco witnesses strong retail value sales growth in 2010

Tobacco in Israel witnessed healthy retail value sales growth in 2010. This was largely due to two main reasons, namely the stable growth of smokers in 2010 with insignificant decreases in the number of existing smokers, alongside a significant increase in the tax on cigarettes, which served to increase unit prices dramatically. As cigarettes remained the largest tobacco category, significant unit price increases, coupled with stagnant retail volume sales growth, helped drive the development of tobacco as a whole in 2010.

New legislation increases cigarette taxation in 2010

Tobacco products remained subject to high taxation rates in Israel in 2010. In July 2010, the tax on cigarettes was raised once again, following the previous tax hike in April 2009. In July 2010, the tax on cigarettes included an ad valorem excise duty of 260.6% on the price to retail, which means that for every NIS1for the importer out of the price to retail, an excise tax of NIS2.606 is charged. This ad valorem tax is in addition to the fixed tax of NIS214.5 per 1,000 sticks (NIS4.29 a pack). This new law affects all parties: importers and distributors, manufacturers and retailers, as well as the consumer. It is important to mention that there is a minimum tax of NIS475 per 1,000 sticks or NIS9.50 per pack.

Local manufacturer Dubek witnesses the largest decline in retail volume sales share in 2010

Dubek, the only local tobacco manufacturer in Israel, tends to carry a wide variety of local and imported economy brands. In 2010, economy cigarettes suffered a drastic decrease in retail volume sales, as consumers who previously smoked lower-end economy brands traded up to higher quality, upper-economy and mid-priced brands, mainly Next, Pall Mall and Winston. This had a significant negative impact on Dubek’s performance.

Vending machines are expected to slowly disappear from tobacco in Israeli

In late 2010, the Economic Affairs Committee of the Israeli Knesset approved the first reading of the proposed law to restrict the sale of cigarettes through vending machines in Israel. This new law is meant to further protect underage teens from smoking. The new law is set to come into force in 2013. This in turn is expected to have an impact on the distribution of cigarettes in Israel in the years following its introduction.

Retail value sales are expected to see positive growth over the forecast period

Tobacco in Israel is projected to see an ongoing decline in retail volume sales over the forecast period, driven by further declines in the country’s smoking population. In addition, tough anti-tobacco legislation, such as the new ban on vending, coupled with further tax increases to discourage the purchasing of tobacco products, is also expected to weaken demand. However, retail value sales are expected to continue to see positive growth over the forecast period, driven by price increases.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Israel - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco witnesses strong retail value sales growth in 2010

New legislation increases cigarette taxation in 2010

Local manufacturer Dubek witnesses the largest decline in retail volume sales share in 2010

Vending machines are expected to slowly disappear from tobacco in Israeli

Retail value sales are expected to see positive growth over the forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Israel - Company Profiles

Devidas Group Ltd in Tobacco (Israel)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Devidas Group Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Dubek Ltd in Tobacco (Israel)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 6 Dubek Ltd: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Dubek Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Globrands Ltd in Tobacco (Israel)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Globrands Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Israel - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In July 2010, the Israeli government introduced another drastic change to taxation law, which increased the average unit price of cigarettes in Israel by NIS2 per pack of 20. This had a strong impact on the dynamics of cigarettes in Israel. The tax increase served to raise the price of all cigarettes in Israel by around NIS2 per 20-pack, which made cheaper economy brands less attractive, as they became more expensive in percentage terms. On the other hand, premium and super premium brands also witnessed negative impacts, as their unit price became extremely high and unattractive, which resulted in some consumers trading down to cheaper alternatives. This created an opportunity for standard mid-priced brands to attract consumers from economy, premium and super premium brands. Players realised this potential and the unit price of leading mid-priced brands was lowered slightly. This made already popular, imported mid-priced cigarettes more appealing to consumers and intensified competition for both economy and premium brands. For example, Pall Mall witnessed strong growth of 90% from July 2010, due to the brand only increasing from NIS15 to NIS16, rather than NIS17, per 20-pack following the introduction of the tax changes. Philip Morris implemented a similar strategy for its Next brand and likewise saw a strong increase in demand.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • All domestic cigarettes in Israel are manufactured by Dubek, which accounted for a 21% share of retail volume sales in 2010. The company manufactures approximately 85% of the cigarettes it sells and imports the remaining 15%, with Highway and No 9 Dark Blue examples of its imported brands. From the turn of the millennium, the volume of imported multinational brands grew at the expense of domestic brands, as Dubek’s share of retail volume sales declined. Dubek saw a further four percentage point loss of retail volume sales share in 2010. Over the review period, Dubek’s brands increasingly came to be seen as old fashioned, while significant price increases as a result of tax changes made its economy brands less attractive. In 2010, Dubek lost the Wall Street brand following a change of ownership at the global level. As a result of this development, Dubek decided to import Highway, an economy cigarette brand that has 25 cigarettes per pack. In Israel, companies are forbidden from selling packs of over 20 cigarettes. However, Dubek was given the opportunity to sell its remaining stock, but thereafter it will not be allowed to sell 25-unit packs.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 10 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, new regulations are expected to have a significant impact on cigarettes in Israel. For example, by 2013, a new law forbidding the sale of cigarettes through vending machines is expected to result in changes to the distribution of cigarettes in Israel. Furthermore, it is expected that further tax changes will be introduced in 2011 that will serve to increase unit prices further.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 11 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Israel - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, the vast majority of cigar smokers in Israel continued to view cigars as a status symbol, associated with a sophisticated, higher-income audience. Cigars in Israel developed over recent years, as the variety of products available widened to meet the standards of other more developed markets with larger cigar smoking populations. In addition, an increase was seen in the range of distribution channels where both premium and mass cigars can be purchased, while the number of cigar lounges and clubs in the country also increased. The most evident evolution in terms of a cigar smoking tradition within Israel is the manner in which smokers refer to the activity as a lifestyle experience. Israeli cigar smokers tend to refer to cigar smoking as a ritual and use terms such as aroma, flavour and origin, amongst others. Cigar smoking is very common among celebrities, businessmen and politicians. This draws even more attention to cigar smoking as a status symbol and lifestyle choice, as more high and upper-middle income consumers want to join this exclusive group.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The main distributors in cigars excluding cigarillos in 2010 were Esh-Li Cigars and Tobacco, with a 31% share of retail volume sales, and Devidas Group Ltd with a 23% share. Esh-Li Cigars and Tobacco is the exclusive distributor of many cigar and cigarillo brands in Israel, including King Edward, Phillies and Swisher Sweet, which accounted for respective retail volume sales shares of 16%, 9% and 6%. Devidas was the second leading player in cigars excluding cigarillos in 2010, importing brands such as Backwoods, Romeo y Julieta and Montecristo, which accounted for respective retail volume sales shares of 13%, 4% and 3%. There were no manufacturers of cigars or cigarillos in Israel in 2010, and, as such, all products were imported.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Small cigars and cigarillos are expected to continue to witness healthy retail volume sales growth over the forecast period, with respective CAGRs of 4% and 6% predicted. The growing consumer base for these products is expected to continue to demand new products and more exciting flavours, which in turn will drive sales. Kiosks and convenience stores are expected to offer a wider range of these products, while importers are likely to increase their focus on these areas.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Israel - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Retail volume and value sales of smokeless tobacco remain negligible in Israel in 2010

Smoking Tobacco in Israel - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Israeli water pipes (nargila) are traditionally popular in Israel. The Israeli population is influenced by neighbouring Arab countries in many different industries, such as packaged food, drinks and tobacco. Different flavoured water pipe tobacco products are highly popular among younger consumers in Israel, and until quite recently such items were available in certain pubs and cafés. Water pipes are popular mostly among Jewish Israelis aged under 30 and Arab-Israelis of all ages. In general, the Israeli population is unaware of the dangerous impacts of water pipes. In 2010, a new research study was conducted by the Rambam Hospital, which found that half an hour of water pipe smoking results in serious lung damage, increased blood pressure and pulse rate, and a decrease in blood oxygen levels.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nakhla Tobacco remained the leading distributor of smoking tobacco in Israel in 2010, in accounting for a retail volume sales share of 47%. Following was Devidas Group on a retail volume sales share of 40%. Nakhla Tobacco remained the leading player in pipe tobacco in 2010, in accounting for a retail volume sales share of 67%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, RYO tobacco is expected to continue to attract smokers away from cigarettes, due to being increasingly fashionable, as well presenting an attractive option to more price-sensitive consumers. Over the forecast period, more Israeli smokers are expected to smoke RYO tobacco, due to it being considered a relatively healthy, as well as more affordable, option compared to cigarettes. In addition, demand for more natural and organic RYO tobacco is expected to continue to grow over the forecast period, while new product launches are expected as players look to meet this demand.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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