You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesTobacco
print my pages

Country Report

Tobacco in Italy

Dec 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Volume sales still declining

The Italian tobacco market saw volume sales decline during the review period. This was chiefly due to the poor performance of cigarettes, the largest category. Volume sales of cigarettes registered a negative trend for the fourth consecutive year, while value sales of cigarettes was subject to positive growth due to significant price increases implemented over the course of 2011. Behind this poor performance there were also consumer education campaigns by anti-smoking bodies and the government and many inter-vents in order to increase the legal smoking age up to 18-years-old. Overall, Italian consumers continued to trade down to more affordable brands while others migrated to more affordable tobacco products such as RYO or simply curtailed their cigarette consumption.

Economic downturn forces smoking habits to evolve

With excise duty rising again in 2011 and simultaneously, consumers facing declining incomes and rising economic uncertainty, the country’s tobacco industry witnessed a significant migration from cigarettes towards RYO tobacco, which has come to be a more affordable and increasingly mainstream alternative to cigarettes as RYO tobacco continued to record noteworthy double digit volume growth up to 2011. Cheaper alternatives to RYO tobacco were also considered, such as cigarillos and pipe tobacco, making some consumers change their smoking habits, either decreasing the frequency of smoking as cigarillos and pipe tobacco are not designed for a quick smoke as cigarettes or RYO tobacco are, or letting them find more comforting occasions for smoking, such as at home with friends rather than when going out. Important to outline is that many consumers were also attracted to cheaper, illicit cigarettes and tobacco, as they sought to save money; the reason why illicit trade registered impressive growth in 2011.

Tobacco market remains highly consolidated

Volume sales of tobacco products in Italy remained highly consolidated in 2011. Three manufacturers – Philip Morris Italia, British American Tobacco Italia and JT International Italia – accounted for the largest volume shares, due to their virtual control of sales of cigarettes in Italy. Philip Morris dominated the market, owning the leading brands in the mid-priced and premium segments. The company benefited from its strong brand equity, particularly as the promotion and display of tobacco continued to be restricted. A strong degree of consolidation was also present in cigars, with Manifatture Sigaro Toscano accounting for 28% share of volume sales.

Bar-tobacconists and newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks offer convenience

In 2011, tobacco specialists was again the leading distribution channel in all tobacco categories, accounting for the largest volume share of sales of tobacco in Italy but are registering a gradual decrease in sales shares. However, newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks and bar-tobacconists are instead gaining shares in the distribution scenario thanks to the increasing convenience that consumers are looking for in Italy. During the recession consumers have not decreased their visits to bars to have their daily espresso or to tobacconists to buy popular items, such as lottery tickets, and in these outlets they can also find tobacco products.

Further decrease in volume sales expected

The main factor influencing this decline in sales will be Italy's declining smoking prevalence, which is coming about mainly as a result of anti-smoking bodies and government information campaigns which promote healthier lifestyles. Furthermore the legal smoking age has increased from 16- to 18-years-old at the end of 2011. Cigarettes will be more strongly and widely affected by these factors. Cigars and cigarillos are expected to see stability in volume growth, whereas RYO tobacco, especially within smoking tobacco, will attract consumers away from higher-priced cigarettes and will see still volume growth. The volume growth of illicit trade is also expected to increase as a result of further tax increases, although less than during the review period as excise and tax crime bodies are expected to be more effective than in the past.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Italy with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Italy, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Italy for free:

The Tobacco in Italy market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Italy?
  • What are the major brands in Italy?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Italy?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Italy?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Italy?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Italy in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Italy?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Italy - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Volume sales still declining

Economic downturn forces smoking habits to evolve

Tobacco market remains highly consolidated

Bar-tobacconists and newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks offer convenience

Further decrease in volume sales expected

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2007-2011

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Italy - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Italia SpA in Tobacco (Italy)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco: Competitive Position 2011

Manifatture Sigaro Toscano Srl in Tobacco (Italy)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Manifatture Sigaro Toscano Srl: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Manifatture Sigaro Toscano Srl: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Italia SpA in Tobacco (Italy)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Philip Morris Italia SpA: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Italy - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The difficult economic situation in 2011 still had a marked impact on sales of cigarettes, along with further increases in taxes on these products, and growing illegal trade. Due to the resultant increases in prices and an erosion of many consumers’ disposable incomes, many Italians cut back on their consumption of legal cigarettes, or switched to cheaper illicit cigarettes. This caused a further retail volume decline in 2011 and a dramatic increase in illicit trade volumes that reached 3.0 billion units with a growth rate of 35% over 2010. According to trade sources, in the last three years, each price increase was followed by a higher than expected reduction in legal sales in Italy, showing an increase in consumer price-sensitivity. Reasons mentioned here explain why the volume decline seen for cigarettes in 2011 was below the line, with a negative volume CAGR of 1% over the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • After the undisputed leader Philip Morris, which accounts for 50% of cigarettes volume, British American Tobacco Italia, which was established in 2004 from the merger between ETI SpA (Enti Tabacchi Italiano) and BAT (British American Tobacco), changed the Italian tobacco market from a public monopoly to a private market, in which BAT continued to gain shares also in 2011, reaching over 23%. This privatisation was the heaviest investment seen in Italy from a foreign company.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 12 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Increasing excises, rising prices in the current economic situation, tobacco bans, stronger campaigns and increasing health and wellbeing concerns are expected to take their toll on cigarette sales in the future. Also, illicit trade poses a threat to sales of cigarettes in Italy. Increasing prices and lower consumer purchasing power may push consumers further into switching to illicit trade, RYO tobacco, down-trading and even giving up smoking.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 13 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Italy - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Italy is one of the leading countries in the world in terms of per capita cigar consumption. The country has a deep-rooted tradition of cigar manufacturing and cigar consumption. Demand for cigars in Italy is also very mature although the consumption of cigars and cigarillos tends to be not strictly restricted to middle-aged and senior consumers, but also amongst young professionals, men and women. Furthermore, cigar consumption is often linked to celebrations and special occasions, although there are some differences in consumption patterns depending on the type of product. While large cigars are normally seen as luxury products and thus reserved for special occasions and celebrations, small cigars and cigarillos are widely smoked on a daily basis, generally immediately after the main meal of the day or with some kind of alcoholic beverage, when out or at home.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigars excluding cigarillos is dominated by local player Manifatture Sigaro Toscano, which accounted for an 86% share of volume sales of cigars in 2011, mainly thanks to its leading traditional brands Toscanelli, Antico Toscano and Toscano which ranked, respectively, first, second and third in cigars (excluding cigarillos). Dannemann Cigarrenfabrik GmbH retained second position with its Dannemann Moods brand portfolio. This type of cigarillo covers the leading position in cigarillos with a 37% volume share and a 26% overall share of cigars. Its top-seller, Moods Filter, enjoyed significant popularity in recent years because of its similarity to cigarettes, although enriched with a pleasanter-tasting tobacco flavour. The other Moods brands are also popular because of their discrete quality for a reasonable price.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 14 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The trend towards less expensive products is expected to continue in the future, at least during the first part of the forecast period. Cigarillos and small cigars will benefit the most from this trend, also benefiting from consumers’ on-going shift from cigarettes, although the forecast period subcategory growth will not match that of the the review period; especially for cigarillos and small cigars. Volume sales of these categories will be more than halved, due to the consumption crunch over the first years of the forecast period and to the gradual unit price increases that would encourage consumers to abandon hobbies, which is already related to health issues.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Italy - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco started out being popular amongst male smokers from lower-income groups: while in the last couple of years, RYO tobacco become trendy and therefore started to spread out amongst women, not only youngsters but also young professionals. The consumers of RYO tobacco are classified into two main categories. Loyal RYO tobacco smokers prefer its taste to cigarettes, and frequently view RYO tobacco as more natural and containing fewer chemicals than cigarette tobacco overall, plus between 2010 and 2011 there were several launches of 100% natural tobacco. In addition, a greater number of smokers were switching to RYO tobacco towards the end of the review period for reasons of economy. Over the review period, the wider availability of cigarette papers and filter tips also attracted many consumers who would otherwise not feel comfortable smoking unfiltered cigarettes or would worry about not enjoying a smoke as much as with cigarettes.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In smoking tobacco, Imperial Tobacco Italy led retail volume sales in 2011 with a share of 46%. The company’s overall leadership is mainly due to its dominance in RYO tobacco, the largest category, in which it offers the top three brands, Golden Virginia that is by far the top brand in Italy, Drum Halfzwaar and West Red. Imperial also ranked second in pipe tobacco. Imperial Tobacco maintained shares in 2011 with British American Tobacco losing out to Imperial tobacco shares. Minor companies such as Gallaher Italia (which gained slightly in 2011), Pöschl Tabak, Orlik Tobacco Co A/S and Altadis registered healthy performances thanks to their affordable prices and good quality products. Gallaher, which offers the Old Holborn brand, consolidated its third position, with the Old Holborn brand reaching third place in smoking tobacco after Golden Virginia and Drun, whilst Pöschl Tabak, which ranked fourth, maintained a share of 6%, thanks to the good performance of its affordable Pueblo brand in RYO tobacco; paricularly popular amongst young consumers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • The annual increase in sales of smoking tobacco is expected to continue over the forecast period, albeit at a somewhat slower pace than during 2011. Given the increasing prices of cigarettes, more smokers will switch to smoking tobacco from manufactured cigarettes although the growth rate will decline because of the recession in which Italy will be stuck at least until 2013 and because RYO tobacco is likely to receive further increases in excise tax.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!