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Country Report

Tobacco in Kazakhstan

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to display positive growth

For a second consecutive year, tobacco continued to show positive growth in 2011 in volume and current value terms. Rising disposable incomes encouraged consumers to return to their smoking habits after the economic downturn or started smoking more on a daily basis, driving growth of tobacco. In addition, smoking continued to become popular in the cities of Kazakhstan, where the population increased on a yearly basis, as the country’s urbanisation trend continued. Moreover, for consumers who smoke, cigarettes offer them a way of dealing with everyday stress at work, as well as being a good socialising tool. The rise in tobacco sales was driven by the largest category of cigarettes which continued to show the significant current value growth. Smoking tobacco, cigars and cigarillos do not have a significant number of smokers. However, these categories also recorded growth in 2011 due to the increasing demand for such products among a loyal base of consumers, who limited their expenditure during the economic downturn.

Consumers switch to lower tar cigarettes

The health-conscious trend grew due to the different actions taken by the government and non-government organisations to promote a nation without smoke. Such consumers who do not wish to quit smoking choose to switch to lower tar cigarettes as they perceive the format to be less harmful to their health. Low and ultra low tar cigarettes performed the best in 2011, with high tar cigarettes showing a decline in retail volume sales. In addition, when tobacco manufacturers offer new products, they focus on lower tar cigarettes without any new launches in high tar. It is expected that during forecast period, high tar cigarettes will occupy a small niche of tobacco and in the longer term, will become negligible.

Increase of excise taxes does not affect illicit trade

In 2010, Kazakhstan with Customs Union countries members, agreed on the rise of excise duties for tobacco products by 25% and this agreement will be followed until 2013. As a result of this, tobacco companies were forced to increase the unit price of cigarettes within all price bands. However, such an increase did not affect the demand for cigarettes by consumers as they remained affordable. The increase on excise duties did not significantly impact the growth of illicit trade in the country. It is not a threat to tobacco as it accounts for a negligible percentage of total volume sales, because the price for tobacco is affordable to the majority of consumers.

Cigarette companies introduce new filtering technologies

At the end of 2011, all cigarette manufacturers introduced new product developments to follow the global trends in cigarettes. All new product developments have innovative technologies embedded in the filter such as a menthol capsule and Less Smoking Smell (LSS). These products were introduced in mid and low tar categories and mainly targeted at young males who are loyal to a certain brand and accept innovations. Reduced odour in cigarettes was specifically introduced to the female audience who are in addition, attracted to the superslim format and different pack colours. Not all innovations had recorded significant sales results by the end of the review period; however they are expected to occupy a niche during the forecast period.

Positive growth is expected in the near future

Tobacco is expected to show positive growth during the forecast period as a result of a growing number of smokers in terms of cigarette consumption. Moreover, new product launches in lower tar cigarettes will additionally stimulate growth. In addition, the urbanisation trend which is occurring across the country will impact the growth of cigarettes, as for consumers who smoke; it is a tool for revealing stress and socialisation. Demand for more sophisticated products such as cigars, cigarillos or smoking tobacco will remain and it is expected that categories will show positive growth rates.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Kazakhstan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Kazakhstan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kazakhstan for free:

The Tobacco in Kazakhstan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Kazakhstan?
  • What are the major brands in Kazakhstan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Kazakhstan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Kazakhstan?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Kazakhstan?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Kazakhstan in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Kazakhstan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Kazakhstan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to display positive growth

Consumers switch to lower tar cigarettes

Increase of excise taxes does not affect illicit trade

Cigarette companies introduce new filtering technologies

Positive growth is expected in the near future

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Kazakhstan - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Kazakhstan Trading TOO in Tobacco (Kazakhstan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FA?TS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Kazakhstan Trading TOO: Competitive Position 2011

JTI Kazakhstan TOO in Tobacco (Kazakhstan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 JTI Kazakhstan TOO: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 JTI Kazakhstan TOO: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Kazakhstan TOO in Tobacco (Kazakhstan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 11 Philip Morris Kazakhstan TOO: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Philip Morris Kazakhstan TOO: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Kazakhstan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth in 2011 continued the trend witnessed from the previous year; with the growth of consumer incomes and stabilisation of the country’s economy, many consumers returned to their smoking habits prior to the economic downturn. Growth of cigarette sizes was also impacted by the urbanisation trend, with consumers leading increasingly hectic lifestyles. By smoking cigarettes, they feel they can reduce the stressful moments in their daily lives, as well as socialise with each other. In addition, due to rather low unit prices, cigarettes continued to be an affordable product for daily purchase by all consumer audiences due to a wide range of cigarettes on offer and new product ranges being launched.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigarettes in Kazakhstan is led by private enterprises which are fully-owned by multinational companies. The three main international manufacturers are Philip Morris International Inc, Japan Tobacco Inc and British American Tobacco Plc that occupied combined retail volume share of 80% in 2011. Nationally, Philip Morris Kazakhstan TOO held 39% volume share, JTI Kazakhstan TOO – 34% and British American Tobacco Kazakhstan Trading TOO by 8% respectively. With the exception of British American Tobacco, Philip Morris and JTI have local production facilities in the Almaty region, closely working with domestic farmers on tobacco leaves production and assortment ranges. Both companies are able to lobby their interests in the government, have established social programmes for farmers working with them as well as their employees. From a consumer perspective, PMK and JTI have a wide portfolio of cigarette brands with over 60 positions and targeted to all consumer profiles. Moreover, all innovations in products stem from these companies which are also able to invest heavily in promotions.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarettes is expected to record a volume CAGR of 2% and a 6% CAGR in constant value terms during the forecast period, which will be mainly impacted by growth of smokers among a young audience. The percentage of smokers versus total population in the country is expected to drop; however the population will witness higher growth and as a result, the number of smokers will rise over the forecast period, spurred on by increasing stress levels due to busy lifestyles. More consumers will continue to switch gradually to lower tar cigarettes being perceived as less harmful without actually reducing their daily smoking habits.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Kazakhstan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tradition of smoking cigars remained low in Kazakhstan as there is a limited amount of people who smoke them on a regular basis, and the cigar is considered to be a luxury product. The high price of cigars and cigarillos additionally make them available to only a small proportion of people reaching only 1.7 units per capita in 2011. Cigars are either purchased on a regular basis by consumers who used to smoking cigars and cigarillos, or a one-time purchase during business meetings in HoReCa.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Hand-made vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigars and cigarillos are all imported into Kazakhstan via direct distributors which set the sales channels and usually have specialist stores operating in the main cities of Almaty and Astana. The main player in cigars excluding cigarillos is Cuban player Corporación Habanos SA with Romeo Y Julieta, Montecristo and Cohiba, accounting for 24% retail volume share. The second leading company is Swisher International Group Inc with its famous brands King Edward and Swisher BlackStone brands occupying 14% retail volume share in 2011. The remainder of the category is divided by different companies such as Altadis SA and Agio Cigars.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars is expected to record a retail volume CAGR of 3% and a 6% constant value CAGR as a result of further penetration. The category is expected to develop further in parallel with consumer incomes increase, as cigars continues to be a luxury segment and generally not available to a mass audience due to its high unit price.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Kazakhstan - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • There is no demand for smokeless tobacco in Kazakhstan and so these products are not available in retail outlets. Smokeless tobacco is available from foreign internet retailers but consumers continue to show little interest in it. This situation is not expected to change in the near future.

Smoking Tobacco in Kazakhstan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tradition of smoking pipes and purchasing RYO tobacco remains low in Kazakhstan as this culture is not naturally known to consumers and all products are imported which impacts high unit prices. However, water pipe smoking is the most popular among male and female audience in HoReCa with the low popularity of smoking at homes. Smoking water pipe comes mainly from Turkey, when many Turkish citizens visited Kazakhstan for work which followed the opening of cafés with water pipe smoke. As a result, this has expanded further and Kazakh consumers are now used to smoking water pipe in cafés, bars, restaurants. Moreover, water pipe smoking is also preferred by non-cigarette smokers, as they believe it to be less harmful.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, smoking tobacco continued to be led by Planta Tabak-Manufaktur Dr Manfred Obermann GmbH & Co with 50% volume share. Its key brands continued to be Excellent, Sacramento and others presenting a wide portfolio. The company offers a wide range of products and acceptable prices, which are presented in both, pipe tobacco and RYO tobacco. The second leading company was Orlik Tobacco Co A/S with 27% retail volume share followed, by Skandinavisk Tobakskompagni A/S with 10% retail volume share.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco will continue to expand gradually showing a positive performance in both retail volume and constant value sales. Growth will be influenced by the increasing popularity of smoking tobacco in cafés and bars, as consumers will start to spend more leisure time outside of the home environment.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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