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Country Report

Tobacco in Lithuania

Jul 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Lithuania with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Lithuania, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Lithuania for free:

The Tobacco in Lithuania market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Lithuania?
  • What are the major brands in Lithuania?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Lithuania?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Lithuania?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Lithuania?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Lithuania in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Lithuania?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

High unit prices lead to plunging sales

Almost a quarter of value sales were lost in 2010 as the majority of Lithuanian smokers remained in a recessionary mindset. Prices of tobacco products remained high after the rises in excise duties in 2009 in order to meet the requirements of the European Union, making consumers think twice before purchasing tobacco. Smoking prevalence continued to decline in 2010 in Lithuania, which could also be partly attributable to the increasing prices. However, the demand for tobacco products was still present, as many of the efforts made by companies were designed to prove to consumers that their products are worth the price. While developing new products, female smokers, younger smokers, premium and low tar products were subject to more attention. The industry appeared to have adapted to strict restrictions on marketing, investing heavily in bright packaging and eye-catching point-of-sale displays.

Illicit trade on the rise

Poorly-guarded borders with Russia and Belarus and sharp differences in prices led to record-high volumes of smuggled cigarettes. While this was always an issue in Lithuania, the share of the black market is nearing that of duty-paid goods. The economy segment was particularly adversely affected by the competition of smuggled cigarettes, forcing companies to concentrate their efforts on mid-priced and premium products.

Lithuanians seek alternatives to cigarettes

Since the rise of excise duties coincided with the most severe recession on record, consumers gave up brand and product loyalty in favour of cheaper options. A significant share of previous cigarette smokers drifted to cigarillos, which were cheaper in 2010 because of lower taxation. Timely launches and increasing availability also underpinned the popularity of cigarillos. Other Lithuaniansmokers, especially younger ones, opted for RYO tobacco, which was not only priced competitively, but came in various exotic flavours – something producers of cigarettes have yet to offer.

The tobacco category remains concentrated

A small number of players continues to dominate tobacco, both in terms of producing and distributing the goods. Philip Morris Lietuva UAB, JTI Marketing and Sales UAB and British American Tobacco Lietuva UAB were the only significant players, leaving only the remainders of the less lucrative cigars and smoking tobacco categories to other producers. In terms of distribution, supermarkets/hypermarkets remained the leading channel due to the sheer number of outlets opened, the wide assortment of brands and the development of one-stop shopping habits among Lithuanians. SkonisirKvapas UAB was the leading seller of niche products, such as cigars and smoking tobacco, with the market not being large enough to accommodate another player.

Further tightening of regulatory grip is expected

The tobacco industry will have to show its resilience over and over again during the forecast period. Any new legislation will only make the products harder to sell, either because of so-called “white label” (plain packaging) for cigarettes, the removal of tobacco products from existing points of sale to specialised stores only or simply increased taxation on tobacco products. Illicit trade is also not expected to be eradicated completely, further complicating matters for companies. In order to survive, firms will rely on innovation, spurring the development of higher-value products which lead to higher profit margins. Focus will be directed towards the marketing activities still available for them, with the design of packaging and point-of-sale displays playing an especially important role.operating environment

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Lithuania - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

High unit prices lead to plunging sales

Illicit trade on the rise

Lithuanians seek alternatives to cigarettes

The tobacco category remains concentrated

Further tightening of regulatory grip is expected

LEGISLATION

Legislative overview/FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

EU DIRECTIVES

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising andsponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

Sources

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Lithuania - Company Profiles

JTI Marketing & Sales UAB in Tobacco (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 JTI Marketing and Sales UAB: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Lietuva UAB in Tobacco (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Philip Morris Lietuva UAB: Competitive Position 2010

SkonisirKvapas UAB in Tobacco (Lithuania)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cigarettes in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The trend of declining sales of duty-paid cigarettes that was first noticed in 2009 accelerated in 2010. As consumers felt unease about their financial situation as well as future prospects, a significant number quit smoking altogether. Of those who stuck to smoking, a large share switched to illicit cigarettes. The easy availability of smuggled goods made such switches easy, especially in the country’s border regions.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Lithuanian cigarettes category is an oligopoly with three large multinationals vying for share. Despite Phillip Morris Lietuva UAB’s dominant position, the marketplace is believed to be fiercely competitive, preventing the leader from abusing its strength.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches 2010

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Soaring sales of illicit cigarettes, expected rises in excise duties and ever-stricter regulation on marketing make manufacturers of cigarettes uneasy in Lithuania. To offset the factors that are affecting sales in a negative way, companies will rely heavily on innovation in order to sustain sales. Smoking prevalence amongst Lithuanians is expected to remain close to the levels comparable to 2010’s numbers, declining by only two percentage points over the forecast period, suggesting that the opportunities to win share among smokers will still exist.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslimsvs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The smoking of cigars and cigarillos remains a relatively niche activity in Lithuania. The main reason for this is the lacklustre efforts of companies to promote their products under the previously lax regulatory environment. Although such actions (or lack of them) were justified given the low base of affluent smokers, the opportunity tostimulate growth is widely considered to be missed as the majority of innovations and the introduction of new products go unnoticed.

Handmade versus machine-manufactured splits

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • SkonisirKvapas UAB did not receive a direct challenge for its leading position as a distributor of cigars and cigarillos. However, it saw its share shrink because of rising sales of cigarillos in supermarkets/hypermarkets. The company is a tobacco specialist and has a wide network of stores in the larger cities of Lithuania, usually located in shopping centres and the main streets. Worth to note that supermarkets/hypermarkets registered a very strong increase in share by 13 percentage points to take it to 49% of total distribution of cigars, level with tobacco specialists in 2010. This indicates that many cigars and cigarillos brands are becoming a mainstream.

New Product Developments

  • Summary 11 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches 2010

Distribution

PROSPECTS

  • The development of cigars and cigarillos will be heavily dependent on legislation over the forecast period. It took just one year for the sales of cigarillos to explode by 1,822% in volume terms, which was only possible because of favourable excise duties for cigarillos compared to cigarettes. Much less volatility is expected for cigars excluding cigarillos, with both value and volume sales projected to increase gradually over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Lithuania - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is banned in Lithuania by EU law.

Smoking Tobacco in Lithuania - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pipe and RYO smoking are not particularly popular in Lithuania. Pipe smoking is usually considered something suitable for older males. RYO tobacco was introduced relatively late in Lithuania and initially did not receive much attention. RYO tobacco is, however,becomingmore popular among younger and budget-conscious smokers.

The role and effect of cannabis/marijuana

Distribution

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Leading distributor SkonisirKvapas dictates the trends for smoking tobacco in Lithuania as it not only operates its own stores in shopping centres, but is the only supplier to supermarkets/hypermarkets.

New Product Developments

PROSPECTS

  • Despite the restrictions on marketing activities, sales of smoking tobacco are set to rise in the forecast period. Smokers shifting from cigarettes will comprise the largest group of new customers. Firms that are already present in the category will continue to introduce to the RYO tobacco category offerings that appeal to younger smokers. At the same time, pipe tobacco will also receive attention from manufacturers as it generates the most revenue (86% of current value sales in 2010).

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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