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Country Report

Tobacco in Poland

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Regular tax increases lead to declining volume sales of cigarettes

Annual taxation hikes continue to have a negative influence on retail volume sales of cigarettes in Poland. 2011 brought further increases in the specific tax, which resulted in increases in the final retail selling price of cigarettes. In addition, during January 2011 the VAT rate in Poland was also increased from 22% to 23%. This in turn pushed many consumers to limit their spending on cigarettes, seeking cheaper tobacco products or in some cases quitting the habit altogether. As a result, retail volume sales of cigarettes once again declined during 2011.

Smokers seek cheaper alternatives to cigarettes

Rising cigarette prices continued to fuel demand for alternative tobacco products as a growing number of Poles, particularly Poland’s most price-sensitive consumers, are no longer able to afford to buy ready-made cigarettes. As a result, interest is rising in smoking tobacco, specifically RYO tobacco, with many consumers finding it a much cheaper alternative to ready-made cigarettes. Nonetheless, RYO tobacco is also subject to rising taxation, a trend which is contributing the rising interest in illicit products across tobacco in Poland.

Multinationals remain the unrivalled leaders across all tobacco categories

Multinational companies remain the strong leaders in tobacco in Poland. During 2011, cigarettes was led by Philip Morris Polska SA, British American Tobacco Polska SA, Imperial Tobacco Polska SA and JTI Polska Sp zoo. In cigars and cigarillos, meanwhile, Scandinavian Tobacco Group Polska Sp zoo continued to lead, whilst Imperial Tobacco Polska SA was the strongest player in smoking tobacco. Domestic manufacturers and distributors opt for a more niche positioning and tend to concentrate on selected niches such as Tobacco Trading International Sp zoo’s focus on cigars and cigarillos and Orion Czernek Jerzy performing particularly well within smoking tobacco.

The importance of tobacco specialists as a retail distribution channel expands

Tobacco specialists is becoming an increasingly popular retail distribution channel for tobacco in Poland. The role of tobacco specialists is particularly important with regards to premium and unique brands. Apart from offering a vast selection of brands across all price segments, many tobacco specialists also offer professional advice to their customers. This contributes to the growing importance of tobacco specialists in the distribution of cigars and cigarillos as these products have a more prestigious image than cigarettes and smoking tobacco, and are generally not purchased on impulse. The dynamic expansion of tobacco specialists outlets such as the Smoke Shop chain which began operating in 2008 is also contributing to the rising popularity of tobacco specialists, particularly among more demanding Polish smokers.

Cigars and cigarillos set to remain the most dynamic category in volume terms

Cigars and cigarillos is expected to record the most dynamic volume growth in tobacco in Poland over the forecast period. Cigars and cigarillos remains quite a small category in tobacco in Poland, which is one of the main reasons for the optimistic growth projections for the category during the forecast period. Sales of cigars and cigarillos in Poland are set to be driven mainly by the rapid development of cigar culture in Poland, not to mention the rapidly expanding consumer base, the rising availability of cigars and cigarillos and the significant number of new product launches within all cigars and cigarillos categories during the review period. It is also considered highly likely that new players will enter the category during the forecast period. The expected improvement in the economic climate in Europe and, more specifically, Poland’s favourable economic outlook should also have a positive effect on demand for cigars and cigarillos during the forecast period as a rising number of Polish consumers will soon be able to afford premium tobacco products, allowing them to enjoy the new smoking experience offered by cigars and cigarillos.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Poland with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Poland, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Poland for free:

The Tobacco in Poland market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Poland?
  • What are the major brands in Poland?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Poland?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Poland?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Poland?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Poland in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Poland?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Poland - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Regular tax increases lead to declining volume sales of cigarettes

Smokers seek cheaper alternatives to cigarettes

Multinationals remain the unrivalled leaders across all tobacco categories

The importance of tobacco specialists as a retail distribution channel expands

Cigars and cigarillos set to remain the most dynamic category in volume terms

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

EU directives

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies - Cigarettes
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies - Cigars
  • Table 6 Taxation and Duty Levies – RYO tobacco
  • Table 7 Taxation and Duty Levies – Pipe tobacco

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 8 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 9 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes 2007-2011

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 10 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Poland - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Polska SA: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 British American Tobacco Polska SA: Competitive Position 2011

Imperial Tobacco Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Imperial Tobacco Polska SA: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Imperial Tobacco Polska SA: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Philip Morris Polska SA: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Philip Morris Polska SA: Competitive Position 2011

Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 17 Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie SA: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie SA: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigarettes in Poland remains a tobacco category which is heavily influenced by legislation, specifically regular tax increases. Taxes on cigarettes were raised by the Polish government in January 2011 and again in January 2012. During 2011, the new excise tax levied on cigarettes in Poland included a fixed tax of PLN158.36 per 1,000 sticks, an increase on the PLN146.83 per 1,000 sticks levied in 2010, as well as an ad valorem excise of 31.41%, a figure which has remained unchanged since 2009. In January 2012, the rate of fixed tax on cigarettes in Poland was increased further, rising to PLN170.97 per 1,000 sticks, while ad valorem excise remained at 31.41%. In addition, in January 2011 the rate of VAT in Poland was increased from 22% to 23%. All of these tax hikes have resulted in a much higher final retail selling price for cigarettes, which in turn has led many Polish smokers to shift towards economy brands, while many others have shifted towards cheaper alternatives such as smoking tobacco. More importantly, the rising cost of smoking cigarettes is also fuelling the illicit trade as there are many Polish smokers who are unwilling to stop smoking and they are always on the lookout for new ways to obtain cigarettes at lower prices.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Polish tobacco industry was one of the first industries in the country to undergo privatisation at the end of Poland’s communist era. Nearly all of Poland’s several State-owned tobacco companies were privatised between 1995 and 1996. Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie was the last State-owned Polish cigarette manufacturer to be privatised. In 2011, France-based Biosyntec SA acquired a 70% stake in Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie SA and announced plans to invest PLN100 million in the company with the aim of producing innovative cigarette filters which can reduce the harmful effects of smoking.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the performance of cigarettes in Poland is set to remain highly dependent on legislative changes, mostly rises in taxation. During January 2012, the Polish government once again raised the taxes levied on cigarettes. Specific taxes increased from PLN158.36 to PLN170.97 per 1,000 sticks, while ad valorem excise was left unchanged at 31.41%.Further increases in tobacco taxes are expected in Poland during the forecast period as the country must adopt a tobacco taxation policy which is in line with the tobacco tax rates set by the EU. This, in turn, is set to lead to rising unit prices. Ongoing increases in the retail selling price of cigarettes and the increasingly difficult economic conditions in Poland are expected to fuel the shift towards economy cigarette brands as well as cheaper alternatives to cigarettes such as smoking tobacco. More ominously, the rising retail selling price of cigarettes through legitimate retail channels is also likely to lead to higher interest in illicit cigarettes as well during the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 20 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars is quite a small category within tobacco in Poland. In the majority of cases, cigars and cigarillos are still perceived as expensive luxury items in Poland and they tend to be smoked only on special occasions rather than on an everyday basis. Smoking a cigar is still seen by many Polish people as rather extravagant the consumption of cigars is often associated with snobbish behaviour and a superior attitude. Cigars are basically the preserve of a niche of affluent upper-income consumers and are generally associated with male smokers. Nonetheless, demand for cigars and cigarillos continues to grow in Poland for a number of reasons, including the increasingly wide distribution of high-quality cigars in Poland, the increasing sophistication of consumer demand for tobacco products and the rapidly developing cigar culture in Poland as well as the increasing number of new product developments across all price segments which has the effect of making cigars and cigarillos more accessible to a wider range of Polish people.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Scandinavian Tobacco Group Polska Sp zoo was the leading player in cigars in 2011 with a retail volume share of 36%, whilst in cigars excluding cigarillos the leading position was held by Tobacco Trading International Sp zoo, an importer and distributor of cigars and cigarillos which accounted for 27% of total retail volume sales during 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 21 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars in Poland is expected to continue increasing in volume and value during the forecast period. Ongoing growth in the category is set to stem from the rise of cigar culture in Poland, which is being propelled by new product development and the wider availability of cigars. In addition, the expected recovery of the Polish economy is likely to boost demand for luxury products during the forecast period, including cigars. The ever wider selection of cigars available at all price points in Poland is also set to encourage more Polish consumers to opt for cigars and cigarillos on a more regular basis.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 57 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 58 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 59 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 60 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco remains an important element of the Polish tobacco industry. There is a strong and loyal consumer base for smoking tobacco, specifically RYO tobacco, a category of products which are perceived to offer excellent value for money. Previously, the consumption of smoking tobacco in Poland was commonly associated with less affluent consumers. However, in the face of the ever-increasing unit price of cigarettes, the perception of RYO tobacco has recently improved. The number of Polish smokers who prefer RYO tobacco to cigarettes is increasing across both rural and urban areas of Poland. In addition, the fact that there are strong growth opportunities opening up in RYO tobacco also means that a wider range of products is now being offered in RYO tobacco and the increasingly demanding consumer base now has access to high-quality blends of RYO tobacco as well as flavoured varieties.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading company in smoking tobacco in Poland during 2011 was Imperial Tobacco Polska SA, which dominated the category with a retail volume share of 53%. During the review period, the company derived its success in smoking tobacco from its very strong performance in RYO tobacco, where its Route 66 and Paramount brands remain the two most popular choices among Polish smokers. Pipe tobacco, meanwhile, was led by Scandinavian Tobacco Group Polska Sp zoo with a 46% retail volume share. The very high popularity of its Alsbo and Poniatowski brands was the main reason for the company’s leading position in pipe tobacco during 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 22 Smoking tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that demand for smoking tobacco will continue to increase in Poland over the forecast period as a growing number of Polish smokers are actively seeking cheaper alternatives to cigarettes in the face of high annual tax hikes. Although smoking tobacco is also subject to increasing levels of taxation, it remains a much more affordable option, particularly for heavy smokers. New product developments and the entry of new players and brands will help to boost retail volume and value sales in smoking tobacco during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 70 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 71 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 72 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 76 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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