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Country Report

Tobacco in Poland

Jan 2012

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Poland with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Poland, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Poland for free:

The Tobacco in Poland market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Poland?
  • What are the major brands in Poland?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Poland?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Poland?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Poland?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Poland in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Poland?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Volume sales of cigarettes continue to decline due to regular tax increases

Anti-tobacco regulations, basically regular tax hikes, continue to negatively influence retail volume sales of cigarettes in Poland. 2010 again brought an increase in the specific tax, which led to rising average unit prices, which in turn discouraged some smokers from consuming cigarettes or made them limit their spending on that category. In addition, in November 2010 the government introduced a ban on smoking in public places, which also translated into decreasing demand for cigarettes overall.

Rising prices of cigarettes lead to growing interest in cheaper alternatives

The ever-growing prices of cigarettes made more Polish smokers seek cheaper alternatives, whereas only a small fraction of smokers decided to quit the habit completely. Many consumers readily shifted towards more affordable options such as smoking tobacco, however this category also experienced rising taxation. In general, rising prices of various tobacco products fuelled overall interest in illicit products, which according to latest trade press publications reached up to 20% of total volume sales in cigarettes in 2010.

Multinational players take the leading positions across the tobacco market in Poland

Multinationals continue to lead tobacco categories in Poland. Within cigarettes, the top positions based on retail volume sales in 2010 were held by Philip Morris Polska SA, British American Tobacco Polska SA, Imperial Tobacco Polska SA and JTI Polska Sp zoo. In cigars and cigarillos, Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S ranked first, while in smoking tobacco the leading position was held by Philip Morris Polska SA. In comparison, domestic companies favoured a more niche positioning and were strongest in smoking tobacco, where Orion Czernek Jerzy and Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie SA were placed third and fifth, respectively.

Tobacco specialists proves an increasingly important distribution channel

Tobacco specialists proves to be an increasingly important distribution channel for tobacco products in Poland, particularly with regard to premium and more unique brands. These retailers provide consumers with a vast selection of product types and brands in all price segments as well as professional advice. In general, tobacco specialists is a particularly popular channel for cigars and cigarillos, as such products have a more prestigious image than cigarettes and smoking tobacco and are not purchased on impulse. The dynamic expansion of such outlets, particularly in large cities, is also increasing the popularity of specialist stores among demanding Polish smokers.

The cigars and cigarillos environment expected to post the most dynamic volume growth over the forecast period

Cigars and cigarillos is predicted to record the fastest retail volume growth over the forecast period. Growth is expected to be driven by a number of factors including the wide-spread cigar culture, an expanding consumer base, wider availability and interesting new product launches. New entrants are also probable. In addition, alongside the expected improvement in the economic climate, a growing number of consumers will be able to afford premium products, which is likely to positively affect sales of cigars and cigarillos as well.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Poland - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Volume sales of cigarettes continue to decline due to regular tax increases

Rising prices of cigarettes lead to growing interest in cheaper alternatives

Multinational players take the leading positions across the tobacco market in Poland

Tobacco specialists proves an increasingly important distribution channel

The cigars and cigarillos environment expected to post the most dynamic volume growth over the forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

EU Directives

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies - Cigarettes
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies - Cigars
  • Table 6 Taxation and Duty Levies – RYO tobacco
  • Table 7 Taxation and Duty Levies – Pipe tobacco

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 8 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 9 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 10 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Poland - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Polska SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 British American Tobacco Polska SA: Competitive Position 2010

Imperial Tobacco Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Imperial Tobacco Polska SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Imperial Tobacco Polska SA: Competitive Position 2010

JTI Polska Sp zoo in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 JTI Polska Sp zoo: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 JTI Polska Sp zoo: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Polska SA in Tobacco (Poland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 15 Philip Morris Polska SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Philip Morris Polska SA: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigarettes in Poland remain highly influenced by legislation changes. In January 2010 as well as in January 2011 the taxes on cigarettes were again increased by the government. In 2010 the new excise tax included a fixed tax of PLN146.83 per 1,000 sticks (PLN138.50 per 1,000 sticks in 2009) and an ad valorem excise of 31.41% (unchanged from 2009). In 2011 the rates were increased further up to PLN158.36 per 1,000 sticks (fixed tax) with the ad valorem excise staying the same at 31.41%. In addition, since January 2011 the VAT rate was also increased from 22% to 23%. The increasing taxation resulting in higher final prices of cigarettes pushes many consumers to shift towards economy brands as well as still cheaper alternatives like smoking tobacco. However, in many cases it is also fuelling illicit trade as many consumers are unwilling to stop the habit and seek all possible ways to obtain cheaper cigarettes.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Polish tobacco industry was one of the first to undergo privatisation. Nearly all companies were privatised between 1995 and 1996. Zaklady Tytoniowe w Lublinie is the last manufacturer waiting to be privatised. In 2009 the French-based Biosyntec announced its plans to purchase a 60% share in the company for circa PLN24 million, however the transaction proved to be unsuccessful as the company did not finalise the payment.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the performance of cigarettes in Poland will remain highly dependent on legislative changes, mostly taxation. In January 2011, the government once again raised the taxes on cigarettes. Specific taxes increased from PLN146.83 to PLN158.36, while ad valorem excise was left unchanged at 31.41%. In addition, the VAT rate was increased from 22% up to 23%. According to EU norms, further increases are expected. This in turn will lead to rising unit prices. On-going increases in retail prices, coupled with the toughening economic conditions, are expected to fuel the shift towards economy cigarette brands, as well as cheaper alternatives such as smoking tobacco. The tendency may also lead to more visible interest in illicit products as well.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 18 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 34 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 35 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars and cigarillos do not form a significant part of the smoking tradition in Poland. They still represent some expensive and luxury products for the typical Polish smoker, tending to be smoked mostly on special occasions, not on an everyday basis. Smoking a cigar is still seen in Poland as rather extravagant, if not snobbish. Cigars are basically the preserve of upper-income consumers and are generally associated with male smokers. Nevertheless, the demand for cigars and cigarillos is growing gradually due to a number of reasons, such as: Broader distribution; higher consumer awareness of products and a developing cigar culture; as well as a number of new product developments offered in all price segments.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tobacco Trading International Sp zoo, an importer and distributor of cigars and cigarillos manufactured by the German company Pöschl Tabak GmbH & Co KG, is the leading player in cigars excluding cigarillos. In 2010, the company held a 26% share of retail volume sales. In cigars and cigarillos, Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S took the leadership with a 30% share of retail volume sales in 2010. In general, cigars and cigarillos is dominated by distributors in Poland.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars and cigarillos is expected to enjoy further development in Poland, due to the growing cigar culture propelled by new product developments and wider availability. Additionally, the expected recovery of the Polish economy is likely to boost sales as well. At the same time, the number of tobacco specialists is growing and cigar clubs are becoming established in the major Polish cities. These developments might also encourage more consumers to reach for cigars and cigarillos on a regular basis.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 58 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 59 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 63 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Poland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco is an important part of the Polish tobacco industry. There is a strong consumer base for smoking tobacco, which is perceived to offer good value for money. The consumption of smoking tobacco in Poland was previously commonly associated with less affluent consumers, often living in rural areas, however in the face of ever-increasing cigarette prices, smoking tobacco is becoming increasingly popular among residents of large cities as well.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading three companies are Imperial Tobacco Polska SA, Orion Czernek Jerzy and Philip Morris Polska SA with a combined value share of 64%. All those players benefit from a strong presence in both RYO and pipe tobacco. They possess attractively priced and widely available brands, which prove appealing to consumers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 20 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • The consumption of smoking tobacco in Poland is expected to continue to grow over the forecast period. More Polish consumers are seeking new and cheaper alternatives to cigarettes, making smoking tobacco a more popular choice for heavy smokers. New product developments and the entry of new players and brands will help to boost retail volume and value sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 70 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 71 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 76 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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