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Country Report

Tobacco in Slovenia

Oct 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Slovenia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Slovenia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Slovenia for free:

The Tobacco in Slovenia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Slovenia?
  • What are the major brands in Slovenia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Slovenia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Slovenia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Slovenia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Slovenia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Slovenia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Value sales rise while volumes continue to decline

Overall, tobacco in Slovenia saw steady development in 2010. Value sales were up markedly from the preceding year, primarily due to a marked increase in prices owing to the legislated rise in excise tax that was instituted in 2010. Meanwhile, tobacco volume growth continued to record a negative performance due to a volume decline in cigarettes, which is the largest category. Compared with the entire review period, 2010 saw a considerably smaller volume decline.

Excise taxes continue to raise unit prices

The key 2010 story within tobacco in Slovenia was the impact of the rise in excise tax, which the government has undertaken to bring its legislation in line with the EU directive. This increase in excise tax resulted in notable price rises across all categories in the tobacco market. Another factor which influenced tobacco was the growing pressure from anti-smoking campaigns and many organisations, which are very active in Slovenia. Due to increased health concerns and the growing health awareness among Slovenians, many consumers are expressing the desire to give up smoking. Significant numbers have succumbed to the pressure and quit smoking, impacting tobacco sales significantly. Others chose to switch from mid-tar cigarettes to other categories with lower prices and lower tar contents. Tobacco was also affected by higher unit prices, which triggered many consumers to switch from large and standard cigars to small cigars and cigarillos as well as from cigarettes to RYO tobacco.

Tobacna Ljubljana remains the leading player

Many manufacturers and distributors were active on the Slovenian tobacco market in 2010. Tobacna Ljubljana (Imperial Tobacco) held the strongest position across tobacco as a whole and especially in cigarettes, competing with multinationals such as Philip Morris and British American Tobacco. Within cigars, smoking tobacco and smokeless tobacco, the most successful distributors were Cyan and Tobacna Ljubljana. Another competitor from neighbouring country Croatia, Adris Grupa, also registered a strong performance in 2010.

Supermarkets remain the most important channel for tobacco products

Within cigarettes, the most successful distribution channel was supermarkets/hypermarkets, followed by newsagent-tobacconists/kiosks and tobacco specialists. The supermarkets/hypermarkets channel continued to benefit from the one-stop shopping experience, while kiosks represent the most widespread channel in terms of numbers of outlets. Within cigars, consumers strongly preferred tobacco specialty shops as their channel of choice, since they can obtain expert advice and have a more premium experience in such shops.

Fair future performance

Over the forecast period tobacco in Slovenia is expected to show healthy growth in terms of constant value sales, benefiting mainly from increases in average unit price. The overall category is likely to be driven by the good performance of the cigarettes category, which is supported by new product launches and producers’ efforts to promote their products the best way possible at points of sale. Nevertheless, sales are expected to register a slight slowdown in growth rates over the forecast period. This will be mainly ascribed to the impact of the total smoking ban and higher unit prices, as well as growing health concerns.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Slovenia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Value sales rise while volumes continue to decline

Excise taxes continue to raise unit prices

Tobacna Ljubljana remains the leading player

Supermarkets remain the most important channel for tobacco products

Fair future performance

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Slovenia - Company Profiles

Arc Kranj doo in Tobacco (Slovenia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Camelot doo in Tobacco (Slovenia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Tobacna Ljubljana doo in Tobacco (Slovenia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cigarettes in Slovenia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The most notable factor affecting cigarettes in Slovenia was the rise in excise tax, with a rise in specific (per 1,000 pieces) excise as well as the percentage ad valorem tax. As 100% of Slovenia’s tobacco products are imported, this resulted in a hefty price increase across all brands in all categories as well as a significant number of consumers trading down to lower price brands. Nonetheless the increase in unit prices mean that value sales still remain fairly high.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Slovenian tobacco industry is not a monopoly. The majority of manufacturers and distributors operating are privately owned companies. Tobacna Ljubljana was owned by the state until a majority share was acquired by foreign holders in 1991. The entire company was then sold to Imperial Tobacco Group in 2002, at which point all tobacco manufacturing in Slovenia came to an end.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 8 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the cigarettes sector is expected to see stable constant value growth. Cigarettes will be influenced by the current tobacco law as well as increasing unit prices due to the gradually increasing excise taxes. A growing number of consumers in Slovenia are expected to become more aware of their health and thus focus on quitting smoking. The low-tar and ultra low-tar categories are expected to benefit the most, since increasing numbers of consumers are expected to first switch to weaker cigarettes (in terms of tar level) and then to quit smoking altogether. The anticipated positive value growth will mainly be ascribed to new product launches, as these are expected to be the main focus of manufacturers over the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 9 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Slovenia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tradition of smoking cigars and cigarillos is not very well established in Slovenia. However, its association with luxury and prosperity continues to appeal to a greater number of Slovenians with disposable income. Furthermore, cigars are often associated with card games and Slovenians have an ever increasing gambling and card game playing culture. Online shopping also allows curious Slovenians to educate themselves on Cuban cigars and various cigarillos brands. At the time of writing, there were a number of online cigar shops where consumers could choose between many different sorts and brands of cigars. In addition, cigars are popular gifts to new fathers, and Slovenia is experiencing a marked baby boom resulting in many new fathers.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading distributor of cigars in Slovenia is Cyan, which held a 36% volume share in 2010, followed by Tobacna Ljubljana with a 24% volume share. The remaining share was held by other smaller distributors. The success of Cyan was mainly attributed to its long history of operating in the country and its wide brand portfolio. Tobacna Ljubljana is also a company with a long tradition in Slovenia and its success is mainly ascribed to its loyal consumer base.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, the cigars (excluding cigarillos) category is expected to see a slight negative volume growth. Cigars are luxury items that are generally not smoked everyday so consumers choose quality over quantity, reaching for more expensive brands during those particular occasions when they seek out these products. The category will nevertheless continue to develop in value terms, albeit more slowly than the review period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Slovenia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco was introduced in Slovenia in the late 1970s, and has a rather short tradition in the country. In June 2003, the Slovenian government banned snuff in compliance with EU directive 2001/37/EC. Although this ban did not apply to chewing tobacco, demand within the category continued to fall.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The dominant distributor within smokeless tobacco in Slovenia is Cyan, with a volume share of 94% generated through the strong performance of its brands General, Roda Lacket and Swedish Match. Cyan has exclusive distribution rights to the products by multinational Swedish Match AB.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, smokeless tobacco is expected to see further declines in terms of both volume and constant value sales. This will be largely a result of a lack of consumer interest in smokeless tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Slovenia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is a long tradition of pipe smoking and RYO tobacco in Slovenia. Since 2003, RYO tobacco has witnessed steady volume and value growth, while pipe tobacco has seen a steady decline due to falling popularity and rising unit prices.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading distributor in smoking tobacco in Slovenia in 2010 was Tobacna Ljubljana (Imperial Tobacco) with a volume share of 58%. The company established itself as leader through the strong performance of the Drum brand of tobacco. The runner-up distributor was Cyan, through its distribution of Mac Baren Tobacco and other brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, smoking tobacco in Slovenia is expected to maintain healthy constant value growth. This will mainly stem from the increasing number of cigarette smokers who are likely to switch to RYO tobacco due to more favourable prices. Strict tobacco legislation, which is currently enforced in Slovenia as well as higher taxations and increasing unit prices of cigarettes are expected to push many consumers to switch to RYO tobacco in the future. Even though the prices of smoking tobacco are also expected to increase over the forecast period, distributors such as Cyan and Tobacna Ljubljana will continue to offer RYO tobacco brands at favourable prices in order to attract larger numbers of smokers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 77 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 78 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 79 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 80 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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