Tobacco in South Africa

June 2023
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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Tobacco industry in South Africa with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to the following key categories, where applicable:

  • Cigarettes
  • Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco
  • Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco

If you're in the Tobacco industry in South Africa, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Tobacco in South Africa report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in South Africa?
  • Which are the leading brands in Tobacco in South Africa?
  • How are products distributed in Tobacco in South Africa?
  • Which category is the most heavily taxed in South Africa?
  • How is the operating environment for Tobacco changing?
  • What are the current legislative restrictions applicable to the sale of Tobacco products in South Africa?
  • How has COVID-19 impacted demand?
  • How have national lockdown and enforced home seclusion following COVID-19 impacted sales?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
Download Table of Contents

Tobacco in South Africa

Tobacco in 2022: The big picture
2022 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2017-2022
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

DISCLAIMER

Summary 2 Research Sources

Cigarettes in South Africa

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Illicit trade still accounting for a quarter of cigarette sales in 2022
Tobacco supply problems and industry restructuring due to pandemic-induced illicit sales boom
Further cigarette declines expected in the face of competition from new-generation products
Tough climate for cigarette players
Tobacco control measures to tighten with new Bill
Health and wellness trends will negatively impact cigarette sales
Taxation rates
Table 10 Taxation and Duty Levies 2017-2022
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2017-2022
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 20 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 21 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 23 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2017-2022
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2022-2027
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2022-2027

Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco in South Africa

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Fine cut tobacco demand increases as price-sensitivity rises
Cigarillos offer diverse flavours, cigar demand declining
Bongani Cigars and Santa Bras emerge with lower-priced products
Health-conscious consumers will put pressure on cigars, cigarillos and pipe tobacco
Brand loyalty central to longevity as tobacco control measures increase
International players dominate despite inflation, increasing import costs and rising prices
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 37 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 38 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2017-2022
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 41 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 42 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 43 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 44 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 45 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 46 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 47 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 48 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 49 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 50 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 51 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 52 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco in South Africa

KEY DATA FINDINGS

British American Tobacco and Philip Morris leading the charge in next-generation products
Strong growth for e-vapour products offering flavour diversity in an unregulated area of the market
Tax-free e-liquids grow as cessation programmes gain popularity
Next-generation product sales could be impacted by stricter control measures
Manufacturers to experience first tax hikes, likely resulting in price increases
As price-sensitive younger consumers weigh the benefits of disposables they are boosting demand for these products
Table 57 Number of Adult Vapers 2017-2022
Table 58 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 59 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 60 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2017-2022
Table 61 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 62 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2017-2022
Table 63 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 66 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotine Strength: % Value 2019-2022
Table 67 NBO Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 68 LBN Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 69 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 71 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 72 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 75 Distribution of Smokeless Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 76 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2022-2027
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
The following categories and subcategories are included:

Tobacco

      • Fine Cut Cigarettes
  • Cigarettes (Illicit+Legal)
      • Cigars
      • Cigarillos
      • Pipe Tobacco
      • Fine Cut Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
          • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
        • Swedish-Style Snus
        • Closed System Single Use
          • Closed System Rechargeable (including starter kits)
          • Closed System Cartridges
        • Open Vaping Systems Charging and Vapourising Devices
        • E-liquids
      • Tobacco Heating Devices
      • Heated Tobacco
      • Nicotine Pouches

Tobacco

Passport Tobacco covers the seven major tobacco categories: Cigarettes, Cigars & Cigarillos, Smoking tobacco (made up of Pipe tobacco and RYO tobacco), Smokeless Tobacco (snuff and chewing tobacco), E-Vapour Products (closed and open); Heated Tobacco; and Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine. Smoking paraphernalia such as pipes, rolling papers, lighters or matches, etc., are not included, nor are nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) products, which are part of Euromonitor's Passport Consumer Healthcare database.

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This report originates from Passport, our Tobacco research and analysis database.

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