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Country Report

Tobacco in Spain

Dec 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Cigarettes the worst performing category among tobacco products

In 2011, cigarettes, which saw volume and value sales decrease significantly, was the only category to register negative growth in Spain. Cigarettes, which represent the largest tobacco product in Spain, was hit hard by the credit crunch and high unemployment rates in Spain, which led to a decrease in private consumption and spectacular growth of illicit trade. After many years of very low levels of illicit trade in cigarettes, 2011 saw the credit crunch drive more than 500% growth in illegal sales of cigarettes in Spain. This factor has had a larger impact on cigarettes sales than new anti-tobacco legislation that prohibits smoking in public places such as bars and restaurants.

Cigarillos confirm the takeover of the cigars market

Cigarillos continued the path of huge growth in volume sales started in 2010, as the category confirmed its position as a cheaper alternative to cigarettes for those smokers most affected by the economic crisis and therefore most sensitive to prices. With the increase of unit prices of cigarettes and the launch of new low cost cigarillos brands, which try to emulate cigarettes packs and flavours, cigarillos experienced one of the best performances in the tobacco market in Spain in 2011. Despite being boosted by low cost brands, value sales also experienced very high rates of growth, as a sign of the good performance of the category.

Pipe tobacco to replace RYO tobacco for low incomes

In 2011, smoking tobacco was characterised by the exceptional growth of pipe tobacco volume and value sales. This growth is due to the ongoing switch from RYO tobacco to pipe tobacco, which many Spanish smokers use to roll up cigarettes, as it is a cheaper substitute for RYO tobacco. Since 2009, pipe tobacco carries a specific excise tax and minimum excise. The main reason for this was to seek to invert the substitution effect between cigarettes and pipe tobacco and to collect more duties. However, the new legislation did not have the desired effect of reducing consumption.

New legislation brings slight changes to distribution

New anti-tobacco legislation that was applied in January 2011 has led to some slight changes in distribution patters of tobacco products in Spain. Vending machines for cigarettes saw reduced market share because impulse consumption of cigarettes has diminished as smoking is not allowed at bars and restaurants. In the case of cigars, now restaurants need special administrative permission to sell these products, which has meant a fall in sales through this distribution channel. In the case of RYO tobacco, the success of RYO tobacco led to the appearance of vending machines as a new method of distribution.

Future paints negative picture for tobacco products in Spain

For the forecast period, cigarettes are expected to experience sustained negative growth both in terms of volume and value. The effects of stronger anti-tobacco legislation and the reduction in the number of smokers is expected to erode business for tobacco manufacturers. Sales of low cost cigarillos and smoking tobacco are expected to increase, but growth in these categories will not be enough to overturn the declines in cigarettes and cigars.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Spain with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Spain, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Spain for free:

The Tobacco in Spain market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Spain?
  • What are the major brands in Spain?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Spain?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Spain?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Spain?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Spain in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Spain?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Spain - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Cigarettes the worst performing category among tobacco products

Cigarillos confirm the takeover of the cigars market

Pipe tobacco to replace RYO tobacco for low incomes

New legislation brings slight changes to distribution

Future paints negative picture for tobacco products in Spain

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation: EU directives

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 2 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 5 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 6 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Spain - Company Profiles

Altadis SA in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 ALTADIS SA: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 ALTADIS SA: Competitive Position 2011

British American Tobacco España SA in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 British American Tobacco España SA: Competitive Position 2011

JT International Iberia SL in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 JT INTERNATIONAL IBERIA SL: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The credit crunch has boosted illegal trade in cigarettes, which has reached sky-high levels with growth of 526% in 2011. Illicit trade was directly responsible cigarettes’ total decline in volume terms during the year. 16% of Spanish smokers have admitted to buying cigarettes through illegal channels, a figure that reaches 28% in southern Spain. However, growth in illicit trade, which was very significant in 2011, is set to decline thanks to restrictive new police and government measures.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Following the privatisation of the formerly state-run Tabacalera SA in 1998, cigarettes in Spain became a ‘free market’ with the competitive environment populated entirely by private companies, albeit with tight government regulation still in effect.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The future of cigarettes in Spain will be determined to a large extent by the country’s lacklustre economic performance and rising taxation in the short to medium term, which will combine to motivate more Spanish consumers to switch from cigarettes to RYO tobacco and, especially, to pipe tobacco. Moreover, the growing consumer awareness of healthy lifestyles and the increasing pressure coming from the Spanish Government and the EU to better manage public expenditure on healthcare will bring about new initiatives aimed at reducing Spain’s smoking prevalence, which will inevitably lead to a decline in cigarette consumption in the country over the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs. slims vs. superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Spain is one of the leading countries in the world in terms of per capita cigar consumption, ranking eighth overall. The country has a deep-rooted tradition of cigar manufacturing and cigar consumption. Demand for cigars in Spain is very mature and the consumption of cigars and cigarillos tends to be restricted to middle-aged and senior consumers, mainly men. Furthermore, cigar consumption is often linked to celebrations and special occasions, although there are some differences in consumption patterns depending on the type of product. While large cigars are normally seen as luxury products and thus reserved for special occasions and celebrations, small cigars and cigarillos are widely smoked on a daily basis, generally immediately after the main meal of the day or with some kind of alcoholic beverage.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 44 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs. Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leader of cigars and cigarillos sales is Altadis SA, with a market share of 31% in 2011. The company offers strong brands such as Farias, Cohiba, VegaFina, Guajiro and Montecristo.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over 2011-2016, the cigars category is expected to grow by a CAGR of 8%, driven by the performance of cigarillos, which is forecast to witness a CAGR of 10%. However, from 2015 the market is expected to decline in volume and value, as a result of a more restrictive legislative environment, healthy habits and consumers returning to cigarettes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Spain, both RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco have traditionally been associated with middle-aged and elderly men, lending these products a rather old-fashioned image, and this situation persists for pipe tobacco. However, over the course of the review period, RYO tobacco made a staggering comeback in Spain, coming into fashion once again, especially among younger smokers, who perceive smoking tobacco as slightly less damaging to one’s health and a little bit more natural than machine-manufactured cigarettes. More importantly, however, RYO tobacco gained favour among young Spanish smokers with low disposable incomes and Spain’s higher numbers of unemployed people as the poor state of the Spanish economy left many people with reduced disposable incomes.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Altadis strengthened its leadership in RYO smoking tobacco, increasing its volume share by four percentage points to reach 49% and registering sales of 2.6 billion tonnesin 2011. This improvement is due largely to the success of Ducados RYO, which alone represented 19% of total RYO volume sales in 2011, having registered growth of 272% during the year, though this included gaining consumers from the traditional Altdis best seller, Golden Virginia.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Smoking tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is expected to increase in volume at a CAGR of 25% and in value at a CAGR of 13% over the forecast period. Both of these growth rates will be lower than the equivalent growth rates over the review period, which will be due to the rapidly approaching maturity of smoking tobacco and the lack of convenience offered by smoking tobacco in comparison with cigarettes. As soon as Spanish consumers begin to return to similar levels of confidence and purchasing power to those seen prior to the onset of the current economic crisis, it is expected that they will begin purchasing cigarettes again, which will lead to a fall in demand for RYO tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 60 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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