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Country Report

Tobacco in Spain

Oct 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Spain with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Spain, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Spain for free:

The Tobacco in Spain market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Spain?
  • What are the major brands in Spain?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Spain?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Spain?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Spain?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Spain in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Spain?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco volume sales slump, while value sales spring up

Spanish consumers continued to exercise restraint in their consumption of tobacco products during 2010. Volume sales of cigarettes dropped considerably for the second consecutive year, although value sales of cigarettes were subject to positive growth due to significant price increases implemented over the course of the year. While Spain’s economic recovery remains tenuous at best, many Spanish consumers continued to trade down to more affordable brands while others migrated to more affordable tobacco products or simply curtailed their cigarette consumption.

Economic woes persist, forcing new smoking habits to evolve

As the brunt of the global financial crisis hit Spain during 2008 and 2009, the country’s tobacco industry witnessed a significant migration from cigarettes towards RYO tobacco, which has come to be a more affordable and increasingly mainstream alternative to cigarettes as RYO tobacco recorded noteworthy double digit volume growth during both 20908 and 2009. As the ongoing financial crisis develops in Spain, however, RYO tobacco has reached a point of inflexion as volume sales declined marginally during 2010. This step backwards can be attributed to some extent to the ongoing migration towards even cheaper alternatives such as mini cigarillos and pipe tobacco, although much of the fall in demand for RYO tobacco can also be accounted for by the rising numbers of Spanish smokers choosing to exercise moderation in their tobacco consumption.

Competitive landscape remains stable

The competitive environment in tobacco in Spain remained fairly stable in 2010 following the acquisition of Altadis SA by Imperial Tobacco Group Plc in 2008. Tobacco sales in Spain remained highly concentrated between five manufacturers which together accounted for 93% of total cigarettes volume sales in 2010. The leading player in tobacco in Spain is Altadis SA, which is owned by British Imperial Tobacco Group Plc, while Philip Morris Spain SA, JT International Iberia SL and British American Tobacco Plc make up the remainder of the group of companies which control tobacco in Spain, leaving negligible scope for domestic companies or smaller players to operate. Furthermore, existing agreements between these leading companies and distributors such as Logista represent another key competitive advantage for these leading players.

Thrifty approach favours tobacco specialist sales

Tobacco products have only been available through estancos, or tobacco specialists, and vending machines since the imposition of Spain’s smoking ban in 2006. Spain’s lacklustre economic performance and subsequent widespread consumer prudence fuelled sales of tobacco through estancos in 2010, eroding the share of vending machines, through which products are sold at significant mark-ups compared to the prices charged for tobacco products through estancos.

Negative performance expected in both volume and value terms

In terms of volume and value growth, tobacco in Spain is expected to move into negative territory during the forecast period. The main factor influencing this decline in sales will be Spain’s declining smoking prevalence, which is coming about mainly as a result of government information campaigns which promote healthier lifestyles. The second, more stringent round of anti-smoking legislation which was promulgated in Spain during 2010 will also contribute to the decline in smoking prevalence and the declining sales of tobacco products.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Spain - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco volume sales slump, while value sales spring up

Economic woes persist, forcing new smoking habits to evolve

Competitive landscape remains stable

Thrifty approach favours tobacco specialist sales

Negative performance expected in both volume and value terms

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation: EU directives

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2011

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Spain - Company Profiles

Altadis SA in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 Altadis SA: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Altadis SA: Competitive Position 2010

JT International Iberia SL in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 JT International Iberia SL: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Spain SA in Tobacco (Spain)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Philip Morris Spain SA: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Spain’s ongoing economic crisis has had a significant negative impact on the country’ cigarette industry since the third quarter of 2008. Spanish consumers are adopting different strategies in order to deal with their increasingly stunted spending power and declining disposable incomes. The most noticeable trends include smokers trading down to cheaper economy brands, while there is a noticeable shift away from cigarettes towards RYO tobacco, which represents a more affordable alternative.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Following the privatisation of the formerly state-run Tabacalera SA in 1998, cigarettes in Spain became a ‘free market’ with the competitive environment populated entirely by private companies, albeit with tight government regulation still in effect.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 12 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The future of cigarettes in Spain will be determined to a large extent by the country’s lacklustre economic performance and rising taxation in the short to medium term, which will combine to motivate more Spanish consumers to switch from cigarettes to RYO tobacco. Moreover, the growing consumer awareness of healthy lifestyles and the increasing pressure coming from the Spanish government and the EU to better manage public expenditure on healthcare will bring about new initiatives aimed at reducing Spain’s smoking prevalence, which will inevitably lead to a decline in cigarette consumption in the country over the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 13 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Spain is one of the leading countries in the world in terms of per capita cigar consumption, ranking eighth overall. The country has a deep-rooted tradition of cigar manufacturing and cigar consumption. Demand for cigars in Spain is very mature and the consumption of cigars and cigarillos tends to be restricted to middle-aged and senior consumers, mainly men. Furthermore, cigar consumption is often linked to celebrations and special occasions, although there are some differences in consumption patterns depending on the type of product. While large cigars are normally seen as luxury products and thus reserved for special occasions and celebrations, small cigars and cigarillos are widely smoked on a daily basis, generally immediately after the main meal of the day or with some kind of alcoholic beverage.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Altadis SA remained the leader in cigars and cigarillos in Spain during 2010, accounting for 20% of total cigars retail volume sales. The company offers strong brands such as Farias, Cohiba, VegaFina and Montecristo. The second ranked player, Cía Canariense, also held a 20% volume share in 2010, aided by the performance of its leading brand Reig. The volume shares of both companies, however, slipped dramatically during 2010. Altadis’ volume share slipped by eight percentage points in 2010, while Canariense’s volume share declined by five percentage points. This was mainly due to the success of minicigarritos such as Coburn, the dynamic sales of which boosted Imperial Tobacco Group’s volume share by 13 percentage points from 2% in 2009 to 15% in 2010.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 14 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Two factors will have a serious impact on sales of cigars and cigarillos in Spain over the forecast period. The first of these is the ongoing economic crisis, which will lead consumers to adopt different strategies in attempting to deal with the harsh realities of the recession. As consumer purchasing power will remain limited, growth rates in cigars and cigarillos will be hampered. The second factor is that the new smoking regulations which came into force in Spain during January 2011 will have a similar limiting impact on sales of cigars and cigarillos in a repeat of trends noted in 2006, when the previous smoking ban was passed. Over the longer term, the higher awareness of the potential health risks of smoking cigars and cigarillos among Spanish consumers will also limit demand for these products, as will the growing acknowledgement of the harm caused to those who inhale the second-hand smoke from cigars and cigarillos.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Spain, both RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco have traditionally been associated with middle-aged and elderly men, lending these products a rather old-fashioned image, and this situation persists for pipe tobacco. However, over the course of the review period, RYO tobacco made a staggering comeback in Spain, coming into fashion once again, especially among younger smokers, who perceive smoking tobacco as slightly less damaging to one’s health and a little bit more natural than machine-manufactured cigarettes. More importantly, however, RYO tobacco gained favour among young Spanish smokers with low disposable incomes and Spain’s higher numbers of unemployed people as the poor state of the Spanish economy left many Spanish people with reduced disposable incomes.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Altadis SA edged out Imperial Tobacco Group Plc in 2010, ascending to the leadership of the category with a 23% volume share, while Imperial Tobacco’s volume share fell to 21%. At the GBO level, the volume share of Imperial Tobacco Group, which owns Altadis, fell from 52% in 2009 to 45% in 2010. Imperial Tobacco Group’s strength in RYO tobacco in Spain is due to the success of its brands such as Golden Virginia—the leading RYO tobacco brand in Spain during 2010—which are very familiar to Spanish consumers. Nevertheless, Golden Virginia’s foothold in Spain is weakening following the arrival of several new RYO brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is expected to increase in volume at a CAGR of 2% and in constant value at a CAGR of 7% over the forecast period. Both of these growth rates will be lower than the equivalent growth rates over the review period, which will be due to the rapidly approaching maturity of smoking tobacco and the lack of convenience offered by smoking tobacco in comparison with cigarettes. As soon as Spanish consumers begin to return to levels of confidence and purchasing power seen prior to the onset of the current economic crisis, it is expected that they will begin purchasing cigarettes again, which will lead to a fall in demand for RYO tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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