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Country Report

Tobacco in Sweden

Sep 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Raised specific tax hits economy cigarettes

From 1 January 2011, ad valorem excise on cigarettes was lowered at the same time as specific taxes were raised. The decision to lower ad valorem excise was made in order to prevent economy brands in particular becoming more popular. With the relatively high ad valorem excise which existed before 2011, manufacturers had an incentive to introduce economy brands. However, with the new focus on specific taxes, low-priced brands will be relatively higher taxed than premium brands. The new tax structure was also introduced in order to prevent young people from starting smoking cigarettes. In 2012, taxes were further raised on cigarettes.

Occasional cigar smokers on the rise

In 2011, sales of cigars continued to decline. Although cigar sales are falling in Sweden, there are a growing number of occasional cigar smokers. Cigars still have a glamorous image and are increasingly smoked during celebrations. There are also a growing number of young men who smoke cigars as a status symbol, with, for example, the packaging of cigars becoming increasingly important in communicating this status to others. As a result of advertising restrictions, packaging has also become an increasingly important marketing tool for manufacturers. Due to this trend, premium cigars are in demand while interest in mass-market cigars is on the wane.

Manufacturers introduce reduced-harm products due to rising health awareness

Thanks to rising health awareness, smoking prevalence among the Swedish population is declining. With this rising health awareness an increasing number of Swedes have also switched to tobacco products which are perceived to be less harmful, for example snuff. Rising health awareness has also spurred the development of new types of products with a reduced tobacco content. In 2011, for example, there were several new launches of Swedish-style snus with a reduced amount of tobacco. Also seen were a growing number of electronic cigarettes which are sold illegally over the internet, a phenomenon which the Medical Products Agency is currently investigating.

Swedish-style snus still in demand

Although sales of tobacco products in general are declining, sales of Swedish-style snus are still rising. Swedish-style snus has benefited from the fact that snuff is perceived to be less harmful than cigarettes and many who stop smoking switch to snuff. The smoking ban in places where food is served, which was introduced in 2005, has also benefited sales of snuff. Due to the fact that sales of Swedish-style snus are still growing, a large number of new products are launched every year, with 2011 for example seeing the first snuff made from certified organic tobacco.

Point-of-sale display ban heavily debated in Swedish media

A point-of-sale display ban has still not been introduced in Sweden but is currently being heavily debated in the Swedish media. Several bodies are lobbying for the introduction of a ban, including organisations such as A Non Smoking Generation. Major retailers have also expressed an interest in a ban. With a point-of-sale display ban, tobacco products would no longer be visible in retail outlets. A point-of-sale display ban would mean that it would become increasingly difficult for manufacturers to launch new brands. It would also mean that the tobacco market would become more concentrated.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Sweden with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Sweden, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Sweden for free:

The Tobacco in Sweden market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Sweden?
  • What are the major brands in Sweden?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Sweden?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Sweden?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Sweden?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Sweden in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Sweden?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Sweden - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Raised specific tax hits economy cigarettes

Occasional cigar smokers on the rise

Manufacturers introduce reduced-harm products due to rising health awareness

Swedish-style snus still in demand

Point-of-sale display ban heavily debated in Swedish media

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC LEGISLATION

EU Directives:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Sweden - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Sweden AB in Tobacco (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Sweden AB: Competitive Position 2011

JTI Sweden AB in Tobacco (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 JTI Sweden AB: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 JTI Sweden AB: Competitive Position 2011

Swedish Match AB in Tobacco (Sweden)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 12 Swedish Match AB: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 13 Swedish Match AB: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • From 1 January 2011 the taxation on cigarettes switched from a value-based to a volume-based system. In 2010, the tax on cigarettes was SEK0.31per stick plus 39.2% of the retail selling price. In 2011, however, volume-based taxation on cigarettes increased from SEK0.31 to SEK1.27 and value-based taxation decreased from 39.2% to 1% of the retail selling price. At the same time, the minimum taxation of SEK1.29 per stick was abolished.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigarettes in Sweden is a concentrated category, with JTI Sweden AB, British American Tobacco Sweden AB and Philip Morris AB together accounting for more than 93% of volume sales.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 14 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales of cigarettes in Sweden are expected to fall over the forecast period, thus continuing the trend firmly established during the review period. As over the review period, a general increase in consumer health consciousness will be the key reason behind the decline as it will lead to consumers lowering their consumption of cigarettes or stop smoking altogether. Government initiatives such as tax increases and restrictions in the marketing and sale of cigarettes are also likely to have a negative impact on both retail volume and value sales over the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 15 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The underlying trend contributing to the retail volume decline of cigars and cigarillos has been growing social opposition to smoking and widespread knowledge about the dangers of the habit. Sales have also been hampered by the fact that this is a niche category, with only a few core supporters. Young people in particular are less interested in smoking cigars and cigarillos with any degree of regularity, which makes it difficult to recruit and retain customers.
  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigars (excluding cigarillos) is a fragmented category in Sweden and as a result the majority of the cigar brands in the Swedish market command shares of less than 1%. One of the leading companies in cigars is Habanos Nordic AB which offers, among others, the well-known Cuban brands Cohiba, Montecristo, Partagás and Romeo y Julieta. In 2011, Habanos Nordic launched the Cohiba 1966 Limited Edition to celebrate the brand’s 45th anniversary.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Retail volume sales of cigars will continue to fall over the forecast period. In terms of cigars, there will be growing demand for more premium products as cigars are increasingly being consumed during special occasions. Although cigarillo manufacturers are increasingly trying to cater for cigarette smokers, it is unlikely that there will be a major shift from cigarette to cigarillo smoking.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco has traditionally been popular in Sweden, with sales overwhelmingly dominated by Swedish-style snus. Swedish-style snus offers a broad range of brands and varieties, with portioned products being the most popular and continuing to grow in importance. Sweden is the largest Swedish-style snus market in the world in terms of per capita consumption.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Snuff is dominated by domestic player Swedish Match AB which in 2011 held a volume share of 86%. Ranked second was British American Tobacco subsidiary Fiedler & Lundgren AB with a share of 9%. Other smaller players include the subsidiary of Imperial Tobacco Group, Skruf Snus AB, and the subsidiary of Japan Tobacco Inc, JTI Sweden AB.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Smokeless Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period Swedish-style snus is projected to grow slowly. Portion snus will continue to take share from loose snus. In volume terms, Swedish-style portion snus is anticipated a CAGR of 1% while loose Swedish-style snus is predicted a slight decline.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Sweden - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The smoking of pipe and RYO tobacco has always been relatively limited when compared to, for example, cigarette smoking. RYO tobacco has never reached the same popularity in Sweden as in many other European countries such as the Netherlands. The sale of pipe tobacco is generally limited to elderly men. There is less interest in pipe tobacco among younger generations than in cigars, for example.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In 2011, British American Tobacco Sweden AB led RYO tobacco in Sweden thanks to the brands Escort and Tiedemanns. The second largest company in RYO tobacco was JTI Sweden AB with various John Silver lines. In 2011, British American Tobacco AB held a volume share of 39% in RYO tobacco and JTI Sweden 25%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 18 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales are expected to decline further over the forecast period, marking a continuation of the review period trend. Similar to tobacco sales in general, a decline in smoking prevalence will have a negative impact on sales. The decline in smoking prevalence will be largely related to increased health consciousness.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 77 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 78 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 79 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 80 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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