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Country Report

Tobacco in Thailand

Nov 2011

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Thailand with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Thailand, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Thailand for free:

The Tobacco in Thailand market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Thailand?
  • What are the major brands in Thailand?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Thailand?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Thailand?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Thailand?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Thailand in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Thailand?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smokers switch to new, more convenient smokes

In 2010, Thai consumers continued to favour cheaper variants. A percentage of RYO tobacco consumers also switched to economy cigarettes which are more convenient and widely available. Strong migration towards low priced cigarettes, has for the second consecutive year achieved double-digit volume and value growth rates. This impressive performance from economy cigarettes was the main driver of overall market value growth in 2010. Thais, despite their brand-orientated nature, proved to be frugal and flexible thanks to economic constraints, while discontinuation of brands benefited mid-priced and low-priced products. As a result, volume sales in premium cigarettes declined heavily, while old and new brands of mid and economy-priced cigarettes grew.

Tobacco consumption remains stable as new tobacco versions are introduced

The market is expected to carry on growing in value terms as a result of continuous price increases. Even though smoking prevalence is expected to decline as a result of government campaigns promoting healthy lifestyles, and volumes will certainly be on the decline, market value growth will remain positive. The electric cigarettes which may soon be classified as a smokeless tobacco product by the Thai Food and Drug Administration, have gained considerable popularity among a new generation of smokers, including women and youths, even though these products are not yet available through legal channels.

Philip Morris retains position while British American Tobacco ceases

operations in Thailand in 2010

Philip Morris remained the outright leader in volume terms in Thailand’s imported cigarettes. The cigarettes category accounted for the large majority of tobacco products, and Philip Morris continues to stand strongly in the market with a volume share of more than one-third of the total market. British American Tobacco, which had a market of 3%, ceased operations in Thailand in 2010 leaving JT International as the only other significant players in imported cigarettes, with its remaining brands Mild Seven and Mild Seven Sky Blue. Cigarette sales in Thailand remained highly concentrated between the two manufacturers, Thailand Tobacco Monopoly and Philip Morris.

The launch of vibrant retail stores boosts growth of international cigarettes

It is estimated that there is at least one convenience store serving each community and by extension serving the smoking population of Thailand. Traditional retail stores, the stronghold of Thailand Tobacco Monopoly, are continuously losing to modern retail formats such as supermarkets/hypermarkets where imported cigarettes dominated the cigarettes aisles in the country in 2010. Convenience stores, forecourt retailers and street vendors are also fairly popular retail channels. Tobacco specialists only held a small volume share. As buying patterns shift from traditional stores, which have limited operating hours and unattractive displays, to 24-hour modern retail outlets, international brands are more likely to grow in volume sales as these brands will have a wider reach to Thai consumers.

Cigarette consumption still face decline while cigars and other tobacco slower down in growth

While other tobacco product might remain growth rate in positive but slower down, cigarettes is the only product that will continue to see decline in volume growth. The strong measure both by government and private sector will continue to implement as to reduce the consumption of smoking in the country. However, in terms of value in constant terms, it is expected to remain strongly grow at 4% CAGR from 2010-2015 due to unit price is expected to increase due to taxation as well as higher unit price of cost.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Thailand - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smokers switch to new, more convenient smokes

Tobacco consumption remains stable as new tobacco versions are introduced

Philip Morris retains position while British American Tobacco ceases

operations in Thailand in 2010

The launch of vibrant retail stores boosts growth of international cigarettes

Cigarette consumption still face decline while cigars and other tobacco slower down in growth

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC LEGISLATION:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and Sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2006-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Thailand - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Plc in Tobacco (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Plc: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris (Thailand) Ltd in Tobacco (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

  • Summary 5 Philip Morris (Thailand) Ltd: Key Facts

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Philip Morris (Thailand) Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Thailand Tobacco Monopoly in Tobacco (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Thailand Tobacco Monopoly: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Thailand Tobacco Monopoly: Competitive Position 2010

The Pacific Cigars (Thailand) Co Ltd in Tobacco (Thailand)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 The Pacific Cigars (Thailand) Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The strong flavour preferred by Thai smokers supported demand for high-tar brands. The high-tar category, therefore, continued to dominate cigarettes in 2010. However, the share of high-tar cigarettes, which account for 62% of total volume sales, has been falling year on year. The drop may have been due to an increase in health awareness, which encouraged many smokers to switch to mid- and low-tar brands. However in 2010, the high-tar category posted a volume decrease of -1.5%. There is currently no legislation limiting the maximum tar yield of cigarettes in Thailand. Therefore, consumers just buy products based on their brand loyalty.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading player in cigarettes in 2010 remained Thailand Tobacco Monopoly with a retail volume share of almost 64%. Philip Morris ranked second in 2010 with a volume share of 32% up three percentage points on 2009 since British American Tobacco which had a market of 3% ceased operations in Thailand in 2010. Japan Tobacco International ranked third with a 1% share with “Others” accounting for the remaining 3% share of volume sales.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, cigarettes sales are expected to remain flat in volume terms. The high-tar category will suffer the most with a CAGR decline of -2%, while the mid-tar category is projected to post a volume CAGR of under 1%. The low-tar category will see a better performance at a CAGR of 4% thanks to increasing health awareness as consumers shift to lower-tar products. Overall, cigarettes is expected to record a declining CAGR of 1% in retail volume terms.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard Filter

Cigarettes: Filter Length

Cigarettes: Slims/super Slims vs Regular

Cigarettes: Pack Size

Cigarettes: Pack Type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume sales of cigars and cigarillos increased by 2% in 2010 to reach 1 million units, while in current value terms the category increased 4% to reach Bt379 million. Over the review period cigarillos with cigarette-style filters proved increasingly popular in Thailand, with demand coming mainly from female smokers who appreciate the milder taste. Increasing demand for cigarillos was also driven by the introduction of trendy packaging formats such as metal tins, the launch of new flavoured variants and more affordable prices.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Cigars in Thailand remain fairly concentrated in the hands of two companies: Corporación Habanos and J Cortes Cigars. In 2010, brands from these two companies accounted for a combined 70% volume share. Brands from Corporación Habanos and J Cortes Cigars are distributed in the country by key companies, Pacific Cigar and Macorich Co Ltd.

New Product Developments

  • Summary 15 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

Distribution

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period growth rates will continue to be positive, although it is expected that volume growth will slow due to fewer tourist arrivals and the threat of political unrest. The category volume CAGR will slow to 2% from7% over the review period. Small cigars and cigarillos are expected to be the best performers with volume CAGRs of 5% and 6% respectively. New high-income smokers tend to begin with these products instead of cigarettes as cigars are considered less harmful to health. Cigars and cigarillos are expected to gain share among both local higher earners and foreign tourists. However, cigars and cigarillos will also continue to grow in popularity among Thais in different age and income groups.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Thailand - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • There are no smokeless tobacco products in Thailand. Electric cigarettes have not yet been classified as a smokeless tobacco product by the Thai Food and Drug Administration and thus are not yet legally available in the Thai marketplace.

Smoking Tobacco in Thailand - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, smoking tobacco continued to be dominated by RYO tobacco in terms of volume sales as it is perceived as more modern than pipe tobacco. RYO tobacco is targeted at younger smokers who have higher incomes and like flavoured tobacco, whereas pipe smoking is generally the domain of upper-income, older smokers. The number of pipe tobacco brands available in the country is very small.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

Distribution

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Piangjai Industries retains the leading position in 2010 with a 32% volume share, followed by Surapayanak with a 24% volume share. Smoking tobacco is relatively fragmented with 44% volume share in 2010 accounted for by brands included under the “others” category. Moreover, smoking tobacco is dominated by unbranded products from smaller rural-based local operators , also sold locally and which account for the bulk of volume sales. The competitive situation in Thailand in 2010 therefore followed the previous year’s trend and is not expected to change significantly over the forecast period.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Volume growth of smoking tobacco over the forecast period is set to slow year-on-year as it may not be profitable for some brands to continue. Locally manufactured unbranded smoking tobacco will continue to dominate the category, while the branded category is unlikely to see any major new launches of imported products. Importers and distributors are expected to focus their attention on cigars and cigarillos as that category offers stronger and more dynamic prospects as well as potentially higher margins.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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