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Country Report

Tobacco in the United Arab Emirates

Aug 2010

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in United Arab Emirates with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in United Arab Emirates, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in United Arab Emirates for free:

The Tobacco in United Arab Emirates market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in United Arab Emirates?
  • What are the major brands in United Arab Emirates?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in United Arab Emirates?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in United Arab Emirates?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in United Arab Emirates?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in United Arab Emirates in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in United Arab Emirates?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

UAE smoking ban comes into force

The United Arab Emirates is progressively becoming a smoke-free area, as regulations are making it increasingly difficult to light up a cigarette outside of the home. The UAE started 2010 under the will to eradicate tobacco smoking amongst its population; this is one of the leading causes of death in the country. This propelled the UAE to re-evaluate its laws on smoking and become one of the first countries in the region to implement such widespread anti-smoking measures. The political commitment is fiercely increasing, pushing for a radical change in local habits and making smoking less socially acceptable.

Federal anti-smoking law unifies emirates rules

A national ban on smoking in public places in the UAE has finally been issued, and came into effect from January 2010. Many emirates, such as Dubai, Sharjah and Ras el Khaimah had implemented their own rules to fight the smoking epidemic within their municipalities. However, the new federal law sets the tone at a national level, and gives specific definitions for restricted smoking areas, the legal smoking age and bans advertising and promotion, as well as detailing fines for businesses and individuals who break the rules. All the emirates will start implementing the new legislation, but progressively and at different rates in terms of when bylaws will be issued, in order to study the best way to implement the new regulation without harming local businesses. This measure is expected to curb smoking habits, especially cigarette consumption, as it will reduce the number of people starting to smoke.

Despite a restrictive environment, the smoking population increases

Whilst authorities in the UAE are slowly but surely enforcing legislation, smokers are growing in number, especially with the popularity of shisha amongst women and teenagers, as it is more difficult to regulate. Besides, the constantly increasing numbers of skilled migrant workers increased the number of smokers, boosting sales of premium brands. Around 40% of blue collar workers lost their jobs because of the cancellation of major construction projects, which affected sales of the most affordable brands, which are sold mainly illegally as single cigarettes.

Tobacco companies move toward acquisition

Legislation is creating an environment in which it will be almost impossible for new players to enter the market. Instead of selling tobacco products directly, tobacco companies use more efficient local channel partners. Since 2008, the acquisition of regional tobacco companies has strengthened their position in the Middle East in general, and in the UAE in particular, in which the number of smokers is increasing despite the greater prevalence of public smoking bans. Thus, the biggest international brand owners were able to increase their net incomes in a less fragmented market, capitalising on their popularity and strong customer brand loyalty, at the expense of smaller brands.

Strong performance for the tobacco market with economic recovery in the UAE

After a difficult period which started in 2008 due to global financial crisis, which affected consumer spending, the tobacco market seems to have reached the light at the end of the tunnel. Despite the strong government will to curb smoking in the country, sales have been picking up since January 2010, and tobacco specialists predict a strong performance for the forecast period, benefiting from expected 2.5% to 3.0% economic growth. While cigarette consumption seems to be coming closer to maturity and witnessing a slowdown in growth, cigars are enjoying increasing popularity.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in the United Arab Emirates - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

UAE smoking ban comes into force

Federal anti-smoking law unifies emirates rules

Despite a restrictive environment, the smoking population increases

Tobacco companies move toward acquisition

Strong performance for the tobacco market with economic recovery in the UAE

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2004-2009
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2004-2009

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Litigation

Death by Cause

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 3 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2009

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 5 Production/Imports/Exports 2004-2009
  • Table 6 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes 2004-2009

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in the United Arab Emirates - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Middle East & North Africa - Tobacco - United Arab Emirates

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 British American Tobacco Middle East & North Africa: Competitive Position 2009

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc - Tobacco - United Arab Emirates

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Imperial Tobacco International LLC: Competitive Position 2009

Philip Morris International Inc - Tobacco - United Arab Emirates

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Philip Morris International Inc: Competitive Position 2009

Cigarettes in the United Arab Emirates - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail volume sales of cigarettes declined by 1% in 2009, to give sales of 3.8billion sticks. This performance was due to lower levels of tourism in 2009 and lower population growth due to the departure of many expatriates for economic reasons.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The cigarettes category is dominated by multinationals, with no domestic manufacturing facilities.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The projected increase in cigarette prices will be the most influential factor in terms of future trends in the category. Aside from the government’s escalating war on tobacco and rising health awareness, this price increase is expected to significantly impact sales and change the competitive landscape. Cigarettes is expected to achieve a slight decline over the forecast period which indicates that despite government efforts to reduce smoking may be effective, or more likely population growth and tourism will both be low in 2010 and 2011 hence hindering growth.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack, size and Type

CATEGORY DATA

Cigars in the United Arab Emirates - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumption of cigars and cigarillos in the United Arab Emirates used to be seen as only accessible to upper and upper-middle income earners, owing to the affordability factor. So far, the number of high income earners has provided a large consumer base for cigars. Now, with the development of cigar lounges, and the fact that smoking cigars has been introduced as part of business culture, it also appeals to middle income earners.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2005-2009

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment will become tougher with the new national tobacco law, but not all emirates will suffer the same consequences. There will be no change for Dubai, as the legislation enforced by the Dubai municipality since 2007 has already cleared out the market from small distributors.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • After a gloomy review period, with a negative volume CAGR of 0.3%, the prospects for the cigars category are expected to revive, with an expected positive volume CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

Smokeless Tobacco in the United Arab Emirates - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco has never been a tradition in the United Arab Emirates, but given the country’s large cosmopolitan population, the category is very slowly gaining ground amongst some European and Asian expatriates.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • US Smokeless Tobacco Company dominated the category in 2009, and was actually the only company which had products present on the shelves of tobacco specialists in 2009, with Skoal and more recent entrant Copenhagen.

PROSPECTS

  • Demand for smokeless tobacco is not likely to increase in the near future, and besides Western and Asian expatriates, who already consume a very small amount of these products, no new consumer target is expected to boost sales in this tobacco category.

Smoking Tobacco in the United Arab Emirates - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Research by the World Health Organisation’s study group on tobacco product regulation found that one session of smoking a water pipe could be as dangerous as smoking up to 100 cigarettes. However, shisha is seen as fashionable and more acceptable than cigarettes amongst women, expatriates and teenagers, and this trend is unlikely to stop any time soon.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kamber Jaffer Trading LLC was still the key player in smoking tobacco in 2009, dominating with a 29% share. Its popular brands Nakhla, Bahraini and Havana are the most visible products on shelves in supermarkets accounting for a 42% share of volume sales of pipe tobacco. It is still capitalising on its competitive advantage: it was the first company present in the UAE in pipe tobacco, and thus a couple of generations discovered these brands of shisha, mainly Nakhla and Bahraini.

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is expected to witness a decline of just under 1% over the forecast period. This is due to the expected decline in RYO consumption. Pipe tobacco will continue to witness growth with a volume CAGR of 0.3%. This growth will be higher than that achieved over the review period, indicating that despite efforts to raise awareness about the harmful impacts of shisha smoking, it will remain a very popular pastime in the UAE.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Market Share
  • Brand share
  • Distribution
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Handmade vs Machine-manufactured Cigars
  • Illicit Trade Penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by Ingredient
  • Products by Ingredient Actuals
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail Volume
  • Retail Volume % growth
  • Retail Volume per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit Trade Volume
  • Illicit Trade Volume % growth
  • Illicit Trade Volume per capita
  • Retail Volume (sticks)
  • Retail Volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail Volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail Value retail selling price Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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