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Country Report

Tobacco in Uzbekistan

Jul 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Uzbekistan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Uzbekistan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Uzbekistan for free:

The Tobacco in Uzbekistan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Uzbekistan?
  • What are the major brands in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Uzbekistan?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Uzbekistan in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Uzbekistan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco market overview

Although represented by cigarettes only, the tobacco market is developing strongly. On the one hand, domestic production serves to drive the market, while on the other hand expanding consumer potential leads to higher, more stable volume sales. Overall, the tobacco market, particularly cigarettes, which survived the economic slowdown and consumers’ inactivity in 2009, continues developing at a steady rate based on strong product development, continuing demographic increases and urbanisation trends.

New products trigger higher sales, despite ad bans on tobacco products

Although the majority of new launches occurred in 2009, their successful performance took place mainly in 2010. Both domestic and imported brands took the initiative and presented several new launches; BAT Uzbekistan being the most active. Novelties such as filter format, cigarette length, slim format and other similar factors all appeared over 2009/2010. All such new developments accelerated sales, especially among the younger generation.

Pertinently, all domestic and imported brands which entered the market in 2009 were well-known by mid-2010 when the government introduced restrictive measures against the marketing of tobacco products, so did not influence sales of the recently launched products much.

With reforms in advertising laws, companies feel challenge at point-of-sale

The law that the Uzbek parliament adopted in 2010 concerns not only direct ads of tobacco products, but also such activities as sponsorship, promotions, distribution and others. As a result, marketing activities of tobacco producing companies and their representatives have become more challenging, requiring innovative solutions.

However, legislation regulating retailing did not change, therefore distribution channels barely changed, if at all. The most traditional type of retail outlets in Uzbekistan continue advancing, whereas the importance of some non-retailing channels is also increasing.

The widest product portfolio and the most impressive product launches guarantee BAT Uzbekistan’s leadership

The domestic producer has been leading the market based on its favourable domestic location, cheaper labour force, and strong product portfolio. However, in 2009 and 2010 when even more product launches occurred, the range of domestic brands which are offered to consumers, increased significantly. This has essentially influenced shares of domestic production, contributing to an increase in sales too.

Besides, domestic products are less vulnerable to customs duties, the impact of hard currency and other similar secondary factors, which make their price more balanced hence more attractive to consumers. Such stability helped to keep consumers loyal to domestic products.

Positive forecast growth, as consumer potential strengthens

Uzbekistan’s tobacco market is expected to consist of only cigarettes over the forecast period too. However, cigarettes will record strong growth in retail volume terms based on continuation of current trends. First of all, the market expects an increase in the smoking population. Besides, in line with urbanisation, the younger generation will tend to be more liberal in terms of personal choice, hence more tolerant of smoking. The third basis upon which to expect strong growth of volume sales is the continuation of company activities in terms of new product developments.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Uzbekistan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco market overview

New products trigger higher sales, despite ad bans on tobacco products

With reforms in advertising laws, companies feel challenge at point-of-sale

The widest product portfolio and the most impressive product launches guarantee BAT Uzbekistan’s leadership

Positive forecast growth, as consumer potential strengthens

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Summary 2 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 5 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 3 Research Sources

Tobacco in Uzbekistan - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT) in Tobacco (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 6 British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT): Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT): Competitive Position 2010

Maywand XK MChJ in Tobacco (Uzbekistan)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cigarettes in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Year by year, smoking is becoming more common practice among the Uzbek population. Consumer potential is increasing mainly thanks to upcoming generation of young men and women of mainly European origin. If during the review period smoking among young girls was at the early stage, then by 2010 this has become a common phenomenon, albeit in central Tashkent areas.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The tobacco market consists of only cigarette production in Uzbekistan. For its part, cigarette production belongs to the monopoly company BAT Uzbekistan; a subsidiary of British American Tobacco. BAT Uzbekistan was founded as a joint venture between British American Tobacco and the Uzbek Government. However, shares held by the government have been reduced to a minimum and now the company shares are predominantly owned by the foreign investor. Since it is privately held, BAT Uzbekistan is not expected to be publicly sold or offered whatsoever. The strong and confident presence favoured by positive domestic climate and location has helped BAT Uzbekistan to steadily increase its shares over the review period.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Consumption of tobacco products or smoking will increase in Uzbekistan. The legal smoking population is expected to rise over the forecast period, explained by the rising number of the upcoming generation. Besides, in line with urbanisation, the younger generation will tend to be more liberal in terms of personal choice, hence more tolerant of smoking.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars and cigarillos is practically non-existent in Uzbekistan and looks unlikely to develop during the forecast period. The reasons behind this are that local consumers have very limited demand for such tobacco products. Smoking cigars and cigarillos is sometimes considered as something very rude or arrogant.

Smokeless Tobacco in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is not developed in Uzbekistan and is not predicted to grow over the forecast period.

Smoking Tobacco in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco is not developed in Uzbekistan and does not look likely to develop in the future.

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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