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Country Report

Tobacco in Venezuela

Jun 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Market statistics: Excel workbook doc_excel_table.png (download a sample)

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Venezuela with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Venezuela, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Venezuela for free:

The Tobacco in Venezuela market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Venezuela?
  • What are the major brands in Venezuela?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Venezuela?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Venezuela?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Venezuela?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Venezuela in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Venezuela?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to be affected by lower consumer purchasing power

Cigarettes, which is the most common tobacco product amongst Venezuelan smokers, continued to show a decelerating growth rate in 2010. Lower consumer purchasing power forced the average consumer to reduce his expenses on non-priority items such as cigarettes and instead spend on necessary products for everyday life. The economy price band was most affected since consumers experienced greater decline in their purchasing power due to salaries not increasing at the same rate as cigarettes prices.

Growth potential of cigars limited by emigration

Premium cigars sales showed great potential especially among younger consumers over the review period. However, sales performance was badly affected by population emigration. Potential consumers for premium cigars, who are from high-income categories, left the country due to the security concerns which characterise Venezuela. Even though premium cigars are gaining popularity, the potential target consumer group is shrinking.

Limited access to foreign currency strengthens the presence of domestic manufacturers

The large shortages of imported brands of cigars, especially those from Cuba, intensified since 2008 as a consequence of restricted access to foreign currency. Given that tobacco products are not considered as essential goods, companies importing such products do not have the ability to acquire foreign currency at the official rate fixed by the government. Domestic manufacturers always have products in stock as they do not have a strong reliance on imported raw materials while international producers suffered from shortages.

New legislation to prohibit smoking in public places in 2011

The most important factor which will affect tobacco performance in the forecast period is a new resolution which prohibits smoking in public places. The measure imposed by the Health Ministry is effective from March 2011. It obliges all organisations that provide food and beverages in the workplace and in public places to publicise that smoking is prohibited. According to the Pan American Health Association, this policy is one that will have the most impact in reducing the smoking habit.

Venezuela recognised by the UN in its fight against tobacco consumption

The efforts by the Venezuelan government to reduce smoking are recognised by the UN. Venezuela is one of the few Latin American countries considered as a model nation for complying with the policies and measures in the fight against tobacco consumption. For example, the pictograms about the harm of smoking developed in Venezuela for cigarette packs had such an impact that other countries belonging to the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) requested them.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Venezuela - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to be affected by lower consumer purchasing power

Growth potential of cigars limited by emigration

Limited access to foreign currency strengthens the presence of domestic manufacturers

New legislation to prohibit smoking in public places in 2011

Venezuela recognised by the UN in its fight against tobacco consumption

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and Sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 1 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 2 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 4 Production/Imports/Exports 2004-2009

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 5 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 6 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Venezuela - Company Profiles

CA Cigarrera Bigott Sucs in Tobacco (Venezuela)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 CA Cigarrera Bigott Sucs: Competitive Position 2010

CA Tabacalera Nacional in Tobacco (Venezuela)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 CA Tabacalera Nacional: Competitive Position 2010

Fábrica de Chimó El Tigrito CA in Tobacco (Venezuela)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Fábrica de Chimó El Tigrito, C.A: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Venezuela - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, cigarettes continued to be affected by lower consumer purchasing power which led smokers from low income levels to switch to smaller pack sizes or even to illicit cigarettes. In addition, smoking declined over the review period as a consequence of the actions taken by the Ministry of Health to reduce the diseases related to smoking. In March 2011, it approved a resolution of prohibiting smoking in public places. According to the Pan American Health Association, this was one of the most impacting policies to reduce smoking. Before this resolution, there were many places that voluntarily declared themselves as smoking-free spaces, a fact that drew attention since Venezuela is one of the few countries in Latin America where this happens.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In Venezuela, cigarettes is led by CA Cigarrera Bigott Sucs, which had a 90% volume share in 2010. This company produces and markets leading brands Belmont, competing in the mid-price band, and Consul, targeted at the economy segment, with a volume share of 55% and 33% respectively. The success of Cigarrera Bigott lies in its strong manufacturing infrastructure, financial capacity and distribution network as well its continuous strategy of approaching its target audience with innovative communication campaigns.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • In March 2011, the Ministry of Health is expected to approve a resolution to prohibit smoking and burning tobacco products in indoor areas of public places and workplaces, including transport. All organisations that sell food and beverages in the workplace and in public places must have advertising in place to recognise the ban on smoking in public places. The impact on the sales of cigarettes will be evident from the second half of 2011.

BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filtered/non-filtered

Cigarettes: Carbon/non-carbon filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slim/super-slim vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Venezuela - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumption of cigars in Venezuela was associated with adult men of high income status. However, during the review period, this changed as cigar and food tastings organised by restaurants in key cities of the country targeted a wider group of consumers, including younger audiences. Despite the growth potential of cigars, its performance was affected by the migratory process which was started by political pressures. This led to a reduction in the number of potential wealthy clients for cigars which was significant given that upper income consumers represent an important target consumer group for cigars.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In Venezuela, cigars excluding cigarillos are led by domestic manufacturer Fabrica de Tabacos Bermudez CA, which had a 64% volume share in 2010. The company's leading brand is Crispin Patiño which is presented in standard and large cigars and has a 44% volume share of overall cigars. The brand Bermúdez, which is also produced by this company, is ranked in second place with a 20% volume share in 2010. The long tradition and recognition that Fabrica de Tabacos Bermudez has in the country with a century of history was a key factor when positioning its brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period, premium domestic brands are expected to gain importance among Venezuelan smokers as imported brands are expected to reduce in size due to the restrictions in the access to foreign currency. This is projected to remain until the end of 2012 when presidential elections will take place and there may be changes in trade restrictions. Domestic manufacturers are likely to take the advantage of the lack of imported products´ availability in order to strengthen their presence in the premium category. New releases are expected in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 44 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 50 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 51 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 52 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Venezuela - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Chimó, which is the most common type of smokeless tobacco or chewing tobacco, used to be consumed in the rural zones of the country. However, since 2000 its consumption spread to key cities of Venezuela and it is entering private schools to become a trend among younger students. Despite the fact that it was believed that since chimó is not smoked, it does not produce the same negative health effects as cigarettes, studies proved that it contributes to the absorption of nicotine. As it is artisan-made, its components are manipulated in order to make it more addictive. According to a survey by the ONG Cátedra Libre Antidrogas called Chimó consumption in schools, consumers of this form of chewing tobacco are between 13 and 25 years old.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In Venezuela, smokeless tobacco is led by Fábrica de Chimó El Tigrito CA, which had a 60% volume share in 2010. As chimó is an artisanal product, it is dominated by domestic manufacturers. Fábrica de Chimó El Triunfo, CA and Chimó Tarazonero y Llanero de oro CA are ranked in second and third place, holding 12% and 11% of volume share respectively.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Consumption of smokeless tobacco is projected to continue to have a decelerating growth rate as the government is making great efforts to reduce the consumption of chimó, especially amongst younger consumers. Over the forecast period it is expected that there will be more rigorous control to penalise the distribution towards minors and new taxes are expected to decrease consumption levels. The Ministry of Heath will continue carrying out workshops to raise the awareness of the hazards associated with chewing chimó.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 58 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 59 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 60 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 63 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Venezuela - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Venezuela, the tradition of smoking tobacco is not widespread. Pipe tobacco is associated with the older, upper-income population as it is linked to a sophisticated culture that the general population cannot afford due to the high prices of both pipes and pipe tobacco. RYO tobacco had even fewer consumers than pipe tobacco in 2010 as the appearance and the act of making these cigarettes can be confused with the use of illicit drugs. In addition, the high prices of the materials used to make RYO cigarettes makes these products very expensive compared to the rest of tobacco products.

The role and effect of cannabis/marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In Venezuela, smoking tobacco is led by domestic manufacturer Cigarrera Macedonia, which had a 57% volume share in 2010. Cereza and Caporal, both produced by Cigarrera Macedonia, are emblematic brands of pipe tobacco which maintained their competitive position over the review period due to a pricing strategy which disadvantaged imported brands such as Borkum Riff by Swedish Match AB.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is projected to continue decreasing over the forecast period as domestic companies are not expected to try to increase the awareness or their products. The legislation to prohibit smoking in public places will reduce the habit of social smokers and consequently the demand for RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco. However, importers of smoking tobacco will continue to have the challenge of access to foreign currency which will result in a short supply of imported products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 72 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 73 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 74 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 75 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 76 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 77 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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