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Country Report

Travel and Tourism in Afghanistan

Apr 2010

Price: US$600

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Travel and Tourism industry in with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Travel and Tourism industry in , our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in for free:

The Travel and Tourism in  market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts (of market share, market trends, market growth)
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Travel and Tourism in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?  

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Travel And Tourism market research database.

Each report is delivered with the following components:
Report: PDF and Word
Market statistics: Excel workbook

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Afghanistan becomes increasingly accessible

After a step back in 2008, tourism in Afghanistan rebounded in 2009, partially due to a slight improvement in political stability and the expansion of routes by Safi Airways, in particular its flights between Germany and Afghanistan. The new routes have been embraced by both the Afghan Diaspora and those visitors who need to visit Afghanistan on war or aid-related work.

Post-Taliban optimism wearing off

The years following the defeat of the Taliban in 2001 were characterised by significant optimism as investors expected freedom, democracy and prosperity which resulted in two major hotels, Serena Hotels Afghanistan and Safi Landmark Hotel & Suites, and two major airlines, Kam Air and Safi Airways, being set up, but relatively few tourists. What remained of the initial optimism had slowly wear off by 2009, however, as levels of violence increased and the Presidential election became a debacle, which resulted in investment drying up, a situation which was exacerbated by the global financial crisis.

War underpins demand for inbound travel

New airlines, such as Safi Airways, are booming and expanding routes. The major luxury hotels in Kabul are doing good business. These, however, are not signs of a vibrant travel and tourism category but are due to the presence and movement of journalists, aid workers and diplomats, constantly travelling in and out of the country. While the war has created demand and helped support the development of tourist infrastructure, there is no guarantee that the demand shall outlive the war.

Safety is key for tourist operators

Hotels, airlines and tourist outlets operating in other destinations pride themselves on relatively mundane things like luxury, quality and value for money but security is absolutely key to outlets in Afghanistan, because of the very real danger present in the country. Safi Airways, therefore, pushes safety in its messaging in an attempt to distance itself from the perception that Afghan airlines are dangerous. Similarly, security around luxury hotels is tight, while the major tour operators also operate as logistic specialists for the United Nations and other organisations, providing services including bullet proof cars.

Tourism potential but peace essential

Afghanistan has tourism potential, scoring highly in both cultural tourism potential and in natural beauty. It also has a very strong brand name, although currently for the wrong reasons, with war and terrorism very much to the forefront of people’s perceptions of the country, which act as powerful deterrents to travel, even amongst Afghans. The potential cannot be realised until political stability returns to the country, after which tourism is likely to boom.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Travel And Tourism in Afghanistan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Afghanistan becomes increasingly accessible

Post-Taliban optimism wearing off

War underpins demand for inbound travel

Safety is key for tourist operators

Tourism potential but peace essential

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Impact of the global recession

The war continues to rage

A land with tourism potential

Afghan Diaspora accounts for a significant number of arrivals

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

Tourism Parameters

Travel Accommodation

Hotel Price Platforms

Transportation

Car rental

Travel Retail

Travel Retail Online Sales

Tourist Attractions

Health and Wellness

Internet Sales

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

TOURISM FLOWS INBOUND

Headlines

Trends

  • While 2008 saw a drop in arrivals as a result of a worsening in the security situation in Afghanistan, 2009 saw 17% growth. This was due to a number of factors, including media coverage of the 2009 election which saw an increase in the number of journalists visiting Afghanistan during the campaign itself and also during the consequent investigations of fraud. The expansion of flights by Safi Airways, including its first regular flights to Europe, also helped to boost arrivals.

Prospects

  • With its success on its Frankfurt route, Safi Airways is hoping to offer flights from Kabul to London and Paris. Paris has a large Afghan Diaspora and it is likely that the new route will stimulate growth in arrivals from France. The London route is expected to boost travel from the UK, with arrivals expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

TRAVEL ACCOMMODATION

Headlines

Trends

  • Two new luxury hotels, Safi Landmark Hotel & Suites and Serena Hotels, were launched in Kabul in 2005 based on the assumption that the war would end and tourists would return to Afghanistan. Since the Taliban had been ousted and a secular government had returned, there was reason to believe that the war was drawing to a close. So far till 2009, however, this has not occurred and luxury hotels and other providers of accommodation have profited instead from the high numbers of diplomats, UN workers and journalists. The Hotel Intercontinental is also present, although it is important to note that it does not belong to the InterContinental Hotels Group.

Hotels

Prospects

  • The majority of travel accommodation customers are in Afghanistan because of the war and include journalists, UN workers and diplomats. While accommodation providers have benefited from the war, they are hopeful that enough tourists arrive after the war to offset the decline in war-related visitors. Initially at least, this vacuum is expected to be filled by business arrivals, attracted by the opportunities that Afghanistan offers, while domestic travel and adventure travellers are expected to arrive soon afterwards. Consequently, providers that can cater to these groups, hotels for business arrivals and guesthouses for domestic and adventure travellers, are expected to flourish. It will be some time, however, before Afghanistan becomes popular among those looking for a relaxing holiday.

CATEGORY DATA

TRANSPORTATION

Headlines

Trends

  • The dangers of travelling by road, because of insurgent forces, have encouraged anyone who can afford it, whether wealthy Afghans or international visitors, to travel by air. These dangers coupled with the new international routes offered by Safi Airways led to air transportation value sales growing by 26% in 2009. Other transportation, on the other hand, only grew by 10% in value terms in 2009. Both categories showed marked improvements on 2008, however, when political instability adversely affected growth rates.

Airlines

Prospects

  • Depending on the stability of the political situation, the forecast period is likely to be very different from the review period. During the review period, air transportation boomed, as the political conflict made road travel unsafe. Those who could not afford air travel generally did not travel at all, except during periods of relative peace. Should peace return, however, road travel will grow in importance, while air travel will be starved of its core customer group, journalists and aid agencies, although it is expected that another group, leisure tourists, will quickly replace the first. Improvements in roads made during the Allied occupation, including that to the road from Kabul to Band-e Amir, will also make land transportation more attractive.

CATEGORY DATA

CAR RENTAL

Headlines

Trends

  • Although car rental is available in Afghanistan, it is in the early stages of development, with most travellers preferring to use the services of a driver, primarily for security reasons, due to the high number of car thefts and kidnappings, a preference which the car rental operators also share.

Prospects

  • A lack of security is the primary obstacle facing car rental in Afghanistan, although the condition of the roads and the relatively inexpensive nature of hiring a driver are also significant issues. Once political stability has been achieved, however, car rental is expected to come to the fore, although this is not expected to happen during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

TRAVEL RETAIL

Headlines

Trends

  • As political uncertainly and instability continued in 2009, value growth rates in travel retail declined from 12% in 2008 to 8% in 2009. The slowdown in value growth rates followed a significant boom in travel retail with value sales growing at a CAGR of 32% over the review period as a whole.

Prospects

  • Travel retail in Afghanistan is in a buoyant mood with a growing number of international companies considering entry and a growing number of military logistic experts expanding into travel and tourism. Success, however, will be largely determined by the political situation.

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Travel And Tourism
    • Car Rental
      • Business Car Rental
        • Leisure Car Rental
        • Demand Factors
          • Holiday Demographic Trends
            • Holiday Takers
            • Leave Entitlement
              • Trips
                • Departures By Length Of Trip
                  • Departures 0-3 Days
                  • Departures 4-7 Days
                  • Departures Over 7 Days
                • Domestic Trips
                  • Domestic Trips 0-3 Days
                  • Domestic Trips 4-7 Days
                  • Domestic Trips Over 7 Days
            • Health & Wellness Tourism
              • Spas
              • Tourism Flows Domestic
                • Domestic Tourism By Destination
                  • Domestic Tourism Travel By Purpose Of Visit
                    • Domestic Business Tourism
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Sea
                    • Domestic Leisure Tourism
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Sea
                • Tourism Flows Inbound
                  • Arrivals
                    • Arrivals From China
                    • Arrivals From Germany
                    • Arrivals From India
                    • Arrivals From Iran
                    • Arrivals From Japan
                    • Arrivals From Pakistan
                    • Arrivals From South Korea
                    • Arrivals From United Arab Emirates
                    • Arrivals From United Kingdom
                    • Arrivals From USA
                    • Other Countries Of Origin
                  • Arrivals By Mode Of Transport
                    • Air Arrivals
                    • Land Arrivals
                    • Rail Arrivals
                    • Sea Arrivals
                  • Arrivals By Purpose of Visit
                    • Business Arrivals
                      • Leisure Arrivals
                    • Tourism Flows Outbound
                      • Departures By Country
                        • Departures To Canada
                        • Departures To China
                        • Departures To Germany
                        • Departures To India
                        • Departures To Iran
                        • Departures To Kazakhstan
                        • Departures To Kuwait
                        • Departures To Pakistan
                        • Departures To Russia
                        • Departures To Saudi Arabia
                        • Departures To Tajikistan
                        • Departures To Turkey
                        • Departures To United Arab Emirates
                        • Departures To United Kingdom
                        • Departures To USA
                        • Departures To Uzbekistan
                        • Other Destinations
                      • Departures By Mode Of Transport
                        • Air Departures
                        • Land Departures
                        • Rail Departures
                        • Sea Departures
                      • Departures By Purpose Of Visit
                        • Business Departures
                          • Leisure Departures
                        • Tourism Receipts And Expenditure
                          • Balance of Payments
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourism Expenditure
                              • Domestic Tourist Expenditure
                              • Incoming Tourist Receipts
                            • Tourism Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourist Attractions
                              • Transportation
                                • Air
                                  • Airline Capacity
                                    • Airline Passengers Carried By Distance
                                      • Airline Passengers Carried By Type
                                      • Other Transportation
                                      • Travel Accommodation
                                        • Hotels
                                          • Other Travel Accommodation
                                          • Travel Retail
                                            • Travel Retail Destinations
                                              • Travel Retail Online Sales
                                                • Travel Retail Outlets
                                                  • Travel Retail Products

                                                Statistics Included

                                                Statistics Included

                                                For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                From Passport

                                                • Market Size
                                                • Internet as a percentage of sector
                                                • Market Ranking
                                                • Regional hotel parameters

                                                Market size details:

                                                • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Sites/outlets
                                                • Sites/outlets % growth
                                                • Sites/outlets per capita
                                                • Number of People
                                                • Number of People % growth
                                                • Number of People per capita
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Number of Days
                                                • Number of Days % growth
                                                • Number of Days per capita
                                                • Number of Bed nights
                                                • Number of Bed nights % growth
                                                • Number of Bed nights per capita
                                                • Number of Trips
                                                • Number of Trips % growth
                                                • Number of Trips per capita
                                                • Number of Rooms
                                                • Number of Rooms % growth
                                                • Number of Rooms per capita

                                                Methodology

                                                Methodology

                                                Global insight and local knowledge

                                                With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                Industry specialists

                                                Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                Country and regional analysts

                                                Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                In-country research network

                                                To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                Research Methodology

                                                Our research methods

                                                Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                Desk research

                                                With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                • National and international trade press
                                                • National and international trade associations
                                                • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                • Company financials and annual reports
                                                • Broker reports
                                                • Online databases
                                                • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                Store checks

                                                Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                Trade survey

                                                Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                Company analysis

                                                At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                Forecasts

                                                Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                Data validation

                                                All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                Market analysis

                                                Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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