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Country Report

Travel and Tourism in Kyrgyzstan

Jun 2010

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Travel and Tourism industry in with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Travel and Tourism industry in , our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in for free:

The Travel and Tourism in  market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts (of market share, market trends, market growth)
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Travel and Tourism in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?  

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Travel And Tourism market research database.

Each report is delivered with the following components:
Report: PDF and Word
Market statistics: Excel workbook

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Travel and tourism remains resilient to global financial crisis

Kyrgyzstan has two major source countries for inbound tourists. These are Russia and Kazakhstan, both of which have been negatively impacted by the global financial crisis. Despite this, travel and tourism in Kyrgyzstan has only experienced a slight diversion from its strong growth path and high yielding visitors from developed economies are becoming increasingly interested in the country. Equally important is the fact that tourists from Kazakhstan, the largest inbound source country, generally consider travel to Kyrgyzstan as ‘virtually domestic’ travel. This is especially true of the residents of Kazakhstan’s largest city, Almaty, which is right next to the border between the two countries. This helped cushion the impact of the financial crisis.

Dominance of Lake Issyk Kul weakens

Ever since the Soviet era, Lake Issyk Kul has been the most important tourism attraction in Kyrgyzstan. Its popularity grew considerably during the review period in particular, with the result that the supply of accommodation along the lake’s shore has skyrocketed, as Kyrgyzstan attempts to cash in on its popularity. Lake Issyk Kul is now saturated with travel accommodation outlets, and investors are looking elsewhere for opportunities and travel retail products that can be sold outside of Kyrgyzstan’s short summer period. Travel products such as alpine tourism, mountaineering, cultural tourism and adventure tourism are consequently being developed.

Kazakhs begin to tire of Kyrgyzstan

Much of the success of Lake Issyk Kul has been because of its popularity with Kazakhs, particularly the residents of Almaty. Many of these visitors have now been to Lake Issyk Kul several times and, as accommodation prices have become inflated over the years, Kazakhs are becoming bored with the destination and are venturing further afield to more exotic locations that are perceived to offer more value. With Kazakhstan by far the largest source market, this has the potential to become a major problem for Kyrgyzstan.

Kyrgyzstan Airlines enters into joint venture with Pegasus Airlines

Kyrgyzstan Airlines has long suffered from such issues as negative perceptions of its safety, which were encouraged by the European Union blacklisting the airline, preventing it from flying in EU airspace. Being held back by such perceptions, air access to Kyrgyzstan has suffered. A joint venture between Kyrgyzstan Airlines and the Turkish company Pegasus Airlines might solve this issue as such a joint venture would be allowed to fly in Europe and also because the resulting airline would likely be a low cost carrier. An open skies agreement between Kyrgyzstan and the United Arab Emirates is also likely to assist in improving air access.

Kyrgyzstan switches to high-yield tourism

International interest in Kyrgyzstan as an adventure tourism destination grew over the review period and will continue to grow over the forecast period, as the quality of these types of travel products improves. The revenue earned by travel and tourism will therefore escalate, as travel and tourism shifts from being geared towards low-yield ‘virtually domestic’ tourism from Kazakhstan, to high-yield adventure tourism from developed economies.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Travel And Tourism in Kyrgyzstan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Travel and tourism remains resilient to global financial crisis

Dominance of Lake Issyk Kul weakens

Kazakhs begin to tire of Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan Airlines enters into joint venture with Pegasus Airlines

Kyrgyzstan switches to high-yield tourism

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Impact of the global recession

Infrastructure not ready

Economic reform pushes travel and tourism along

Lake Issyk Kul remains focal point

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

Tourism Parameters

Travel Accommodation

Transportation

Car rental

Travel Retail

Travel Retail Online Sales

Tourist Attractions

Health and Wellness

Internet Sales

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

TOURISM FLOWS INBOUND

Headlines

Trends

  • Although arrivals to Kyrgyzstan continued to grow at 5% in 2009, the rate was slower than 2008, when 15% growth in arrivals was posted. This was largely due to the effects of the global financial crisis, which was particularly harsh on Kazakhstan and Russia, Kyrgyzstan’s two largest source countries for inbound tourists. In particular, the effects of the crisis reduced the ability of Russians to afford to travel to Kyrgyzstan, whilst in the case of neighbouring Kazakhstan, for whom Kyrgyzstan is considered virtually a domestic destination, the impact was far less.

Prospects

  • Kyrgyzstan’s significantly wealthier northern neighbour, Kazakhstan, was by far the dominant inbound source for Kyrgyzstan during the review period. Whilst this dominance will continue, its importance will fade, due to demographic issues. The nature of Lake Issyk Kul will change, with the emphasis being more on relaxation, spas and health and wellness in order to better cater to the elderly visitors from Kazakhstan and Russia.

Category Data

TRAVEL ACCOMMODATION

Headlines

Trends

  • After several years of spectacular growth, both in relation to the supply and demand of travel accommodation in Kyrgyzstan, 2009 represented a significant reality check, with value growth falling from 13% in 2008 to a 2% decline in 2009. This was partially due to the global financial crisis, which was particularly harsh on Russia, the second largest inbound source for Kyrgyzstan, and partially due to a significant shift in consumer patterns with regards to Lake Issyk Kul, Kyrgyzstan’s primary tourist region.

Hotels

Prospects

  • The fall in average daily rates seen in 2009 will continue into the forecast period, as excess supply and the perception that the hotels on Lake Issyk Kul are overpriced push room rates down, with average daily room rates expected to fall to as low as KGS1,100 by 2013. This dip will be most severe in the Lake Issyk Kul region, whilst elsewhere improved investment in travel accommodation will serve to push room rates up.

Category Data

TRANSPORTATION

Headlines

Trends

  • Transportation in Kyrgyzstan has experienced strong double digit growth since 2008, as the nation receives a growing number of tourist arrivals from long haul destinations. It has therefore been air transportation that has driven growth over this period. However, there are still a large number of factors that are holding transportation in Kyrgyzstan back, including the poor safety record of the nation’s flag carrier airline, and the lack of airlines flying in and out of the country. Although Kyrgyzstan is relatively well catered for by Central Asian standards, with 13 airlines servicing Manas International Airport, neighbouring Kazakhstan is far better serviced with 25 airlines.

Airlines

Prospects

  • As the importance of Kazakhstan as a source of inbound arrivals starts to decline during the forecast period, so will the importance of land arrivals, whether by rail or by road. Air transportation will instead increase in importance, to the extent that improving air access will be among the most crucial strategies required in terms of attracting inbound arrivals. A number of important events in 2009 has made this more likely, include the Russian carrier S7 joining the OneWorld alliance, which will significantly increase accessibility to Kyrgyzstan, since S7 will be in the same commercial group as British Airways, Cathay Pacific and Qantas, among others.

Category Data

CAR RENTAL

Headlines

Trends

  • Other than a single outlet at Manas International Airport, car rental has not been able to develop in Kyrgyzstan. Taxis are inexpensive and are even used for long distances such as from Osh to Bishkek. In fact, since taxis cost around half the price of a single plane ticket for such a journey, taxis are often used for domestic travel, and it is not unusual to see entire families crowded into one taxi.

Prospects

  • Neither the inexpensiveness of taxis nor the parlous condition of Kyrgyzstan’s roads is likely to change significantly during the forecast period, and so the likelihood is slim that car rental will emerge in Kyrgyzstan.

Category Data

TRAVEL RETAIL

Headlines

Trends

  • With travel and tourism having been declared as one of the top priority industries and proclaimed as the hope of the Kyrgyz economy by the Kyrgyz Government, entrepreneurs have been encouraged to enter travel and tourism. However, the growth in the number of outlets has been influenced by two seemingly contradictory Government policies.

Prospects

  • The gold rush-style approach towards travel and tourism in Kyrgyzstan has served to limit the slice of the pie available to travel retail players, and revenue per outlet has consequently begun to decline. This sudden boom in the number of new travel retail businesses is likely to slow down over the forecast period, as investors realise that although tourism will continue to see strong growth, the effort required to maintain the high standards of service on offer means that investing in travel retail is far from easy money. Government regulations designed to ensure that enterprises which engage in first-hand relationships with inbound tourists reach standards commensurate with tourists’ expectations will also ensure that the growth in the number of new enterprises will slow down. This will also ensure that those that are allowed to will be able to compete in higher-yielding areas of travel retail such as adventure tourism, mountaineering, and cultural tourism, all of which are activities that the growing proportion of long-haul tourists from developed countries will prefer.

Category Data

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Travel And Tourism
    • Car Rental
      • Business Car Rental
        • Leisure Car Rental
        • Demand Factors
          • Holiday Demographic Trends
            • Holiday Takers
            • Leave Entitlement
              • Trips
                • Departures By Length Of Trip
                  • Departures 0-3 Days
                  • Departures 4-7 Days
                  • Departures Over 7 Days
                • Domestic Trips
                  • Domestic Trips 0-3 Days
                  • Domestic Trips 4-7 Days
                  • Domestic Trips Over 7 Days
            • Health & Wellness Tourism
              • Spas
              • Tourism Flows Domestic
                • Domestic Tourism By Destination
                  • Domestic Tourism Travel By Purpose Of Visit
                    • Domestic Business Tourism
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Sea
                    • Domestic Leisure Tourism
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Sea
                • Tourism Flows Inbound
                  • Arrivals
                    • Arrivals From Canada
                    • Arrivals From China
                    • Arrivals From France
                    • Arrivals From Germany
                    • Arrivals From India
                    • Arrivals From Japan
                    • Arrivals From Kazakhstan
                    • Arrivals From Netherlands
                    • Arrivals From Russia
                    • Arrivals From South Korea
                    • Arrivals From Switzerland
                    • Arrivals From Tajikistan
                    • Arrivals From Turkey
                    • Arrivals From Ukraine
                    • Arrivals From United Kingdom
                    • Arrivals From USA
                    • Arrivals From Uzbekistan
                    • Other Countries Of Origin
                  • Arrivals By Mode Of Transport
                    • Air Arrivals
                    • Land Arrivals
                    • Rail Arrivals
                    • Sea Arrivals
                  • Arrivals By Purpose of Visit
                    • Business Arrivals
                      • Leisure Arrivals
                    • Tourism Flows Outbound
                      • Departures By Country
                        • Departures To Canada
                        • Departures To China
                        • Departures To Egypt
                        • Departures To France
                        • Departures To Kazakhstan
                        • Departures To Russia
                        • Departures To Thailand
                        • Departures To Turkey
                        • Departures To United Arab Emirates
                        • Departures To USA
                        • Departures To Uzbekistan
                        • Other Destinations
                      • Departures By Mode Of Transport
                        • Air Departures
                        • Land Departures
                        • Rail Departures
                        • Sea Departures
                      • Departures By Purpose Of Visit
                        • Business Departures
                          • Leisure Departures
                        • Tourism Receipts And Expenditure
                          • Balance of Payments
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourism Expenditure
                              • Domestic Tourist Expenditure
                              • Incoming Tourist Receipts
                            • Tourism Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourist Attractions
                              • Transportation
                                • Air
                                  • Airline Capacity
                                    • Airline Passengers Carried By Distance
                                      • Airline Passengers Carried By Type
                                      • Other Transportation
                                      • Travel Accommodation
                                        • Hotels
                                          • Other Travel Accommodation
                                          • Travel Retail
                                            • Travel Retail Destinations
                                              • Travel Retail Online Sales
                                                • Travel Retail Outlets
                                                  • Travel Retail Products

                                                Statistics Included

                                                Statistics Included

                                                For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                From Passport

                                                • Market Size
                                                • Internet as a percentage of sector
                                                • Market Ranking
                                                • Regional hotel parameters

                                                Market size details:

                                                • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Sites/outlets
                                                • Sites/outlets % growth
                                                • Sites/outlets per capita
                                                • Number of People
                                                • Number of People % growth
                                                • Number of People per capita
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Number of Days
                                                • Number of Days % growth
                                                • Number of Days per capita
                                                • Number of Bed nights
                                                • Number of Bed nights % growth
                                                • Number of Bed nights per capita
                                                • Number of Trips
                                                • Number of Trips % growth
                                                • Number of Trips per capita
                                                • Number of Rooms
                                                • Number of Rooms % growth
                                                • Number of Rooms per capita

                                                Samples

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                                                Methodology

                                                Methodology

                                                Global insight and local knowledge

                                                With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                Industry specialists

                                                Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                Country and regional analysts

                                                Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                In-country research network

                                                To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                Research Methodology

                                                Our research methods

                                                Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                Desk research

                                                With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                • National and international trade press
                                                • National and international trade associations
                                                • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                • Company financials and annual reports
                                                • Broker reports
                                                • Online databases
                                                • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                Store checks

                                                Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                Trade survey

                                                Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                Company analysis

                                                At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                Forecasts

                                                Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                Data validation

                                                All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                Market analysis

                                                Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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