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Country Report

Travel and Tourism in Somalia

Jun 2010

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

Delivery method: instant download
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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Travel and Tourism industry in with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Travel and Tourism industry in , our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in for free:

The Travel and Tourism in  market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts (of market share, market trends, market growth)
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Travel and Tourism in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?
  • What are the major brands in ?  

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Travel And Tourism market research database.

Each report is delivered with the following components:
Report: PDF and Word
Market statistics: Excel workbook

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Security threats and political instability

Somalia has been torn apart by civil unrest and war for more than 15 years. Things started to improve after the Ethiopian army withdrew in 2007 after defeating the Islamist government, but since then, a return of violence to the streets of Somalia has shut down any hopes for the development of tourism once again. The hotel sector will remain with those hotels that rely heavily on the influx of government officials and representatives of the UN and other NGOs. The worrying security condition led to thousands of Somalis fleeing their homes in 2009, with 5,000 Somalis waiting at the Kenyan border to escape the violence. For the time being, the travel and tourism industry is being neglected, with this situation expected to continue until the country finds some level of political stability.

Travelling to Somalia regarded as dangerous

The war and recent pirate attacks have both made Somalia risky, leading many countries such as the US, Australia, the UK and Egypt to issue travel warnings advising travellers about the hostile environment and dangerous consequences of visiting the country. Travelling to Somalia at the current time could result in serious violence, kidnappings or killings, especially by pirates, which is the main problem in the country. Somalia’s travel and tourism industry is suffering tremendously, leaving only officials and government staff visiting the country.

Inbound arrivals on the decline

The vast majority of inbound, domestic and outbound tourism flows are made up of business tourism and there is limited leisure tourism in Somalia. Arrivals started to increase in 2005, and there was hope that the country would start to revive the travel and tourism industry, but due to kidnappings and piracy in subsequent years, inbound arrivals significantly declined between 2005 and 2009, and are expected to decrease further until the country finds stability.

Uncertain future for Mogadishu Airport

Aaden Cabdulle Cismaan International Airport in Mogadishu reopened its doors in 2006 for the first time in many years. In 2008, however, the airport was again under threat of closure due to bombings by Ethiopian forces. Two airlines fly to Mogadishu Airport, Daallo Airways, the only international carrier to fly in and out of Somalia, and Jubba Airways, a Somali airline. The airport needs large-scale development and improvement, many flights are cancelled and airport facilities and services are very poor. The future of these developments depends on the security situation in Somalia. Air transportation will nevertheless continue to be the main mode of transportation due to the fact that the roads are dangerous and the infrastructure is in desperate need of development. There is also a risk of piracy in Somali waters, which has brought a halt to sea transportation.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Travel And Tourism in Somalia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Security threats and political instability

Travelling to Somalia regarded as dangerous

Inbound arrivals on the decline

Uncertain future for Mogadishu Airport

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Impact of the global recession

Deteriorating security conditions in Somalia

Legislation in Somalia

H1N1 virus

MARKET INDICATORS

MARKET DATA

DEFINITIONS

Tourism Parameters

Travel Accommodation

Transportation

Car rental

Travel Retail

Travel Retail Online Sales

Tourist Attractions

Health and Wellness

Internet Sales

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

TOURISM FLOWS INBOUND

Headlines

Trends

  • Global travel warnings relating to Somalia were issued by several national governments in 2009 in response to the prevalence of piracy, shortages of food and the severe flooding which hit Somalia in October 2009, placing the country into a state of emergency. The majority of inbound arrivals in Somalia are humanitarian aid workers, UN staff and government officials. Combined with the small percentage of business travellers and tiny number of leisure arrivals, total arrivals reached only 9,000 in 2009, a decline of 42% from 2008.

Prospects

  • The current adverse political situation in Somalia is expected to last and is unlikely to be resolved at any time in the near future. There are many issues which need to be resolved such as prevalence of piracy, the uncertain political conditions, the risk posed by militant Islamist groups, a dire shortage of food, alternate droughts and heavy flooding and widespread poverty. All of these issues are making it impossible for the country to operate with any kind of efficiency, and Somalia is simply unable to cope with the mounting crises, leaving the travel and tourism industry neglected and virtually non-existent.

Category Data

TRAVEL ACCOMMODATION

Headlines

Trends

  • There is currently no investment being undertaken in travel accommodation in Somalia due to the uncertain security conditions which prevail within the country.

Prospects

  • Somalia seems to be sinking further into crisis, which makes it impossible for the country to deal with its day-to-day problems and the country relies very heavily on UN aid and charitable donations. The security condition remains unpredictable. Somalia is already in crisis, but faces further dilemmas in respect of the negative impact of the global financial crisis, which has the potential to lead to cuts in UN aid and charitable donations. This financial help is essential in order to avert further humanitarian catastrophe in Somalia.

Category Data

TRANSPORTATION

Headlines

Trends

  • There are two main airports in Somalia: one in located at Hargeisa in Somaliland, in the north of Somalia, and one in the capital Mogadishu, Aaden Cabdulle Cismaan International Airport, formerly Mogadishu International Airport. In 2008, due to the high security risk posed to civilian aircraft by Islamist militia, most airlines decided to land and depart from K50 Airport, a commercial airport which has derived its name from its location 50km south of Mogadishu. Daallo Airlines, the leading airline in Somalia, operates routes to and from K50.

Airlines

Prospects

  • Due to these security threats, which come mainly from militant fighters, air transportation is expected to suffer, declining in value by 2% in 2010. However, with the new Somali Government pushing hard for stability and security, air transportation could see a slow improvement, with a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period leading to constant value sales of SOS38.5 billion in 2014.

Category Data

CAR RENTAL

Headlines

Trends

  • Car rental in Somalia is predominantly patronised by journalists, UN staff and officials, aid workers and other governmental staff. Services are facilitated through hotels, with vehicles usually rented on a long-term basis. Car rental represents the only method of land transportation for tourists in Somalia, as there is no public transport. Car rental therefore remains popular, despite the dangerous and undeveloped state of roads in Somalia.

PROSPECTS

  • Major developments should not be expected in car rental over the forecast period, even though the development of road infrastructure is expected to improve the comfort and safety of motoring in Somalia. Car rental is expected to increase at a constant value CAGR of 1% over the forecast period, reaching constant value sales of SOS5.9 billion by 2014.

Category Data

TRAVEL RETAIL

Headlines

Trends

  • Under the national tourism master plan which was prepared in late 1980s and was endorsed by the transitional federal government, tourism was to be developed by focusing on individual segments. One such development area which was identified was travel retail. There is great potential for business development in this category, but only once Somalia becomes a safe and secure country in which to travel. Somalia has long sandy beaches, mountains in the north of the country and subtropical regions in the south and an abundance of wildlife. This suggests that there is significant potential for the establishment of tour operators, tour guides and other related travel retail operations in Somalia.

Prospects

  • Outbound travel is expected to suffer a decline during 2010, mainly due to the numbers of religious pilgrims intending to visit Saudi Arabia for Hajj being restricted due to fears over the swine flu virus. The Saudi authorities have strictly enforced limits on applications for Hajj visas. This has resulted in a 5% decline in outbound departures to Saudi Arabia in 2009, and this category is expected to decrease further in 2010. As religious pilgrimage is one of the primary sources of value sales in outbound travel and tourism in Somalia, this decline will undoubtedly impact upon what little travel retail exists in Somalia.

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Travel And Tourism
    • Car Rental
      • Business Car Rental
        • Leisure Car Rental
        • Demand Factors
          • Holiday Demographic Trends
            • Holiday Takers
            • Leave Entitlement
              • Trips
                • Departures By Length Of Trip
                  • Departures 0-3 Days
                  • Departures 4-7 Days
                  • Departures Over 7 Days
                • Domestic Trips
                  • Domestic Trips 0-3 Days
                  • Domestic Trips 4-7 Days
                  • Domestic Trips Over 7 Days
            • Health & Wellness Tourism
              • Spas
              • Tourism Flows Domestic
                • Domestic Tourism By Destination
                  • Domestic Tourism Travel By Purpose Of Visit
                    • Domestic Business Tourism
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Business Tourism By Sea
                    • Domestic Leisure Tourism
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Air
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Land
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Rail
                      • Domestic Leisure Tourism By Sea
                • Tourism Flows Inbound
                  • Arrivals
                    • Arrivals From Djibouti
                    • Arrivals From Saudi Arabia
                    • Other Countries Of Origin
                  • Arrivals By Mode Of Transport
                    • Air Arrivals
                    • Land Arrivals
                    • Rail Arrivals
                    • Sea Arrivals
                  • Arrivals By Purpose of Visit
                    • Business Arrivals
                      • Leisure Arrivals
                    • Tourism Flows Outbound
                      • Departures By Country
                        • Departures To Djibouti
                        • Departures To Saudi Arabia
                        • Other Destinations
                      • Departures By Mode Of Transport
                        • Air Departures
                        • Land Departures
                        • Rail Departures
                        • Sea Departures
                      • Departures By Purpose Of Visit
                        • Business Departures
                          • Leisure Departures
                        • Tourism Receipts And Expenditure
                          • Balance of Payments
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure
                          • Outgoing Tourist Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourism Expenditure
                              • Domestic Tourist Expenditure
                              • Incoming Tourist Receipts
                            • Tourism Expenditure By Sector
                            • Tourist Attractions
                              • Transportation
                                • Air
                                  • Airline Capacity
                                    • Airline Passengers Carried By Distance
                                      • Airline Passengers Carried By Type
                                      • Other Transportation
                                      • Travel Accommodation
                                        • Hotels
                                          • Other Travel Accommodation
                                          • Travel Retail
                                            • Travel Retail Destinations
                                              • Travel Retail Online Sales
                                                • Travel Retail Outlets
                                                  • Travel Retail Products

                                                Statistics Included

                                                Statistics Included

                                                For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

                                                From Passport

                                                • Market Size
                                                • Internet as a percentage of sector
                                                • Market Ranking
                                                • Regional hotel parameters

                                                Market size details:

                                                • Retail Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Retail Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Sites/outlets
                                                • Sites/outlets % growth
                                                • Sites/outlets per capita
                                                • Number of People
                                                • Number of People % growth
                                                • Number of People per capita
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price % growth
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Internet Transaction Value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
                                                • Number of Days
                                                • Number of Days % growth
                                                • Number of Days per capita
                                                • Number of Bed nights
                                                • Number of Bed nights % growth
                                                • Number of Bed nights per capita
                                                • Number of Trips
                                                • Number of Trips % growth
                                                • Number of Trips per capita
                                                • Number of Rooms
                                                • Number of Rooms % growth
                                                • Number of Rooms per capita

                                                Samples

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                                                Methodology

                                                Methodology

                                                Global insight and local knowledge

                                                With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

                                                This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

                                                Industry specialists

                                                Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

                                                Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

                                                The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

                                                Country and regional analysts

                                                Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

                                                In-country research network

                                                To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

                                                Research Methodology

                                                Our research methods

                                                Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

                                                Desk research

                                                With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

                                                • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
                                                • National and international trade press
                                                • National and international trade associations
                                                • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
                                                • Company financials and annual reports
                                                • Broker reports
                                                • Online databases
                                                • The financial, business and mainstream press

                                                Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

                                                Store checks

                                                Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

                                                • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
                                                • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
                                                • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
                                                • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

                                                Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

                                                Trade survey

                                                Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

                                                Trade surveys allow us to:

                                                • Fill gaps in available published data per company
                                                • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
                                                • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
                                                • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

                                                In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

                                                Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

                                                Company analysis

                                                At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

                                                At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

                                                Forecasts

                                                Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

                                                Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

                                                Data validation

                                                All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

                                                The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

                                                Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

                                                Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

                                                Market analysis

                                                Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

                                                Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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