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Country Report

Travel and Tourism in Tajikistan

Apr 2012

Price: US$600

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Travel and Tourism Market Research Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Travel and Tourism industry in #Country# with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Travel and Tourism industry in #Country#, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in #Country# for free:

The Travel and Tourism in #Country# market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts (of market share, market trends, market growth)
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Travel and Tourism in #Country#?
  • What are the major brands in #Country#?
  • What are the major brands in #Country#?  

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Travel And Tourism market research database.

Each report is delivered with the following components:
Report: PDF and Word
Market statistics: Excel workbook

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Arrivals see positive growth

Renewed traffic of Tajik workers returning to Tajikistan resulted in a strong rebound in arrivals growth in 2011. However, arrivals in 2011 remained below the figure recorded in 2008. Russia remained the largest source of arrivals, mainly due to the high number of native Tajiks that have settled there. The number of Tajiks moving permanently to Russia is growing constantly, as those who have already moved there tend to later bring their family members and friends. As the business environment strengthened somewhat in 2011, so did the flow of business arrivals to Tajikistan. Both outbound and domestic tourism also saw positive growth in 2011.

New visa rules

In 2010, the government approved new visa rules for foreign citizens coming to Tajikistan, which served to shorten the process of obtaining a visa to four working days. Moreover, under the new regulations, the visa application process can be handled via post or arranged on arrival at Dushanbe airport. Furthermore, the cost of a visa was reduced to US$25. Under the new regulations, foreign visitors can now stay in Tajikistan for up to 30 days without registering with the police.

Transportation sees some improvements and new destinations

Over 2009-2011, access to Tajikistan was improved. Latvia’s national airline Air Baltic introduced the Riga-Dushanbe service in 2009. Meanwhile, Somon Air introduced a new route connecting Frankfurt with Dushanbe at the beginning of 2011. With new connections from Riga and Frankfurt, together with existing connections from Istanbul and Russia, there were some fifteen flights to Dushanbe each week from European destinations by the end of 2011. However, major European carriers remained absent from Tajikistan at the end of the review period and the nearest conveniently located airport is the Almaty International Airport in Kazakhstan. Land and rail transportation remained in a very poor state, with no major improvements expected over the forecast period. Prices for the transportation options available remained high, which had a negative impact on inbound arrivals.

Potential for eco and adventure tourism

With the support of the EU, the local public organisation, ASDP Nau and the non-governmental organisation, WeltHungerHilfe launched a project seeking to promote community-based tourism in the Zarafshan Valley. Experts believe that Tajikistan, with its mountains and cultural heritage, has the potential for the development of historical, ecological, mountaineering and winter tourism. According to industry experts, the greatest potential is held in attracting tourists from former Soviet countries, primarily those who have previously lived in Tajikistan and would like to visit the country again. Adventure tourism is growing rapidly in popularity in developed countries and Tajikistan has great potential for developing this niche tourism sector. However, it is likely that safety concerns will continue to dissuade tourists from the developed world making trips to Tajikistan.

High expectations, but limited opportunities

On the whole, tourism was very poorly developed in Tajikistan at the end of the review period. However, the government has hopes that this situation will be changed in the near future. The Tajik government has announced that it aims to increase the number of foreign visitors to Tajikistan to one million annually by 2020. Considering the poor quality of the country’s roads, its underdeveloped infrastructure, lack of travel accommodation options, high transportation prices and lack of promotion of the country externally, it is unlikely that this target will be met. It is expected that the majority of inbound arrivals will remain VFR (visiting friends and relatives) tourists.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Travel and Tourism in Tajikistan - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Arrivals see positive growth

New visa rules

Transportation sees some improvements and new destinations

Potential for eco and adventure tourism

High expectations, but limited opportunities

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Opportunities in recovery

National tourism strategy

Potential for eco and adventure tourism

Poor infrastructure as the key constraint

BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

  • Table 1 Balance of Tourism Payments: Value 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Departures by Destination: 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Departures by Mode of Transport: 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Departures by Purpose of Visit: 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Outgoing Tourist Expenditure: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Forecast Departures by Destination: 2011-2016
  • Table 7 Forecast Departures by Mode of Transport: 2011-2016
  • Table 8 Forecast Departures by Purpose of Visit: 2011-2016
  • Table 9 Forecast Outgoing Tourist Expenditure: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Domestic Tourism by Purpose of Visit and by Mode of Transport: 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Domestic Tourist Expenditure: Value: 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Domestic Tourism by Purpose of Visit and by Mode of Transport: 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Domestic Tourist Expenditure: Value: 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Tourist Attractions: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Tourist Attractions: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Health and Wellness Tourism Sales: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Health and Wellness Sales: Value 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Tourism Flows

Travel Accommodation

Transportation

Car Rental

Travel Retail

Travel Retail Online Sales

Tourist Attractions

Health and Wellness

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

CAR RENTAL IN TAJIKISTAN

Headlines

Trends

Prospects

TOURISM FLOWS INBOUND IN TAJIKISTAN

Headlines

Trends

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

TRANSPORTATION IN TAJIKISTAN

Headlines

Trends

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

TRAVEL ACCOMMODATION IN TAJIKISTAN

Headlines

Trends

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

TRAVEL RETAIL IN TAJIKISTAN

Headlines

Trends

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Car Rental

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • International arrivals by city
  • Internet transactions
  • Outbound departures by length
  • Regional hotel parameters

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price % growth
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices % growth
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Number of bed nights
  • Number of bed nights % growth
  • Number of bed nights per capita
  • Number of trips
  • Number of trips % growth
  • Number of trips per capita
  • Number of rooms
  • Number of rooms % growth
  • Number of rooms per capita
  • Offline value retail selling price % growth
  • Offline value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Offline value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Offline value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Offline value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Offline value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Offline value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices % growth
  • Offline value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Offline value retail selling price real (constant 2008) 2008 prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Internet transaction value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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